TSLA has multiple daily demand zones converging.NASDAQ:TSLA has several daily demand zones converging below today's low. This may provide an intraday short opportunity tomorrow, followed by an opportunity to add equity long into these demand zones for a move higher in the coming days, as long as the daily 50 SMA is held.
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TSLA / TESLATSLA (Tesla, Inc.) Stock Analysis:
Key Dates and Potential Market Movements:
1. August 23, 2024 - Potential Upside:
• Scenario: The chart indicates a potential bullish movement around late August 2024. This could be driven by positive earnings reports, advancements in Tesla’s technology, or an increase in market optimism around Tesla’s leadership in the EV market.
• Impact on Price: We might see a short-term rally in Tesla’s stock price, pushing it towards previous highs around the $270 mark.
2. October 15, 2024 - Potential Downside:
• Scenario: As we approach mid-October 2024, the chart suggests a potential bearish phase. This could be due to broader market corrections, profit-taking by investors, or any negative news related to supply chain disruptions or increased competition in the EV market.
• Impact on Price: Tesla’s stock could see a pullback, potentially testing support levels around $215 or even lower.
3. February 19, 2025 - Recovery Phase:
• Scenario: By early 2025, the chart indicates a recovery phase, possibly due to strong Q4 2024 earnings, the introduction of new Tesla models, or significant advancements in battery technology.
• Impact on Price: This period might mark the beginning of a new bullish trend, with Tesla’s stock price climbing back towards the $250-$300 range.
4. May 9, 2025 - Consolidation or Continued Growth:
• Scenario: The market could enter a consolidation phase, where the stock trades within a range, or Tesla could continue its growth trajectory depending on the broader economic conditions and Tesla’s performance.
• Impact on Price: If the market conditions are favorable, Tesla might break out to new highs; otherwise, we could see sideways movement in the $250-$300 range.
5. September 4, 2025 - Potential Market Shift:
• Scenario: As we approach late 2025, the chart suggests another critical phase, potentially influenced by macroeconomic factors, such as changes in interest rates or shifts in consumer demand for EVs.
• Impact on Price: This could lead to either a breakout to new highs or a retest of lower support levels, depending on the prevailing market sentiment.
6. December 4, 2025 - Year-End Rally:
• Scenario: The end of 2025 could see a year-end rally, driven by strong sales numbers, holiday season demand, or favorable policy decisions regarding EV subsidies.
• Impact on Price: Tesla’s stock might experience a strong rally, potentially setting new highs or revisiting levels around $300.
Considerations for Investors:
• Technological Advancements: Tesla’s continued innovation in battery technology, autonomous driving, and energy solutions could be key drivers of its stock price.
• Market Sentiment: Investor sentiment around the EV market and broader technology sector will play a crucial role in Tesla’s stock movements.
• Geopolitical and Economic Factors: Changes in global trade policies, supply chain disruptions, and shifts in consumer demand could impact Tesla’s performance.
Given the potential market shifts and Tesla’s leadership in the EV space, are you considering adding Tesla to your portfolio? How do you see Tesla’s position evolving as we approach key market dates in 2024 and 2025?
$TSLA Powering down expected until we break the channel The chart is still showing a bearish trend with the price trading within a descending channel, indicating a consistent downtrend.
Key Levels:
- $200 Resistance:
The failure to reclaim and hold above $200 reinforces bearish sentiment.
- 0.618 Fibonacci Support at $165:
This level is the next major support within the current downtrend. A break below could lead to further declines.
- Target 1 ($165): Immediate support level, aligned with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement.
- Target 2 ($100): A deeper support level and potential downside target if bearish momentum continues.
The price remains below the moving averages, further supporting the bearish outlook. NASDAQ:TSLA is likely to test the $165 level, with the potential for further decline towards $100 if the bearish trend persists. A bullish reversal would require a break above the descending channel and key resistance levels.
TSLA weekly chart shows confluence.NASDAQ:TSLA weekly chart shows that it is coming into key demand areas around $205 to $215. The weekly chart shows a Wyckoff accumulation phase since the 2021 all-time high at $414.50, with a spring during Phase C at the recent lows below $140. This corresponds to the bottom of the cup, with Phase D of accumulation corresponding to the handle. A close over the weekly 200 SMA, currently at $232, will give room to the weekly 150 SMA supply. Reclaiming these weekly supply zones may lead to a break of the weekly handle, and a push up to the final weekly supply zones of the weekly upper Bollinger Band and upper weekly 100 linear regression channel ahead of $300 during Phase E, which may start at the end of this year or into next year. The trade is invalidated below the weekly 20 SMA, which is currently at $187.
Tesla's Shocking Plunge: Is the Bubble Finally Bursting?This is a Walk through of How i Took Advantage of the Giant Move on TSLA
Current Price Action:
The current price is $240.89, reflecting a decrease of $7.20 (or 2.90%).
Liquidity Zones (LQZ) / Take Profit (TP) Levels:
There are two marked LQZ/TP levels:
LQZ/TP 1 at $263.53
LQZ/TP 2 at $270.21
Support and Resistance:
Multiple dashed lines indicate key support and resistance levels:
$138.36, $142.18, $145.51 (support zones)
$159.45, $168.98, $173.21, $175.92 (support/resistance zones)
$260.27 (resistance)
$300.01 (resistance)
Trend Lines:
A downward-sloping trend line (dashed blue) from previous highs suggests a long-term bearish trend.
Price recently broke above this trend line, indicating a potential change in trend or a strong bullish move.
Candlestick Patterns:
Recent candlesticks show a strong upward move followed by a pullback, which is typical after a strong rally.
Volume:
Volume is indicated, with the latest volume bar showing 6.468 million shares traded.
Musk Prioritizes Other Ventures Over TeslaMusk Prioritizes Other Ventures Over Tesla: AI Chips Diverted to X and xAI
A recent leak from internal Nvidia emails obtained by CNBC has raised questions about Elon Musk's leadership of Tesla. The emails reportedly show Musk directing the chipmaker to prioritize shipments of thousands of artificial intelligence (AI) processors originally reserved for Tesla to two of his other companies, X and xAI. This move has caused delays in Tesla's receipt of these crucial components, potentially impacting the company's AI development goals.
This news comes amidst Musk's ambitious push to establish Tesla as a leader in the AI and robotics space. Tesla has significantly increased its purchases of Nvidia's flagship AI chip, the H100, aiming to grow its active chip count from 35,000 to 85,000 by the end of 2 024. To support this growth, Tesla reportedly allocated a significant portion of its budget to AI training and inference, estimated at $10 billion for the year.
Diverting these chips to X and xAI throws a wrench into Tesla's plans. The delay in receiving over $500 million worth of processors could potentially slow down Tesla's AI development initiatives. This raises concerns about potential conflicts of interest and the prioritization of Musk's various ventures.
Here's a deeper dive into the implications of this situation:
• Impact on Tesla's AI Development: The delayed arrival of AI chips could hinder Tesla's progress in areas like autonomous driving and other AI-powered features planned for its vehicles. This could lead to delays in the rollout of new features or impact the performance of existing ones.
• Investor Confidence: Tesla's investors might be wary of Musk's leadership if they perceive a lack of focus on Tesla's core business. Diverting resources to other ventures could raise questions about his commitment to Tesla's success.
• Conflict of Interest: Some may question the ethical implications of a CEO prioritizing chip allocation for his other companies over the one he leads. This could raise concerns about Musk's use of his position for personal gain.
• Transparency and Communication: The lack of transparency surrounding the chip allocation decision could further erode investor confidence. Tesla shareholders deserve clear communication regarding the rationale behind this move.
While the exact purpose of X and xAI remains unclear, some speculate these companies might be involved in ventures related to Neuralink, another of Musk's ventures focused on brain-computer interfaces.
The situation warrants further investigation. Here are some key questions that need answers:
• Justification for Chip Diversion: What is the rationale behind prioritizing X and xAI over Tesla for these crucial AI chips?
• Impact on Tesla's Roadmap: How will the delay in receiving the chips affect Tesla's AI development roadmap and the rollout of new features?
• Disclosure and Transparency: Were Tesla shareholders made aware of the potential delays caused by chip allocation to other companies?
Only time will tell how this situation unfolds. However, one thing is clear: the decision to divert AI chips away from Tesla has raised serious concerns that demand proper explanation and a commitment to Tesla's continued success in the AI race.
$TSLA Might be About to Make a Big MoveTSLA has been compressing into a multi-year squeeze on the charts.
Whether it's the global economy going into a rough patch, the uncertainty of the 2024 US presidential election, or multiple wars happening in the East there seem to be a lot of potential market forces possibly pushing high multiple stocks down for the near future.
But Tesla as a company is on track for 50% YoY growth, completely dominating the global EV market while traditional OEMs pull back their EV efforts, Chinese OEMs struggle with margins, and other pure EV companies struggle to turn a profit at all.
Personally, I think TSLA will have a rough winter as the market hedges their bets on a market level, after which it will be primed for a huge upward breakthrough once the dust settles on the other side.
TSLA (Tesla) Technical Analysis and Trade Idea Upon analyzing TSLA (Tesla), we can see that it has been in a sustained downward trend. Notably, price has entered a critical support zone, exhibiting a double bottom pattern on the chart. Additionally, there has been a downward move beneath this double bottom, tapping into liquidity.
Given the significance of this support zone, I anticipate a reaction, potentially leading to a substantial retracement. Another noteworthy aspect is the imbalance above the current price range, which could serve as a target. Furthermore, I acknowledge the influence of seasonality in stock markets, a topic I delve into within the accompanying video. In the video, we explore trends, price action, market structure, and other essential elements of technical analysis.
Tesla - Triangle and -33% drop!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Tesla .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
With Tesla stock breaking above previous resistance in 2019 and coming back to retest it in 2020, this stock then took off and created one of the most insane rallies which I have ever seen. At the moment though, Tesla is consolidating in a descending triangle formation and there is a high chance that Tesla will again come back to retest the lower support at $110 for a third time.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Should You Short Tesla? A Look at China's Potential RisksShould You Short Tesla? A Look at China's Market Rebound and Potential Risks
Tesla (TSLA) stock has been on a downward spiral in 2024, and some investors are considering shorting the stock. This strategy involves borrowing shares, selling them at a high price, hoping the price falls, and then repurchasing them at a lower price to return to the lender. While China's electric vehicle (EV) market rebound and competition from local players present challenges for Tesla, shorting the stock comes with significant risks.
China's EV Market Rebound: A Double-Edged Sword
China, the world's largest EV market, experienced a slow start in 2024 due to various factors, including supply chain disruptions and COVID-19 lockdowns. However, recent reports indicate a significant rebound in April. This is good news for the overall EV industry, but it's a mixed bag for Tesla.
Tesla's China Woes:
• Sales Slump: While Chinese EV makers like BYD and NIO reported strong sales growth in April, Tesla's sales in China dropped significantly compared to the previous month. This could be due to a combination of factors:
o Increased Competition: Chinese manufacturers are offering a wider range of EVs at competitive price points, catering to local preferences.
o Brand Perception: Recent quality control issues and negative publicity might be impacting consumer trust in Tesla.
Headwinds for Tesla:
Beyond China, there are other concerns for Tesla:
• Job Cuts and Demand Concerns: Tesla's recent job cuts fueled speculation about weakening global demand, potentially leading to production slowdowns.
• Macroeconomic Factors: Rising interest rates and inflation could dampen consumer spending on high-priced EVs.
• Increased Competition: Legacy automakers are aggressively entering the EV market with advanced technology and established production capabilities.
The Case Against Shorting Tesla
Despite these challenges, shorting Tesla comes with inherent risks:
• Short Squeeze: If Tesla's stock price unexpectedly rises, short sellers face significant losses as they scramble to repurchase shares at a higher price. Tesla has a large and passionate fanbase who might jump in to buy the dip, further squeezing short positions.
• Elon Musk Factor: Tesla CEO Elon Musk is known for his unpredictable actions and ability to rally investor sentiment. A positive announcement or innovation could trigger a sharp stock price increase, catching short sellers off guard.
• Long-Term Potential: Tesla remains a leader in EV technology and innovation. The company continues to invest in R&D and expand its production capacity, potentially positioning itself for future growth.
Alternative Strategies
Instead of shorting Tesla, investors might consider these options:
• Put Options: Put options allow investors to profit if the stock price falls. This strategy offers limited downside risk compared to shorting.
• Investing in Competitors: Investors could look at Chinese EV companies that are gaining market share, potentially benefiting from the rebounding market.
• Hedging: Combining long positions in Tesla with short positions in other EV stocks can create a more balanced portfolio.
Conclusion
Prediction to Earnings on TSLA (Closing gap slowly, then retest)TSLA is being tossed aside as all attention goes to NVDA and semiconductors. TSLA has been experiencing slow growth relative to the S and P. These are my thoughts on TSLA price action up to earnings in mid April. This is a prediction that is longer in time frame compared to my usual predictions, so take with a massive grain of salt. I'll update as more information comes up near earnings.
We see a channel formed starting from the previous earnings. With it's current growth speed, I expect filling the gap early March to the $210 range. I believe attention will continue into semiconductors, and bring TSLA along with them to this point. Since we hit new ATHs with the S and P and NVDA recently, this seems like a good estimate as to when we will see a market correction. Momentum into the S and P seems that it will carry it for a few weeks. The TSLA options market seems to align with this, since we have P/C ratios between 0.5 through 0.75.
After this upward leg, I expect investors to brace for earnings in mid-late March, early April. With no new exciting news coming from the EV space, I think investors will expect a similar results to the previous earnings report. This is where we may begin seeing price action back towards previous lows, potentially retesting $185 to $190 prior to earnings.
Post earnings: It's easy to think we will have a similar result as the previous quarter, since we don't have news, but the EV sector is looking to slash jobs and cut costs. This may help TSLA keep a larger margin that may potentially be lost by Tesla car price cuts. With more information leading up to earnings we may be able to refine this.
As always, significant market news can change things to unpredictable places, so I'll be keeping an eye out and updating.
TSLATsla share repumped today to retest the broken upper trend
There are a lot of movement expectations :
1- The Price close above the Key LVL 205.30 then we can find the prices go up again to try to rebuild new wave (not expected by myself)
2- The price is retesting the upper trend showing at the drawing, so later on we will see push of selling the share and this is my expectation.
if the price go down i preferer to invest on it with the suggested percentages
Thanks and Best regards
Tesla Stock in Limbo: A 43% Plunge Leaves Investors Wary Ahead oTesla, once the undisputed champion of the electric vehicle (EV) market, finds itself in a precarious position. The company's stock price has been on a downward spiral, tumbling nearly 43% in the last month. This dramatic decline has left investors apprehensive as Tesla prepares to report its earnings.
Several factors are contributing to the bearish sentiment surrounding Tesla. Firstly, concerns are swirling about the company's business strategy. Sales of electric vehicles have dipped, raising questions about whether Tesla can maintain its growth trajectory. The much-anticipated Cybertruck has yet to materialize, and delays in the rollout of the cheaper electric vehicle have further dampened investor enthusiasm.
Elon Musk, Tesla's enigmatic CEO, hasn't helped matters. His focus on ventures outside of Tesla, coupled with his penchant for making controversial pronouncements, has sown seeds of doubt among some investors. They worry that Musk's attention is divided, potentially hindering Tesla's ability to navigate the increasingly competitive EV landscape.
Adding to the woes is the overall market correction. Rising interest rates and inflation have dampened investor appetite for growth stocks, a category Tesla once dominated. Tesla's lofty valuation, currently sitting at nearly 47 times forward earnings, also makes it a prime target for a sell-off. This high valuation is particularly concerning given the recent sales slump and the uncertain outlook for the EV market.
However, there is a silver lining. The recent plunge has pushed Tesla's stock price into what some analysts call "no man's land." This means there's a significant gap between the current price and potential downside. While the stock could fall further, the dramatic decline has already priced in a considerable amount of negativity. This could pave the way for a "relief rally" if Tesla's earnings report isn't a complete disaster.
Some analysts believe the negative sentiment has been overblown. They argue that Tesla's brand recognition and technological prowess still position it well for the future. The upcoming launch of the Robotaxi service in August could be a game-changer, generating new revenue streams and reigniting investor confidence.
The coming weeks will be crucial for Tesla. The earnings report will be a watershed moment, determining whether the company can regain its footing or succumb to the current headwinds. Investors will be keenly watching for any signs of a turnaround in sales, updates on the Cybertruck and the cheaper EV rollout, and any concrete plans for the Robotaxi service.
Tesla's story is far from over. The company's future hinges on its ability to navigate the current challenges, deliver on its promises, and adapt to the evolving EV market. Only time will tell if Tesla can emerge from this "no man's land" and reclaim its pole position in the electric vehicle revolution.
Where Does TSLA Land?
Trend
- Downtrend confirmed.
- Components of the channel chart:
The original downtrend channel plus a 100% extended channel.
Both channels divided in half by blue dotted lines.
The shaded zones furthest from the center represent "overbought/oversold forces," which counterbalance each other.
- Currently, the price is descending into the extended channel, suggesting a chance of reaching the lower band of the extended channel.
- Note that when the price enters the orange shaded zone, it could move rapidly in one direction, as there is minimal previous support and resistance.
- The trend lines serve as potential support and resistance levels.
100% Symmetrical Projection: Downtrend “N” Patterns
- A 100% Symmetrical Projection of the previous swing (from A to B) and then projected from C. As a result, D is the initial target price on the short side.
- The 0.5 level from C to D serves as a clear support, enhancing the value of this projection.
N Pattern’s Target Price & Fibonacci Price Cluster
- The target price of $116 at level D aligns with a major prior low on the weekly chart.
- Levels 1 & 2 are significant due to the price cluster effect, demonstrating the validity of the extension of the prior major swing.
- Consequently, Level 3 has a good chance of becoming a critical support and a potential target price.
Conclusion
- In comparison with symmetrical analysis, TSLA's trend channel chart provides higher reference value.
- The dynamic target price is the lower band of the extended channel.
- The fixed target price (strong support) could be $122, followed by $116.
Not Financial Advice
The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
TSLA Tesla Options Ahead of Earnings If you haven`t bought the dip on TSLA:
nor sold the regional top:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TSLA Tesla prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 140usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $20.40.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Tesla Loses Half-Trillion Dollar Shine: Bulls Feeling the SqueezTesla, the electric vehicle (EV) pioneer, has hit a rough patch in 2024. This week, the company's market valuation slipped below $500 billion, marking a significant blow to investors who had placed big bets on Tesla's continued growth.
Several factors seem to be contributing to Tesla's woes. Firstly, concerns are mounting about the company's ability to maintain its breakneck growth trajectory. Recent reports indicate weaker-than-expected sales figures, leading some analysts to question whether Tesla can meet its ambitious production targets. Adding fuel to the fire, Tesla announced a round of job cuts this week, further amplifying anxieties about slowing growth. is decline coincides with a broader slump in the company's stock price, which has shed a staggering 37% so far this year.
Secondly, a recent exodus of high-ranking executives has rattled investor confidence. Several key figures have departed Tesla in recent months, leaving a void in leadership This instability at the top management level has cast a shadow over the company's future direction.
These developments have significantly dampened the enthusiasm of investors who had previously been bullish on Tesla. The company's stock has become one of the worst performers on the prestigious S&P 500 Index in 2024, erasing a colossal $290 billion in shareholder wealth. This decline marks a stark turnaround from the meteoric rise Tesla experienced in previous years, when its stock price soared on the promise of a revolutionary electric vehicle future.
However, some analysts remain optimistic about Tesla's long-term prospects. They point to the company's continued innovation in battery technology and its lead in the EV market as reasons for hope. They argue that the recent stock price slump presents a buying opportunity for those with a long-term investment horizon.
"Tesla has been through disasters before," said one analyst, "We maintain our outperform rating on the stock." This sentiment is echoed by others who believe that Tesla's core strengths remain unmatched and that the current challenges are merely temporary hurdles.
Only time will tell whether Tesla can weather this storm and reclaim its former glory. The coming months will be crucial as the company strives to address concerns about slowing growth, leadership changes, and a softening market. Tesla's ability to reignite investor confidence and reignite sales growth will determine whether the bulls can once again take the reins.
Tesla's Production Numbers in Last QuarterI wanted to bring to your attention the recent news regarding Tesla's Q1 2024 deliveries. There are reports that deliveries fell short of expectations compared to the previous quarter. This development, along with concerns about the economy and evolving consumer preferences in the electric vehicle market, could have an impact on Tesla's stock price.
It's important to consider this news along with other factors, such as Tesla's long-term position in the EV space and overall market conditions when making investment decisions.
As always, it is important to conduct thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions. Please feel free to reach out in the comments if you have any questions or would like to discuss this further.