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Tesla - A Head & Shoulders in a H&S :DFrom the base of the most recent rally to the selloff at the major neckline, price has retraced about 80% of its gains, leaving us with 20% left from the last low. Its expected to see continuous selling pressure until $155, and a possible spike-out around $133. First lets confirm local support lvls (30min - 1min) for a reversal back to liquidity (~$216) to only selloff once again. Buyers displayed aggressive price action from $110 and $155 which is overall bullish in the long term.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Nathanl19
"Tesla Stock Teeters at Critical Levels" - TSLATSLA Stock: Navigating Critical Support Amidst Growing Concerns Tesla Inc. (TSLA), once the darling of Wall Street and a symbol of disruptive innovation in the automotive industry, finds itself at a critical juncture as it grapples with mounting pressure from investors and market dynamics. With the stock facing significant headwinds, analysts are closely eyeing key support levels, with $165 emerging as a crucial threshold that could determine the fate of TSLA's trajectory. Testing Support: The $165 mark represents a major area of support for TSLA, a level that, if breached, could unleash a cascade of selling pressure, potentially triggering a sharp decline in the stock price. Analysts and market participants have long viewed this level as a critical pivot point, given its historical significance and its role in shaping investor sentiment. Technical Analysis: Drawing on technical analysis, TSLA's current price action paints a concerning picture. The stock has encountered staunch resistance at the top of the market, forming what appears to be a triple top pattern. This pattern, characterized by two lower peaks (shoulders) and one higher peak (head), is often interpreted as a bearish signal, suggesting a potential reversal in trend. Moreover, the $165 level holds added significance as it coincides with the start of the bull run in June 2019, signifying a pivotal point in TSLA's ascent. What was once a stronghold of support has now transformed into a formidable barrier, acting as a barrier to further upside momentum. Market Sentiment: Investor sentiment towards TSLA has soured in recent months, as concerns over valuation, execution challenges, and macroeconomic headwinds weigh on the stock. The previous bull run, characterized by extreme growth and exuberance, has left TSLA vulnerable to a correction, with many market participants anticipating a pullback of significant magnitude. Outlook: Looking ahead, the consensus among analysts suggests that TSLA is poised for further downside, with the $165 level serving as a make-or-break point. Should the stock fail to hold above this critical support level, the potential for a sharp downturn looms large, with some forecasts suggesting a correction of more than 50%. While such projections may appear dire, they underscore the importance of risk management and prudent decision-making in navigating turbulent market conditions. Investors are advised to exercise caution and closely monitor TSLA's price action in the coming days and weeks, as developments unfold. In conclusion, TSLA's stock finds itself at a crossroads, with $165 emerging as a pivotal level that could determine its future trajectory. As market participants brace for a potential breakdown, the need for vigilance and preparedness has never been greater.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by UnknownUnicorn2319099
1/25 Massive Tesla Red Day Recap and 1/26 Prediction From DataAfter today's price action, it is clear that investors are at disarray and uncertain for the future of Tesla. Here I will detail my analysis of today 1/25, and my predictions for tomorrow 1/26. In the graph, I plotted three possibilities pre-market 1/25 (from previous Idea, "Looking at Possible Dead Cat Bounce Levels"): Purple line-arrow (Most optimistic): A bounce of it's low and decay to $188-$190. Yellow line: Bounce off 0.618 fib line and decay to $185-$186. Red line (least optimistic): Minimal bounce, straight to $180. It looks like we went worst case scenario, hitting my $180 target faster than I expected. This confirms investor sentiment; at least until we get some good news from Tesla and guidance. For tomorrow's price action, I also have three possibilities in mind, so I will look at previous price movements in similar scenarios, as well as use what we know after today to get an some possibilities. During the last two (Q2, Q3) quarterly earnings, Tesla stock continued dropping for the two subsequent days. Q2: An additional 2.75% down from previous close. Q3: An additional 4.3% down from previous close. Today's event seems different, where the 12%-15% dip that Q2 and Q3 earnings experienced over multiple days seem to have happened in one day. I'll list the possibilities by what I believe is least probable to most probable: Blue line: bounce of $180 support and rise to $186-$188 range. I call this less probable because an increase on the day after a dip after earnings is odd (compared to Q2 and Q3 earnings.) Not impossible though, in the case that today's dip was an over exaggeration and a bulk of investors remain optimistic. (Buyers sitting on the sidelines?) Yellow line: Bounce between channel $180 - 183.50. I think this is a bit more possible because investors may be sitting in indecision, hoping to wait it out until more news is revealed (low volume perhaps?) Pink line: Dip below $180 to next fib line $176, and possibly lower. I personally think this is more likely, because it will be line with Q2 and Q3 instances (a dip of 4% from today.) Investors may begin thinking about opportunity cost in holding a stock with no guidance, expectations not met. Investors are in Tesla not because it is a value stock, but because it's a growth stock, and if there is no exciting growth, they may start looking to sell off for competitors that are showing the 100%+ quarterly growth in EV sales. I may revisit a long term analysis of the stock in the future, but for now, those are all my thoughts for tomorrow.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by valentine_j_
4
$TSLA COMPLETE ELLIOT WAVE ANALYSIS According to the Elliott Wave theory, NASDAQ:TSLA has been following a corrective wave pattern (ABC) since its inception, reaching its peak during the 2021 bull run. Currently, NASDAQ:TSLA has completed both wave 1 and wave 2, entering the critical and highly impulsive wave 3 towards the downside of the Elliott Wave sequence. The fundamental outlook for NASDAQ:TSLA appears weakened due to intense competition in the market. In the long term, NASDAQ:TSLA is displaying a heavy bearish trend. While specific targets for the remaining waves are uncertain at this time, one thing is clear – NASDAQ:TSLA is not expected to surpass wave 2, which is positioned at $299.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by thekidtrader11
Potential Impact of Cybertruck Production Nightmare on TeslaI would like to discuss the recent production nightmare surrounding the highly anticipated Cybertruck and how it could potentially impact Tesla's overall performance. As we are all aware, Tesla has been at the forefront of electric vehicle innovation, revolutionizing the industry and capturing the imagination of investors and consumers alike. However, recent reports suggest that the production challenges faced by the Cybertruck have the potential to cast a shadow over Tesla's otherwise impressive track record. The Cybertruck, with its bold design and promising features, has generated significant pre-order interest, reflecting the strong demand for Tesla's products. However, it is essential to consider the potential consequences of the production hurdles that Tesla has encountered. Delays in manufacturing, supply chain disruptions, and quality control issues could lead to dissatisfied customers, tarnishing Tesla's reputation for delivering cutting-edge products on time. While Tesla has demonstrated resilience in overcoming obstacles in the past, it is crucial to approach this situation with caution. As traders, it is our responsibility to evaluate the potential risks associated with such setbacks and make informed decisions regarding our investment strategies. Considering the gravity of the situation, I encourage you to closely monitor Tesla's progress in addressing the production challenges faced by the Cybertruck. Keep a keen eye on any developments or announcements that could shed light on the company's ability to overcome these obstacles effectively. In light of these circumstances, some traders may consider exploring shorting opportunities for Tesla. However, it is important to remember that shorting a stock carries inherent risks and requires careful analysis of market trends, financial indicators, and broader industry dynamics. I urge you to consult with your trusted financial advisors or conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Ultimately, the purpose of this email is to highlight the potential risks associated with the Cybertruck production nightmare and emphasize the importance of cautious evaluation. As traders, we must remain vigilant, informed, and adaptable in navigating the ever-changing landscape of the stock market.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by bryandowningqln
Why TESLA is STILL heading LOWERHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉 A quick analysis today on Tesla and why I'm still expecting the price of TSLA to head lower. After a nasty Head and Shoulders Pattern on the monthly, TSLA has reached a selling climax and an automatic rally afterwards (which always follows a SC). However, if we look at the Wyckoff Method schematics, this is not yet the bottom. The bottom is expected to happen during phase B, which is the phase we're about to head into. ST will always be LOWER than SC, therefore there will be another chance to accumulate TESLA at a lower entry. _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍 We thank you for your support ! CryptoCheck NASDAQ:TSLA
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by CryptoCheck-
58
Bearish Put thesis worst case/ Investing long term buying zones Elon Musk Chief Executive Officer It’s difficult to make an accurate guess at this point. Going back to what I said earlier that the ramp is going to be extremely difficult. And like I said, there’s no way around that. If we just try to do some copycat vehicle design, of which there are literally 200 models that are slight variations on a theme in the combustion engine world, distinctions without a difference, then it’s really not that hard. But if you want to do something radical and innovative and something really special, like the Cybertruck, it is extremely difficult because there’s nothing to copy. You have to invent not just the car, but the way to make the car. So, the more uncharted the territory, the less predictable the outcome. Now, I can say that-- if you say, well, where will things end up? I think we’ll end up with roughly a 0.25 million Cybertrucks a year. I don’t think we’re going to reach that output rate next year. I think we’ll probably reach it sometime in 2025. That’s my best guess. A recession would also be a major blow to Tesla, as consumers would likely tighten their spending and delay or cancel purchases of new cars. In addition, Tesla is still ramping up production at its new factories in Texas and Germany, and a recession could make it more difficult to meet its production targets Higher interest rates would make it more expensive for consumers to finance Tesla vehicles. Tesla has relied on strong leasing demand to drive sales growth, but this could be hit hard if interest rates rise significantly. Tighter financial conditions could make it more difficult for Tesla to raise capital. Tesla has ambitious plans to expand its production capacity and product lineup, but it will need to raise a significant amount of money to do so. If financial conditions tighten, it could be more difficult and expensive for Tesla to borrow money. A recession would lead to lower demand for Tesla vehicles. Tesla vehicles are still relatively expensive, so consumers are more likely to delay or cancel purchases of a Tesla if they are facing financial difficulties. A recession could disrupt Tesla's supply chain. Tesla relies on a global network of suppliers for its components. A recession could lead to disruptions in this supply chain, which could make it difficult for Tesla to produce vehicles. Overall, a combination of QT and recession would be a major challenge for Tesla. The company would need to find ways to reduce costs, increase demand, and secure financing in order to weather the storm.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by ArielTNolasco
$TSLA Trending Towards $180 Support LevelTSLA had a strong rejection at the yellow resistance line, and has been dropping straight down several support levels over the past few weeks. The $240 orange support line was immediately lost, and TSLA just lost support at the $207.50 green support line. There is a lot of pessimistic news surrounding the sustainability of EVs, and TSLA had a poor earnings report that further hurt investor's future outlook. The $180 light blue support level is the next key price to monitor for a potential bounce. There has been strong support here in the past.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by realchartchamp
Disturbing News: TSLA Reveals Multiple DOJ SubpoenasI must admit that the news I have to share today is rather disheartening. It is with a heavy heart that I bring your attention to the recent revelation by Tesla Inc. (TSLA) regarding multiple subpoenas from the Department of Justice (DOJ). This development has cast a shadow of uncertainty over the company's future, leaving us with a sense of sadness and concern. As traders, we have witnessed the rise and success of Tesla over the years, marveled at their groundbreaking innovations, and even celebrated their achievements. However, the recent disclosure of multiple DOJ subpoenas has raised serious questions about the company's practices and ethics. While we cannot jump to conclusions or pass judgment prematurely, it is essential to acknowledge the potential ramifications of such investigations. In light of these developments, I feel compelled to share my concerns with you, my fellow traders. It is crucial for us to evaluate our positions and consider the potential risks associated with holding Tesla stock. While it is not my intention to dictate your investment decisions, I believe it is essential to be aware of the potential downside risks that may lie ahead. Therefore, I encourage you to carefully assess your exposure to Tesla and consider the option of shorting TSLA. By taking a short position, you have the opportunity to profit from any downward movement in the stock price, should these investigations lead to unfavorable outcomes for the company. As traders, it is our responsibility to stay informed and make well-informed decisions to protect our portfolios. Please understand that I do not take pleasure in sharing this information or promoting a bearish sentiment. However, as traders, it is our duty to adapt and react to the changing dynamics of the market. I believe that by being proactive and considering the potential risks associated with Tesla's recent disclosures, we can safeguard our investments and navigate through these uncertain times. Remember, knowledge is power in the world of trading. Stay informed, stay vigilant, and make decisions that align with your risk tolerance and investment objectives. If you require any further information or would like to discuss this matter further, please do not hesitate to reach out to me by commenting below,
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by bryandowningqln
TSLA's Recent Disappointments and the Challenging Road AheadAs an avid follower of the company, it pains me to share the disappointing news that TSLA has fallen short of investor expectations, leaving us with a heavy heart. One cannot ignore the challenges that Elon Musk and his team are currently facing, particularly the unveiling of the highly anticipated Cybertruck. While the Cybertruck's unique design may have captured attention, it has also sparked skepticism among investors and industry experts alike. The unconventional design has raised concerns about its mass-market appeal and potential impact on Tesla's overall sales. As investors, it is crucial for us to carefully evaluate the situation and make informed decisions. In light of these recent developments, I believe it is essential to consider the option of shorting TSLA, as it may present an opportunity to mitigate potential losses. By shorting TSLA, we can capitalize on the current challenges the company is facing and potentially benefit from a decline in its stock value. However, I urge you to conduct thorough research and consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. While shorting TSLA may seem like a viable option, it is essential to consider the inherent risks associated with this strategy. Market volatility and unforeseen developments can significantly impact the outcome, so it is crucial to exercise caution and prudence. In these uncertain times, it is essential to remember that the market is ever-changing, and opportunities can arise even amidst disappointment. By staying informed and making well-informed decisions, we can navigate these challenging waters with resilience and adaptability. I encourage you to keep a close eye on Tesla's future developments, as they may offer insights into potential investment opportunities. Stay vigilant, analyze the market trends, and consider your risk tolerance before taking any action.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by bryandowningqln
Concerns over Tesla's Volume and Margins DropConcerns over Tesla's Volume and Margins Drop: Can the Cybertruck Compensate for Losses? As you may already be aware, Tesla has experienced a noticeable drop in both its volume and margins in recent times. This decline has raised questions regarding the company's ability to sustain its profitability and meet investor expectations. While Tesla has been a frontrunner in the electric vehicle market, this recent downturn has given rise to uncertainties about the company's financial stability. In light of these concerns, it is crucial to evaluate the potential impact of Tesla's upcoming product, the Cybertruck. With its futuristic design and promising features, the Cybertruck has garnered significant attention and anticipation from both enthusiasts and investors alike. Tesla has positioned this groundbreaking vehicle as a potential game-changer, capable of revolutionizing the pickup truck market. Given the current circumstances, it is plausible to consider whether the Cybertruck can compensate for the losses incurred by Tesla's declining volume and margins. The success of this highly-anticipated product could potentially help restore investor confidence and provide a much-needed boost to the company's financial performance. However, it is important to approach this situation with caution. While the Cybertruck holds significant potential, it is vital to remain objective and critically analyze the possible outcomes. As a result, I would like to encourage you to consider a temporary short position on Tesla (TSLA). By doing so, we can potentially capitalize on the current market sentiment and potential risks associated with Tesla's performance. Please note that shorting TSLA should only be undertaken after conducting thorough research and analysis, as it carries its own inherent risks. It is essential to consult with your financial advisor or conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. As fellow traders, it is our responsibility to stay informed, remain vigilant, and adapt our strategies accordingly. By actively monitoring and discussing these developments, we can collectively navigate the ever-changing landscape of the stock market.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by bryandowningqln