TSLA Re-Accumulation/DistributionTSLA price swings are signs of accumulation/distribution. Weakness in small time frame / Strength on Daily - this is either correction or liquidity grab into next move up
$190 support - Weakness under $188, $182 is LPS
*1hr support 21 EMA Resistance 8ema
*5ma Daily Support
Weekly anchored VWAP: $188
*1hr indicators are showing triple negative divergence
Powell could be the catalyst to push markets & Tesla into correction territory
*Options - $200 weekly Call Wall Wallstreet max pain will be between $188-$190 (this changes daily)
Weekly expected move: $207 high $197 low
Intraday: 2/7 (Bearish)
Trading between $198-$190 then $188-182
I was expecting an upthrust to $200-201 for a liquidity grab before correction... still possible, but 1 hr. bullishness is weakening
current bias is bearish for the short-term. *above 201.8 I can see this going to weekly highs
*Pay attention to Volume of Selling and Buying - Buying Volume is still larger* Low Volume Sell-off is a sign of re-accumulation
Tslashort
Tesla - Bearish SentimentTesla has given us EQUAL HIGHS at 197.21. This indicates a potential move to the upside to TRAP BUYERS (INDUCEMENT). Price will then come to around 202.00 before the drop continues. I'm still very BEARISH on TSLA.
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Price action is KING!!!!
TSLA at weekly resistance. A pullback expected.TSLA hitting a weekly resistance here. A pullback is expected here even if the momentum is there to break it in coming weeks.
In case of pullback from the current weekly resistance, price should find a support here and continue its upward journey from here. The probability of this scenario is very high.
If the price breaks the first support then the probability of this monthly support holding the price is extremely high.
TSLA Re-Accumulation to Big DistributionTopping reversal candle on the 4 hr. I see Bullish and Bearish scenarios- * Yes Tesla can go to $180 first, it has to happen before Wednesday
Bearish- pullback and double top , Rising Wedge or complete breakdown from here.
Bullish-continuation on new support trend-line past $200… to confirm V bottom recovery (Tsla is one of few stocks that will be green while Markets go red)
*** everything dependent on Markets to confirm Bull cycle or to fade the rally and begin the Final leg Down of Correction.
My Thesis,( until price action delivers a different scenario)-
I’m leaning Bearish, but with a possibility of higher high along with Bearish Divergence confirmation. Just to accumulate more retail liquidity before February selloff -Smart Money began buying in December- taking profits in February lines up with lower Tax on gains and portfolio rotation
I believe economic data or FOMC will maintain hawkishness and rug-pull the markets next Wednesday.
Macro Data:
- NYSE advance decline is supporting weakness in markets
-Retail & Smart money are completely divergent
-Put/Call ratio beginning to favor Bears
-Vix bullish divergence setup forming
-DXY, 10yr & 2yr bond yields are all rising with markets
-HYG Bonds are falling while markets advance
-Retail influx & euphoria is at highest level since 2021 & 2022 August high (LARGE SELLOFF)
- Feb & March seasonally are sell-off & Volatility spikes until April
***Everything is pointing to a Large pullback or “The Final” leg of Bearish Correction
DXY will continue to rebound in shocks, 18/1000, 29/1/2023
The 104.7 price of DXY is the key price pressure, short-term rebound can be considered to take profit at this price, marked as the g line
What is synchronous is that after the rebound, the trend of SPX is just below the pressure level P line, and it starts to fluctuate and fall, which is synchronized with the rise and rebound of DXY prices
Looking at a specific stock TSLA, it is confirmed that the short position of TSLA breaking through the support level will continue. 181, the already established pressure level, can form an effective suppression with the rebound of the dollar, and the opportunity for short positions to increase will be generated simultaneously.
TSLA Rally Finishing upTsla ready for a drop from here - if Markets start breaking down - be prepared to see TSLA go back below $125 is my target within next 3 weeks
*we could see TSLA traders push price to $169, but this will be a retail trap.
Good Luck
*Long Term Bull, but short term swig-trade idea
TSLA Relief Rally *Be Careful-(Short Term Bullish)***Warning Monday Jan 2nd (Market is Closed) - Q4 EV Deliveries - good report then TSLA will complete H&S pattern and continue Bullish Island Gap Reversal
Positive:
`TSLA is Very Oversold, we could see a continuation of this bounce up too 150-180 if production release is great on Monday.
-Bullish Chart patterns show inverse H&S pattern created by Island Gap Reversal.
LARGE Buying Volume strong-sign of institutional investment - this could be accumulation phase
Beginning of January tends to be positive for the stock market
NDX & SPX showing signs of upcoming relief rally (*before we make final leg down)
HYG & JNK Bonds are showing bullish divergence
Negative:
Monday possible less deliveries than expected -if is lack luster I can see TSLA dropping 7-12% to retest the low
China Covid Cases/ Shanghai Factory Slow production
Tesla is still in a Strong Bear Market pattern
Elon and Twitter Drama
Earnings report on the 23rd - with factory issues, supply issues - it does not look promising
Macro H&S Pattern puts the measured decline to $90-$80 range
Sentiment:
Short Term -Swing /Day Trading -I am only Bullish for the Short Term* (1-2 weeks) .
Long Term Investing: I am Bullish for Long Term (5 yrs) ....over-all I would choose the $109 area as 1st pt accumulation / $80 area second point / $60 area 3rd pt (TSLA will Grow 25% Sales YoY for next 5yrs) PEG ratio looking good
TSLA bear put vertical options play for 1/27I know this is a little late. But yesterday on the live stream I was mentioning the idea if TSLA gapped up over 158 from earnings I would to pick up a bear put vertical for 1/27. Well as we have gotten closer to the market opening on 1/26 TSLA has moved up and gotten closer to 160. I'm gonna look to get 155/152.5 bear put vertical for 1/27. Gonna wait about 15-20 at least to let volatility come down in options prices and possibly wait for it to run to 165 and look for a reversal pattern. TSLA up over 50% in the past month.
$TSLA RECESSION LOW FORECASTOriginally I thought around $111 would be the bottom, and it turned out to be at least a local bottom. However, I think we may run up to around $165 and then one final dump, potentially putting $TSLA at around $65. If this ends up being the case I think it will mark the "actual" bottom, and it would be wise to start buying heavily, NFA, just my opinion and what I am paying attention to.
TSLA To 0$ ?NASDAQ:TSLA
Tesla is a great company, I don't think it will collapse, by fundamentals breaking each Q's Rev and Profits, Best selling car.
But as FED keeps raising the interest rate, it will go lower but for now:
Trade for a short timeframe . Tesla Looks great.
Over Sold, Close to Support Level, Sellers Vol Decreased, Far a Way from MA'S, confluence AREA!
I taking it for a long With 2 TP at Fibs Level.
Bought for 124.
Have fun.
TP1 139
TP2 149
SL 110
Let's talk about Elon & Tesla...Happy New Years people! 🎇 🎉
Starting 2023 off with another one of our Nostradamus style predictions. 🔮
Since Elon's massive selloff, speculation around Tesla has heated up.
So we figured we'd throw in our two cents...
Looking at the Tesla and SP500 daily charts here, we can see a few potential scenarios playing out.
We've mapped some key levels; the major 2020 support of $60, the $80-$120 zone it recently dipped into, and the bounce zone of $130-$160.
After the Elon-induced selloff, we saw a very nice bounce with 3 green candles last week. Definitely some short-squeezing taking place before years end.
This bounce can easily make a run back up towards $130 if we see a sustained pump across equities. 📈
Of course, which direction Tesla will move in the short-mid term depends on the stock market as a whole. That's why we included (as always), the SPX.
We can see a clear bounce off the top of the channel on the SPX that took place in early-mid December.
We've crabbed along the last week or so, and our gut tells us a broader sell-off might be incoming in Q1. 📉
If you're a long-term older of Tesla, setting up a dollar-cost average grid on the way down in that $80-$120 zone, might not be a bad idea. 💪
Especially if we really nuke down towards the $60 major support.
Long term we are VERY bullish on Tesla and all things Elon, but we might see some great buying opportunities here in 2023.
Eyes peeled.👀
-TucciNomics
Chief Overlord, AlgoBuddy
Some Recovery Expected Price have broken the channel ( Support ) some recovery from here is expected till about 146.00 area and then a drop - lower low till about 90s. Over all trend is still to the down side. Shorts in play, any rise is shorting opportunity for now.
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