TSLA at weekly support, likely to bounce to at least 200 areaThe price had hit the weekly support WS1 after getting rejected from weekly resistance WR1. After hitting WS1, the price has bounced and I believe this bounce will continue towards weekly resistance WR1. Therefore, this present an opportunity to go long on this one for the target at least to the weekly resistance WR1. There is a possibility of it breaking this resistance and move towards monthly resistance MR1. However, we shall re-evaluate the price action in case it reaches to the first target at WR1.
Tslastock
More Pain for TSLA - $165 or LowerI get a lot of questions about TSLA, and I can tell that many of you are eager to buy this TSLA dip. However, I'm seeing a lot of bearish signs for TSLA and I don't think there will be a buy opportunity any time soon. The green support level has flipped into resistance, and TSLA is forming a strong move down this week. I have $164.76 as a key price target for a rebound. I think TSLA and the EV market are weak right now, we can see lower prices over the next few months.
Breaking the Bearish Spell: The Inverse Head and Shoulders BreakThis trading strategy capitalizes on the inverse head and shoulders pattern, a chart formation that often signals a reversal of a downtrend. By identifying the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder, traders can anticipate a potential bullish breakout. This approach waits for the price to breach the neckline, confirming the pattern before executing a buy order.
Risk Management: To safeguard against market volatility, this strategy includes a robust risk management plan. It involves setting a stop-loss just below the right shoulder to minimize potential losses. Additionally, the take-profit level is determined based on the height of the pattern, ensuring a favorable risk-reward ratio. Traders are advised to adjust their position sizes according to their risk tolerance and to monitor the trade for any signs of reversal.
TSLA Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaMarket Observations: #TSLA has experienced downward pressure as evidenced by the distinct pattern of lower highs/lows on the daily chart, signaling a clear downtrend. A significant price gap exists above the current trading range. This setup suggests a potential stop run above the range to clear liquidity, providing an opportunity for larger institutions to fill short orders.
Trade Strategy: Target a short entry on a potential stop run above the range. Aim for an initial profit target at the previous daily low, with a secondary target at the 165 level, which aligns with a prior daily low. Manage risk with a strategically placed stop-loss order.
Disclaimer: This analysis reflects my personal opinion and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own comprehensive research and risk assessment before executing any trades.
"Tesla Stock Teeters at Critical Levels" - TSLATSLA Stock: Navigating Critical Support Amidst Growing Concerns
Tesla Inc. (TSLA), once the darling of Wall Street and a symbol of disruptive innovation in the automotive industry, finds itself at a critical juncture as it grapples with mounting pressure from investors and market dynamics. With the stock facing significant headwinds, analysts are closely eyeing key support levels, with $165 emerging as a crucial threshold that could determine the fate of TSLA's trajectory.
Testing Support:
The $165 mark represents a major area of support for TSLA, a level that, if breached, could unleash a cascade of selling pressure, potentially triggering a sharp decline in the stock price. Analysts and market participants have long viewed this level as a critical pivot point, given its historical significance and its role in shaping investor sentiment.
Technical Analysis:
Drawing on technical analysis, TSLA's current price action paints a concerning picture. The stock has encountered staunch resistance at the top of the market, forming what appears to be a triple top pattern. This pattern, characterized by two lower peaks (shoulders) and one higher peak (head), is often interpreted as a bearish signal, suggesting a potential reversal in trend.
Moreover, the $165 level holds added significance as it coincides with the start of the bull run in June 2019, signifying a pivotal point in TSLA's ascent. What was once a stronghold of support has now transformed into a formidable barrier, acting as a barrier to further upside momentum.
Market Sentiment:
Investor sentiment towards TSLA has soured in recent months, as concerns over valuation, execution challenges, and macroeconomic headwinds weigh on the stock. The previous bull run, characterized by extreme growth and exuberance, has left TSLA vulnerable to a correction, with many market participants anticipating a pullback of significant magnitude.
Outlook:
Looking ahead, the consensus among analysts suggests that TSLA is poised for further downside, with the $165 level serving as a make-or-break point. Should the stock fail to hold above this critical support level, the potential for a sharp downturn looms large, with some forecasts suggesting a correction of more than 50%.
While such projections may appear dire, they underscore the importance of risk management and prudent decision-making in navigating turbulent market conditions. Investors are advised to exercise caution and closely monitor TSLA's price action in the coming days and weeks, as developments unfold.
In conclusion, TSLA's stock finds itself at a crossroads, with $165 emerging as a pivotal level that could determine its future trajectory. As market participants brace for a potential breakdown, the need for vigilance and preparedness has never been greater.
TSLA: Last CHANCE to REACT! - D&W chartsTSLA shares are trying to react today, and this is something that could signal a recovery, which is understandable, given how much the price has fallen in recent weeks and how oversold the stock is at the moment.
Since the last top in December, the stock has plummeted almost 30%, breaking all its medium-term supports, materializing a downtrend. I say the price is oversold because the RSI is at an extremely low level, and the last time we saw an RSI below 20, in December 2022, the stock actually recovered after confirming a bottom in the price.
TSLA’s RSI analysis and comparison to December 2022:
However, the trend is still downwards, and although there is the possibility of a recovery, it won't be easy to reverse the trend. Remember that pullbacks are different from reversals.
For the price to reverse the downtrend, we would need to see HH/Hls again, as well as a break of the 21 EMA, which is clearly pointing downwards.
What's more, TSLA's price is on the verge of triggering a Death Cross when the 50MA crosses the 200MA downwards, one of the most famous bear market signals.
A continuation of the downtrend can be avoided if there is a strong and clear reaction as soon as possible, and now would be a good time, as the price has approached a support region on the weekly chart:
We are close to the support line of a bearish channel. Last week's candle could be a possible Exhaustion Bar, but the price needs to react and reject the last bearish candle by breaking through its high at $217.80. Only then will we see a good reaction that could halt the long-term downtrend, or even reverse it. For now, until such a scenario materializes, any recovery could be just another Dead Cat Bounce.
Remember that I’ll keep you updated on this, so consider supporting this idea if you liked it, and follow me for more analyses like this.
All the best,
Nathan.
TESLA - IF THE SHOW MUST GO ON, IT IS NOW! (TARGET $315)The markets are starting strong this year except for one late bloomer: TESLA! But I thinks it is time for Musk's prodigy to go fourth to new heights. Here's my perspective on things:
What is on the chart?
1) An attractive liquidity level that will be our swing target of $315 (oh no spoiler alert).
2) We have not only a bullish gap but also a bullish weekly FVG that accompanied the break of structure (high taken out that shifted the market structure from bearish to bullish).
3) Huge accumulation structure which clearly to me is bullish but who knows maybe a Cybertruck will drive into a playground (jk).
4) This is the biggest driver (vroom vroom) of this analysis. A huge weekly wick in a weekly bullish GAP. What else do you want?
5) Our last chance to enter. If we're bullish, this is where you want to enter. Price is giving you a gift. Take it.
6) This would mark the continuation of the bullish price action. A higher high is often under looked and can provide enough info for a strong reliable bias.
7) This is our primary target. Nothing else to say here.
As always, happy trading and enjoy your weekend!! ;)
TSLA after the earningsTSLA is in its downtrend channel but below the main support rising channel, which was tested several times from below - bearish action.
We were looking for an expected volatility move after the earnings of +/-7%. So far the price is down over 7% and still sliding.
Looking for a gap fill next at minimum, which sits at 193.17
TSLA: Is it Oversold?TSLA shares have lost their most important support level, around $230, and we are getting close to our next support, around $206, and such a move was detailed in our last public analysis, the link to which is below this post, as always.
As we can see, TSLA shares have consistently failed to react around their support levels, showing great weakness, and so far, we don't see any reaction that would justify a recovery, or that could trigger a bullish move.
The RSI is at low levels, below the 30% line, while it lost the 50 and the 200-period moving averages – however, there is no Death Cross yet. What’s more, TSLA has been dropping, losing all of its support levels, without any sign of struggle. A typical crash.
It's a fact that the stock is well discounted, in oversold territory. Whether this is a reason for a bullish reaction is anyone's guess. The next big catalyst will be next week's results release. S ince we're approaching a critical support zone, and with the sell-off theoretically exhausted, this could be a promising turning point.
Another important question is for how long will TSLA remain detached from the broad market? The indices are clearly bullish, and they have been for a while. Tech stocks are performing well, and the M7 are looking great compared to TSLA.
It all depends on how TSLA is going to react now that it is close to the $206 support. Remember, always wait for confimation on the price. Any bullish reaction could trigger a short-term bounce to higher levels, the problem is that the mid-term trend is bearish, and it would be important to se TSLA breaking the 21 ema on the daily chart, along with the $230 resistance, to reverse this bearish sentiment. Only then, I’ll see a technical reason that could convince me of a better recovery – otherwise, we may see just a Dead Cat Bounce.
I’ll keep you updated on this, so remember to follow me for more analysis like this.
All the best,
Nathan.
$TSLA Bullish Weekly Open Could Turn Into a Dead Cat BounceTSLA opened green despite the bearish news and sentiment over the weekend. We have not reached the green support level yet, I think there could be more downside this week. A bounce above support would be bullish, I'm still monitoring for this rebound to turn into a dead cat bounce before a move lower down to ~ $170 over the next few months.
$TSLA's $207.50 Price Target for a BounceIt's not looking too good for NASDAQ:TSLA holders right now. TSLA has 6 rejections off the yellow resistance line and has been dropping rapidly after the most recent rejection. The green trendline ($207.50) is a key support level on the way down, and there is likely to be a dead cat bounce there before further decline. For now, $207.50 is my short term price target for a bounce. I think NASDAQ:TSLA would be a bit oversold, so there is some potential for a long trade setup. However, TSLA is likely to underperform with its upcoming Jan. 24 earnings report. The forecast is higher than the previous forecast, which TSLA missed. I think there will be more pain ahead after a bounce off the green support line with some more downside in 2024.
TSLA: Has finally reached its critical support (D & W analysis)!TSLA shares have corrected to the support level we identified in our last public analysis, in the vicinity of the green line at $230, between the 50ma and the 200ma. In fact, it looks like the 200ma is serving as our last support, since the price is bouncing right back after hitting this indicator. The link to my previous public analysis is below this post, as usual.
Volume has fallen sharply and TSLA's shares are very weak, as it is the only one among the "magnificent 7" that is not showing any signs of recovery this week.
In two weeks the company will release its earnings report, and this will be an important event, but until then, we don't see any technical signs suggesting a bottom. Yes, the price has reached an extremely important support point, but we need to see confirmation of a bottom signal to believe in a decent recovery.
Despite the signs of weakness, the price is not in a downtrend yet, for that we need to see LHs/LLs. Now, let’s look at the weekly chart:
From a technical point of view, the next resistance is around $300, the previous top. Can TSLA get there? In theory yes, but in practice we need to see a clear bottom signal, as mentioned in the analysis of the daily chart.
You have to admit that if TSLA were going to react, now would be the perfect time, we just need confirmation. On the other hand, if the price loses the critical support point on the daily chart, nothing would prevent a sharper correction on the weekly chart, perhaps to its next support around $207, or even to the support line of its Descending Channel. This would frustrate the breakout of the previous resistance of this channel, characterizing a false breakout, a powerful bearish signal.
If you ask my personal opinion, I wish to see TSLA making a bottom around this support area, as the Risk/Reward ratio for a long trade would be attractive, however, we see no confirmation yet, and there is no meaningful bullish reaction suggesting a possible recovery yet.
I’ll keep you updated on this, so consider following me for more analysis like this, and support this idea if you liked it.
All the best,
Nathan.
Tesla is a good opportunity to buyHello, according to my Tesla stock analysis. There is a good opportunity to buy. We notice that the stock has broken the pitchfork tool upward, which is a very positive indicator. We also notice the formation of an upward channel, which indicates the strength of buyers to push the stock upward towards the 300 level. Good luck to everyone.
TSLA: Pay Close Attention to These Chart Patterns (D & W charts)Today we see an important move in TSLA's share price, a break of the resistance level of its previous top at $252.75.
Now, after the breakout, we see that this area is serving as intraday support, which is in line with the principle of polarity (former supports can become future resistances and vice versa).
Since our last analysis last week, we see that the price has broken through its most important resistances, which we mentioned in our previous analysis, and is committed to a clear uptrend. The link to the latest study is below this post, as always. What’s more, after our analysis, TSLA performed a clear “Hammer” candlestick pattern above its support line, as evidenced on the chart above. According to Bulkowski’s studies, a Hammer acts as a bullish reversal roughly 60% of the time (Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts, chapter 40: Hammer, p. 348).
What's even more interesting is that the price has thwarted a possible reversal pattern called Head and Shoulders, as we can see in detail in the chart below. By not triggering the neckline by closing a candle below $230, and reacting to the point of breaking through the top of the head, TSLA has completely rejected any bearish thesis.
Another important point that reinforces the bullish sentiment is the breaking of an important resistance on the weekly chart, breaking a bearish channel, frustrating the price's downward sequence and triggering a bullish reversal for the long term. As we see in the image below, such a pattern could be interpreted as a Bullish Flag as well.
Now, TSLA shares could reverse the long-term trend and finally turn bullish. Could it follow the example of the Nasdaq index, which made a similar pattern recently, also on the weekly chart?
QQQ chart:
It's a plausible move with a good technical basis, but as always, we need to be aware of a few risk points.
Firstly, if the price loses a lot of strength, to the point of making a bearish pattern on the weekly, closing below the resistance of the bearish channel, the bullish thesis loses strength.
Secondly, if a reversal pattern is observed on the daily, and the price loses its supports, we have a rejection of the uptrend in the medium term. Especially if the 21 EMA is lost. Although the price has breached the average a few times, at no time since November 10 have we seen a close below the 21 EMA on the daily chart. If this happens, the bullish thesis described in the analysis could be thwarted.
I'll keep you updated, so if you like the content, please support me, and follow me to receive more analysis like this, with technically grounded ideas.
Best regards,
Nathan.
TSLA: A Powerful Turnaround is About to Happen (D & W analysis)!Since our last study, we have observed that TSLA shares are trying to resume the medium-term uptrend by attempting to break through the last top at $246.70. The problem is that the price failed to close above this resistance on the daily chart, so the upward movement failed to materialize. The link to my previous public analysis is below this post, as usual.
On the other hand, the bears failed to take the price below the support at $226.37, the previous top that should act as future support. TSLA shares would only reverse the bullish sentiment if they made a lower bottom than the previous one, breaking through the last support at $226.37.
For now, it looks like the 21 EMA is serving as a very good support point. So, if you ask me, the trend is still up, as the price movement pattern is still one of higher highs/higher lows, trading above the moving average, even if it hasn't officially broken through the last top at $246.70 (and closing above it). And in fact, this is an interesting point, as confirmation of a bottom signal in the vicinity of the 21 EMA could trigger the next bullish rally - and the price is reacting well so far, but there is no confirmation yet. The bearish reversal point would be $226. The weekly chart shows how critical the moment is for TSLA shares:
The price has just hit the resistance of its Descending Channel for the fifth time, and as usual failed to break through it. That's why if the price loses the $226 area, we could see a continuation down to the support line of this channel, well below $200.
But what if the price reacts and breaks through the resistance to the upside? Then we'll have something new, which in my opinion would be a technical turning point that would take the price to the next resistance on the weekly chart, around $300.
There are opportunities in the medium term, but the price needs to react and confirm a breakout of one of its key points, either resistance or support, to confirm a real reversal. I'll keep you updated, so remember to follow me and support this idea if you find it interesting.
Remember, we can't predict the future. Real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's pay attention to the key points mentioned in this analysis.
Best regards,
Nathan.
Potential Impact of Cybertruck Production Nightmare on TeslaI would like to discuss the recent production nightmare surrounding the highly anticipated Cybertruck and how it could potentially impact Tesla's overall performance.
As we are all aware, Tesla has been at the forefront of electric vehicle innovation, revolutionizing the industry and capturing the imagination of investors and consumers alike. However, recent reports suggest that the production challenges faced by the Cybertruck have the potential to cast a shadow over Tesla's otherwise impressive track record.
The Cybertruck, with its bold design and promising features, has generated significant pre-order interest, reflecting the strong demand for Tesla's products. However, it is essential to consider the potential consequences of the production hurdles that Tesla has encountered. Delays in manufacturing, supply chain disruptions, and quality control issues could lead to dissatisfied customers, tarnishing Tesla's reputation for delivering cutting-edge products on time.
While Tesla has demonstrated resilience in overcoming obstacles in the past, it is crucial to approach this situation with caution. As traders, it is our responsibility to evaluate the potential risks associated with such setbacks and make informed decisions regarding our investment strategies.
Considering the gravity of the situation, I encourage you to closely monitor Tesla's progress in addressing the production challenges faced by the Cybertruck. Keep a keen eye on any developments or announcements that could shed light on the company's ability to overcome these obstacles effectively.
In light of these circumstances, some traders may consider exploring shorting opportunities for Tesla. However, it is important to remember that shorting a stock carries inherent risks and requires careful analysis of market trends, financial indicators, and broader industry dynamics. I urge you to consult with your trusted financial advisors or conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.
Ultimately, the purpose of this email is to highlight the potential risks associated with the Cybertruck production nightmare and emphasize the importance of cautious evaluation. As traders, we must remain vigilant, informed, and adaptable in navigating the ever-changing landscape of the stock market.
$TSLA Trending Towards $180 Support LevelTSLA had a strong rejection at the yellow resistance line, and has been dropping straight down several support levels over the past few weeks. The $240 orange support line was immediately lost, and TSLA just lost support at the $207.50 green support line. There is a lot of pessimistic news surrounding the sustainability of EVs, and TSLA had a poor earnings report that further hurt investor's future outlook. The $180 light blue support level is the next key price to monitor for a potential bounce. There has been strong support here in the past.
$TSLA - $500 Price Target with Major Inverted Head & ShoulderA major inverted head and shoulder looks like it is setting up very nicely, watch for a break above the neckline for a projected upside to its first price objective of about $500. By theory, the length of the head to neckline equates to the length of the measured upside with an inverted head and shoulder. NASDAQ:TSLA
Concerns over Tesla's Volume and Margins DropConcerns over Tesla's Volume and Margins Drop: Can the Cybertruck Compensate for Losses?
As you may already be aware, Tesla has experienced a noticeable drop in both its volume and margins in recent times. This decline has raised questions regarding the company's ability to sustain its profitability and meet investor expectations. While Tesla has been a frontrunner in the electric vehicle market, this recent downturn has given rise to uncertainties about the company's financial stability.
In light of these concerns, it is crucial to evaluate the potential impact of Tesla's upcoming product, the Cybertruck. With its futuristic design and promising features, the Cybertruck has garnered significant attention and anticipation from both enthusiasts and investors alike. Tesla has positioned this groundbreaking vehicle as a potential game-changer, capable of revolutionizing the pickup truck market.
Given the current circumstances, it is plausible to consider whether the Cybertruck can compensate for the losses incurred by Tesla's declining volume and margins. The success of this highly-anticipated product could potentially help restore investor confidence and provide a much-needed boost to the company's financial performance.
However, it is important to approach this situation with caution. While the Cybertruck holds significant potential, it is vital to remain objective and critically analyze the possible outcomes. As a result, I would like to encourage you to consider a temporary short position on Tesla (TSLA). By doing so, we can potentially capitalize on the current market sentiment and potential risks associated with Tesla's performance.
Please note that shorting TSLA should only be undertaken after conducting thorough research and analysis, as it carries its own inherent risks. It is essential to consult with your financial advisor or conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
As fellow traders, it is our responsibility to stay informed, remain vigilant, and adapt our strategies accordingly. By actively monitoring and discussing these developments, we can collectively navigate the ever-changing landscape of the stock market.
TSLA A+ Setup Left Me.Here is an example of an A+ Setup according to my system. Sometimes things like this happen, price leaves your entry without giving you a chance to enter and you have to be okay with that. How can I be okay with that you might ask? If you have trust and confidence in the longterm performance of your system then you know for a fact there will be many many more opportunities to profit from it.