TSLL is Telsa with a boost of steroids LONGTSLL is an ETF of TESLA instruments leveraged 50% - while TSLA has its own range
percent from its volatility TSLL does this even more at a lower per share price.
On the 4H chart, TSLL can be seen pivoting down in a VWAP breakdown from a high
about July 19th. It is now in deep oversold territory supported by the redline of the
second standard deviation line below the thick black mean VWAP. On the ZL-MACD,
the cross under the histogram and the ascent of the lines toward the zero line shows
in my opinion bullish disvergence. Upside to the target just below the POC line of
the volume profile is about 15%. I will go long taking call options as :
1. contracts striking $ 16.00 for an expiration of 8/25 and,
2. contracts striking $ 17.00 for an expiration of 9/1.
I am anticipating overall profits of 100% as a goal in this trade. I avoid time decay
and in risk management I will close a position when it hits 100% or not less than
two days before the expiration. Good luck on this trade if you take it. DYODD !
TSLS
TSLA continues its downtrend toward Apirl earnings SHORTOn a TSLA chart, TSLA has been trending cown since last May. On the anchored VWAP lines,
it topped out crossing above the second upper VWAP about the first week of January '23 then
crossing under the same line on January 20, 23 Between August and October price tested and
consolidated about the first upper VWAP line. It then fell to the mean VWAP line and returned
in a retracement to the first upper VWAP line by December. paradoxically, price rose
after an earnings miss in October. From December through early February price fell through the
mean VWAP and received support with the first lower VWAP band. The faster EMA in black
crossed under the slower green EMA in early January. TSLA is last significant uptrend or
correction was a month before that. At present a continued trend direction of down
is predicted by the optimized EMA20/65 lines now diverging from a compression with the EMA
20 in black under the green EMA 65 line. A predictive modeling indicator by Lux-Algo
forecasts the persistent downtrend. TLSA could pick up support at the level of the pivot during
the April '23 earnings report or lower still at the second lower VWAP line at about 141.
Fundamentals can trump technicals but things out there are not looking great for TSLA
TSLA moves yield volatility and trader profit LONGTSLA is shown here on a 15 minute chart with a set of anchored VWAP bands. A relative volume
indicator shows spiking volumes each and every morning and fades as the trading session wears
on. Overall, TSLA trends between the upper and higher VWAP bands and their counterparts
below the mean VWAP. Like most other stocks, TSLA has periods of ranging and other periods
where it trends. Day traders can capture intraday volatility while swing traders can sometimes
get a 10% move over 2-3 days. In the past month TSLA moved 5% up overall. However, in that
move price fluctuated widely which has been exploited by traders. The high trading volumes
keep spreads very low while the volatility makes options trading very challenging. Que sera,
sera.
TSLA makes progress in trend up LONGTSLA on the 120-minute time frame has finished off an inverse head and shoulders pattern with
the bottoms on January 26 February 6 and February 14 respectively. Price rose above the
neckline at 197 and appears to be trending to retest it. My target is 220 which is the 0.5 Fib
level of the prior immediate recent January trend down. The relative strength fast line
is dipping for a bounce off the 50 level horizontal line. The past RSI indicator shows much
improvement in strength. I will buy TSLA shares and options when price gets retraced to about
197 =/- 0.50. I expect this will happen on the next down general market day which could
be as early as the morning after this present holiday.
TSLA - Relative Strength compared with peers and others SHORTOn a daily chart, the price action of TSLA is shown to be in a descending channel. An indicator
has been added to show the strength of various symbols as compared with QQQ the broad ETF
tracking the NASDAQ 100. TSLA is doing very poorly but better than FSR and XPEV which are
performing poorly but comparatively okay compared with TSLA. Of the symbols on this list
which is customizable and is a comparison on a daily time frame back six months NVDA, AMD
and META as well as NFLX are outperforming QQQ the most. I have used this to further
validate my TSLA put options overall as I also look at other stocks that may be of interest
based on six months of performance.
TSLA Golden and Death Crosses on a Daily Chart SHORTShown on this daily TSLA chart with the "alligator" indicator overlaid showing SMA 20, 50 and 200
without offsets are the golden crosses of last June as compared with the "death" crosses in
January. At least for the moment but sustained by the news and antics of its CEO, the writing
for TSLA may be on a gravestone?
Could TSLA short squeeze? LONGI have had two TSLA puts that have performed well. One was liquidated today to buy
a call optio. I may do the same thing to finish out the trading week. TSLA for one reason
or another while Musk announced he wants more shares from the board and pricing was
modified in Europe has stabilized its price in the market over the past 3-4 trading days.
Price is sitting one the support of a POC line from the intermediate past trading sessions.
Given the volatility and volume that TSPA commands, it is possible a short squeeze could
set up as shorts buy to cover having seen the consolidation at the bottom. New buyers
may see and entry and synergy might make for a decent uptrend. Time will tell.
I am a flip-flopper here but I see good reason to go long on TSLA at this time. I have drawn
in some horizontal pivots as reference points and will take partials along the way.
TSLA Reports and goes for a deeper dive SHORTOn this 4H Chart, I find good cause to continue my lot of 10 put options on TSLA. TSLA has
dropped another $ 25.00 per share price during the earnings report time frame. While the
overall long time frame supertrend is up, TSLA is presently in a sustained pullback likely due
to significant fundamental and economic factors. The antics of its CEO demanding an award of
more shares so he can launch a big AI initiative within TSLA is not helpful. He has taken a big
haircut but he can easily afford it.
In the analysis, TSLA has put in a bear flag which suggests more bullishness in the continuation.
The ceiling of resistance right now is the POC line of the volume profile at 230. If price can
get through that then 265 at the top of the volume profile's high volume area might be
achievable. A bottom may be the second lower VWAP band at 175 which could be reachable
in the latter part of the upcoming week. Weakness in the Chinese economy is a heavy weight
on TSLA right now. Bright days ahead but some pain and chaos in the meanwhile
Trade plan: I will hold the puts until I see a reversal pattern on the 30-60 minute charts and
then close them. If no reversal pattern in the upcoming week, for purposes of time decay
complications I will roll the puts out another 28 days. Overall, TSLA continues to pay traders
well some of them might buy a TSLA to return the favor with the profits received especially
if there are more price cuts on the horizon that do not adversly effect margins and fec\deral
subsidies are extended they would be an uplift to sales, revenue and outlook overall.
TSLA beginning another leg down SHORTOn the 15-minute chart, TSLA has been in a downtrend and for about one week, a correction
has been underway. Based on a Fibonacci analysis of the downtrend and and its retracement,
I do not believe that TSLA will breakthrough the fib level zone. The zero-lag MACD is showing
bearish divergence from the price action. In that consideration, I have held my put options
through this correction suffering unrealized losses but now look forward to another leg down.
Musk's recent court ruling nullifying his compensation package in federal court lends a bearish
perspective as does his distractions with the brain implant company which now has its first
patient ( FDA approved) and of course the space and tunnel companies. ( Autism and ADHD
can be a blessing and a curse at the same time - IMO) I am long LCID given its Saudi Arabian
support and growing production schedules supported by the SA plant. For now I am content
to short TSLA until the Meusk drama settles down and the watch to see if price lowering will
expand demand numbers et cetera.
TSLA Short / Put Options Recap Volume Profile Strategy SHORTTSLA is shown here on a 30-minute chart. Utilizing only a volume profile indicator and stray
fundamental related news, TSLA was watched for a short entry in consideration of the antics of
its CEO and the price cuts in Europe coupled with the challenges of NIO, XPEV and BYD in China
and China's recession I opted to look for a short entry. Analysis, trade entry and trade
management and trade close are on the chart in a text box. This idea and recap of TSLA
short shows the utility of volume profile analysis in making a very profitable short trade on
TSLA which uses a precise entry after confirmation and the same for the exit. As such, this also
makes possible very profitable options trades with near-term expirations to optimize the
value of thorough analysis before the trade combined with a tight entry and good follow
through to make for high profit with less risk. Using TVs alerts and notifications this trade
was managed with little screen time making for a high profit yield per hour of effort.
Rinse and repeat as they say.....
TSLA SHORT with leverage TSDD ETFThis 1.5X leveraged ETF inverses the price action of TSLA with some amplification.
From the continuance of inflation, to Hertz liquidating 20,000 EVs ( prominent among them is
TSLA) in favor of return to ICEs to the rise of BYD in China and the ever present Musk in the
news like firing Space X employees without due process, TSLA is challenged and analysts
are calling for lower projected stock price. This is a way short TSLA at a lower price and risk.
The 2H chart shows a bullish HA candle today as price crossed over the longer trend following
moving average. Likewise, the RSI lines crossed over the 50 level rising from lows to end 2023.
This is an inexpensive stock without an options chain that has 60% near term potential should
it rise to its early November high at $28 A 0.5 Fib retrace of its down trend from that high in
November would bring price to $22. I will target $22 for 75% of the position and make the 25%
run for the $28 target while a stop loss of $.50 will allow for a normal range while rising to
the targets. I will raise the stop loss to break even after price rises by 0.55 and set a trailing
stop of $.50 once price rises by $0.75. I expect the trade to be in profit early and then
continuously increasing after that with a good backstop. TSLA's quarterly report comes out
on January 24th; this catalyst could accelerate profit if the report is less than expected by
investors and analysts. On the other hand, a fairly tight stop loss of about 3% will protect
the trade against a good earnings/revenue report whicch would surprise many.
loss of
TSLA priced in Spot Gold. Should I sell or buy ?I have holdings in both TSLA and XAUSUD. The question arises should I sell one to buy the other?
To answer the question. I have set up a ratio between the two of them on a daily chart.
Overlaid onto the chart is a pair of Hull Moving Averages the shorter MA with a period of 49
in blue and the longer by about 3x at 154 in red. ( These are multiples of 7 if you are curious
why, leave a comment.) I am looking for moving average cross overs of the golden or
death type. The dual time frame RS indication compares the lower TF of 3 hrs with the higher
TF of one week. The ratio is now just under the POC line of the long term volume profile
so traders shorting this ratio ( those selling TSLA and /or buying gold) are now in charge.
My analysis is that the ratio has hit a pivot high, the trend is now downward
as the blue line going under the red is a death cross. The RSI indicator has a confirmatory
similar cross. Accordingly, I will sell some TSLA and buy a similar amount of spot gold
instead.
TSLL - a leveraged TSLA ETF sitting on dynamic support LONGTSLL moves more than TSLA as it is leveraged. TSLA is volatile for a large cap and
TSLL is TSLA high octane verison. TSLL on the anchored VWAP bands has bescended
into the undervalued and oversold zone supported by teh thin red line the second
standard deviation below VWAP. It hit a pivot high in early July hitting the thin red
UPPER VWAP line about the, I analyze a reversal is coming with the final leg down
coinciding with the general market moves this week. Price is obviously below then
mean VWAP and the POC line. I think the rubber band effect and bargain buying will
propel it upward as may and short sellers liquidating their positions. I will take
a trade of a fiar amount of stock shares as well as entertain some call options.
If a trader is curious to my levels of interest leave a comment.
TSLA Weekly Longterm Pre-EarningsTSLA on the weekly chart appears to be in a widening and ascending channel somewhat
suggestive of a megaphone. At the same time it is below heavy resistance at 360 which is
the same level as two standard deviations above the mean VWAP line anchored back to
November 2021. The resistance zone is the highs of November 2021 and late March / early
April 2022. The double RSI indicator shows RS rising on the higher monthly time frame slowly
and steadily while the RS on the lower daily time frame has peaked at 88 and fallen below 80
consistent with bearish divergence. The zero-lag MACD indicator shows the lines perhaps
impending a cross at an amplitude well extended above the histogram. Price is high in
that widening ascending channel.
Overall, I conclude that TSLA is a hold right now as it could be impending a significant reversal
in the weeks ahead. A hold would mean not to sell existing positions nor take new positions
for the time being unless one is an intraday or short time frame swing trader or stocks
or options. With an earnings report impending, TSLA volatility is likely to jump in one direction
or the other.
TSLA 7D chart UPDATE POST SPLIT / FED NEWSTSLA as shown on the weekly chart
has hit the top of a megaphone pattern ( increasing volatility)
where it printed a Doji candle to demarcate a reversal
while the relative strength topped out testing its Ichimoku Cloud
but failing.
The ADX has little magnitude ( distance from zero) nor rate
of change ( momentum) and is now pointing downward.
All in all, TSLA on the weekly chart is at a bearish inflection
in the context that TESLA has put out more news about impending
layoffs.