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(TSM) Taiwan Semiconductor Set for a Bullish Surge!Technical Analysis: Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) – 15-Minute Timeframe (Long Trade) We entered a long trade on Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) at 204.25 after a clear bullish signal. The trade is currently in progress, and we are waiting for the profit targets to be hit. Key Levels Entry: 204.25 – The long position was initiated here following a strong upward signal. Stop-Loss (SL): 195.45 – Positioned below support to manage risk and protect against downside movement. Take Profit 1 (TP1): 215.12 – The first target we are eyeing as the bullish momentum unfolds. Take Profit 2 (TP2): 232.71 – A further upside target, marking a significant rally if the momentum continues. Take Profit 3 (TP3): 250.30 – A potential target if the bullish trend remains strong. Take Profit 4 (TP4): 261.17 – The ultimate target, signaling a substantial upside move. Trend Analysis The price is well above the Risological Dotted trendline, indicating strong bullish momentum. The upward movement is supported by a solid breakout, and we are now watching for the targets to be met. The long trade on TSM looks promising, with a clear entry at 204.25. We are now monitoring the price as it approaches the first target at 215.12, expecting further upside momentum.
NYSE:TSMLong
by ProfitsNinja
TSMC’s Revenue Beats Market Expectation Stock up 1% in PremarketTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (NYSE: NYSE:TSM ), the world’s largest contract chipmaker, has once again surpassed market expectations, reporting third-quarter revenue of NT$759.69 billion ($23.62 billion). This result not only outshines the forecast of NT$750.36 billion but also marks a remarkable 39.6% year-on-year growth for September alone. TSMC's performance continues to be buoyed by increasing demand for artificial intelligence (AI) chips, with major clients like Nvidia and Apple relying heavily on its advanced chip production. With AI hardware spending playing a pivotal role, the question arises: how long can TSMC sustain this momentum? AI Demand as a Driving Force TSMC (NYSE: NYSE:TSM ) has been at the forefront of the AI revolution, with demand for cutting-edge chips continuing to rise. As one of the key suppliers for AI hardware, especially for Nvidia's graphics processing units (GPUs) used in AI server farms, TSMC has benefitted immensely from the recent AI boom. - Revenue Growth: For the third quarter of 2024, TSMC reported an impressive revenue of $23.62 billion, a 36.5% on-year growth compared to the same period in 2023. This growth is largely attributed to the rising global investment in AI infrastructure. - Customer Base: TSMC’s clientele includes giants such as Apple and Nvidia, both of which are instrumental in the AI market. Apple’s continuous demand for high-performance chips for its devices and Nvidia’s increasing need for AI GPUs have fueled TSMC’s steady revenue stream. - Pandemic vs. Post-Pandemic Demand: While demand related to the pandemic has tapered off, the surge in AI development has compensated for this decline. TSMC’s ability to pivot its focus toward emerging technologies has helped it maintain a competitive edge. As governments and companies continue to chase AI supremacy, TSMC’s position as the key chip manufacturer cements its role in this ongoing technological race. However, there are concerns that infrastructure spending on AI may begin to taper off if no immediately monetizable AI use cases emerge. This sure will be an important trend to monitor in the coming quarters. Technical Outlook: Is TSMC Approaching a Breakout? From a technical standpoint, NYSE:TSM is showing strong signs of bullish momentum. The stock is currently up 1% in premarket trading as of Wednesday and has gained 72% year-to-date, outperforming the broader market. As of Tuesday’s close, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for TSM sits at 68, suggesting that the stock is approaching overbought territory but hasn’t quite crossed the threshold yet. This indicates that while there’s significant buying momentum, a pullback or consolidation phase could be imminent. The stock has been trading closely to its moving average for several weeks before breaking out during the first week of October. This upward movement has triggered increased buying interest. One of the most compelling technical patterns forming on TSM’s daily chart is the "Three White Crows," which is a bullish continuation pattern. This pattern consists of three consecutive long-bodied candles, each closing higher than the previous day, signaling that the stock could maintain its upward trajectory for a while longer. Given the RSI nearing overbought levels and the emergence of the "Three White Crows" pattern, (NYSE: NYSE:TSM ) may experience continued growth in the short term. However, cautious investors may want to wait for a possible retracement or consolidation before entering a new position. Outlook and Risks: What Should Investors Watch For? As TSMC (NYSE: NYSE:TSM ) prepares to release its full earnings report on October 17, investors will be closely monitoring the company’s future guidance, especially in relation to AI demand. While current demand remains strong, sustained growth will largely depend on whether large AI players like Meta and Google can continue their current pace of infrastructure spending. Without monetizable use cases, there’s a risk that demand for AI hardware could plateau. Additionally, geopolitical tensions, particularly between Taiwan and China, could present risks for TSMC. As a key player in the global semiconductor supply chain, any disruption in TSMC’s production capabilities could have far-reaching consequences. Conclusion TSMC’s recent performance reaffirms its pivotal role in the global AI hardware ecosystem. With AI demand driving substantial revenue growth, the company is well-positioned to continue capitalizing on this trend. However, investors should be mindful of potential risks, including overbought technical indicators and broader market factors that could impact AI hardware spending. Technically, the "Three White Crows" pattern suggests continued bullish momentum, but with the RSI nearing overbought territory, a cautious approach may be warranted. Long-term investors with faith in the sustained growth of AI and semiconductor demand may view this as an opportune moment to hold or add positions in TSM(NYSE: NYSE:TSM ). Ultimately, TSMC's future trajectory will hinge on AI developments and how effectively the company navigates emerging challenges. All eyes will be on its full earnings report and guidance later this month.
NYSE:TSMLong
by DEXWireNews
Taiwan Semiconductor's August Performance Hints at Bright FutureTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (NYSE: NYSE:TSM ), the world’s largest contract chipmaker, reported strong topline growth of 33% in August 2024, highlighting its resilience amid global economic uncertainties. The company's revenue reached NT$250.9 billion ($7.8 billion), reflecting the ongoing demand for advanced AI chips and a positive outlook for the smartphone market, particularly driven by the latest iPhone 16 and 16 Pro models. Driving Forces Behind TSM's Growth TSMC’s stellar performance can be attributed to several key factors, primarily its dominant position in high-performance computing and the increasing global demand for AI chips. The company now generates over 50% of its revenue from this segment, significantly boosted by orders from Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ), a leading player in AI chip development. As AI continues to permeate industries globally, TSMC's pivotal role as a supplier of high-performance chips places it at the forefront of this transformative wave. Moreover, the adoption of Wi-Fi 7 technology in Apple's new iPhone models is expected to drive increased demand for TSMC's N6 (7-nanometer) and N4 (5-nanometer) nodes, already used by industry giants such as Broadcom and MediaTek. Analysts expect TSMC’s revenue to grow by 37% in Q3 2024, supported by robust sales and continued investments in AI infrastructure. The company’s ongoing global expansion, including projects in Arizona, Japan, and a newly launched €10 billion facility in Germany, underscores its commitment to capitalizing on these growth opportunities. TSMC’s Arizona facility has achieved production yields on par with those of its Taiwan plants, further solidifying the company's capacity to meet global demand. This alignment in production efficiency is a promising sign for investors, demonstrating TSMC’s ability to scale its operations without compromising quality—a critical factor in maintaining its competitive edge. Technical Outlook From a technical perspective, TSMC’s stock shows promising signs of sustained upward momentum despite recent volatility. As of the latest analysis, TSM is down 0.60%, trading at $161.52 with a moderate Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 53, which indicates that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold. This balanced RSI level suggests a prime environment for potential growth, aligning well with the company's strong fundamentals. The daily price chart reveals a golden cross pattern, which occurred in February 2024, when TSM’s 50-day moving average crossed above its 200-day moving average. This bullish signal was validated as NYSE:TSM surged to a high of $198 by July 2024. Since then, the stock has been attempting to form a head and shoulders pattern, with a critical neckline support level at $133. A break below this support could trigger a bearish reversal, leading to further price declines. However, as long as TSM remains above this pivotal point, the long-term outlook remains constructive, supported by the broader market trends in AI and advanced semiconductor manufacturing. The AI Boom and TSMC’s Future Prospects TSMC’s bullish stance on AI was echoed at a recent industry forum, where senior executives from both TSMC and Samsung Electronics (OTC: SSNLF) expressed their optimism about the sector’s future. The rapid adoption of AI technologies is projected to drive compound growth rates of at least 50% annually in the near term, presenting a significant opportunity for chipmakers like TSMC. Despite short-term market fluctuations, the long-term trajectory for AI and related technologies remains upward, positioning TSMC as a crucial player in this evolving landscape. Conclusion Taiwan Semiconductor’s strong August performance and optimistic outlook reflect the company's strategic positioning in the AI and high-performance computing markets. As a key supplier for Nvidia and Apple, TSMC (NYSE: NYSE:TSM ) is poised to benefit from the rising demand for advanced semiconductors, bolstered by ongoing investments in global capacity expansion. With strong fundamentals and a technically sound price structure, TSMC presents a compelling opportunity for investors looking to capitalize on the next wave of technological innovation. However, investors should remain vigilant of key support levels and broader market conditions, which could influence short-term price movements. As the company continues to navigate the complexities of global demand and supply chain dynamics, its strategic initiatives and technological prowess will be essential in sustaining its market leadership and delivering long-term value to shareholders.
NYSE:TSMLong
by DEXWireNews
Is Intel's New Process Node a Game-Changer?Intel's latest reveal, the Intel 3 process node, promises to revolutionize the tech landscape with substantial performance and efficiency gains. But could this be the strategic breakthrough Intel needs to outmaneuver its competition? Enhanced Performance and Density for Leading-Edge Computing Intel's commitment to process technology leadership leaps forward with the Intel 3 process node, boasting an impressive 18% performance improvement and a 10% density increase over the previous generation. Tailored to meet diverse customer needs, Intel 3 offers four distinct variants, each optimized for specific applications, from high-performance computing to AI. First Leading-Edge Foundry Node Drives Ecosystem Growth Intel 3 marks a pivotal shift in Intel's strategy, as its first leading-edge process technology is made available to external customers through Foundry services. This move positions Intel as a key player in the foundry market, potentially reshaping the competitive landscape. Manufacturing Readiness and High-Volume Production Achieving manufacturing readiness in late 2023, the Intel 3 node has successfully transitioned to high-volume production, powering the Intel Xeon 6 processor family. This real-world application demonstrates its capability in server-grade computing solutions, solidifying Intel's technological prowess. A Stepping Stone to the Future of Computing As the final evolution of Intel's FinFET technology, the Intel 3 node provides a robust foundation for future advancements, paving the way for the forthcoming RibbonFET technology and the Angstrom era with Intel 20A and 18A process nodes. Curious to know more about how Intel's latest innovation could impact the future of computing? Dive into the full analysis and uncover the potential ripple effects on the semiconductor industry.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by signalmastermind
TSMC Surges 3% in Premarket Trading on Strong AI Chip Demand Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. ( BCBA:TSMC ), the world’s largest contract chipmaker, saw its shares rise by 3% in premarket trading on Friday following a remarkable surge in monthly sales. TSMC's July revenue soared by 45%, reflecting the robust demand for artificial intelligence (AI) chips, particularly from tech giants like Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD). This strong performance is bolstering confidence in the company's ability to exceed market expectations for the third quarter. Impressive July Sales Highlight AI Boom TSMC's sales reached NT$256.95 billion ($7.9 billion) in July, a significant increase that accelerates the company's growth from the previous quarter. This surge in revenue suggests that TSMC is well on track to surpass analysts' projections of NT$747.4 billion for the third quarter. The company's role as a key supplier to industry leaders such as Nvidia, Apple, and AMD positions it as a critical player in the ongoing AI boom, which has driven unprecedented demand for high-performance computing chips. Last quarter, high-performance computing, spearheaded by AI, accounted for 52% of TSMC's revenue, marking the first time this segment has contributed more than half of the company’s earnings. This trend underscores the increasing reliance on AI-driven technologies across various industries and highlights TSMC's pivotal role in meeting this demand. Positive Outlook Amid Market Uncertainty TSMC’s strong July performance comes on the heels of the company raising its full-year growth outlook to beyond the maximum mid-20% range it had previously guided. CEO C.C. Wei’s optimistic assessment of the company’s prospects, coupled with the potential for price increases as customers transition to TSMC’s most advanced technology, has further fueled investor confidence. Despite concerns about the global economic outlook and recent market volatility, BCBA:TSMC remains a bellwether for the AI market. The company’s 44.7% year-over-year sales surge in July, the second-highest in the past 20 months, aligns with expectations for a robust third quarter. The significant orders for 3-nanometer chips from tech giants like Apple, Qualcomm, and MediaTek further reinforce TSMC's strong market position and growth potential. Investor Sentiment and Market Recovery The AI rally that had propelled BCBA:TSMC and other key players to substantial market gains faced a brief interruption last week due to concerns about the global economy. TSMC’s shares experienced a sharp 10% drop in a single day as investors opted to cash out some of the year’s biggest gainers. However, the company quickly recovered much of that loss as savvy investors recognized the dip as a prime buying opportunity, underscoring the market's underlying confidence in TSMC's long-term prospects. Conclusion: TSMC's Future Looks Bright With its impressive July sales figures and strong positioning in the AI chip market, BCBA:TSMC is poised to continue its upward trajectory. As the demand for AI and high-performance computing chips shows no signs of slowing down, TSMC’s ability to capitalize on this trend places it at the forefront of technological innovation and market leadership. The company’s robust sales growth, coupled with its strategic partnerships with tech giants, suggests that TSMC is well-positioned to not only meet but exceed market expectations in the coming quarters.
NYSE:TSMLong
by DEXWireNews
GlobalFoundries (GFS) gains amid TSMC challengesGlobalFoundries Inc. (NASDAQ: GFS) saw its stock climb nearly 7% on Thursday, bucking the downtrend affecting other key players in the semiconductor industry. This increase came amid potential new US restrictions on chip supplies to China, which could negatively impact major competitors like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSMC) and NVIDIA Corp. These potential restrictions, stemming from the administration of US President Joe Biden, could limit TSMC and NVIDIA’s business operations in China, creating an advantageous position for GlobalFoundries. Despite having approximately half the gross margin of TSMC, GlobalFoundries might benefit significantly from these geopolitical shifts. If competitors face restrictions, GlobalFoundries could leverage the situation to raise prices and improve its margins, potentially altering its competitive standing. Technical analysis of GlobalFoundries Inc. (NASDAQ: GFS) Reviewing the stock’s current technical setup offers insights into potential trading strategies: Timeframe : Daily (D1) Current trend : the stock recently broke through the resistance level at 55.25 USD and is attempting to establish new support at 54.00 USD Resistance line : previously at 55.25 USD, now potentially acting as support Potential downtrend target : if the downtrend resumes, the downside target might be set at 49.50 USD Short-term target : If the uptrend continues, a short-term target could be set at 68.00 USD following a rebound from the new support level Medium-term target : with sustained positive momentum, the stock price might target 79.00 USD Investors should closely monitor GlobalFoundries’ performance, particularly as the geopolitical landscape evolves. The company’s ability to capitalise on restrictions its competitors face could significantly influence its market position and stock performance. — Ideas and other content presented on this page should not be considered as guidance for trading or an investment advice. RoboMarkets bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading opinions described in these analytical reviews. The material presented and the information contained herein is for information purposes only and in no way should be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Investment Firms Law L. 87(I)/2017 of the Republic of Cyprus or any other form of personal advice or recommendation, which relates to certain types of transactions with certain types of financial instruments. Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65.68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NASDAQ:GFS
by RoboMarkets
ASML Holding may receive a significant new orderDutch company ASML Holding N.V. (NASDAQ: ASML), which manufactures equipment for the serial production of semiconductors, recently announced that it expects new orders from its major customer, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSMC). A report from Jefferies Investment Bank cites comments from ASML CFO Roger Dassen. During a call with investors, he suggested that ASML equipment orders from TSMC could be received in the coming quarters. By 2025, ASML expects annual sales to grow to 30-40 billion USD, and demand is expected to remain stable until 2026 due to the construction of new semiconductor factories in various countries. To explore potential trading opportunities, let's analyse the stock chart of ASML Holding N.V. (NASDAQ: ASML) from a technical analysis perspective: On the Daily (D1) timeframe, resistance has formed at 1042.50 USD, with support at 943.65 USD. Stocks have been trading in an upward trend since early May 2024. If this trend reverses, a potential downside target could be 850.00 USD. If the current uptrend maintains its momentum, the short-term target, upon a break above the resistance level, could be set at 1110.00 USD. For a medium-term investment, the stock price could rise to 1170.00 USD. __ Ideas and other content presented on this page should not be considered as guidance for trading or an investment advice. RoboMarkets bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading opinions described in these analytical reviews. The material presented and the information contained herein is for information purposes only and in no way should be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Investment Firms Law L. 87(I)/2017 of the Republic of Cyprus or any other form of personal advice or recommendation, which relates to certain types of transactions with certain types of financial instruments. Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69.88% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NASDAQ:ASML
by RoboMarkets
TSMC Says Semiconductor Industry Sales Could Grow 10%TSMC ( NYSE:TSM ), a supplier of Nvidia and Apple, has forecasted an annual revenue growth of 10% for the global semiconductor industry due to the surge in demand for artificial intelligence (AI). The company, which is a major supplier to Apple, has seen strong AI server demand, which has risen 2.5 times from last year. This is considered a "golden age of opportunity with AI," according to TSMC Senior Vice President Cliff Hou. The company also noted that the industry could benefit from a mild recovery in demand for smartphones and PCs, which had slumped due to oversupply. Hou also suggested that revenue for the foundry sector, which TSMC dominates, could expand at an annual rate of 15% to 20%. In April, TSMC lowered its outlook for the global semiconductor industry excluding memory to a growth rate of around 10% from a previous forecast of more than 10%. The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics has forecasted growth of 13.1% for the global semiconductor market in 2024. TSMC ( NYSE:TSM ) estimates second-quarter sales may rise as much as 30% as it rides a wave of demand for semiconductors used in AI applications. Nvidia has also forecast its quarterly revenue above estimates and announced a stock split, lifting shares to a record-high territory and impressing investors who have tripled the chipmaker's market value in the past year on AI optimism.
NYSE:TSMLong
by DEXWireNews
Taiwan Semiconductor April Revenue Jumps 60% On-yearTaiwanese chip giant BCBA:TSMC reported a 60% increase in April revenue, driven by a surge in demand for advanced semiconductors used in AI hardware. The Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company controls over half the world's chip output and supplies them for various products, including Apple's iPhones and Nvidia's artificial intelligence hardware. The company's revenue for April was approximately NT$236.02 billion (US$7.2 billion), an increase of 596.6% from April 2023. The company expects a 27.6% rise in Q1 revenue. The success of OpenAI's ChatGPT has sparked an AI gold rush, with demand for cutting-edge chips needed to train and run AI services worldwide. BCBA:TSMC dominates the global chip industry, with most of its fabrication plants located in Taiwan, a self-ruled island claimed by China. Concerned governments have lobbied TSMC to move production away from Taiwan, and the US has made a significant push to overhaul the semiconductor industry on American soil. US Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo stated that an invasion of Taiwan by China and a seizure of TSMC would be "absolutely devastating" to the American economy. Currently, the US buys 92% of its leading edge chips from TSMC in Taiwan. TSMC plans to open a third factory in the US, raising its total investment to US$65 billion. However, the company faces obstacles due to a lack of human resources and specialized skills required for making chips. Additionally, TSMC is planning another facility in Kumamoto for more advanced chips. Technical Outlook Taiwan Semiconductor ( NYSE:TSM ) stock is up 5% on Friday's Market trading, with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 66 which is slightly overbought. A move further above the 38 Fibonacci Level will accentuate the bullish trend of $TSM.
NYSE:TSMLong
by DEXWireNews
TSM: After Downgrading The Outlook, What To Expect? Trend - On the weekly chart: Clearly showing an uptrend. - The uptrend channel has extended 100% and is expected to return to the middle line at least, with a chance of reaching the lower band of the original channel. 100% Symmetrical Projection: Uptrend “N” Patterns - A 100% Symmetrical Projection of the initial swing (from A to B) and then projected from C. As a result, D was our initial target price. - Without a symmetrical retracement from D to E, there's a resistance-turn-support at level D, and the price continued to rise. The target price was adjusted another 100% higher to D' due to the very strong momentum. - However, the price failed to reach D' and fell below level D at $135, indicating that the momentum has dissipated. Additionally, on the daily chart, there's a support-turn-resistance to reinforce the level's importance. - What's next? The price may retrace 100% of the "extra force" of the blue box; or The price is likely to fulfill the original symmetrical retracement from D to E. N Pattern’s Target Price & Fibonacci Price Cluster - The 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement of the entire swing from A to HH perfectly aligns with level E, which can be seen as one of the current target prices on the short side. - The 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement of the more recent swing from C to HH is close to the low of the returning blue box. - Both levels and the previous key resistance level at B form a tight zone, likely to be a significant support area (the gray area). Conclusion - After breaking below the key level at $135, TSM is expected to retrace to the tight range between $109 and $112.7. - In other words, if you’re considering to buy more and invest in TSM, this tight support area presents an opportune entry point. Not Financial Advice The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
NYSE:TSMShort
by stock_adelie
TSMC Beats First-Quarter Revenue But Stock Down by 4.57%Despite a recent dip in stock value, BCBA:TSMC 's first-quarter performance has exceeded expectations, driven by robust demand for advanced chips, particularly those powering AI applications. As the world's leading producer of advanced processors, TSMC's strategic positioning and steadfast commitment to technological leadership continue to fuel optimism among investors and analysts alike. First-Quarter Triumphs: Exceeding Expectations TSMC's first-quarter results have surpassed market expectations, with net revenue reaching 592.64 billion New Taiwan dollars ($18.87 billion), and net income hitting NT$225.49 billion. Bolstered by strong demand for AI chips, particularly in the wake of the proliferation of large language models like ChatGPT, TSMC has demonstrated its ability to navigate through challenging market conditions. AI Chip Demand: A Driving Force The surge in demand for AI chips, fueled by the relentless innovation in AI technologies, has propelled TSMC's growth trajectory. As companies across industries embrace AI-driven solutions, the need for energy-efficient computing power has skyrocketed. TSMC's collaboration with industry leaders in AI innovation underscores its pivotal role in shaping the future of AI computing. Technology Leadership and Growth Prospects Looking ahead, BCBA:TSMC anticipates a "healthy" growth year in 2024, buoyed by its technology leadership and expanding customer base. With the advent of 3-nanometer and 5-nanometer technologies, BCBA:TSMC remains at the forefront of chip manufacturing innovation. CEO C.C. Wei's optimistic outlook underscores TSMC's confidence in its ability to capitalize on emerging opportunities and sustain its growth momentum. Market Dominance and Competitive Edge TSMC's dominance in the global foundry market is evident, with the company accounting for 61% of global foundry revenue in the fourth quarter of the previous year. The company's net profit margin, standing at an impressive 40%, reflects its strong competitive position and unwavering focus on delivering cutting-edge semiconductor solutions. TSMC's emphasis on advanced chip development, exemplified by its shift towards 3nm technology, reaffirms its commitment to long-term growth and innovation. Overcoming Challenges: Resilience in Action Despite facing macroeconomic headwinds and supply chain disruptions, TSMC has demonstrated remarkable resilience. The recent earthquake in Taiwan, while posing temporary challenges, did not deter TSMC's operations significantly. With minimal impact on revenue and swift recovery measures in place, TSMC remains steadfast in its commitment to meeting market demands and maintaining operational excellence. Future Outlook As BCBA:TSMC continues to chart a path of innovation and expansion, recent developments, such as the preliminary approval for government funding in Arizona, underscore its strategic vision and global ambitions. With plans to commence mass production of 2-nanometer chips in 2025 and ongoing investments in cutting-edge semiconductor technologies, TSMC is poised to solidify its position as a global leader in chip manufacturing. In conclusion, TSMC's resilience, technological prowess, and strategic foresight position it for sustained success in an increasingly competitive landscape. As the demand for AI chips continues to surge, BCBA:TSMC remains at the forefront of innovation, driving growth and shaping the future of semiconductor industry.
NYSE:TSM
by DEXWireNews
TSMC Secures Historic $11.6 Billion U.S. InvestmentIn a groundbreaking move to bolster domestic semiconductor manufacturing, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. ( BCBA:TSMC ) has secured a monumental $11.6 billion investment from the United States. The initiative, spearheaded by President Joe Biden, underscores a strategic effort to fortify America's position in critical technology production. Under the terms of the agreement announced by the U.S. government, BCBA:TSMC is set to receive $6.6 billion in grants and up to $5 billion in loans to facilitate the construction of a third chip manufacturing facility in Arizona. This investment is poised to unleash a cascade of economic activity, with TSMC's total investments at the three Arizona plants projected to exceed $65 billion. The newly announced factory, slated to utilize next-generation 2-nanometer process technology, is anticipated to become operational before the end of the decade. U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo emphasized the significance of these advancements, particularly in driving emerging technologies like artificial intelligence and fortifying national security capabilities. Raimondo remarked, "For the first time ever, we will be making at scale the most advanced semiconductor chips on the planet here in the United States of America, with American workers." This milestone underscores a pivotal moment in the Biden administration's push to revitalize the U.S. semiconductor industry, as outlined in the 2022 Chips and Science Act. TSMC's commitment to expanding its manufacturing footprint in the U.S. aligns with a broader trend of major semiconductor companies repositioning their operations to American soil. Intel Corp. and Samsung Electronics Co. have also inked substantial agreements under the Chips Act, signaling a seismic shift in global semiconductor production dynamics. The significance of TSMC's investment extends beyond economic implications, carrying political weight as well. With Arizona emerging as a pivotal battleground state, the infusion of jobs and investment from TSMC's projects aligns with President Biden's vision of revitalizing the American economy and securing reelection support. Moreover, the BCBA:TSMC grant includes provisions for workforce training and is expected to generate 6,000 high-tech manufacturing jobs, alongside over 20,000 construction jobs. This influx of employment opportunities underscores the transformative impact of the semiconductor industry on local economies. While the road ahead may present challenges, including navigating labor disputes and market uncertainties, TSMC's commitment to its Arizona projects underscores a long-term vision for technological innovation and economic growth. As the company enters a due-diligence period before finalizing agreements, the promise of a revitalized semiconductor industry on American soil looms large on the horizon. Technically, TSM stock is in the consolidation zone after accumulating liquidity might spike to a new Resistance level.
NYSE:TSMLong
by DEXWireNews
7
Earthquake Rattles Taiwan: Chip Stocks Tumble Amidst UncertaintyIn the wake of Taiwan's most powerful earthquake in a quarter-century, the semiconductor industry finds itself on shaky ground. The seismic event, which caused buildings to crumble and triggered tsunami advisories in neighboring countries, has sent ripples through the global chip market, with leading players such as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. ( BCBA:TSMC ) feeling the tremors of uncertainty. BCBA:TSMC , the world's largest contract chipmaker and a linchpin in the semiconductor supply chain, was quick to assure the safety of its workers in the aftermath of the quake. However, the evacuation of personnel from some fabs underscores the vulnerability of critical production facilities to natural disasters. While initial inspections showed no significant damage to TSMC's construction sites, the decision to suspend work for the day speaks to the company's cautious approach in ensuring the safety and integrity of its operations. With further evaluations underway, BCBA:TSMC faces the challenge of mitigating any potential disruptions to its manufacturing processes. The repercussions of the earthquake were felt beyond Taiwan's borders, with flights disrupted in Japan and tsunami advisories issued in both Japan and the Philippines. The ripple effects extended to the financial markets, with shares of BCBA:TSMC falling 1% and the broader Taiwan Weighted Index dipping by 0.9%. Amidst the chaos, the resilience of Taiwan's infrastructure was put to the test, as the Taiwan Stock Exchange Corporation confirmed the normal operation of its computers and network systems following the earthquake. However, concerns linger over the long-term impact on the region's economy, particularly given Taiwan's pivotal role in global semiconductor production. The earthquake, registering a magnitude of 7.4 in Hualien County, serves as a stark reminder of the inherent risks faced by semiconductor manufacturers operating in seismically active regions. Despite stringent safety protocols, the unpredictability of natural disasters poses a persistent challenge to the industry's efforts to maintain uninterrupted supply chains. As BCBA:TSMC and its counterparts navigate the aftermath of the earthquake, attention turns to the resilience and adaptability of the semiconductor ecosystem. While the immediate impact may be mitigated, the incident underscores the need for robust contingency plans to safeguard against future disruptions and ensure the stability of the global semiconductor market. In the face of adversity, the industry must draw upon its collective strength and resilience to weather the storm and emerge stronger than before. For BCBA:TSMC and its peers, the earthquake serves as a sobering reminder of the fragility of the semiconductor supply chain and the imperative of preparedness in an ever-changing world. Technical Outlook Amidst the recent turmoil that rogued BCBA:TSMC , the stock managed to close Tuesday's trading with a moderate Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 56.52. However, the stock might break the ceiling of the rising trend channel to find new support.
NYSE:TSM
by DEXWireNews
TSMC To Win More Than $5 Billion in Grants for a US Chip PlantTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co ( BCBA:TSMC ), the world's largest contract chipmaker, is set to win more than $5 billion in federal grants from the U.S. government for setting up a chipmaking plant in Arizona, Bloomberg News reported on Friday. The award is yet to be ascertained and it is unclear whether BCBA:TSMC will tap the loans and guarantees also on offer from the 2022 Chips and Science Act, the report said, citing people familiar with the matter. TSMC, makes chips used in Apple's iPhones, has said it would invest about $40 billion in its Arizona plant, among the largest foreign investments in U.S. history. The U.S. has been vying to increase domestic semiconductor production through the U.S. CHIPS Act, which was passed in 2022 and provides $52.7 billion in funding, including $39 billion in subsidies for semiconductor production and $11 billion for R&D. Last month the Biden Administration said it was awarding $1.5 billion to contract chip manufacturer GlobalFoundries under the Act. U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo had said in February, the department plans to make several funding awards within two months. TSMC's advanced manufacturing processes are used in the production of Nvidia's industry leading artificial intelligence chips. The Taiwanese chipmaker had said in January that demand for advanced packaging was very strong and it couldn't offer enough capacity to support customers, which will continue to next year. Lagging capacity for advanced packaging has been a central bottleneck for the scaling up supply of complex AI chips. Technical Outlook Amidst facing a decline in share price by about 1% on Friday's trading session, NYSE:TSM Relative Strength Index of 74.45 poses positive signs of trend reversal coupled with the Grant being awarded to $TSM.
NYSE:TSMLong
by DEXWireNews
2
TSMC Surges to Record High on AI OptimismTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. ( NYSE:TSM ) has reached unprecedented heights, surging to its highest-ever level amidst a global rally in chip stocks driven by the promise of artificial intelligence (AI). As TSMC's market capitalization approaches $600 billion and its stock price reaches historic milestones, the company emerges as a pivotal player in the technological renaissance reshaping industries worldwide. Record-Breaking Performance: TSMC's stock soared by 5.2% to close at NT$725 in Taipei, marking a historic milestone since its listing in 1994. This surge propelled its market capitalization to $597 billion, edging closer to reclaiming a coveted spot among the world's 10 most valuable companies. Against the backdrop of a global chip shortage and burgeoning demand for AI-powered technologies, TSMC's meteoric rise underscores its pivotal role in driving technological innovation and economic growth. Key Beneficiary of AI Boom: As the main supplier to tech titans like Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp., TSMC stands at the forefront of the AI revolution, poised to capitalize on the burgeoning demand for advanced semiconductor solutions. With executives anticipating a return to solid growth fueled by the AI boom, TSMC's strategic positioning and technological prowess position it as a key beneficiary of the ongoing technological paradigm shift. Nvidia's recent upbeat results serve as a testament to the robustness of the semiconductor sector and further fuel investor optimism surrounding TSMC's prospects. Driving Technological Innovation: TSMC's relentless pursuit of technological innovation and commitment to advancing semiconductor manufacturing capabilities underpin its leadership in the industry. As AI continues to permeate diverse sectors, from autonomous vehicles to healthcare and beyond, TSMC's cutting-edge chip solutions play a pivotal role in enabling transformative AI applications. By leveraging its expertise and infrastructure, TSMC empowers companies worldwide to push the boundaries of AI innovation and unlock new possibilities for the future. Implications for the Semiconductor Industry: TSMC's record-breaking performance and pivotal role in the AI ecosystem signal a paradigm shift in the semiconductor industry. As AI emerges as a driving force behind technological innovation and economic growth, semiconductor manufacturers like TSMC play a central role in fueling this transformative journey. With increasing reliance on AI-powered technologies across industries, TSMC's continued success underscores the critical importance of semiconductor innovation in shaping the future of humanity. Conclusion: TSMC's unprecedented ascent to historic highs epitomizes the transformative potential of the semiconductor industry in driving technological innovation and economic prosperity. As the world embraces the promise of AI-powered technologies, TSMC stands at the forefront of this revolution, shaping the future of industries and societies worldwide.
NYSE:TSMLong
by DEXWireNews
TSMC's Ambitious Expansion Plans in JapanIn response to soaring customer demand and amidst ongoing global chip shortages, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company ( BCBA:TSMC ), the world's largest chipmaker, has announced its intentions to bolster its presence in Japan by constructing a second semiconductor fabrication plant, or fab. This ambitious endeavor comes as part of TSMC's broader strategy to expand its manufacturing capabilities globally, further solidifying its position as a key player in the semiconductor industry. TSMC to Construct Second Semiconductor Plant in Japan: The decision to establish a second facility in Japan underscores BCBA:TSMC 's commitment to meeting the growing needs of its clientele while diversifying its production footprint. Japan Advanced Semiconductor Manufacturing (JASM), a subsidiary majority-owned by BCBA:TSMC , is slated to spearhead this initiative, with construction set to commence by the end of 2024 and operations expected to commence by the end of 2027. The Impact on Global Semiconductor Market Dynamics and TSMC's Growth Trajectory: The significance of this investment extends beyond TSMC's corporate strategy, as it symbolizes a collaborative effort between private enterprises and governmental support. With an investment exceeding $20 billion, bolstered by contributions from Toyota Motor and Sony, TSMC's expansion in Japan is poised to generate approximately 3,400 skilled job opportunities, signaling positive economic prospects for the region. This development also comes amidst TSMC's previous announcement of plans to establish a semiconductor plant in Arizona, USA, aimed at bolstering domestic manufacturing capabilities. While delays in the Arizona project have surfaced, TSMC's steadfast commitment to expanding its global presence remains unwavering. Technical Outlook: From a technical perspective, BCBA:TSMC 's stock performance reflects an upward trajectory, albeit with short-term fluctuations. The recent break in the rising trend indicates a potential for corrections in the short term. However, with no significant resistance apparent in the price chart and positive momentum reinforced by favorable volume balance, further growth is anticipated. Conclusion: As BCBA:TSMC continues to navigate the intricate dynamics of the semiconductor market, its strategic expansion into Japan underscores a proactive approach to address the industry's evolving demands. With its unparalleled expertise in producing advanced semiconductors critical to a myriad of technological applications, TSMC's foray into Japan is poised to reshape the global semiconductor landscape, propelling both the company and its partners towards sustained growth and innovation.
NYSE:TSMLong
by DEXWireNews
AMD's Soaring Stock: Riding the AI Wave with TSMC in Its Sights Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AMD ) is making headlines as its stock experiences a remarkable 11% surge, riding high on the coattails of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC), the world's leading chip fabricator. The recent boost in NASDAQ:AMD 's stock price is attributed to TSMC's bullish signals regarding the robust demand for AI semiconductor production. This surge not only underscores the vital partnership between NASDAQ:AMD and TSMC but also positions NASDAQ:AMD as a significant player in the rapidly evolving semiconductor industry. TSMC's Impact on NASDAQ:AMD 's Trajectory: NASDAQ:AMD , heavily reliant on TSMC for chip manufacturing, finds itself on the brink of a potential record high. TSMC's fourth-quarter results, although flat compared to the previous year, exceeded expectations, signaling a positive momentum shift. The crucial role of artificial intelligence (AI) in driving this growth aligns seamlessly with NASDAQ:AMD 's focus on enhancing its position in the GPU market, where it currently holds a second-place position behind industry giant Nvidia. TSMC's Q1 fiscal year guidance, with a projected 10% increase in sales compared to the previous year, further cements the positive outlook for $AMD. Despite a potential dip in Q1 revenue, TSMC historically experiences cyclicality, suggesting a return to annual sales growth for the company. This, in turn, bodes well for NASDAQ:AMD , reinforcing its status as a key player in the semiconductor space. NASDAQ:AMD 's Strategic Moves in AI: While Nvidia remains the undisputed leader in advanced graphics processing units (GPUs) for AI applications and data centers, NASDAQ:AMD is carving its path with strategic investments and innovations. The announcement of a new chip, positioned to rival Nvidia's H100, indicates AMD's commitment to competing at the forefront of AI applications. Analysts also highlight AMD's efforts to improve its AI software, addressing a historical preference for Nvidia's chips over AMD's. NASDAQ:AMD 's GPU and CPU Focus: Beyond the AI segment, NASDAQ:AMD 's prowess extends to both graphics processing units (GPUs) and central processing units (CPUs). As the second-largest standalone GPU maker, AMD aims to narrow the gap with Nvidia by securing performance wins and gaining the favor of major customers. Simultaneously, AMD continues to challenge Intel's dominance in the CPU market for PCs and servers, illustrating a multi-faceted approach to market share expansion. Investor Sentiment and Technical Analysis: Investors are increasingly bullish on NASDAQ:AMD , drawn by its strategic positioning in the high-performance semiconductor space. The introduction of a chip challenging Nvidia's stronghold and improvements in NASDAQ:AMD 's AI software contribute to the positive sentiment. From a technical standpoint, NASDAQ:AMD 's stock is in a rising trend channel, indicating sustained positive development and growing investor interest. Conclusion: As the demand for high-performance semiconductors, driven by AI applications, continues to grow, NASDAQ:AMD stands out as a compelling investment. The partnership with TSMC, strategic focus on GPU and CPU advancements, and positive technical trends position AMD as a formidable contender in the semiconductor industry. Investors eyeing long-term growth and exposure to the AI wave may find AMD to be a sensible addition to their portfolios, with the potential for further gains in the evolving landscape of high-performance computing.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by DEXWireNews
TSMC's Strategic Moves and Strong Earnings Fuel Bullish OutlookTaiwan Semiconductor (NYSE: NYSE:TSM ) has recently reported impressive fourth-quarter earnings, surpassing analyst expectations with an EPS of $1.44, beating estimates by $0.06. Additionally, the company's revenue for the quarter came in at $19.62 billion, slightly edging past the consensus estimate of $19.61 billion. This stellar performance, combined with the announcement of a new chipmaking plant in Japan, positions BCBA:TSMC as a compelling investment opportunity. We will delve into the key factors contributing to TSMC's positive outlook, including its financial success, global expansion strategy, and the significance of its upcoming facility in Japan. I. Financial Performance: TSMC's robust financial performance in the past quarter reflects its resilience and adaptability in a challenging global landscape. With positive earnings surprises and consistent revenue growth, the company has demonstrated its ability to navigate through geopolitical tensions and industry challenges. Investors are likely to be drawn to TSMC's strong fundamentals, making it an appealing choice in the ever-evolving semiconductor market. II. Global Expansion Strategy: The announcement of TSMC's new chipmaking foundry in Japan's Kyushu island signifies a strategic move to diversify its manufacturing footprint. Chairman Mark Liu emphasized the importance of meeting customer needs and securing government subsidies to support global expansion. This forward-thinking strategy not only bolsters TSMC's presence in the Japanese market but also positions the company to tap into government initiatives aimed at boosting domestic semiconductor production. As TSMC continues to evaluate the potential for a second plant in Kumamoto, Japan, it showcases the company's commitment to collaborating with governments and adapting to the evolving dynamics of the semiconductor industry. III. Rising Stock Trends: From a technical perspective, TSMC's stock is currently in a rising trend channel, indicating positive development and increasing buy interest among investors. The continued positive signal from the inverse head and shoulders formation hints at a sustained upward trajectory. IV. Geopolitical Considerations: TSMC's ability to navigate geopolitical challenges, particularly those between the United States and China, showcases its resilience and adaptability. The company's expansion into Japan aligns with a broader trend of decentralizing semiconductor production to mitigate risks associated with global geopolitical tensions. By strategically diversifying its manufacturing locations, TSMC aims to build trust among customers, fuel future growth, and attract global talent. Conclusion: Taiwan Semiconductor's recent financial success, global expansion strategy, and positive stock trends position it as a compelling investment option. The company's ability to navigate geopolitical challenges, coupled with its commitment to meeting customer needs and exploring government partnerships, underscores its long-term vision for sustained growth. As BCBA:TSMC continues to innovate and adapt to industry dynamics, investors may find it to be an attractive addition to their portfolios in the dynamic world of semiconductor manufacturing.
NYSE:TSMLong
by DEXWireNews
Mitigate Nvidia risk with a value-chain exposure to AIThe recent earnings announcement from Nvidia was historic. It’s not often that a firm shifts revenue guidance for an upcoming quarter from $7 billion to $11 billion. Nvidia’s total market capitalisation touched $1 trillion, something very few companies ever achieve1. An overzealous valuation? Professor Aswath Damodaran of New York University2, well known for his work on valuation, has said he cannot rationalise a $1 trillion valuation. Damodaran estimates Nvidia has a roughly 80% share of the artificial intelligence (AI) semiconductor market, which is around $25 billion today. Using bullish assumptions, which may not prove accurate, he looks to see growth in the AI semiconductor market to reach $350 billion within a decade. If Nvidia captured 100% future market share (a bold assumption), Damodaran’s valuation still resides about 20% below current prices. Nvidia is essentially a hardware company. One can see them try to ramp up software, but that is not the main driver. Other companies that achieved the $1 trillion market capitalisation level have software companies with network effects that draw vast numbers of end users into ecosystems. These software businesses have many ways to earn revenue from new products and services. Professor Damodaran’s valuations do not necessarily lead to share prices that immediately decline—but it may be difficult to keep the return momentum coming with equal fervor. Nvidia’s products do not operate in a vacuum WisdomTree spends a lot of time focusing on the AI megatrend. Nvidia’s products do not exist in a standalone fashion, as they are plugged into cabinets containing other hardware functioning in concert. If the AI semiconductor market grows, as many now expect, a lot of companies will benefit. Nvidia cannot, by itself, manufacture its semiconductors end-to-end. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) is responsible for this part of the puzzle. There is a whole semiconductor value chain, and each element captures a different-sized slice of the economic value pie. There are a range of companies associated with ‘generative AI’ over the period from the release of ChatGPT. Alphabet, Meta and Microsoft represent companies developing large language models (LLMs) to allow users to directly access generative AI. Meta was beaten down in 2022, due to disappointment with the firm’s metaverse efforts, but AI and cost cutting is helping them in 2023. Alphabet and Microsoft are at the centre of the generative AI battleground. Microsoft, so far, is winning on the cloud computing battle front with its Azure platform, whereas Alphabet’s Google is going to be very difficult to fend off in the internet search space. It’s interesting to compare Nvidia to Samsung and SK Hynix. Running AI models, especially large AI models, requires memory, and Samsung and SK Hynix are in the memory chip space. Excitement, at least in recent years, fluctuated in waves across the broad semiconductors market. Right now, during the explosion of generative AI, graphics processing units (GPUs), where Nvidia is the leader, are all the rage. Synopsys and TSMC represent notable, necessary value-chain plays on semiconductors. Nvidia chips cannot be created in a vacuum. Synopsys provides necessary electronic design automation capabilities, whereas TSMC is among the only companies with a manufacturing process advanced enough to fabricate Nvidia’s most advanced chips. Is AI over-hyped? The Gartner Hype cycle characterises one way to view new technologies. In the short term, excitement leads to money flows. Share prices and valuations benefit. At a certain point, a realisation sets in that true success, growth, and adoption takes time, so at this point there is usually a lot of selling and a tougher return environment. Finally, there is a recognition that pessimism is also not quite appropriate as the technology is still important and still being used, so growth rates and returns then tend to be more reasonable. AI is not any one single thing. Today we think of it as ChatGPT, LLMs or generative AI, but other disciplines and functionalities are still there, they just aren’t grabbing headlines in same way. ‘Generative AI’ and ‘foundation models’ might be nearing a peak of inflated expectations. Have you been excited about self-driving vehicles recently? No? Well, that could be part of the reason why ‘autonomous vehicles’ might be near the trough of disillusionment. Computer vision, which has been around for quite some time, is making its way up the so-called ‘slope of enlightenment’. The hype cycle is not an exact science. Any discipline on this graph could generate any sort of return, positive or negative, going forward. It’s simply a tool that helps us place all of these different topics on a broader continuum. The only thing we seem to know for sure is that all of the topics do not generate the same levels of excitement or pessimism all the time. Conclusion: it’s possible to mitigate single company risk by looking across the AI ecosystem The hype cycle illustration points out that the various applications of AI are at different points of adoption, excitement, and development. No one knows the future with certainty, but we believe there is growth occurring in all of these disciplines. The world is enthralled with generative AI now, but the world was similarly excited about autonomous vehicles a few years ago. Progress is occurring, even if we are not seeing it reflected in every headline. WisdomTree has a broad-based AI index to capture these AI trends. While Nvidia’s valuation is getting stretched, according to Professor Damodaran, WisdomTree’s AI index did not change much following the Nvidia surge. The entire ecosystem of AI defined by WisdomTree is not as beholden to the moves of any single company. AI has the potential to impact every industry which is why WisdomTree built a broad-based, ecosystem-oriented approach as opposed to concentrating on any single stock. Sources 1 Source: Bloomberg. 2 Source: Hough, Jack. “Nvidia Is the New Tesla, the ‘Dean of Valuation’ Says. It’s Time to Cash Out.” Barrons. May 31, 2023.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by aneekaguptaWTE
NVIDIA - A Scenario Few Are Considering. Few. Few. Few.NVIDIA's price action last week was a historic event in the markets, and at a very strange time. Whenever you see such an outlier, it's time to perk up and really give a deep think to what's going on in the world at large. For me, I had long since anticipated NVIDIA would print a new ATH, but I did not believe it would do it until the markets at large had started to moon, which I stated in a March call, which turned out to be pretty accurate. NVDIA - Expect Sideways Until Bear Puts Expire Worthless The fact that a megacap could take out the November of 2021 highs before the Fed started hiking is extremely indicative of what's going on, namely that the indexes and the market at large are sure to follow. I've heard some pretty good theories that NVIDIA being able to do what it's done has a lot to do with Chinese Communist Party entities running a "boomerang" through Cayman Islands-based proxies that are shuffling liquidity through big enterprises like the US banks located in Hong Kong. NVIDIA also reportedly relies on Taiwan-based TSMC to make its processors, and right now, Taiwan is the springboard for the western globalist interests to attempt to take control of Mainland China when the CCP collapses in the upcoming future. The Party has recently stated that the mainland is scheduled to get hit up by 60 million new cases ***per week*** of the nouveau variant of the Omicron version of the Wuhan-originating Coronavirus Disease, and yet the Communist Party is not reporting any hard figures on case counts and death through the global faucets, and has not since Xi dropped the Zero COVID social credit scheme in January. And on top of that is the soon-to-be 24 year long persecution of Falun Dafa by Jiang Zemin and its Shanghai faction combining with the CCP itself, a persecution that targeted 100 million people and committed the unprecedented sin of live organ harvesting. The sin of the persecution is so enormous that once brought into the public eye, no matter who you are in this world, you'll be brought down as retribution for evil. So there's a lot to watch out for in geopolitical tensions, and a lot at play. The biggest thing right now is that the markets are set to pump to provide people with a new distraction as they try, once again, to get rich, and quick, instead of paying attention to what is important in life. Everyone is now convinced that NVIDIA is unshortable, and some are even looking for a mild pullback to go long on the "parabolic trend line." Frankly speaking, there's a lot of risk in buying ATHs when you're dealing with something governed by a clever MM, and if the Q2 ER scam doesn't convince you that NVIDIA's MM is clever, "Sorry, I don't have time to explain it to you." In making this call, I would like to say that NVIDIA going parabolic is pretty likely. I'd also like to say that some formation like this, which we saw on Sun Microsystems in the Dotcom bubble, is also pretty likely: If the Sun fractal is valid, then this call is invalid. How it would play out is kind of like what Boeing did in 2018-19: Or what BTC CME Futures has already done Meaning that shorting will remain extremely risky, but going long won't necessarily have any opportunities to meaningfully pay. However, if the MMS are intending to conduct a turtle soup into a three drives/three Indians pattern, you do actually have the opportunity to Shortgod the top, get long at the bottom, and collect an even bigger trade. What this would involve is that starting in June NVDIA begins to retrace, and if it were to be so, it would likely retrace with a consistency that is as good as selling volatility has been in the last 9 months. It would refill the May gap completely, and rebalance the unbalanced March gap, which coincides with the recent market structure's range equilibrium at $250 and the week of April 24's pivot. Many have said that the debt ceiling crisis being resolved by the Federal government often results in a stock market crash since the market has to absorb all the new TBonds that the Treasury has to issue to keep the government afloat. If you couple that with how the market didn't go down at all during the debt ceiling crisis itself, a bear impulse appears more and more likely. If it were to do this, NVIDIA would also never print a $1 trillion market capitalization despite being so close. NVDIA likely would quickly bounce at this point and then the target would be one standard deviation above the May high, coming in at $540, which would also take the psychological $500 level. Doing this will encourage and trap bears all the way down, and then slaughter bulls over $500. Doing this will slaughter the bulls that have already bought the top, and at present, the bears have literally all been killed. Projected time frame for this to happen would be something like a September bottom and the top would come in the middle of '24 with the next U.S. Presidential Election on the horizon. Of course, that assumes that the world remains in good enough shape to be stable in any way a year from now. I do not have conviction that this will be the case it will play out, but I wanted to post this theory because the timing, logic, and price action all support it strongly, and it's the one scenario that nobody is considering, which also happens to generate a lot of alpha if you can get on top of it.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by LordWrymouth
6