TSM INV H&S- Weekly CallsNYSE:TSM - 4h showing an inverse head and shoulder patterns signaling a flip from sellers in control to buyers in control leading me to believe she can see more continuation throughout the week if 4h can continue to hold up healthy bullish price action. Will be looking ot take intraday breakouts to the upside throughout the week. Not so much interested in shorts at all UNLESS 4h happens to flip back bearish and begins to head for that GAP below.
Tsmlong
(TSM) Taiwan Semiconductor Set for a Bullish Surge!Technical Analysis: Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) – 15-Minute Timeframe (Long Trade)
We entered a long trade on Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) at 204.25 after a clear bullish signal. The trade is currently in progress, and we are waiting for the profit targets to be hit.
Key Levels
Entry: 204.25 – The long position was initiated here following a strong upward signal.
Stop-Loss (SL): 195.45 – Positioned below support to manage risk and protect against downside movement.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 215.12 – The first target we are eyeing as the bullish momentum unfolds.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 232.71 – A further upside target, marking a significant rally if the momentum continues.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 250.30 – A potential target if the bullish trend remains strong.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 261.17 – The ultimate target, signaling a substantial upside move.
Trend Analysis
The price is well above the Risological Dotted trendline, indicating strong bullish momentum. The upward movement is supported by a solid breakout, and we are now watching for the targets to be met.
The long trade on TSM looks promising, with a clear entry at 204.25. We are now monitoring the price as it approaches the first target at 215.12, expecting further upside momentum.
TSMC Surges 3% in Premarket Trading on Strong AI Chip Demand Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. ( BCBA:TSMC ), the world’s largest contract chipmaker, saw its shares rise by 3% in premarket trading on Friday following a remarkable surge in monthly sales. TSMC's July revenue soared by 45%, reflecting the robust demand for artificial intelligence (AI) chips, particularly from tech giants like Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD). This strong performance is bolstering confidence in the company's ability to exceed market expectations for the third quarter.
Impressive July Sales Highlight AI Boom
TSMC's sales reached NT$256.95 billion ($7.9 billion) in July, a significant increase that accelerates the company's growth from the previous quarter. This surge in revenue suggests that TSMC is well on track to surpass analysts' projections of NT$747.4 billion for the third quarter. The company's role as a key supplier to industry leaders such as Nvidia, Apple, and AMD positions it as a critical player in the ongoing AI boom, which has driven unprecedented demand for high-performance computing chips.
Last quarter, high-performance computing, spearheaded by AI, accounted for 52% of TSMC's revenue, marking the first time this segment has contributed more than half of the company’s earnings. This trend underscores the increasing reliance on AI-driven technologies across various industries and highlights TSMC's pivotal role in meeting this demand.
Positive Outlook Amid Market Uncertainty
TSMC’s strong July performance comes on the heels of the company raising its full-year growth outlook to beyond the maximum mid-20% range it had previously guided. CEO C.C. Wei’s optimistic assessment of the company’s prospects, coupled with the potential for price increases as customers transition to TSMC’s most advanced technology, has further fueled investor confidence.
Despite concerns about the global economic outlook and recent market volatility, BCBA:TSMC remains a bellwether for the AI market. The company’s 44.7% year-over-year sales surge in July, the second-highest in the past 20 months, aligns with expectations for a robust third quarter. The significant orders for 3-nanometer chips from tech giants like Apple, Qualcomm, and MediaTek further reinforce TSMC's strong market position and growth potential.
Investor Sentiment and Market Recovery
The AI rally that had propelled BCBA:TSMC and other key players to substantial market gains faced a brief interruption last week due to concerns about the global economy. TSMC’s shares experienced a sharp 10% drop in a single day as investors opted to cash out some of the year’s biggest gainers. However, the company quickly recovered much of that loss as savvy investors recognized the dip as a prime buying opportunity, underscoring the market's underlying confidence in TSMC's long-term prospects.
Conclusion: TSMC's Future Looks Bright
With its impressive July sales figures and strong positioning in the AI chip market, BCBA:TSMC is poised to continue its upward trajectory. As the demand for AI and high-performance computing chips shows no signs of slowing down, TSMC’s ability to capitalize on this trend places it at the forefront of technological innovation and market leadership. The company’s robust sales growth, coupled with its strategic partnerships with tech giants, suggests that TSMC is well-positioned to not only meet but exceed market expectations in the coming quarters.
Is it Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co's turn now? NVIDIA vs TSM
The Chart for NYSE:TSM is lining up almost identically to NVIDIA prior to its major move higher.
- MACD Crossing now
- OBV Breaking upwards
- RSI 56 level about to be breached
Like NASDAQ:NVDA , TSM could rise by 39% to its ATH & appears to be following the NASDAQ:NVDA set up.
NVIDIA is the 6th largest company in the world by market cap at present and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. is the 10th largest.
It will be interesting to see if the TSM chart will follow the pattern of NVIDIA's. This could be an opportunity for a trade. Please not that the below chart is a monthly chart and thus the trade would require waiting 3 - 6 months to play out. An ideal entry would have been $82 and at present this would place a stop at $90. With ATH at $145 this gives you a Risk Reward Ratio of 3:1 from the current value of $103. Not the greatest or worst RR but the set up just looks so similar its hard not to have a stab
TSM on the path of Bullish Reversal* TSM has bounced back from the last bottom in Oct 22
* It has not made a series of HH and HLs
* Accorrding to the FIB Golden zone the confirmation of bullish reversal is at 102 to 104 Area
Plan A :
Entry Suggestion once the bullish reversal is confirmed
Entry @ 104
SL @ @ 92
TP 1 @ 111
TP2 @ 125
Plan B :
Entry can be made now since the current Trend line has been tested 2 times already successfully and seems it will bounce forward from here
Entry @ CMP (~84)
SL @ 78
TP 1 @ 104
TSMC to break higher?Taiwan Semiconducotor - 30d expiry - We look to Buy a break of 83.72 (stop at 81.28)
Short term momentum is bullish.
In our opinion this stock is undervalued.
83.63 has been pivotal.
A break of the recent high at 83.63 should result in a further move higher.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
This is curremtly an actively traded stock.
Our profit targets will be 93.93 and 94.93
Resistance: 83.63 / 87.50 / 91.94
Support: 78.50 / 76.00 / 72.84
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TSM in an ascending triangle.Taiwan Semiconducotor - 30d expiry- We look to Buy a break of 83.22 (stop at 79.92)
Prices have reacted from 59.44.
Short term momentum is bullish.
Price action has formed a bullish ascending triangle formation.
A break of the recent high at 83.18 should result in a further move higher.
Our outlook is bullish.
Our profit targets will be 91.48 and 92.48
Resistance: 83.20 / 84.00 / 88.00
Support: 81.50 / 79.50 / 76.20
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
TSM bull flag with buffet and AAPL news behind it. TSM making a nice bull flag with buffet stake and AAPL saying they will buy chips from arizona. good news behind it too and foundries have been looking strong in last month or so compared to other chip making companies.
looking at 84C fro DEC 2 on this flag intraday. over 83 can rip to 88
TSM - Starting to Accumulate.TSM - currently down 42% from the high, and up 12% from the recent low.
Currently in a downtrend that changes if gain of yellow giving targeted orange area.
If continuation of downtrend targeting levels below in cyan particularly support at untested levels - 58.20,51.90.
Purple is the last resistance before new ATH.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) LONG!! Semiconductor industry is poised for a decade of rapid growth, with many end products relying heavily on the essential supply of semiconductor chips and products. Automotives, mobile phones, laptops, tablets and the like all require chips to work. Amongst this industry lies a semicon giant poised to rear its head: TSM.
TSM is the main supplier of chips for AAPL, with a huge backlog of stocks yet to be supplied.
Fundamentals:
- TSM is poised to produce 2NM chips by 2025.
- Chips are price inelastic, demand normally has to contend with rising costs imposed by suppliers.
- Innovation is strong in the semiconductor industry with huge capital spend on R&D for better and smaller chips
Technicals:
- MACD oversold with MACD line slopping upwards
- MACD selling momentum weakening with histogram shortening
- Prices have reached and bounced from the 200 TEMA + 61.8% fibonacci retracement levels
- Price action show huge BULLISH ENGULFING candle
TARGETS:
108.4
96.3
TSM: Buying DipsTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company - Short Term - We look to Buy at 117.00 (stop at 114.00)
We look to buy dips. Trend line support is located at 116.00. The trend of higher lows is located at 114.00. The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited. Previous resistance located at 127.00. This move is expected to continue and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels.
Our profit targets will be 126.00 and 134.00
Resistance: 125.00 / 127.00 / 130.00
Support: 116.00 / 114.00 / 110.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
1/9/22 TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company ( NYSE:TSM )
Sector: Electronic Technology (Semiconductors)
Market Capitalization: 593.364B
Current Price: $123.50
Breakout price: $128.00
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $125.00-$120.25
Price Target: $134.50-$136.00 (1st), $142.00-$144.00 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 66-70d (1st), 118-122d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $TSM 3/18/22 130c, $TSM 5/20/22 140c
Trade price as of publish date: $5.30/contract, $4.90/contract
TSM - STOCKS - 25. OCT. 2021Welcome to our Weekly V2-Trade Setup ( TSM ) !
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4 HOUR
Small bearish turnover..
DAILY
Expecting more bullish pa!
WEEKLY
Great long setup..
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STOCK SETUP
BUY TSM
ENTRY LEVEL @ 114.06
SL @ 112.45
TP @ Open
Max Risk: 0.5% - 1%!
(Remember to add a few pips to all levels - different Brokers!)
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Have a great week everyone!
ALAN