Corus_Entertainment_(TSX:CJR.B)_May_17_2018Corus is a Canadian Media company with interests in the radio, publishing, and television sectors. It was a part of Shaw Communication till 1999 when it was spinned off as a separate company.
Since 2014, CJR.B has been in a state of decline owing to the rise of Netflix and other internet based media networks which has impacted advertising revenue. However, even though Television viewership is shrinking, it will not completely die out. There will always be customers for speciality television shows such as those that Corus Entertainment owns and operates. Radio was long presumed to be dead but has found a niche market; I believe television will find its own market.
Currently, my analysis indicates that a symmetric triangle is developing. Volume is contracting as the price moves towards the peak of the triangle. Depending upon which way CJR.B breaks outs, we may want to buy or short the stock. However, at these prices CJR.B is yielding over 15% dividend. I think there is sufficient support for the stock around $6.00 as evident by the strong volume at that price level. Earnings are also above analyst estimates (the last earnings was).
Based on the probabilities, I would take a gamble at the stock around $6 and hold it till the sector goes strong again. Even though the price may never reach the peak levels of 2014, a 15% dividend is not bad these days. Ofcourse the dividend can be reduced; which any sensible management would do. But in this case, the management seems extremely shareholder friendly with almost firm reassurance that the dividend will not be impacted.
S&P/TSX Composite
Blackberry_(NYSE:BB)_May_16_2018Since the demise of Nortel, Blackberry was the darling of the Canadian Tech Sector till about 2008. However, the rise of Apple combined with the Great Recession of 2008 caused the stock price of BB to drop from $130 to $40. Proliferation of touch screen phones running on Google's Android platform since then further contributed to
the stock's decline.
The stock was trading around the $9-10 range in 2016-2017. However there has been some recent interest in the company owing to its expertise in developing corporate security products and how those same technologies could be leveraged for the Internet of Things (IOT) world.
Currently, the intermediate term trend is bullish; the short term trend is bearish. I think the chart pattern can be either classified as:
1) Descending Triangle
2) Symmetric Triangle
The burden of proof leads me to believe that a descending triangle is more appropriate. I think by the next earnings call (later this month) we will know which way BB will break out.
If the breakout is towards the positive side, I see the stock price trading in the $14 price range. If the breakout is negative, I see support around $10.25. Based on the last few earnings report, my guess will be that the stock will make a breakout in a bullish manner. however, I will wait a few more days to confirm the trend before buying in.
Happy Trading!!!
Enbridge_(TSX: ENB)_May_10_2018Enbridge is one of the largest energy infrastructure companies in North America. It operates in five segments: Liquids Pipelines, Gas Transmission and Midstream, Gas Distribution, Green Power and Transmission, and Energy Services. It's primary area of operations include Canada and the United States.
The stock has treaded downwards since it announced the acquisition of Spectra Energy in 2016 resulting in a debt of close to $60 billion dollars. However, the company has started to sell several non-core assets for which the has received considerable interest from potential buyers. In the long run as oil and gas prices increase, Enbridge is surely going to benefit from the increase in prices.
In the short to medium term, the price has cross the upper bound of the channel. Buyers interested in buying should wait till the stock pull back to the upper support of the channel and confirm that the support holds. However, I strongly believe that at these prices the stock is a steal compared to the assets and potential income from those assets.
Hydro_One_(TSX:H)_May_09_2018Hydro One is an electricity transmission and distribution utility serving the Canadian province of Ontario. Currently, Hydro One is trading at historic lows since its IPO. The underlying trend is bearish, while the chart pattern is Broadening Bottom. At this point the price can go either way. Currently, the support is being tested at the trendline (Dividend is around 4.4%). If price drops further (below CAD $20, then the probability that the price may go down further increases. However, if price does not drop further within the next few days, this is an excellent entry point as the probability of a price rise after an broadening bottom with an underlying bearish trend is over 50%.
The elections in Ontario (to be held in June) will be a critical factor in determining the mid to long term outlook for the stock. Currently, all parties (political) do not want the price of electricity to go up (the government is a large shareholder of the utility). However, after the elections these poll pledges might disappear as energy prices across all sectors tend to rise (especially during the summer months).
Canopy Growth Corporation WEED.TO descending triangle bullish brWEED is looking pretty gooid, setting up for a descending triangle formation ready for a breakout really soon.
Wait for confirmation of a breakout for entry, somewhere bewtween Fib .236 and 0.
Set stop-loss a little bit below entry.
I'm expecting more resistance around the 0.618 (32.03) and 32.53.
Take profits below each resistance.
Target 32.97
Aurora Cannabis medium-term buyHedge Funds and other companies are investing heavily in the Cannabis sector, and this company is relatively cheap. Which means that those companies investing in the sector are incrementally accumulating their positions. This also means that those companies will purchase stocks where they believe it to be cheap and that entry area is a good area (based on technicals) to purchase.
Mean Reversion in FIRE?!FIRE has dropped down to the $1.60-1.70 range a few time in the couple months only to bounce back. This is probably a support level for FIRE.
Every time it hits its support level, a bullish candle is formed and it pushed towards $2+ in the next few days.
Basically, FIRE is shown movement that has been bullish historically.
The slow stochastic supports this oversold idea.
Short Term Trade, stop loss at 1.68.
Nice cup and handle pattern with breakoutBombard has long been a TSX laggard but, much like blackberry, its looking at big gains in 2018 following the release of C-series that was heavily delayed on many fronts (which was not good for them) In the last weeks it has broken through resistance that was holding it back for almost 3 years at the $2.80 region and has broken out from a cup and handle formation on exceptional volume.
I'd defenetly be looking to enter long around $2.95-3.00 region as this stock has become a beauty to hold again for 2018 from a technical and fundamental standpoint.
$Oil rallies on positive API - Long order filled for $TCWA buy order that I placed months ago for Trican Well Services ($TCW) was triggered at today's open. API numbers for Oil appears to have been released. I have set my s/l around $3.00 for the time being. I plan to hold this trade for a few weeks, possibly longer. Parabolic SAR has turned Bullish but we are still below the kumo cloud. This stock ultimately will follow the price of $OIL. If the rally can continue, volume will increase and $TCW should advance. Buy and hold...just my thoughts, not financial advice.
Buy FCC now!A simple analysis of the uptrend shows the end of a pullback in the FCC uptrend.
FCC bounces back at 1.06-1.07. I see the next move up being up to 1.28-1.30.
Short term reversal in TSXV:EMC?The bullish hammers of the last few days indicate a trend reversal in TSXV:EMC.
Stochastic has been slowly climbing out of the oversold zone and it may just be the right time to buy in.
I am hoping to buy in around 1.44-1.45, and I will place a stop one ATR below at 1.31-1.32 which is below their 52week low (hopefully it holds).
Trend Reversal within trading range in NEPT!?We see a potential reversal in TSX:NEPT indicated by a bullish hammer at its lower bollinger band AND also at a long held support level!
I see TSX:NEPT working its way up to its resistance level at least. Hopefully it can break through the trading range.
TSX:NEPT can be a very volatile stock as indicated by the Average True Range, so buy in very carefully.
RTI Uptrend?1. Bullish hammer at lower bollinger band on 02/02/2018
2. Higher lows the following days.
3. Price closed strongly on 04/02/2018
4. Stochastic turning upwards from a near oversold zone
I identify this as a reversal point for RTI.
I expect it to at least reach $1.7 in the next few days possibly climb up to $1.85-2 level by next week.
SHOP: Short Term Correction Before We Hit $205 TargetObservations
We are currently in the intermediate 3rd wave of the major 5th wave.
Based on Elliott wave count, it appears that intermediate 3rd wave is complete which means we are due for a correction.
Expecting wave 4 to be a small correction within 0.236 - 0.382 fib zone as wave 2 was a very significant correction to 0.786 fib.
Target price for the intermediate 5th wave appears to be around $205.00 based on 1:1 ratio of the 1st wave.
Side Note: I absolutely love SHOP. It is definitely a great company to be holding long term. I have been in since $32.00 but have sold late October year for about $147.00 to reinvested those gains into my MJ stocks :)
Disclaimer
For informational purposes only and not deemed as financial advice
TSX : It not as bad as the media suggests.As always, the media likes to create FUD. In reality, it,s a minor pullback.
It's actually a fantastic time to find new opportunities in the market.
Think of it as a sale on equities, 15% off regular prices. Who doesn't like a good sale?
Maybe add a little more to your long-term ETF's for example.
The health sector is in a huge pullback.. mainly the POT stocks.
Yesterday may have been the bounce. Look for new opportunities in that sector.
Financial sector looks to be about the same thing, just a correction.
I am not a financial advisor, use your best judgement. Trade within your means.
And always use a stop-loss. Rule #1 should always be capital preservation.
I suggest that we all ignore the noise from the media, and just watch our charts for new ideas.
Strong Reversal in TOG?!We see bullish hammers and stochastic turning from its oversold zone.
The DI+ and DI- crossover tells us that the market might trend upwards in the short term!
10% move in THO?Trend reversal emphasized by a bullish hammer and higher lows in subsequent days.
Price is turning from an oversold zone according to stochastic.
I see it rising to a price of $6.4 in the short term.