TTD
TTD ShortTTD is looking bearish on the daily. Forming a lower high with a weak earnings. Recent pump might be due to the stock split. I expect it to lose this pumps gains to return to target 1. If target 1 cannot hold then it will fall to Target 2. MACD also has had a bearish cross.
Fairy DustTo keep it simple, fair value or intrinsic value for a stock can be measured by calculating earnings with a reasonable long term growth rate.
Some tech stocks are currently enjoying extraordinary growth rates averaging around 40%. Some are even higher.
Tesla has an earnings growth rate for the current year of 99.6% and the PE ratio is 684.15 at the current price.
Fair value for the stock price on earth is currently $42.02 (or 136 DOGE)
Let's take a look at these popular names using the formula below:
Fair Value formula:
EPS = earnings per share
8.5 = time in years
G = long term growth rate
FV = EPS X (8.5 + 2G)
Then you adjust for corporate bond yields, the alternative, "safe" investment
Currently we could say they at around 4% yield
Final Value = FV * (4.4 / 0.04)
Below is a list of popular stocks with the current Fair Value assuming they can keep a long term earnings growth rate of 15% annually , which is still an impressive number compared to most companies. Long term it is virtually guaranteed that earnings will decline from current levels so it will be interesting to see this play out in the stock price.
In addition, included below is a chart of where fair value is and text of the current growth rate this year and the P/E ratio.
Data pulled from Yahoo Finance and TD Ameritrade API
Apple
Growth rate: 57.6%
PE ratio: 31.40
Adobe
Growth rate: 21.4%
PE ratio: 51.26
Amazon
Growth rate: 33.5%
PE ratio: 66.81
Facebook
Growth rate: 30%
PE ratio: 30.38
Google
Growth rate: 49%
PE ratio: 31.68
Microsoft
Growth rate: 34.9%
PE ratio: 37.78
Shopify
Growth rate: 11.8%
PE ratio: 114.8
Square
Growth rate: 78.6%
PE ratio: 395.75
Zoom
Growth rate: 40.1%
PE ratio: 134.18
The Trade Desk
Growth rate: -10.10%
PE ratio: 157.6
Nvidia
Growth rate: 58.3%
PE ratio: 97.12
PayPal
Growth rate: 21.9%
PE ratio: 66.13
Using this method the only growth stocks that have realistic upside are Apple, Facebook, Google and Microsoft.
TTD Weekly TrendlineNASDAQ:TTD weekly looking very bullish if it can take out the high of last week's bar.
TTD - 10/1 Stock split june 17thTTD - The company through self-service, cloud-based platform, ad buyers create, manage and optimize data-driven digital advertising. It has gone up 2,100% since ipo in 2016. Its number 1 in its sector and has P/B value at 25. Its a good buy / trade before the stock split, imo.
Exciting long term, Trouble short termPlease note this is only an idea, invest at your own risk.
The chart shows a confusing pattern after a huge drop.
If you are long term, I believe now to be a great price (575).
In the short term, I expect more volatility and possible lower price or fluctuation.
While it has recently gained an important support around 570, I am waiting for it to overcome the 600 resistance, and more importantly the 665 resistance, which would represent a change in structure.
I am much more confident to enter into it once it holds above 665.
Happy to get feedback on my idea.
Covering all the Plays made a month ago to about a week agoThis is a video I made to cover all the plays made about a month ago up until about two weeks ago. I cut off half way through and honestly I thought it didn't record any of it. So I am posting it now. and I will pick up where it left off probably tomorrow.
If these have helped you trade please like and follow.
by iCantw84it
05.26.2021
THE TRADE DESK (TTD) END GAMEWill the correction take us into a bear market or will we moon?
Inflation or no Inflation
No chasing here :)
I was told TTD is having a 10:1 split: so what does this mean?I was told TTD is having a 10:1 split: so what does this mean?
KBNT (Swing Trade Idea)From Technical Analysis stand point: Whenever a short time frame moving average crosses above a longer time frame moving average, it is common to see the price surge upwards.
The daily (9-hour) period moving average (MA) is on track to cross above the weekly (45-hour) moving average.
With momentum on the back of KBNT's upcoming earnings report (probable beat), the daily moving average may cross above the monthly (189-hour) moving average as well.
The white circles show how the price has reacted when these moving averages have been crossed in the past.
KBNT (Kubient, Inc.) Is expected to release their Q4 2020 earnings report (after close of market) on Thursday (25/Mar/2021).
They have scheduled a conference call at 5:00 PM EST on the same day to discuss their earnings.
U.S. dial-in: 1-877-407-9208
International dial-in: 1-201-493-6784
Live broadcast: c212.net/c/link/?t=0&l=en&o=3093107-1&h=539919079&u=http%3A%2F%2Fpublic.viavid.com%2Findex.php%3Fid%3D143872&a=here
What leads me to believe that this will be a significant earnings beat is the following:
On their Form S1 filed 2/July/2020, Kubient indicated that quarterly revenue was expected to reach $500,000/quarter if their contract with the Associated Press was renewed.
See SEC filing for reference:
sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001729750/000110465920080690/tm2023792-1_s1.htm
Search for the words "from the AP Agreement" on the document for reference.
This contract appears to have been renewed.
Here is more on how it originated and progressed.
adexchanger.com/the-sell-sider/the-associated-press-boosted-revenue-by-culling-its-ads-txt-file/
KBNT Inverse Head & ShouldersKBNT has developed an inverse "Head and Shoulders" pattern this month. This is a strong indicator that the down trend is about to reverse up.
After the price crosses the "Neck line" (About $7.43 +/-) it is possible that KBNT will breakout gaining $2.50 in value (The height of the head to neck line) arriving at a potential target price of $9.93.
Just my opinion, not financial advice.
BEAR MARKET IS HERE! DO NOT OPEN LONG POSITIONS! These are the tickers which have closed below their 200 EMA today.( definitely entered Bearish trend)
Please pay attention to increased volume during down trend and the very same day these tickers closed below an important level.
Interestingly , Amazon with its sold fundamental and 3rd biggest market cap is among these companies.
TTD Long entries and PTsTTD had a monstor ER and if the market co-operates it can run this coming week ! Here are the levels I'm watching.
#RedDevilTrades
Long Digital ad space, earnings run upTTD crushed earnings on Feb 18th by beating eps by 60%, revenue by 9% and guided higher next quarter. MGNI provides sell-side advertising platform (ER on 24th) for possible earnings run up and same sector play. The open interest for March $60 calls is over 6000.. KBNT is another stock in the tech ad sector, but it already gapped up over 80% last week. APPS gapped up friday as well. Good Luck!
TTD low cheat breakout (Mark Minervini VCP)Buying 10% position in TTD here. Breaking out of "low cheat" pattern per Mark Minervini investing style (See his book "Think & Trade like a Champion"). This is an early entry that indicates the stock should breakout it's typical pivot point.
Volume on the breakout today is already over 400%!!
Stop loss around 8%
20-25% profit taking target.
TTD Setting up for breakout After TTD took a beating over the last month, it’s now recovery time and could potentially seek ATH’s. I am currently in a 2/5 1000c @2.13... will buy more if we have a steady breakout.
$TTD is Short until the COV locc down is Over. Target Price $650$TTD definitely have room to grow but not with COV-19 locc down coming, Look for the dramatic drop, See Notes On Charts. Target Price $650. Double Play available. Notes Notes Notes
@KarmaBaccAround
TTD - Short Setup CEO Sold 100% for 56milllion! Big selling from others and recent. Break below 761.34 or 735.43, Stop signal 823.71. Target 1 550.53. Second Target momentum.
