TSLA basing on its volume profile for a trade LONGTSLA on the highly reliable weekly chart is at the bottom of its volume profile in the lower
part of the high volume area. The TTM Squeeze Indicator ( TTM = Trade the Market John Carter)
has printed a signal for four weeks. The RSI faster and slower lines are near to the 50 level.
The mean relative volatility has steadily decreased and this is in an increasing squeeze state.
This is a setup for a patient trader to take a position in a swing trade. I am looking for a trade
into the upper part of the high volume area and so to the 240-280 range. I will get some shares
as well as a few call options for November (ITM). TSLA will be subjected to a number of
variables making the trade a bit risky including the Musk compensation battle, the China
economy, competition with Chinese EVs in Europe, federal rate actions and the presidential
elections as well as the evolution of self-driving. It is TSLA's volatility that makes it a great
trade. My entry signal here is a TTM indicator going black to white.
Ttm_squeeze
AMC 's CEO says no to bankruptcy and so it pumps LONGAMC on the 60 minute chart shows an early reversal out of a three week downtrend after
two months of a wide ranging price action that was sideways. The more or less takes
bankruptcy considerations off the table. In the meanwhile, the streaming services continue
to beat down movie theaters. No matter, AMC has new bullish momentum and the trading
volumes to support it. The PVT indicator shows the new trend. The TTM Squeeze indicator
triggering has relevance. The trend is your friend especially if you befriend it early. You never
know, the short squeeze Ape Nation has been hoping maybe just maybe could happen. I will
take a long position of shares here and insure them partially with a put option to cover a wide
stop loss of 15% given the expected volatility. For the shares, targeting 3.85 with 35%, 5.50
with 25% and the remaining 50% to run with a trailing stop loss.
TXN rising and at fair value LONGTXN is on a 240 minute chart. It is a grinder from the 70s. I was there and a proud owner of
a TI programmable calculator costing $500 as a teenager. New cars cost $5000 for a nice VW
Bug ( got them nearly the same time). TXN has a role to play in semi-conductor and AI space.
It has been lagging others. The chart makes me believe that it is waking up. Buying after
a TTM squeeze at the mean of the anchored VWAP or the middle line of the bands is a way
to lower risk and get fair value. TXN was there for me back in the day. I am taking a long
trade now. It's time to get a full rebate ( or more with badly inflated dollars). TXN has retested
that mean VWAP line. It's good to go.
Short Newmont Mining $NEM1. Trend is down over year and half
2. TTM Squeeze that usually bounces off opposite wall before reversing
3. Hitting resistance trendline repeatedly
4. Under 200ema
I could see this ultimately hitting 200ema, which I would dump everything into going short, but this spot is good for a short as well. Always keep more dry powder and don't blow your load in one go!
LUV ~ Swing Trade LongSouthwest Airlines, helluva airline stock has taken a massive hit during this WideSpread Bear Market. Just recently LUV has seen further selloff to levels seen at the COVID Crash Bottom.
Major Support is definitely coming in here, and Demand is heavy. Buyers are and will step in at these prices certainly as the company is not failing... yet lol.
With this in mind, we can be assured, some support is definitely in place at these levels for LUV.
Now to the Real Technicals...
- Bit of a Diamond Pattern forming, and it is breaking toward the upside.
- Retested the 9 ema cloud just today, resulting in a solid healthy pullback following this zone break upwards.
- TTM_Squeeze signaling Bearish Momentum Fading on the Daily, Weekly, and coming Monthly.
- Candle over Candle, with the retest 10/17 (today)
- Relatively strong in the markets past few weeks, discluding today.
- Could see a little bit of an inverse H&S action if you look close enough!
Cons :
Earnings 10/27 can get in the way of this Technicals-Focused Swing Trade
If we dont get break above, this could be printing a clear Bear flag... Otherwise, a good play to the downside!!
Thesis :
A break of 33.4 area could be explosive up to the previous zone area of the higher $30s
Long > 33.4 line break
Options Swing far out could be the play here or shares.
**Just for putting on your radar, I think the setup is nice!**
RCON - Start of a 1000% Bagger or a dud??RCON has been on my radar ever since its 1000%+ Rally in Late 2020 & into 2021. Recon Technology Ltd. is a technology / hardware company based in China. RCON is pretty much a micro-cap company, but can offer a huge run-up.
RCON has gained my attention recently as it has done a few things.
1) Daily Breakout over 9-21 ema clouds (first time since March '22)
2) Seasonality ~ RCON Tends to heat up during Late-Year to early Year of the following year!
3) TTM_Squeeze on Daily, Weekly & Monthly All signaling oversold, and bullish momentum incoming
4) RCON loves to do huge 1000%+ Runs
Weekly Ema Tests are coming soon and this stock could go absolutely parabolic.
I am not posting this for you to buy in this idea..
I am posting this for the idea for you to keep! This should be on your radar, and I felt like I should share it, as its possibilities.
Thesis : RCON Breaks some levels, thing could go parabolic.
I am not in yet, and I will be patient, but putting an amount I feel comfortable losing could be a smart idea on this Risky Investment idea.
TESLA ~ MONTHLY Chart Bearish!!!Tesla, an absolute beast of a company, an investors dream stock to have been holding the last few years, and one that everyone wants in their portfolio.
Tesla has actually help up surprisingly well in this Bear Market thus far. Tesla has outperformed many other beaten down tech stocks with soaring growth in deliveries, and revenue. Tesla has solid fundamentals, but is definitely still priced at its future growth projections rather than its current value… which most of us already know.
Tesla did recently miss on deliveries, but that’s not what we’re diving in to today.
Today we’re diving In to the Technicals of Tesla, and what the monthly chart may be indicating for the stocks’ future.
TSLA has quite the bearish monthly chart in my opinion.
We are seeing a head and shoulders on the monthly including a shooting star candle for the month of September, possibly signaling a bearish reversal from its recent month rally. Added on to the Head & Shoulders pattern we are witnessing, the TTM-SQUEEZE momentum indicator is signaling a momentum shift from bulls to bears. The first time on TSLA monthly chart since Summer 2019… showing Tesla may need a breather anyways.
There is no better time for the breather on TSLA than now in my opinion. I think a medium/large downshift has been waiting on the stock, and now is perfect time for this to occur.
All technicals are leading to this, bearish momentum, the shooting star candlestick, and the monthly head and shoulders.
Overall my thesis is bearish on TSLA, we will probably be seeing a test of the trend line / neckline for the Head & Shoulders in the coming days or weeks. A break below that could result in seeing a dump to support area of $165, and lower to early pandemic levels.
Thesis : Short Tesla thru Technicals, and buy the crash.
Long term thesis : Tesla is a 5 star company, and a crash would be bought up fast and aggressively.
Price Targets : (NeckLine), $165 area, $110 area, $65 area
S&P Monthly Chart Breakdown 🐻The S&P 500 index has seen a decline of over 20% now officially stating a Bear-Market over the widely followed indices.
Today we are diving specifically in to the Monthly Chart for some Technicals Breakdown on the S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
The Monthly Momentum in this case we're using TTM_Squeeze (similar to MACD etc.) is signaling a flip to bearish momentum on the Monthly Time Frame. This is signifying possibly a big move down in the coming months, to continue the trend of the Bearish Momentum.
Last time we saw a real momentum switch with the TTM_SQUEEZE on the MONTHLY Chart was back in the 2008 Financial Crisis. Both scenarios are different in fundamentals, but even Technicals... SO I will not dive in to comparing the two much, as we were not as overbought then as we are now, and we have sold off already more now compared to when the monthly momentum switched then.
Nonetheless, this is not a good sign in the mid-long term of the Stock Market.
Technicals are showing months of decline, though this could include some dead-cat bounces, and bear-market relief rallies, we are starting to see a shift down in the markets.
Bond Yields Rising, Dollar Soaring, Interest Rates Rising, Home Prices Dropping, and Inflation still on the move... Currently there is not much to look forward to on this current Economy until it sorts out of course.
The bottom may be sooner than many think, or later. This idea was just to put this monthly timeframe in mind for your investing.
Thesis : Market may suffer for few more months to come, but nothing is sure and fundamentals could switch sharply & swiftly with lower CPI numbers, and a more Dovish Fed. This may take a while, or not... Averaging in on investments in a Bear Market is never a bad idea in my opinion.
VIX Weekly Rally?The VIX is the CBOE Volatility Index of the S&P 500 Index.
The VIX is generally inverse of the Market's Movement, specifically the S&P
Volatility is not stable for markets and acts similar to a greed/fear indicator for the markets.
The Higher the Volatility (VIX) The greater the Fear
VIX has been in an uptrend the past few months since the Bear Market Kicked off earlier in 2022
Vix Uptrend = Market DownTrend & an increase of volatility
The VIX has been forming this pennant-type resistance and support, and now has been testing the upper ends of this. The weekly chart on the VIX is creating a breakout with Momentum Squeezing thru to the upside as well.
TTM_SQUEEZE Represents price consolidation, and breakouts through momentum indications similar to MACD.
We are currently seeing a flip to the upside in the weekly chart.
This would be bad for financial markets and can definitely indicate another large pullback coming with little VIX Resistance above until $40 Zone.
We have not 100% broken these yet though, so patience is key and seeing how price reacts around these levels is key.
BTC Play to the downside | Head & Shoulders StrategyI am sharing a thesis on BTC I have been tracking for the last few weeks. Now before you call me crazy for wanting to "Short" BTC or being a bear, this is solely a Swing Trade Idea for the Short/Mid Term Time Line. In No way do I not support Crypto, and am not bullish on the Crypto Market LONG-Term.
This mid/short term thesis involves the WEEKLY & Daily Time frame of $BTC
COINBASE:BTCUSD
As you can see from viewing the $BTC chart on the weekly & daily time frame, a Head and Shoulders trend pattern is being printed out. As we are witnessing now, the 2nd high is hitting the resistance from the First Shoulder Level right around $50,000. This rejection we are seeing on the daily and weekly is printing out the Right Hand Shoulder of this Pattern.
With this thesis in mind, I'd also like to add that the TTM_SQUEEZE Indicator is indicating a bearish Reversal in the coming weeks. Similar to the TTM_SQUEEZE displayed back in May & June. So with this strong Bearish view on the Technical Indicator, and clean head & shoulders printout on the chart after a massive run this year, I think it is fair to say BTC could see another hefty pullback.
With this information in mind, a Shorting position on BTC or BTC tracking assets could be an ideal play.
PYPL Breaking Down through Support Today I am discussing Paypal Stock which has been drastically sold off around 40% from highs! I do think this is crazy, and oversold. BUT, I am going to analyze stocks appropriately and without any bias.
PYPL as shown on the Daily Chart has been breaking down through this Range it has been trading in of where I have a Rectangle shape Drawn.
PYPL just closed underneath that rectangle 2 days in a row, and even rejected off that bottom of the Rectangle on Friday. That shows Strong Resistance at that level.
PYPL also broke its Support from its previous breakdown @ the $179.20 area (White Line)
PYPL has 1 wick left from the candle on Jan. 10th and then of course further back supports.
But I think the range it is breaking out of now, is something to note down of not being a small break down. The reason I am saying this is because PYPL has now been in the sideways trading for around 2 and a half months. PYPL is now ready to make a bigger move, but here it seems that bigger move may be to the downside.
Here are EXTRA Reasons why PYPL is a good SHORT idea here.
TTM_SQUEEZE - Squeezing (red dots) indicating big movement of momentum coming. + Momentum Switching to Bearish.
Broke Down and even retested the Rectangle range.
Broke Previous Breakdown support.
GAP to fill at the GREEN Rectangle ($130s) area.
A lot of stocks like to always fill the gaps... and I know its a stretch to say hence it is a long time ago, but with bearish momentum this stock could easily fill that gap.
Some contradicting indicators to this SHORT idea
TTM_SQUEEZE (WEEKLY) - WEEKLY Still showing weakness, but appears to be wearing out, and fading to the bull-side.
WEEKLY moving average cloud.
Still some more key levels to be breaking
I hope you guys enjoyed this idea! Share it if you liked it!
If I do play this I will be looking in to Liquidated March & or April Puts near the $140 strike price.
IWM [Russel 2000] Inverse Head & Shoulders & BreakoutThe IWM as seen from the chart has been forming a solid and strong Inverse Head & Shoulders.
An Inverse Head & Shoulders is a strong Bullish Chart Technicals Pattern, that can be seen here. 2 Shoulders, and 1 head in the middle, making the low.
I am sharing this idea, as it is a pattern which has been printed on the Russel-2000 this past week, and can't go unnoticed!
The Russel-2000 Index has also been in a YEAR-long consolidation, and is ready to make a move one way or another.
On the weekly time frame of the Russel, the TTM_SQUEEZE Indicator a momentum indicator that can also predict big moves has been flashing red (signaling squeeze) and that a big move is coming one way or another.
AFTER This recent breakout attempt in November from IWM, and a retest of the bottom consolidation levels, the russel seems ready to bounce up with this inverse head and shoulders, or make a break down.
I think this is something to definitely keep on your radar folks!
Good Luck Trading!
I am personally looking at playing this with either :
IWM febuary monthlys OR $URTY a 3x leveraged russel ETF
JSWSTEEL - potential bullish setupNSE:JSWSTEEL is in ttm squeeze from past 22 weeks and it's making a high probability bullish setup.
1) All moving averages are stacked up.
2) Volume has decreased over time while the price retraced from the high.
3) VZO is showing sudden spike in recent candles and volume is also increasing gradually.
4) Price is getting rejected from 34 EMA and showing more buying pressure.
Because of above reasons, I think that there's a higher chances of squeeze firing upside.
SBUX - Big move coming**Ticker:** SBUX
**Golden Setup Checklist:**
- Above key moving averages (8,21,50)
- TTM Squeezes on multiple timeframes (1h,2h,4h,D,2D,3D,W)
- No Earnings, Dividend Payout in the near future
- Catalyst: Earnings was not bad at all. Multiple analyst have buy ratings well above where the stock is trading right now.
**Ratings And Price Targets as of Nov 1st:**
-Cowen has an Outperform rating and a $125 target.
-Bank of America has a Buy rating and a $135 target.
-Wells Fargo has an Overweight rating and a $122 target.
-Wedbush has an Outperform rating and a $128 target.
- Rotation out of tech stocks could move SBUX in the next couple weeks.
- Daily bullish MACD cross
- Daily RSI curling up
BTO SBUX 12/17 115C @ 2.06
BTO SBUX 01/22 120C @ 1.80
IIFLWAM - price action analysisNSE:IIFLWAM tried to breakout above 1712 but faced strong resistance and resulted in a false break. Yesterday it gave confirmation of trend reversal. 1712 is a key resistance level to watch. It has tested it two times while making higher lows (see trend line). It is also in a ttm squeeze with increasing momentum which indicates that it could give big move soon. Channel support could be a nice entry point from risk:reward perspective. If price would come down to 1588-1589 on the trend line support, you'll have 1:1.8 risk:reward ratio with SL at 1521 and target at 1712. If it hits 1712 while showing strength, you can book 50% profit and stay in the game for breakout, you can set your SL to initial entry price.
Disclosure: I am not a financial advisor, my analysis is purely for educational purpose.
HDFCBANK technical analysisNSE:HDFCBANK was in a bullish ttm squeeze until 9/26. It fired the squeeze yesterday. We could see up move continuation. It's currently standing at the major resistance level. If it breaks it, it will create ATH.We could see inverse Head and shoulders pattern which is a bullish sign. It is also forming Harmonic crab pattern with a PRZ level is at 1818. Volume is also good from past 2 days.
USDJPY - Weekly Chart - Strong Downtrend LineOn the weekly timeframe, we can see that historically the price moves away from this downtrend line. Even when it broke above it, it returned below in 2016 is continuing to make lower highs.
TTM Squeeze is a momentum indicator. It appears that the price is going to push lower since the downward momentum is just beginning, light purple bar.
Commitment of traders, shows Commercials in white who seem to be drawing price down with short positions.
If the price drops between now and the end of 2021, it may fall to the demand zone, near $104.53. It can certainly drop lower but that is my target.
I am curious what you think regarding USD/JPY, feel free to comment below. There are many factors to consider for this trade to pan out.
This idea should not be taken as financial or investment advice.
PYPL LongTicker: PYPL
Notes: PYPL got rejected hard on that 21EMA and formed a doji on the daily. It's setting up for a base rally formation along w/ TTM Squeeze on smaller timeframes. We also broke out of this wedge and looking for a continuation.
Key Levels:
- Play the breakout of 21EMA w/ a target of 286-287 area (50SMA)
or
-Wait for a retest of this wedge breakout at 273 to long it.
-Huge gap above, so it can be the next target after cleaing 50SMA