PLTR Daily-AnalysisPLTR was a darling stock earlier in the year with the likes of Cathy Wood buying it at a high rate. It has since declined and has seen better days. Over the past 3 months or so PLTR has been stuck in consolidation as buyers and sellers seek to find whether or not PLTR is priced too high or too low. What we can look towards is how well PLTR did in their last quarter as they report earnings in the coming weeks. Now while PLTR looks neutral in the short-term, my view in the long-term is more optimistic. The current low price point, the all-time high set in January, and the rising consolidation all give me reason to believe that PLTR is due for a rise in prices.
(Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this site, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.)
Ttmsqueeze
TSLA - Gearing up for a massive bull run!-TSLA formed the 135 elliot wave and looks like we're gearing up for the wave 5 which is the next leg up.
-Gap was filled below and bounced perfectly on that .382 fib retracement
-We also have a gap above around 724 - 732 which could be the target
-Waiting for a TTM Squeeze to form on smaller timeframes.
-I'm looking at a month out expiration for options.
SBUX - Getting ready for a squeezeSBUX finally broke through that major resistance @ 114.70 w/ volume. We have also entered time cycle one on the TTM Squeeze. We're in the 7/16 115C and up 45% @ close. SBUX still has a lot of momentum to test 117 area and possibly take out the high. I can see this happening within the next week or possibly early if the market keeps trending higher.
DLTR - Looking to longDLTR has been trending and gapped down after earnings. It's been consolidating in this range and formed a pennant. We are also forming in the daily a ttm squeeze. I wanna see DLTR get above the 6day SMA and have the emas trend bullish.
Contract Suggestion:
BTO DLTR 7/16 100C @ .96
ETSY (DAILY TIME FRAME) GENERAL ANALYSISDespite ETSY reporting earnings that surpassed analysts expectations ETSY shares still slid as management expects the total sale of goods on its platform to slow in the second quarter as it faces tough comparisons to last year’s pandemic-boosted results.
Based on the current price action I'm operating under the assumption that ETSY is in a downtrend. The gap down is a red flag of the weakness on the buy side of ETSY. I would stay away from any immediate rallies up until the price exceeds $192 or closes above the mean. After the price gap down this does look like an opportunity to buy but I would caution against blindly buying the dip as ETSY can shed a lot of dollars should it break its support of $153.50
(Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this site, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.)
UBER (DAILY TIME FRAME) GENERAL ANALYSISUBER beat its earnings estimates however, it missed on its first quarter revenues. As a result, UBER gapped down after its earnings report and in my view is currently on a downtrend and I would operate under that assumption until it fills that gap. Conservatively speaking I'm looking for a gap filled price that closes with a daily price of about $53.
Based on everything I'm seeing I would look to short UBER when it provides some form of mean reversion at -2ATR or a more favorable -1ATR.
Looking at potential Buy opportunities I would look to the weekly time frame and I would look to start scaling in my position at -2ATR with a price of around $42.50-$41.75.
(Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this site, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.)
ES-Mini (Timeframe-Daily) ATR Analysis 5/10/21Last week started out in the red but ended off strong, bringing in the possibility of a pullback over the next few days .The key support level that I am looking at is 4156.00. This is considered as the mean and over the past 3 months the market has showed a reluctancy to drop significantly below the mean over the daily time frame. If we penetrate the mean significantly I would aggressively pursue longs. However, at this point I believe the market is a bit overextended with it ultimately testing resistance at 3ATR at 4275.
Last week makes it possible that we may see 4300 some time soon. The week to come should be interesting as it should give a good gauge as to where or what the market plans for the remainder of the month. Another key indicator to look at is the Z-Score, based on the volume, price, and declining nature of the Z-score it is evident that we are preparing for a quick pullback.
I would definitely be cautious of BTFD at least early in the week and look for the Z-Score to bottom out before I click buy.
(Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this site, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.)
Filecoin is choppy and consolidating. How do we approach this ?
I think the chart should be stretched out a bit longer. But i'm quite impatient, and the charts I make are to illustrate what I would like to see ofcourse. Besides that, normally I don't include multiple pivots in my forecasting and generally think it looks amateurish to do so. As I think that requires constant adjustment on every new candle, which is not possible in a tradingview idea. Causing the analysis to outdate itself right away. However I am feeling adventurous tonight and think these pivots I expect based on this chart are realistic.
In the bottom chart, there is the trend visualized as overlapping, transparant bars. Green represent the bullish trend, red represents the bearish trend. Both can be present at the same time, and the art of analyzing trends is to predict which one of the two will become dominant enough so the other will starve.
Trends move in cycles, and a way to recognize the end of a trend cycle is when both the bullish trend and the bearish trend is below 20. That's an anchor point which is used by many screeners and bots. However lower values are also used such as 15 or 16. But generally speaking, 20 is a good treshold value to determine a trend has ended if you do chart analysis by yourself.
So without further ado, here's my analysis. (tl;dr: no-trade zone. Go spend time with friends and family coming week).
On the bottom chart red columns are bearish trend and green columns are bullish trend. Both are stable but also decreasing steadily. When the trend drops below 20 it starts to cycle into a new one. Which means volatility and momemtum have reached their lowest point and will start to increase from then on. However, the direction of the trend is something we have yet to estimate.
But there is an exception to this though. Because there is a consolidative squeeze happening (I marked the starting point with two black dots on the crossover of the bands with the channels). It is hard to estimate when squeezes like this finish, configuring an alert when the bands and channels cross again is something you'd like to do. Once this happens, an indicator such as the parabolic SAR can be used to estimate the trend direction.
So we have two possible catalysts right now, and this squeeze is the most unpredictable. The chance is high it happens before the current trend can actually 'fade out' on the bottom chart. Then the squeeze will ignite a new trend right away, causing a steady (explosive) increase of momentum and volatility. Sometimes these moments are used to setup traps as well or shake out overleveraged traders with large wicks. As it is hard to estimate the direction properly if you enter a position too early on this.
If this squeeze will develop slowly, then the bottom chart will show the trend fading out untill it drops below 20 eventually. Once that happens, the chart becomes more interesting again and things like support/resistance levels become more important. However, actually opening a position should be done once you have a clear entry. After the trend crossed over 20 again (important). I've put an extra ceiling, on 40. There's these intermediate pushes happening that can't get beyond this level. Possible "hidden" breakouts can be anticipated if the trend is actually strong enough to get passed that point.
If the consolidating squeeze ends pre-maturely the new trend could break out during one of those intermediate pushes, with price action following shortly after. I've mirrored the decreasing trend line to illustrate how that would look like. This mirror image however does not predict wether price go up or down. It predicts the price will increase in momentum and force. This is followed by an increase or decrease in price. So the price can go down, the price can go up. I don't see why it would go down, as filecoin is awesome.
Please leave a reply in the comments if you have enjoyed reading this article or have any questions. The feedback and talk is very encouraging to put in more effort in my publications. I also do livestreaming on trading view streams occasionally, but it is pretty tense talking by myself still. So if you like to talk about charting and exchange ideas with me on stream, I'm definitely open for it. I have derived my knowledge from technical indicators, book reading and backtesting (as i am a developer). But need to improve a lot on harmonic patterns. I also like to explore gann analysis or Elliot waves.
Nokia - A Sleeping Giant waiting to be awaken.
Ladies and Gentlemen Welcome to another edition of FrancoBlancos Dreams. The asset in question is Nokia and current Technicals are strong and indicating a very strong upward movement Long Term. $Nok TTM Squeeze BULLISH, with the chart formation confirming the trend. The stock is trading above the 10 Day, MA 21 Day MA, 50 Day MA, and 200 Day This confirm to me that the Trend is Bullish Long Term. Please DYOR and Happy hunting folks.
My Buy entry is $4.95.00
My Take Profit is $22.50
SPY 1hr with Fib Retracements and MY NEW STRATEGYBlew everything up. I was a triple EMA guy for a long time, but it's not producing results like it used to. So I used my sick day to do some research and landed on this new strategy and I am excited to start using it.
200ma to confirm trend - Stochastic RSI combo - TTM Squeeze. I also have the option of turning on the custom indicator "ultimate moving average" that I am really enjoying.
Here is how it will work for me, and I am talking long positions only.
1. 200ma - stock must be trading above/at the 200ma for a position
2. Stochastic RSI (stock must be crossing/already above the red line)
3. TTM Squeeze (stock must be grey/blue beginning histogram)
For entry - must have 2 out of 3 confirmations. From my few hours of testing today, it is pretty reliable and a solid strategy. The TTM Squeeze is a fantastic indicator, I really am looking forward to using that. It seems like the Stochastic might lag a bit, even though it is supposed to be the one out front. We shall see.
Entry on the 10min
Confirm trends on 1hr
More updates over the weekend!
$SPY
Valari Bot Feedback IOST/ETH BUY ON 04/06/19Hello everyone,
I present you the first of many Valari trade logs with charts.
Mostly losing positions since the bot is scalping across multiple coins and flips for a quick profit.
The chart is mostly so I can look at where my funds are. Since I don't really log in the account all the time.
MYOS Running out of JuiceAlas, she couldn't break through the upper resistance trend line this time around. I think she's run out of gas and needs a pullback to refuel. RSX shows a sharp peak and rapid decline, and DPMO shows a textbook false top > actual top > crossover. The trend remains bullish but needs to cool down and give it the opportunity to gradually build some positive momentum.
If you're long or looking at opening a long position, watch out for the bear kiss (a quick price climb where the PMO line comes back and touches the signal line); this is typical of a price momentum reversal and could very well leave you bagholding for a while.
I foresee a small pullback (maybe to 1.60 or so), and a quick bounce near upper resistance (approximately 1.90) (this would give us the bear kiss on DPMO, and likely initiate the ttm squeeze), then a sharp drop to approximately the 0.786 fib level, followed by some more consolidation in the range between 1.34-1.59. I would love to see a double bottom at 1.29, then re-establish support on the SMA200 and eventually the SMA50. So long as these two don't cross back over each other, I'll remain bullish on this ticker over the medium- to long-term.
2-for-1 Bullish SetupThe daily chart offers two long setups with indicators firing almost simultaneously. On the top left, I hid the candles to display only the EMA20 (green), SMA50 (turquoise) and the SMA200 (red). You can see the price action on the top right chart with the TTM squeeze overlay included.
We've got a good old-fashioned SMA50/200 golden cross with support from the SMA200. MACD shows momentum trending upward again; the RSX indicates a strong positive trend but not yet overbought; and volatility has bottomed out and looks ready to bounce at just the right time.
The bottom line of the keltner channel is rapidly converging on the bottom BB, and the daily candles look ready to bust out of the top of the squeeze. Also, the A and C waves are positive and in agreement.
I'm going to wait on a market or limit buy in case this ricochets off the top band one more time for another wave of consolidation; however, to make sure I don't miss the boat, I'm setting a stop order to buy at 11.25. if you want to do the same thing and play more conservatively, you could set the stop at 11.50-11.60.
Weekly TTM Squeeze SetupSo, assuming this weekly candle holds up, ENPH has a really nice TTM momentum squeeze setup on the weekly chart. For comparison, the last time ENPH had a squeeze breakout like this was July 2014. Here's the chart:
Over the course of ten weeks, ENPH ran from sub 10.00 to a high of 18.00! Past performance in no way guarantees future results, but the point is that if you trade a a squeeze breakout on the weekly chart, you can really make some money. And the setups are very similar between July 2014 and January 2019; ADX below 20, RSX above the midline but below the oversold line with a strong upward direction. The RSX for the current setup is less oversold than the the start of the July 2014 breakout, so there's an argument that this one may have even more "juice" than that one.
I predicted we'd see 6.75 by the end of January and we hit it a couple of weeks earlier than I expected. I predict that this setup breaks 8.00 before the end of March.
Textbook TTM Squeeze SetupWe had tight squeeze, and yesterday's price action started rapidly expanding the Bollinger bands. Wave A and Wave C are both positive. ADX appears to have turned the corner so we should expect some increased volatility, and the trend tells us to expect that volatility to be positive based on the waves and the RSX. The RSX shows a clear upward curve, having just bounced off the mid-line, and the RSX shows clear "stair stepping" with higher highs and lower lows over last two cycles. I'm in at 1.642 with a target of 2.40. Will reevaluate trade if the daily candle breaks the green support trendline.