NQ Could Potentially Purge Tuesdays's Lows?
Price looks like it's heading towards Tuesday's Low. We don't have any major news today so I'm not expecting huge movement but, from what price has shown me, it looks like the next draw on liquidity is Tuesday's low.
After price entered and respected the Weekly Imbalance, it displaced lower with energy and retraced back to the 4-hour order block that was responsible for that displacement leg. The first 4-hour order block was respected and price, again, pushed lower creating another 4-hour order block.
Now, it looks like price is drawing towards that second 4-hour order block and if it respects that level, then I would like to see price run lower and take out Tuesday's Low.
I am not a financial advisor. Trade at your own risk. I am only sharing my ideas and predictions of what price could do and I could be 100% wrong. Stay safe!
Tuesday
OIL: Monday closed as First Red Day Hi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
Let’s jump into the Technical Analysis:
WEEKLY TEMPLATE (1hr chart):
Yesterday, Monday, the market broke through the previous HOW and failed, closing the day as a first red day. Since the last Wednesday the market pumped up and now look like starting the backside move of a big template of pump and dump
DAILY TEMPLATE (15min chart):
Asia and London session mostly dumped all the day, breaking the current low of the week
THESIS :
In the short scenario this market can go fo a range expansion, targeting the previous LOW, it would be my main trading opportunity.
In the long scenario, considering money on top at the HOW, I would be targeting the yesterday CP(HOD) or current HOW if strong momentum is presented.
SETUP :
Short: pump at least into previous LOD(LOW)
Long: Low in place, consolidation for 30/45 min and second/third hour NY session reversal
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
EURUSD 12:1 Trade Entry NOW ⌚ ✅Using my Tuesday Strategy. You can see the ICT Model happening around 5am NY Time, for me that confirms the high is protected, the trade is risky but the SL balances the risk out.
The only thing that is worrying is the AUDUSD Bullish Analysis which messes up the trade, DXY is still bullish in my opinion, trade at your own risk
I recommend not entering until waiting for momentum bearish
EUR/USD - 30/11/2021EUR/USD (H4) - Seeing a directional bias change here. Trendline broken new higher highs set and now anticipating the next higher high to form on the break of resistance
EUR/USD (M15) - intraday trendline formed and price creating textbook structure here. I will be waiting for the retest after the break as momentum is not as volatile as other pairs.
USD/CAD - 02/11/2021USD/CAD (H4) - Still not left this consolidation but price is showing very bullish. I will still be waiting for the break of 1.24030 to look for anything major but we do potentially have a nice trade for a small R that we can take up to resistance.
USD/CAD (M15) - Price has broken out of resistance of 1.23847 if we get price retesting this level then we have a 18 pip rang where we could squeeze a 1:2 up to that H4 resistance but we need that retest first.
GBP/USD - 02/11/2021GBP/USD (H4) - weak break out of support of 1.36713 and price has found new support of 1.36510. We have formed and hourly double bottom but I don't believe this will hold and price should follow suit bearish with GBP/JPY. Just need to wait for the break.
GBP/USD (M15) - Very messy structure here so just bear with this one. Try avoid the noise and just look for price tapping back into 1.36478 and look for the break for sells as this would be the break of H4 support.
USD/CAD - 26/10/2021(H4) - USD/CAD looking like pound, yen on the flip. Break & retest pattern may be in affect here around 1.23709 if we do close below we could look for reversal sells for a small R/R but ideally targets are buys up to 1.23958
(M15) - Still waiting for price to develop further on this but we could potentially see an entry if price double bottoms on 1.23705 if not we need to see a break of 1.23842 to look for buys.
GBP/USD - 26/10/2021(H4) - GBP/USD looking bearish, price is struggling to break 1.37457 which we can see from the double bottom. If we do manage to break this level we could see really nice movements back down to 1.37196
(M15) - Could manage to gain a short entry on the break of 1.37588 which would break the H4 consolidation but we will just have to see how price kicks in going into London. Targets would be H4 support of 1.37457
GBP/JPY - 26/10/2021(H4) - GBP/JPY currently bullish in that pullback phase. I will be interested in seeing how price reacts to 156.869 to begin completion of this break and retest pattern. If we do close above we could look for reversal buys but the R:R wouldn't be the best and we would be trading against HTF structure which is bearish.
(M15) - Due to GBP/JPY being in this bullish phase, to effectively trade this break and retest and give ourselves the highest probable entry we would need to see a few things:
1) price to come into 156.825 and start to reject.
2) price to then gain heavy momentum off this level with wick rejections showing an attempt and failure to break 156.825.
3) We would then need to see price break and hold below 156.633 to show the sellers have full control.
USDCAD elementary trading structure Base on our expectation yesterday, we expected the USDCAD to obey an ICT trading pattern then go bullish but unfortunately, yesterday’s market decision shows that USDCAD is critically obeying an elementary trading pattern. USDCAD is critically following a trend line with a good market structure of higher highs and lows. The structure structure of the market is giving us a more highs from USDCAD this week. Then, we’ll calmly wait for the USDCAD to obey the trendline for the very last time and form a bullish engulfing before entering the trade.
GBP/JPY - 19/10/2021(H4) - GBP/JPY currently consolidating, I am expecting price to continue its bullish momentum up to 157.342. We will see how the candle closes for 06:00
(M15) - Strong bullish close into M15 resistance of 157.180 showing good signs of continuation up to 157.342 Usually when we consolidate like this on resistance we do usually see and explosion in price to the upside so lots of confluences lining up here. Unfortunately, the range isn't the best for entries so we may have to wait for the closure into H4 resistance.
EURUSD ANALYSIS 5-10-2021Hello guys, here Is my view on EURUSD
Price is on a bearish trend by a bullish reversal is currently in place.
After yesterday's london session bullishness, New York gave a retracement to the bullish order block where I am now looking to buy from
Please note that the overall price movement on a larger timeframe is bearish..
So, let's see how this goes guys
Please feel free to ask any question if you have one
Thank you.
Catching the reversalManaged to bank a small +1R move this morning catch the pull back from the higher timeframe.
Unfortunately, we did not manage to enter on the break of resistance for GBP/USD as we received no confirmations on our entry timeframe.
HTF pullback
Momentum into M15 key level
Attempt to push higher and failing closing with a wick rejection
Entered on the M5 with momentum on the break.
USD strength or is this a fake out?Will we begin to see USD/CAD start to push that 1.27100 resistance level or is this a false breakout before we break back below resistance.
Not the most ideal breakout and other USD cross pairs are still holding on a H4 key level so be mindful of that!
What are you looking for?
USD weakness?Are we going to start seeing some USD weakness come into the markets for the week?
USD/CAD still consolidating within its range from the analysis posted on the weekly outlook so I cannot confirm a general market direction however, we are looking bearish as we push into that support area around 1.25793
With all the USD cross pairs breaking and closing above resistance as shown with the EUR/USD example we could start to see a sell off some time during the week.
Eyes are peeled on buys for GBP/USD, EUR/USD & AUD/USD!
Let me know your insights below.