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Turkish-lira

CARRY TRADE CYCLES Carry Trade is the one of the most stylish trading system.Example on 1 years : UK interest rates = 0,74 Turkey interest rates = 23 If i lend money with GBP and if i invest in Turkey 2Y bonds my real income is : 23 - 0,74 = 22,26 (%) (yearly) Because of i invested with hot money , Turkish lira will get high and i can buy more Pounds if i want to get interest yield again. If im a good trader or a investment bank , my risk is so so low . Otherwise i can buy a lot of pounds with strong Turkish Lira and get high interest rate when i sell my Turkish lira, Turkish lira gets cheap and this time i can get a lot of Turkish lira again. This cycle is so profitable and suitable for community trading psychology. So carry traders transform market makers and every movements have affect for market making and it is more profitable and secure. But for an English invester, if Turkish economy get worse, even Turkish lira getting cheap and interests are not incresing or devaluations like Turkish lira got a few days ago or interests rates in dangerous places (%23 - %25 means %100 ROE in 4 years) everything getting more worse with double affect, fiat and interest rates opposite correlation lost and everything getting so much risky. This is an example on historical data. I choosed Pound because UK's interest rates are more lower than USA.This idea will show why last year :GBPTRY drops a lot and this year is different. Let's see Turkish Lira's different between market conditions conveinent for Carry Trading or opposite.Best regards.
Education
by Noldo
Least path of resistance and low volume! Higher prices are closeMACD crossed and very low volume phase started. No hard selling or any action that changes the price. While the weekly chart looks like a bearish flag, the daily chart is telling me something will happen soon. Watch for 20 moving average. It isn't going to be taken down easily. In the first higher high green daily candle, it is a but for surge with a stop loss below the last red candle. Try to take a position on the 20 SMA, if you intend to take a position. here is not a lot of resistance on the path of a new high around 7.6.
Long
by mkanik
USD/TRY 4H Chart: Review after turbulenceThe USD/TRY pair has been mostly affected by the fundamentally economical, damaging reforms of the Turkish government. Moreover, recent events in the Turkish bond market have massively increased volatility. However, rather incredibly the currency rates sudden decline began in consistency with the long term ascending channel pattern, which represents the surge of the recent months. In accordance with the pattern, the US Dollar should decline against the Lira until it reaches the support of the channel. It could occur in any way, as the support can be touched by trading downwards, sideways or even going higher.
Long
by UnknownUnicorn890690
Here we are approaching something here. Sleepy Central Banking..While our goverment officals sleeping and doing nothing the price action started a cup and handle rally.. Here we have something. It is approaching to the target levels.. Can our officers do anything.. ? In past years we all decided they are happy about this thing.. This can be sideway but it didnt.. When past 4 price we got sure that this is a cup and handle rally.. Here all investors are alone in this cruel world.. Central banking sleeps.... So they got paid well.. God bless them with their paycheck.. They made Turkish Lira currency Worst Money In the World.. hallelujah.....
by UnknownUnicorn467863
My Next Long Term Position TRYJPY LongI am slowly building a big long position in TRY/JPY pair. Turkish Lira is quite under-valuated at these levels and despite the recent strength of Japanese Yen I think in the long run JPY will weaken across the board. This is a carry trade position which will bring lot of interest while running. At 8.5% current interest rate of Turkish Lira outperform almost all peers in the world and with inflation and demographics of Turkey slowly going down I think soon we will see a major trend reversal here with significant strengthening of the Lira by more than 10-15%.
Long
by auroraspot
USD/TRY 4H Chart: Short term decline in progressThe US Dollar is one of the many currencies, which are gaining strength against the Turkish Lira. Although the most patterns are similar on the pairs that involve the currency of Turkey, there are minor differences. In regards to the USD/TRY currency exchange rate the most notable difference is the fact that the pair is a the moment trading in a junior channel down pattern. The pattern is set to guide the currency pair down to the support of the most dominant pattern near the 3.90 mark. Afterwards a continuation of the long term surge can be expected.
Long
by UnknownUnicorn890690
4
EUR/TRY 4H Chart: Euro at new heightsThe common European currency continues to book new high levels against the Turkish Lira. On all timeframes and scales the currency pair is surging and it has been like that for a few years. In the short term the pair is set to continue the surge. It should occur after the currency exchange rate finds support in a combined support cluster near the 4.66 mark. Afterwards the Euro will have the range up to the 4.7930 level free from resistance against the Turkish currency.
Long
by UnknownUnicorn890690
6
USDTRY USD Turkish Lira Short set-up with big potentialUSDTRY US Dollar Turkish Lira This is striking impulse wave: and when it breaks down it's a fabulous short Cannot short this whilst within the power of this massive impulse wave. But once it falls out of the parallel it becomes a massive short - once broken, look for any retest of the parallel from the underside once broken as a second shorting opportunity with stops above the parallel. This break down could be imminent...worth watching this one. It could come all the way back down to the longer term trend line, given enough time. It will likely form a trend as it does so...draw in the parallels as it emerges and stay short whilst it's trapped within them. Good one, looks like, even if a little exotic. A trend is a trend, wherever it originates!
Short
by sumastardon
1