XU/100 BIST100 TURKISH STOCK MARKETIf it breaks the resistance line which comes from 2013, then it may goes to 275 (2000 in TRY). If not, it would return to 200 (1470 in TRY) at least.
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Turkish
GOING BACK TO NORMAL AFTER AUTUMN ATTACK - GLYHO - WEEKLYThank you for your likes and shares! Much Appreciated!
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The Global Yatirim Holding Shares Price Evolution Is Very Interesting And Shows How To React To Surprises!
Be careful this green line is probably not very solid support, it can break at anytime.
The black line possibly acts like a gravity center price line.
As you can see we traced vertical lines of the previous super fall and reported that line to the recent super squeeze of buyers.
We have here probably a vision on the elasticity of the market.
Like when you stretch an elastic and it comes back.
Between 28/09 and 3/11, it was probably the moment during the year when big actors where the most active to win the fight against smaller traders.
Many have probably lost money during that period.
That is when it is good to know when to cut losses and wait for better day.
We are probably back to normal market shape and are waiting for a break of the new channel to enter in the market.
Looking for short direction trades opportunity will possibly be clever.
From last post, you can see that we just extended the lines, there no coincidences.
Last time we said:
"""
Beware, possibility of continuous uptrend then a pullback down from the red line.
Other possibility is a market fear which could lead to a brief retreat to the down red support
"""
What happen next is exactly this scenario, we have seen the market going down very strongly with high volumes involved, this to squeeze seller and then run up alone to reach new highs, breaking then one after the other.
At the end of the run on the top squeezing very violently the remaining happy buyers who are now holding on very RED positions.
What is happening next? When those people will liquidate to limit loses the market probably will go back up again and the same story, new big actor comes, see the opportunity and push help them by squeezing up and the market possibly retracing to the black super strong resistance line.
Have this scenario for next traded on GLYHO.
Happy End of Year!
Turkish Lira Showing Signs Of StrengthI posted a monthly chart for the Dollar a few months back that showed the Dollar will continue to lose value in the future. This will obviously not happen overnight, but I expect over the course of 2021 the dollar will continue to it downtrend. Looking at the Turkish Lira monthly chart, we see bullish divergence, and several indicators showing strength. If you look into the emerging currencies market vs. the Doallr you will see the same exact picture. DO NOT be fooled, the Dollar will lose value this will impact the US economy on a global scale.
A Strong Sky & A Weaker Foot - Trend - TCELL TurkishCell - DAILY#tcell #turkishcell #stock #turkishstock #trading #trendanalysis #chartpattern #ttradingidea #easychartreading
Thank you for the shares and likes! Much appreciated!
to simplify #tcell #stock is price is under strong pressure.
See the probabilities like that:
-The black dotted line is the possible imaginary center from which a #pullback is possible.
-The orange line on top is the probable strong resistance from which probably strong actors of this #tcell market defend.
-The red top line is the possible maximum #price that could be reached. Likely to be the best sells entry point at the moment but very very hard to get the price rising there.
-The bottom bleu line is the major #trending line for this year, it is a possible best #entrypoint for #long entry. If market succeed to break the middle black dotted line and reaches the blue one, probable good entry price for a #buy.
Beware of market breaking the blue support line, it will lead to a possible super fall in the price.
For people already holding a lot on this stock, beware at the black dotted line, decisions are to be taken from the moment the market price reaches that support.
#USDTRY - 200 BPS EtkisiTam burada 200bps faiz artırdık
Etkisi ne olacak? Esas sorumuz bu.
Düzeltme tetiklenirse aşağıda destek olarak 7.26
Tepe aşılırsa yukarıda 8.25 bizi bekliyor.
Right here we raised 200bps interest rate
Our main question is what will be the effect?
7.26 as support below if correction triggered
If USDTRY hit and pass the higher-high 8.25 above awaits us.
Money Supply Effect on BTCAs a summary my mid-long term projection is:
BTCUSD: Bearish
DXY: Bullish
BTC.D: Bullish
Altcoins: Bearish
Contrary to most, i still do not think that money supply will push BTC and crypto prices higher. US dollar is still powerful and till inflation starts to increase and DXY completes its movement, all pairs against USD have to be in correction.
At the end i wait very long and greedy bull market for all risky assets including cryptocurrencies and emerging markets. As an example, Turkish lira is one of the worst fiat currencies nowadays all around the world but it is just completing its major cycle against USD. You may check other emerging markets and currencies such as South Africa, Brasil etc.
XU100/USDTRY
To sum up, instead of a financial collapse, i will be waiting for risk appetite in long term but for now world need US dollar!
Big Day For USD-TRYUSD TRY shouldn't close today above 7.1 for a lot of technical reasons I cannot possibly mention here.
Let me just say that there should be a ton of resistance there.
Right now it is surprisingly holding very close to the top.
If it doesn't close and spends a few days in this area the possibility's become increasingly bullish.
In the event that it closes above 7.1 at any point within next week it's mid term target becomes 9.2 and there will be very little resistance to get there.
In the event that it closes today above 7.1 the price will rally like a rocket and 9.2 will be reached in a much shorter timeframe.
This is very sad for all Turkish people. And what's even worse is that no one there has a clue about this.
Are Turkish Banks creating opportunities? (XBANK.IS) In dollar terms, the Turkish Banking Index is in a long-term squeeze.
With the new works that started to arrive, albeit late, after the Lira's compression, we can see that the index can throw itself back to the upper band at the end of 2020 and at the beginning of 2021.
The estimated return on a rise up to horizontal resistance will also be over 200%...
Only personal opinions and ideas. Does not Include Legal Investment advice...
EUR / TRY 7/6/2020Welcome to this analysis on Euro / Turkish Lira.
EUR / TRY has been in a massive macro uptrend since 2019, It paused around the highs of the previous uptrend cycle of 2018 at 7.850.
Since the 7th of May, the market has gone sideways, it had a pullback to 7.35, re accumulated there, and bounce back to the previous high.
Looking at the structure, it looks like it has made a Symmetrical triangle pattern which can also be a handle of a Cup And Handle continuation patter if price closes above the previous high at 7.85.
The target of the triangle is at 7.9 and the target of the Cup And Handle is around 8.25.
The 2 levels of resistance above the current price are the previous high at 7.85 which used to be a daily close high of the 2018 cycle as well and above that the psychological 8 level which is also the wick highs of 2018 cycle.
This trade idea has 2 rewards to risk if it hits the triangle's target and 5.5 R if it hits the target of the Cup And Handles.
Good luck trading.
Ascending scallopNote USDTRY's 92 percent negative correlation with Crude Oil on weekly. Crude oil needs to to trend up for USDTRY to fall. Long terms trends seem to be effected by Crude Oil, as is the case with Mexican Peso and Thai Bath with which heavily Lira correlates (90 and 88 percent). It also has 97 positive correlation with the Natural Gas (XNGUSD) on 4 hrs.
Price formed ascending scallop pattern (Lira trends in scallop series), classified as short term bullish continuation pattern. Ascending scallop reversals perform better than continuations. Narrow scallops take less time to reach ultimate high than short ones. Tall patterns perform better than short ones. Scallops get narrower and shorter when compared with prior scallops in series. For more, refer to Bulkowski's Encyclopedia of Chart patterns. Chapter 41. Scallops, Ascending.
Price is moving in rising channel. Uptrend on weekly. Intermediate pullback. For trend change, channel needs to be broken to the downside.
Since price broke May roof it should eventually hit R5 (7.42) - I marked the target.
But first we should reach weekly S5, after breaking weekly support S4.
Price below May A down pivot and will make a loop swing below it.
The size of that loop might vary. The loop's bottom will be either at weekly S5 or at yearly R4.
Top correlation 4 hrs
1 USDTRY - EURTRY 99.0%
2 USDTRY - GBPTRY 97.2%
3 USDTRY - EURCZK -92.2%
4 USDTRY - USDTHB 87.5%
5 USDTRY - XNGUSD 87.2%
6 USDTRY - USDCZK -85.8%
7 USDTRY - GBPCHF 84.1%
8 USDTRY - EURGBP -84.1%
9 USDTRY - GBPCAD 82.2%
10 USDTRY - GBPNOK 81.6%
Top correlation 1 day
1 USDTRY - GBPTRY 92.2%
2 USDTRY - EURJPY -91.3%
3 USDTRY - AUDNZD 88.9%
4 USDTRY - CHFJPY -88.4%
5 USDTRY - AUDCAD 87.4%
6 USDTRY - AUDCHF 86.5%
7 USDTRY - EURTRY 83.6%
8 USDTRY - AUDSGD 83.3%
9 USDTRY - AUDUSD 81.2%
10 USDTRY - EURSGD -80.3%
Top correlation 1 week
1 USDTRY - GBPMXN 95.0%
2 USDTRY - XTIUSD -92.9%
3 USDTRY - XBRUSD -92.8%
4 USDTRY - GBPTRY 92.5%
5 USDTRY - EURTRY 92.5%
6 USDTRY - USDZAR 92.3%
7 USDTRY - EURZAR 91.5%
8 USDTRY - NOKSEK -91.5%
9 USDTRY - USDMXN 90.1%
10 USDTRY - CADCHF -89.7%