LINK Spring is here!Ecnebice baslik attim ama tum analizlerimi Turkce yapicam. Memlekete faydam olsun bari. Arada bir yabanci dilde yazarsam artist demeyin.
Huzurlarinizda Wyckoff teknik analiz prensiplerine gore olasiligi yuksek bi spring action.
Yavastan burayi kullanip Wyckoff prensiplerini anlatmaya basliycam.
Spring action dediginiz sey zemberek, yani o hattin altinda gerilip gerilip fiyati yukari firlatabilir.
Diger ihtimal de, tahmin edersiniz ki, kendini yukari atmayi beceremez ve kara dehlizlere dogru duser. Sasirdik mi?
Durum su:
Fiyat AR hattini kirdi. Ilk testinde geri cikamadi. Ancak hattin altina kirilirken de, test ederken eksik olan bi sey var. Ne arz, ne de talep hacmi yukselmedi. Iste burda suphelenmeye basladim durumdan. Bu hareketliligin BTC'deki oynakliktan kaynaklandigini dusunuyorum. Aylarca durdu, simdiyi buldu,
Volum olmamasi ne demek, LINK'i alan yok, satan yok. Temelde saglam bir coin oldugundan, satin alanlarin bir cogu elinde tutuyor. Yoksa dusecek olsa simdiye cakilirdi. Cakilmamasi iyiye isaret. Ama BTC durulmadikca, LINK'in yukselisini kisa donemde biraz geciktirebilir.
Ortam sakinlediginde LINK eger dirence donusen AR hattini kirabilirse, test etmesini bekleyip satin almalara baslanabilir. AR hattina, ya da risk hesabiniz neye elveriyorsa belirli bir mesafeye stop loss konulmasi elzemdir. Yok, ben stop loss filan kullanmiyorum Allah ne verdiyse derseniz, siz bilirsiniz. Ben yine de korunun derim.
Mayis ayinda New York'teki Blockchain Consensus'ta olucam.
LINK'in gelecegi acisindan dananin kuyrugunun kopmasini bekliyorum. Bi sey duyarsam haber ederim.
Not: Yatirim tavsiyesi filan degildir. Sonra kafama eksimeyin. Riskinizi hesaplayin, kaybetmeyi goze alabileceginiz miktarla yapin su isi.
Turkish
TOPSY-TURVY TURKEY? $TURInteresting to note that despite the nice gains Turkish equities saw in January 2019 (+15.7%) to make up for December 2018 (-6.87%), the asset class has experienced some nasty losses in February (-3.63%) and March (-4.36% so far) - all of which are quickly eroding all YTD gains.
Its the only EM market to have suffered such losses so far (rivaling that of South Africa). To add insult to injury, it appears that Turkish equities have had great difficult trying to break through its 50-Day EMA as well, indicating global equity investors are loosing faith in Turkish equities.
To complicate matters even further, the Turkisk Lira (USD/TRY) has been down 3.46% against the US Dollar so far in 2019, putting further stress on the currency.
In continuation from last year, it may mean that markets are trying to tell us something about the health of the Turkish economy for 2019. As global investors continue to shed Turkish assets throughout 2019, this is one space investors should be very wary of investing in over the next little while.
We recommend caution against Turkish assets.
TOPSY-TURVY TURKEY? $TUR $TRYUSDInteresting to note that despite the nice gains Turkish equities saw in January 2019 (+15.7%) to make up for December 2018 (-6.87%), the asset class has experienced some nasty losses in February (-3.63%) and March (-4.36% so far) - all of which are quickly eroding all YTD gains.
Its the only EM market to have suffered such losses so far (rivaling that of South Africa). To add insult to injury, it appears that Turkish equities have had great difficult trying to break through its 50-Day EMA as well, indicating global equity investors are loosing faith in Turkish equities.
To complicate matters even further, the Turkisk Lira (USD/TRY) has been down 3.46% against the US Dollar so far in 2019, putting further stress on the currency.
In continuation from last year, it may mean that markets are trying to tell us something about the health of the Turkish economy for 2019. As global investors continue to shed Turkish assets throughout 2019, this is one space investors should be very wary of investing in over the next little while.
We recommend caution against Turkish assets.
7.80 in the crosshairs..=> For those who believe in the bearish Turkey story, yet again we are at significant value areas for USDTRY longs. The 5th wave we mentioned in our previous idea can be seen clearly here and shows how the floodgates for 7.80 are wide open.
=> From a technical perspective the 5th wave target, the first major target is 6.78 (assuming wave 5 is a 1.00 ratio in length of wave 1).
=> Given the nature of this rally so far there is a very large chance this can extend well beyond the initial targets as far as the 2.168 extension at 7.80.
=> It is also worth noting for those following EW that the 5th wave usually marks new highs... confidence in this view will increase above 5.60 so for those wanting a less aggressive entry you can sit tight and watch closely and good luck to those wanting to pull the trigger early for the move of 2019.
=> This is going to be a monstrous move and worth tracking for those interested in watching the EM collapse continue.
USDTRY: The story how to record historical lows againExpected trend: Bearish
Target: 4.3000
Risk: 5.7800
Technical reasons:
The USDTRY pair started a bullish correction after placing 5.13 low, it stopped at 23.6% Fibonacci correction level, to rebound downwards again.
The last move inside an ascending channel is considered as a bearish flag that supports the chances of continuing the bearish trend on the short term and medium term basis.
All the price needs now is to break 5.25 to confirm triggering a new bearish wave, supporting the chances of achieving the double top pattern’s target at 4.30.
We need to consider that surpassing 5.69 then 5.78 levels is considered as the key to achieve new gains that start at 6.00 then 6.20.
TRY/JPY - Incoming DropTRY/JPY is currently weak and could potentially break it's bullish support and fall further down.
Place your SL above the high of the current consolidation zone.
To play it safe, one can simply place a Stop Sell order right below the 50 EMA on the 6H chart or simply the current support line to catch the move as it breaks its current support.
I would personally not risk more than 1% on this trade.
Trade safe.
USDTRY Possible Ending Diagonal?Hi,
First of all, I am not an elliott expert. So, you should not open any positions with this analysis.
If my analysis true, I am seeing an ending diagonal at 5.th wave.
Ending diagonals can be seen at 5th. wave of bigger degree motive wave, or C wave of bigger degree of correction wave.
So as you can see in the chart, I am expecting a rise before a big fall. I can't give you any take profit or stop loss point. Should wait end of 5th wave of diagonal.
Note: There may be an infringement that may invalidate the count: As far as I know, the second wave can not be a triangle
Bests,