#CRK Power of Fibonacci with convergent signalswww.tradingview.com
NYSE:CRK
As per my analysis on October 19, the stock moved as expected on the support area + Fibo 0.618.
This trade shows the power of the Fibonacci levels ( mainly 0.5 and 0.618 ).
Fibonacci level associated with any other signal like divergence, support, resistance, and so on... give a great trade opportunity
Tutorial
How to Tweak & Sync Indicator Settings? (and Why should I care?)This post is dedicated to exploring and reviewing key concepts specific to configuring technical indicators - these concepts may be obvious to those who have been doing charting and technical analysis for a long time, but hopefully useful to some who are new to charting and the world of technical indicators.
Also once we are familiar with these concepts, we are able to leverage them with almost any chart setup, any indicator, any trading style, any timeframe - or choose not to use them at all - or to partially use them - we will have the necessary background to make an intentional decision to develop our own configurations.
in this exercise, we will attempt to answer few -but very common- questions:
1. what are the best settings i should use for my indicator(s) ?
2. what are "correlated indicators" ?
3. Why should i use indicators on the chart - The price action has all the information i need.
First a quick, fun exercise............. What's wrong with the above chart ?
Nothing, right? we're looking at a daily chart of the Q's - we're using 3 of the most famous (built-in) indicators: The Moving Average Ribbon - on the price panel- and the MACD and the RSI - on lower panels- all 3 indicators are used with default settings (you may say "no one does that?" - we will for now - just for the sake of the exercise, and to explain couple of concepts, so hold that thought).
(for this exercise, assume i am a QQQ trader who traders the daily timeframe. I open and hold positions for few days to few weeks)
Now, let's use the chart above to identify long or short trades based first on the MA cross-over (looking at the 2 faster MA's in the ribbon) and check for confirmation from the MACD and the RSI in the lower panels. Should be easy, right ? we'll start by marking the MA cross-overs with a vertical line that cuts thru the MACD and RSI and see what we get.
here's the chart showing this part of our exercise
we have found 4 possible trade setups, based on the (2 fast) MA cross-overs on the price panel - but when looking for confirmation from MACD and the RSI, we ended up with 3 with confusing signals and 1 that's a "Maybe Long" (... if you find yourself in this situation -regardless of what is being traded, what indicators you use or the timeframe, then hopefully this post may help)
Question 1: So how to tweak and sync my indicator settings to get good, reliable trading signals across multiple indicators?
there are 3 steps to answer that question and get our "no confusion" chart setup completed.
Step 1: identify your trader's preferred timeframe and trader's time horizon
let's quickly review these 2 core concepts
a. The Traders Preferred Timeframe
each trader has one (or more) preferred timeframe that works best for what and how they trade (full-time vs part-time, stocks, futures, forex, options, crypto..etc etc), their trading style, their risk appetite and tolerance, their capital, and some other variables.
the first thing i need to determine is what is my preferred timeframe. for example, for me, it is the daily (1D) - i have tried the hourly, the 10min, and also the weekly...etc before, and i found i am much more comfortable with the 1D timeframe. it suits my trading style and goals - i have enough time to adjust trades, don't need to watch charts all the time...and many other reasons.
so 1st requirement: identify preferred trader timeframe: daily (check!) (what is your preferred trader timeframe?)
b. the trader's "time horizon"
with the preferred timeframe identified, the next step is to define what is my short, medium, and long time horizon i need to be watching and analyzing to make trading decisions (others may call this something else, let's call it the time horizon)
for example, as a day traders, who trades only stocks and basic options, i need to look at the price action for the current week, 2 weeks and 4 weeks (almost a month) - that doesn't mean i won't look at charts that show price action for a whole year, or an hourly - but for making a trade decision, the price action for this week and this month are what i need to check the most
there, we just solved 2nd requirement - my time horizon
let's express this in terms of my timeframe: 1 week = 5 daily bars, 2 weeks = 10 daily bars, and 4 weeks = 20 daily bars (check!)
(what are your short, medium and long time horizons as expressed in units of your preferred trader timeframe?)
from the above exercise, i identified that i need my indicators to be set to 5, 10 and 20 on a daily chart. this is going to be the most comfortable and relevant settings *for me* to support my trading decision according to *the way I trade*
Step 2:
Ok, so now let's tweak and sync our indicators in the above chart and see if that improves my ability to find possible trades
we'll set the MA ribbon to 5, 10, 20, 50 - we set the MACD to 5 and 10 (don't worry about the MACD smoothing/signal - let's make it 4) - and we set the RSI length to 10
make sure we're using the "close" price as the source across all indicators
make sure we're using EMA (vs SMA) as the moving average type across all indicators whenever possible.
Here's the *same chart* with my indicator settings tweaked and Sync'ed
Step 3:
let's make some simple but *really useful* visual enhancements to help us see the chart overall in a "visually clearer" way (this is very useful to the more "visual folks out there) -- here's what we did
- we hide the unused (slower MA's) on the price chart (for now)
- we added an EMA smoothing line on top of the RSI - and made it easier to see (color, width) - hide the underlying RSI itself - you know how to do that trick, right?
- we also tweaked the main MACD line (color, width) to make it stand out - other elements are tweaked to "fade"
Now let's see if it's now easier to find those trades - Here's the same chart with Sync'ed Indicators AND our "visual tweaks"
- and voila! we can see 5 trades with signals from all the indicators agreeing and confirming.
All signals are in sync - no "maybe's" and a lot less confusion - and the best things is, all indicators are tweaked to my preferred timeframe and my trader's time horizons.
you can apply the same approach we used here to any other indicators you use. we just used this set as an example and to explain this concept.
Question 2: What are correlated indicators ?
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to answer that question, look at the last chart we arrived at above - Do you see something surprising in that chart?
if you inspect the MACD and the RSI plots, you will find they are - visually and broadly - similar , right? they both cross the base line (0 for MACD and 50 for RSI) almost at the same places - and they have overall similar "plot shape" - why is that?
this is because the MACD and RSI when sync'ed and tweaked, are correlated indicators - although the calculation formula is different for each, and one of them (RSI) is a restricted oscillator (+100 / -100) while the other (MACD) is not - they both express price momentum - and when tweaked and sync'ed the way we did above, they will (almost) give the same signals. in fact, in our example, all our 3 indicators (the MA pair on the price panel, the MACD and the RSI) are correlated - they're all ,basically, "saying the same" thing - the signals are triggered at exactly the same time - they are redundant in this setup.
what does that mean for me as a trader ?
it means i'm not receiving any "valuable, additional" insights by having 2 (or more) indicators that represent the same price attribute (in this case momentum) - unless,
-- i intentionally want that - and will change settings for one of those indicators to reflect a different "time horizon". for example, i can set the MA pair on top to lengths 20 and 50 - and use the MACD to get signal on the short term (5 and 10) action while the pair on the price chart act as a long-term filter (only take long trades when the MAs agree).
or
-- i start looking at utilizing other technical indicators that provide completely different insights - and inform me about other "hidden market action attributes" & variables beyond the ones i already have (volume is an excellent indicator by itself, also can check for indicators of sentiment, strength of move, squeeze...etc) - this is where more technical analysis research will guide the trader - also it's useful to learn from others and what they are using in their trading setups, and asking "why" questions.
there's so much to say in this part - but i will leave it there.. just a teaser and hope i was able to make some of you curious to research this further - review your trading setups and see if your settings are out of sync, there is redundancies, and how you can get a better picture of price action thru your chart setup.
Question 3: if price action has everything i need, why do i need technical indicators in the first place?
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- this is a big debate .. for me, the answer is simple - can you drive your can without the dashboard that informs you when you're about to run out of fuel, or that you're exceeding the legal speed limit - or less obvious things, like your engine temperature - or when the engine oil is below the (red) limit. if i do that once, and i still get safely to my destination, it's definitely not a sure sign that this is what i should always do, or how everyone should be driving their cars.
but then again, it doesn't have to get too sophisticated - if, for my preferred time frame and my time horizon, i can see insights that makes it easier for me to quickly understand the price action (like the dashboard in my car), if i can see the trend, strength / momentum, volume supply / demand, and the prevailing sentiment - i guess that would be good enough.
Also, there's that other big topic - that indicators are meant to indicate. again, the dashboard in your car is meant to show these things like fuel, speed, engine temperature and oil level, RPM..etc - but the dashboard will not tell you where to go with the car .. you already have a plan, and that's why you're driving your can in the first place.
so indicators do not trade for us -- and all this exercise above, is in the service of (and a function of) the trading plans and goals that you already have in mind, before looking at any indicators.
in closing, sorry for the long post :) - hope this post helps inspire some fellow traders to further improve the way they trade.
please trade safely.
Patterns of possible market correction or reversal 📊
Trend reversal or correction chart patterns signify a reversal of the current trend on the observed chart. In a bullish trend, a reversal formation indicates a highly probable reversal and initiation of a bearish movement.
In a bearish trend, a reversal patterns leaves bullish clues and indicates a highly probable bullish accumulation.
No matter bullish or bullish reversal pattern is spotted,
The trigger that we are looking for is a breakout of the pattern’s support/resistance.
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Trade everything that moves. The mechanics of the position set💡
Trading on the market can be regarded as a full-fledged struggle for the right to survival, where the main enemies are two factors, infinite randomness and time.
By adapting your positions to what is happening, you risk becoming that very accident and you can only fight with time.
The mechanics of the position set includes a theory about the direction of the price.
Directivity theory
The essence lies in the continuous direction of the price when the distance from the selected zone is inevitable. It is important to highlight the level and work as soon as the price reaches these values.
How is the usual set of positions made
Opening a position in a certain direction, as soon as the price goes against the desired forecast, closing with a stop loss, abandoning the transaction, searching for a new entry point, and trying to predict the direction, is an extremely difficult task.
An example of a set of positions taking into account the theory of price orientation and risk control R
The mechanics of position recruitment are based on clear and simple principles of operation, flexible thinking, quick adaptation to market sentiment.
If you start to apply these mechanics in practice, you will notice how at first glance simple things are difficult to do the practice. There will be a feeling that nothing will work, there is no logical explanation for this, eventually, everything will be lost and a big chaotic high-speed car will crush you.
This is the basic principle, as long as the market is such, you have very little chance of the death of capital. While large funds, investors, and someone else is fighting among themselves for huge movements, we do not necessarily have to accept their rules of the game and play on their territory in predicting the general and long-term direction of the market.
You should think with your head and look for benefits primarily for yourself, taking into account all the nuances of what is happening.
But how to be flexible?
Constantly turning over a position is completely unprofitable, in the final execution, losses exceed the target profit. It is not at all clear where and when to put stops, overturns, and takeaways.
This is where the risk control system R will help us
She kicks down the door, breaks into our strategy, and, as the most important puzzle, falls into its rightful place!
From my experience, the optimal risk per trade for a beginner is $10
With a smaller volume, there will simply be no motivation to work.
But it is worth remembering that the deposit should not be extremely small, as it will not withstand a series of unsuccessful transactions
For example, if the deposit is $100, 1R= $10, the power reserve is 10 stops, this is extremely small
But with $ 400, you can already try, since the probability of getting 40 stops in a row is extremely small
Example of risk calculation for a $1000 deposit
The risk is reasonably low
R=$10
Power reserve 1000/10=100
100 stops
I recommend having a power reserve for the 200R series, from practice I can say that for training and the first results will be enough.
All calculations are carried out without taking into account the commission
A few tips for improving efficiency:
- Do not risk your funds in vain, TradingView provides an excellent opportunity for paper trading (demo) completely free of charge, where you can try out any of your ideas and strategies.
- Search for highly volatile tools and work with them.
- Analyze the broker (exchange) for conditions, commissions play a particularly important role, pay attention and look for more favorable conditions.
- Before you start trading, you should have a clear action plan, the most important component of which should be a risk control system.
- Your stop should be tied only to the mathematical component of the transaction.
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DIVERGENCE IS CONVERGENCE
✅There are several main ways to work on the stock exchange in trading. Technical analysis, for example, is recognized as effective and is used by almost all market participants. But the disputes about indicator analysis do not stop for a long time. Some traders talk about the backwardness of the method because trading operations are performed faster every day. Others build successful strategies based on one or more indicators. Still, others combine two methods to find successful market entries and get an effective tool for making money on the stock exchange. Divergence is often used for this, which will be discussed below.
🔴What is divergence
Divergence is one of the strongest signals that indicator analysis can demonstrate. To obtain it, one of the possible oscillators is used. The divergence conditions are that the curve of the price chart diverges from the indicator data. For example, with an uptrend, the price continues to move up, while the oscillator shows a decrease in the interest of the main participants of the trading system. In this case, we should expect a change in the direction of the price.
Such a change does not always mean a new trend. Sometimes it can be a normal correction or price fluctuation. To determine the exact forecast, the methods of technical analysis of divergence are used. The result largely depends on the timeframe, sometimes on the support and resistance levels.
⚠️There is also an opposite process — convergence when the price of an asset decreases, and the indicator shows growth. This process is called convergence. Both signals are used in the Forex market, but they are known collectively as "divergence".
There are bullish and bearish divergences in the Forex market. In addition, divergence is divided into three types:
1️⃣Classic divergence.
2️⃣Hidden divergence.
3️⃣Extended divergence.
❗️To successfully trade currency pairs on Forex, taking into account divergence, you need to learn how to correctly read information from the market. A combination of indicators and fundamentals of technical analysis will help in this. Divergence plays an important role, so its indicators cannot be ignored.
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Trend Reversal Patterns📈📉
1️⃣ Pattern head and shoulders
After the pattern has become visible, namely, the right shoulder is visible, the trader needs to wait for the breakout of the neckline. Breakouts occur on strong impulses with a sharp increase in volume. Therefore, in order not to miss the entry and enter at the best price, it is better to use a sell stop order.
To calculate where the price will go after the breakout of the pattern, it is enough to measure the height of the pattern (vertically from the maximum of the head to the neckline) and postpone it until the breakout point.
2️⃣ Inverted head and shoulders pattern
Occurs in a downtrend and foreshadows an uptrend. The rules for working on a figure are similar to the previous ones.
It should be noted that "head and shoulders" in its pure form is very rare. Be careful!
3️⃣ Double Bottom Pattern
After you have identified the pattern on the price chart, you need to wait for the breakout of its resistance line. If the price has broken through the resistance, then the target will be the width of the pattern's range - the distance from the lowest point to the resistance.
4️⃣ Double Top pattern
A double top is like a double bottom. The only difference is that this pattern is reversed and occurs in uptrends.
The number of extrema in a pattern can be not only double, but also triple. But the rules of work will be the same for everyone - enter the breakout, postpone the target to the height of the figure and wait for it to be fulfilled.
5️⃣ Diamond
We measure the height and wait for the breakdown. If there is a breakout, then the target of the price movement will be the height of the pattern from the breakout point.
6️⃣ Cup and handle
Trades are opened when the "handle" is broken upwards. The target is the height of the formation.
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Education: Three Day Trailing Stop Rule (3DTSR)ICEUS:KC1!
I learned a handy tool used to manage risk under certain circumstances - the Three Day Trailing Stop Rule (3DTSR)
In this example, I actually fade the 3DTSR, but being able to execute different styles of trading strategies reflects an understanding of them, while acknowledging that no system or strategy used in markets will be perfect.
Three Day Trailing Stop Rule:
There is one initial criteria for the 3DTSR to become active -
Either
Upon Pattern Breakout - to limit initial risk/add to position at lower relative risk
OR
Upon Reaching 70% of Target from Breakout as a Trailing Stop
In an Uptrend, to exit a position using the 3DTSR
Day 1 is the High Day, defined by a new price high - at this point, we are not aware of the setup
Day 2 is the Setup Day, defined by a closing price (end of day) that is below the low of Day 1 - at this point, the trigger is active
Day 3 is the Trigger Day, as the stop is placed below the low of Day 2
The 3DTSR can also be used as an entry strategy, as shown in the chart here.
Day 1 = High Day
Day 2 = Setup Day, where price closed below the low of Day 1
Instead of placing a stop below the low of day 2, here I fade the 3DTSR by ADDING to a long coffee position, and jamming the stop to below the low of Day 2
Day 3 = The low of Day 2, or the trigger, is never penetrated, and price opens a cent higher
If using the Trigger as a stop, or below the low of Day 2, and using the Triangle shown to imply a measured target, this is a whopping 20 to 1 trade setup.
Do you have any profitable trading systems or strategies?
BTC.D : A quick note on bitcoin dominance and altsCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
Hello everyone 😃
Before we start to discuss, I would be glad if your share your opinion on this post and hit the like button if you enjoyed it !
It is inevitable that at some points in the cycle, Bitcoin will outperform almost everything. With a few outliers of course. However, it's important that this doesn't change your game plan.
Your game plan should already be set in motion. If you track your portfolio daily, both in USD and BTC, there are always fluctuations if you are holding a mixture of BTC, Alts and USD.
It would be near impossible to maintain your portfolio's equivalent BTC value round the clock, unless of course you were all in BTC.
I personally hold BTC as my base asset during bull runs (switching to USD at local tops or as near as I can) as well as moving to ETH as my base asset when ETHBTC looks set to out perform.
However, it is inevitable that my alt coin holdings (spot) that I have accumulated will take a hit during a strong BTC run - so you may see your 'BTC worth' drop at times; However, I think of alt holdings like a coiled spring. When under pressure BTC, they bleed - and are suppressed.
If you've accumulated at support, you need not to worry about the temporary drawdown in BTC, because in general alt coins out perform BTC in the right conditions, and so when bitcoin puts in a local top, altcoins regain their dominance and begin out performing.
HOWEVER
It is important not to be 'alt heavy' at times when the BTC dominance is at support.
It is important to rotate the ratio of BTC:ALT:USD holdings to lessen the impact of alts bleeding at certain times in the market.
For example, in January of this year, it was an amazing time to load up on altcoins given that BTC dominance was at resistance. We then saw astronomical gains in alts across Feb/March when BTC.D dropped like a rock. Then, in May when BTC.D hit support, the whole market tanked but alt coins got hit the hardest. Alts will lose value when BTC is volatile, in either direction. So it's important to balance the ratio of your holdings across BTC, alts and stables at certain times in the market.
I pay attention to Bitcoin dominance more so for my spot holdings. For my trading account, every asset is simply a method of making a profit on percentage gains.
So whether I'm trading BTC, ETH or alts - it doesn't matter as much.
But for spot holdings, I generally want to cycle my ALT:BTC or ALT:USD holdings.
When BTC.D is at support, I want to hold less alts.
When BTC.D is at resistance, I want to load up on alts.
Trading Basics | Your Main Trading Time Frame ⏳
Hey traders,
You frequently ask me what is the most important time frame to analyze and follow.
And even though I must admit that multiple time frames must be taken into consideration for successful trading like weekly/daily/4h/1h. Among them, there is the one that is universally considered to be principal. That is a daily time frame.
There are a lot of reasons why so many traders rely on a daily time frame:
1️⃣ - Daily time frame shows a global market trend at the same time reflecting a mid-term and short-term perspective letting the trader catch trend following moves and spot early reversal signs.
2️⃣ - Covering multiple perspectives, daily time frame is the foundation of the majority of the trading strategies being the main source of key levels & pattern analysis.
3️⃣ - Daily time filters out news events that happened during the trading day. It shows the composite reaction of the market participants to all the data posted in the economic calendar.
4️⃣ - Daily time frame reflects all trading sessions. Within one single candle, we see the outcome of the Asian, London, and New York Sessions.
5️⃣ - Daily candle filters out all the noise from lower time frames & intraday price fluctuations and sudden spikes & rejections.
6️⃣ - Covering all the trading sessions, daily time frame mirrors the activities of big players like hedge funds and banks. Showing us the flow & direction of big money.
⚠️Being so important for analysis, do not neglect other time frames.
The most accurate trading decision can be made only relying on a combination of intraday and daily time frames.
What is your favorite time frame to trade?
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Keep your schedules in order
Keep your schedules tidy and clean. Focus on understanding and feeling the market, not clouding your judgment with indicators!
When people send me their screenshots of technical analysis, sometimes it happens that I have a hard time understanding them. Such graphs are in complete disarray and cause confusion and frustration.
Tip: after you have used the indicator, remove/hide it from your chart. Keep only what is relevant.
Do you keep your charts clean?
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Stop loss is your enemy?
One of the most common misconceptions in trading is that your STOP LOSS is your ENEMY.
But in fact, the opposite is true. Stop loss is your best friend
There will always be losing trades because they are part of the trading system. You cannot avoid them, but you can CONTROL the losses.
Stop Loss is a defense mechanism designed to get you out of the market at the PRESERVED PRICE and LOSS that you planned.
Exiting a stop loss certainly doesn't make you a bad trader.
When a trade goes against you, you are the most vulnerable in terms of irrationality and emotional instability. SL (Stop Loss) exists to get you out of the market safely and securely before your emotions get the better of you and further damage your account balance.
Most newcomers to the market make the same mistakes ... Always increase the SL size, add more positions at a loss, and risk most of their accounts for a few trades.
Always adhere to 1-3% RISK PER TRANSACTION.
The key to the game is longevity.
By understanding that your SL is your savior, you can release the emotional tension of a losing trade and instead maintain maximum clarity on your charts to quickly move away from PRE-CALCULATED losses as a simple part of the process.
With the right RISK / PROFIT RATIO and adherence to the RISK principles of 1-3%, you can get more losing trades than profitable ones, but at the same time remain a profitable trader 💰
Your worst feeling is greed.
Keep your losses minimal and you will quickly find that your trading will improve tenfold by simply exiting the market when it no longer matches your preconceptions and plans.
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RISK MANAGEMENT + PATIENCE = SUCCESS
Hello everyone! In this idea, I will try to warn you against the wrong approach to trading.
As you know, 95% of retail traders hold their losing positions for too long in the market, but at the same time cut profits before the trade reaches its potential.
That is, a trader, being in unprofitable positions, is ready to sit out huge drawdowns -50% ..- 70% ..- 100% of the deposit, but at the same time, with a profitable trade, he is ready to close the profit with a yield of + 1% with trembling hands.
It is a common trait of a retail trader to be constantly at war with the market.
The fastest way to drain your deposit is to fight against trades that are going against you. 95% of traders fall into the trap by increasing their stop loss on an open trade or, even worse, adding even more positions to a trade that goes against them, sincerely hoping that the market is about to turn around and go in their direction.
Successful traders do the opposite.
Taking the risk per trade of 1-2%, they minimize their losses in unprofitable scenarios by closing by stop loss. But in the case of profitable trades, they take MORE profit than they initially risk.
In this case, a profitable trader may have more losing trades than positive ones, but he will still be in profit.
Take the emotion out of your trade and let price hit your stop loss where you set it. Thus, your losses do not exceed the threshold of the planned risk, allowing your profitable positions (with a good risk: reward ratio) to override any that did not work in your favor.
Cut your losses and let your profits grow
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KNOW WHEN TO STOP TRADING🛑
A trader who is in a bad mood should think about taking a break.
The easiest way to determine when a BREAK from trading is needed is to first assess your current emotional state and performance.
- Do you constantly close the trades couple of seconds/minutes after you opened them, chaning your mind?
- Do you spend all day "burning" your eyes, watching charts to find patterns just for the sake of making money fast?
- Are you deviating from your trading plan?
- Are you taking more risks than usual?
If you answered "YES" to at least one of these questions, then it's time to stop.
Always let the market give you the conditions for trading. Build your analysis = Follow your trading plan & strategy and let the market do what it needs to do. Never get into the market at random or into the first pattern you come across. You will often notice that the pattern is not the best trading condition.
When you find yourself violating strict risk management and trading plan, take a step back and understand what may be causing your irrational decision-making.
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Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #4 (short read)Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #4
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What is the role of a financial custodian? –
A custodian or custodian bank is a financial institution that holds customers’ securities for safekeeping to prevent them from being stolen or lost. Custodians are responsible for the safety of assets and securities and provide services that include trade settlement, investing cash balances as directed, collecting income, processing corporate actions, providing valuation of securities positions, and providing recordkeeping and reporting services.
What is the role of a financial exchange? –
An exchange is a marketplace where securities, commodities, derivatives and other financial instruments are traded. The core function of an exchange is to ensure fair and orderly trading and the efficient dissemination of price information for any financial instrument trading on that exchange.
What is the role of financial regulators? –
A regulator authorizes, supervises and regulates, financial institutions operating in a country to ensure the soundness of the overall banking and financial system. This supervision enables financial institutions to operate and provide efficient banking and financial services.
RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR CORPORATES AND INDIVIDUAL INVESTORS – Portfolio Diversification –
Portfolio diversification is the process of investing your money in different asset classes and securities in order to minimize the overall risk of the portfolio.
For both corporate and individual investors, having access to markets that enable the building of a diversified portfolio is an important consideration when managing futures focused accounts.
Similar to managing risk, the market to trade would be a key variable to clearly state and support with reasons for trading or investing. Reasons for selecting one market over another could include price volatility, liquidity, daily volume traded, size of the minimum price increment, and value of the minimum price increment. Comparing these variables between markets will help decide the suitability and/or risk of each.
For example, the parameters for a price driven strategy may be designed to be applied to any market whether it be index equity futures or forex futures. However, the signals for entry may not always trigger if a trader were just to focus on a single index equity futures such as the Micro MSCI USA Index futures.
Having access to other futures markets to apply the strategy to allow for the creation of a diversified portfolio with varying entry and exit points or the ability for more trading oriented investors increased opportunities to execute price driven strategies more often across a range of futures markets.
TRADDICTIV · Research Team
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Disclaimer:
We do not provide investment advice, nor provide any personalized investment recommendations and/or advice in making a decision to trade. Before you start trading, please make sure you have considered your entire financial situation, including financial commitments and you understand that trading is highly speculative and that you could sustain significant losses.
Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #3 (short read)Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #3
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What is liquidity and what is its significance? –
Liquidity refers to the availability of a product and ensures market participants have the ability to buy and sell easily.
A liquid market increases the likelihood for finding a counterparty when entering or exiting a trade.
What is volume a measurement of in trading? –
Volume in trading refers to the total number of contracts exchanged between buyers and sellers of a market during trading hours over a given period.
Higher trading volumes are considered more positive than lower trading volumes because they indicate the availability of orders in the market allowing better order execution during the trading session.
What is open interest in the derivatives market? –
Open interest is the total number of outstanding derivative contracts, such as options or futures that have not been settled for an asset.
Open interest equals the total number of bought or sold contracts, not the total of both added together. Increasing open interest represents new or additional money coming into the market while decreasing open interest indicates money flowing out of the market.
RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR CORPORATES AND INDIVIDUAL INVESTORS – Position and Risk Management –
Risk management is the responsibility of market participants designed to limit risk exposures that specifically applies to the participants financial profile in the market.
The financial profile of a participant may include their role in the financial market or the amount of capital under their responsibility to be managed in the market, and therefore the risk variables that each would need to identify may be unique.
For both corporate and individual investors, the market to trade would be a key variable to clearly state and support with reasons for trading or investing. Reasons for selecting one market over another could include price volatility, liquidity, daily volume traded, size of the minimum price increment, and value of the minimum price increment. Comparing these variables between markets will help decide the suitability and/or risk of each.
For example, if bitcoin (BTC) moves around 1,000 points per day and each point is worth $1, a trader might experience a $1,000 fluctuation in their account balance for one day. Another example is the U.S Dollar / Singapore Dollar (USDSGD), which could move 70 pips or more per day and trading a standard lot size with each pip worth $10, a $700 fluctuation could be expected for one day.
Market participants may also manage their risk through the size of their positions. The larger their position size, the greater is their exposure and the smaller their position size their exposure is lower. Investors should determine the risk that would result from various position sizes and select the size that ensures that their risk limit is not exceeded.
Finally, setting stops with a specified loss amount provides protection if the market does not move in the desired direction. It helps to prevent creating a loss scenario which is larger than an account can handle.
TRADDICTIV · Research Team
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Disclaimer:
We do not provide investment advice, nor provide any personalized investment recommendations and/or advice in making a decision to trade. Before you start trading, please make sure you have considered your entire financial situation, including financial commitments and you understand that trading is highly speculative and that you could sustain significant losses.
Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #2 (short read)Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #2
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What is the Notional Value of a Futures Contract? –
Notional value of a futures contract is how much total value the contract theoretically controls.
Contract Size * Underlying Price = Notional Value.
Bakkt ® Bitcoin (USD) Cash Settled Monthly Futures (BMC) for example has a contract size of 1 bitcoin and assuming the BMC price is $60,000.00, the notional value of the futures contract is $60,000.00.
What is the difference between Margin and Leverage? –
Margin is the amount of money deposited with the broker to control a futures contract. It is determined by the futures exchange and maybe adjusted by the broker to manage risk to their clients.
Leverage is the ability to use less money to theoretically control 1 futures contract compared with buying the product underlying the contract outright which amounts to the notional value of the futures contract.
To calculate how much leverage a futures contract gives, divide the notional value of the contract by the margin.
The BMC example above had a notional value of $60,000.00 and with a margin requirement of $18,000.00, is equal to approximately three times leverage on our money ($60,000.00 / $18,000.00 = 3.33).
What is a Point and a Tick? –
Point is the smallest price increment that can occur on the left side of the decimal point. (Example. 90.000)
Tick is the price movement that occurs on the right side of the decimal when looking at the price of a futures contract and is the smallest possible price change measured by markets. A Point is composed of Ticks. (Example. 90.000)
Mini US Dollar Index® Futures (SDX) has a minimum price fluctuation of $0.005 representing one tick and would move from 90.000 to 90.005. It takes 200 ticks to make one point or a move from 90.000 to 91.000.
Risks and opportunities for corporates and individual investors: HEDGING PORTFOLIO RISK –
Hedging bitcoin exposure with the Bakkt ® Bitcoin (USD) Cash Settled Monthly Futures (BMC) contract is a way to manage portfolio risk by taking a directional position opposite to the underlying asset as protection.
For example, a hedger may have plans to hedge downward price movement in bitcoin using futures contracts based on in-house market and portfolio analytical processes. The market analysis may use common technical analytical techniques such as support and resistance to formulate the trade decision. In the chart (Figure 1), if bitcoin is expected to weaken as it nears the resistance areas, the hedger may plan to enter into a short futures position using the Bakkt ® Bitcoin (USD) Cash Settled Monthly Futures contract under either price levels of $46,000 or $52,000 to lock in the value of their underlying bitcoin position.
TRADDICTIV · Research Team
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Disclaimer:
We do not provide investment advice, nor provide any personalized investment recommendations and/or advice in making a decision to trade. Before you start trading, please make sure you have considered your entire financial situation, including financial commitments and you understand that trading is highly speculative and that you could sustain significant losses.
Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #1 (short read)Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #1
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What is Hedging? –
Hedging is the action taken through the use of a financial instrument to minimize the loss or risk of the loss of value of an asset due to adverse asset price movements.
Who are Hedgers? –
Hedgers are market participants such as commodity producers who want to lock in selling prices of commodities they produce, or food manufacturers who want to lock in buying prices of raw materials purchased.
Market participants also include financial institutions handling financial assets and use derivative products such as futures to manage the risk of a portfolio of financial assets.
What is the difference between Physically Delivered vs Cash Settled Futures Contracts? –
Physical delivery is a term in a futures contract which requires the actual underlying asset to be “physically delivered” upon the specified delivery date, rather than being cash-settled.
Cash settled futures on the other hand allows for the net cash amount to be paid or received on the settlement date of the futures contract.
Futures exchanges may offer both types of contracts to market participants who have different purposes for trading futures contracts.
Risks and opportunities for corporates and individual investors: HEDGING –
Hedging currency exposure with the Mini U.S. Dollar Index ® futures contract is a way to manage business currency risk by taking a directional position depending on business requirements for conversions to or from the U.S. Dollar.
For example, a hedger may have expected the U.S. Dollar to weaken from 93.50 on 31st March (based on an analysis involving the overall downward trend in the market having retraced to the Fibonacci retracement level 76.8%) and may have had plans to convert U.S. Dollars to Singapore Dollars over the coming months to make payments to suppliers in Singapore Dollars. The hedger could have opened a short position using the Mini U.S. Dollar Index ® futures contract at or around 93.50 to lock in the value of the U.S. Dollars that they planned to use in the future at the time of payment to the supplier.
TRADDICTIV · Research Team
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Disclaimer:
We do not provide investment advice, nor provide any personalized investment recommendations and/or advice in making a decision to trade. Before you start trading, please make sure you have considered your entire financial situation, including financial commitments and you understand that trading is highly speculative and that you could sustain significant losses.
TRADING HIERARCHY | KNOW WHAT MATTERS THE MOST ⚠️❗
Hey traders,
I vividly remember how I started to trade 8 years ago, how I was learning, and the things that I was doing.
Contemplating my old self, I notice a dramatic shift in my mindset in regards to trading.
Staring at the charts and desiring to make money on price action, I wanted to become a consistently profitable trader. Making the priorities, I decided to sacrifice my time on studying technical analysis totally neglecting trading psychology and risk management.
Learning different trading strategies I always came to the same result: the account went blown and nothing seemed to work.
Strategies of fancy traders on YouTube, strategies from best-selling books on Amazon, nothing could produce any penny.
Not giving up and pursuing my ultimate goal I came to the conclusion that I set my priorities absolutely incorrectly.
To be honest, I always thought that trading psychology (like psychology in general) is s*cks. Moreover, I considered risk management to be kind of obvious, banal topic not deserving much attention.
Learning risk management techniques, applying them in day trading I finally saw a glimmer of hope.
Reading dozen of books on trading psychology, contemplating my mistakes, and observing my behavior I noticed so many wrong, incorrect things that I did on a daily basis.
With time and practice, my mindset shifted.
I realized that most of the strategies that I applied and that seemed losing to me, in fact, were decent.
It turned out that mastery of technical analysis is not enough for profitable trading. Instead, that is just a tiny part of what must be learned.
Now, when my students ask me about the most important things to learn & study in trading, I always say:
trading psychology and risk management go first, technical analysis is the secondary.
❗ Do not neglect these topics and give them due attention. They are an essential part of your success in trading.
🤔 Do you agree with the pyramid that I drew?
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Analyst and Trader. What are the differences?
The main difference between an Analyst and a Trader is in their main goals.
For an analyst, the main goal is to determine the future price and write articles.
Most analysts give a double trend direction in their forecasts, as they worry about their incorrect forecast, and hedge in case of their mistake.
For a trader, the main goal is to MAKE a PROFIT when working in the market. At the same time, the direction of the trend is a secondary goal, since you can also make a profit by scalping when the trend does not matter much. Each trader has his approach to trading and his trading strategy. One trader opens a long position to earn money on the growth of quotations, but at the same time, another trader opens a short position on the same instrument to earn money when the price drops.
PROFIT is the main priority for the trader.
The analyst can show alternative options for the development of events, leaving the trader to make a responsible decision about actions in one or another option. At the same time, the Analyst does not risk anything - neither his money nor his reputation, since TWO OPPOSITE scenarios insure him from making a mistake.
As a rule, 65% of analysts do not trade themselves, but only write analytical articles and make forecasts.
A few facts about the analyst and trader:
Analyst:
- collects information and analyzes the market situation
- writes analytical articles
- makes forecasts (usually in two directions, for safety)
- probably trades/invests by himself according to his forecasts
Trader:
- determines the direction for a potential transaction
- performs risk calculation and installation of a protective order (stop loss)
- performs trading operations on the market to make a profit
- manages and accompanies the position from the beginning to the end
And who do you think you are? An analyst or a trader?
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5 Important Candle Patterns that You Need to Know
5 most important candlesticks to know!
Simplicity is the key to a positive result, and many traders ignore the simplicity of using these 5 MAIN candle patterns and the importance of each of them, as well as what they are.
Many traders complicate everything and make trading more complicated than necessary. Using only these 5 candle patterns together with other basics of technical analysis is all you need to successfully make money in the market!
Learn to read the market like a book, read candles-it's like reading words on a page. Candlesticks are the language of the market, and to understand the market, we must be fluent in the language of the markets.
Knowing exactly where to find and trade these 5 candle patterns can change your trading forever.
Candlesticks combined with other methods of applying technical analysis can be incredibly powerful in understanding where financial markets can go.
It is important to remember that candlestick patterns are a physical representation of human psychology and decisions made in the market.
Think deeper. The candles that you see on your charts, actually give you clear signs of what the dominant side (buyers or sellers) wants to do next.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️