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The Dollar INFLATION? Part 2 (see link to Part 1 attached below) Hello,Traders! As we found out in Part 1,the FED and The Treasury added 5.3 Trillion dollars to the money supply, with 3 Trillion Dollars being spent, not invested and all that coming from borrowing, not taxes, which would have created price inflation even without the supply shock. However, the supply side was also affected by the lockdowns, and below is a summary of how this happened! First of all, we saw a massive structural change, with the demand suddenly shifting from services to goods , as the majority of the former became unavailable to the indoors bound population. That additional demand for goods, would have strained the supply chain in any scenario, but several factors made it much much worse. First, the lockdowns in China, especially Wohan, a major logistics hub, brought some of the manufacturing and shipping to a halt, that led to the initial shortages, but the demand fell sharply too, so at first, the two canceled each other out. Then with China opening up at the end of 2020 faster than any other country, and the demand picking up in the US and other countries , China started shipping Covid-19 supplies and other goods to the rest of the world. But as manufacturing in China recovered , the United States were locked down, which affected two major ports in the US : the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach. The thing is that 41% of all the US container traffic goes through just these two, and while the container traffic went up by 49%, the ports were operating at lower capacity , due to the dock workers either being sick with Covid, or being in quarantine. Loaded Ships were stranded for weeks , waiting to be unloaded, doubling the shipping time. As if that wasn’t enough, the shipping containers price went from 1800$ to 3500$ , because due to the lockdowns in the US there wasn’t much to be shipped back to China, and for every 100 containers that went in, only 40 were exported back . The ports operating at lower capacity didn’t have the resources to load empty containers onto the ships going back to China, and the truck drivers shortage lead to that the empty containers weren’t returned back to the ports, from inside the US. This led to a vicious cycle: shortage of shipping containers was worsening the shortage of shipping capacity, which was worsened by the shortage of port capacity, which in turn was worsening the shortage of shipping containers, which as in turn worsened by the shortage of truck drivers which worsened the shortage of goods. All that led to scarcity exacerbated by the debt funded, non-investment consumer spending, and worsened by a demand shifting from services to goods.A perfect storm situation, which nearly collapsed the «Just-in-Time» manufacturing based supply chains. All that led to the official FED inflation figures for April 2021 being 4.2% , which is A LOT! And more is to come, if the lockdowns are not lifted, and, especially,if Biden's 6 Trillion budget gets passed. Please, Like comment and subscribe!
Education
by TopTradingSignals
1
The Dollar INFLATION? Part 1 Hello,Traders! The fears of inflation are now the reality, with the official FED number showing that inflation went from 1.6% in 2020 to 4.2% in April 2021, which means that the situation "on the ground" is even worse. Even just by looking at the charts of lumber, copper , and other commodities , while finding out that all the cars in your local dealership are sold out a year ahead, and the car prices are up, with the FED and the Treasury competing for the number of zeros on their official operating papers, the thoughts of «shortages» and «inflation» are naturally creeping into your head,followed by the question of "how it all came to it?" And while the Covid-19 and the lockdowns are the obvious culprits, the details are interesting. So let's dive into the mess of the Covid-19 consequences to find out. Generally, Inflation can be caused by any of the two components: excess money supply, directed towards consumption, as opposed to investments, or goods supply shortage, with the unchanged money supply. In 2021 we seem to have both, but the details are quite peculiar. Let's deal with the excess money supply bit first, as it is kinda obvious: In march of 2020, the FED added 2.3 Trillion dollars to the direct asset purchases program, while expanding indirect liquidity by relaxing bank reserves standards, and relieving other regulations of the money markets to facilitate lending and prevent broad money contraction. Most of that money, however, went into the financial assets, inflating the asset prices, which can be seen by looking at the prices of Gold , Bitcoin , S&P500 , and other key benchmarks. U.S. Fiscal Policy bit, however,was more directly relevant to the consumer goods inflation . Throughout March and April 2020, the U.S. government passed three main relief packages and one supplemental package, totaling nearly $2.8 trillion. After the passage of the supplementary package in April, nicknamed "stimulus phase 3.5," there was no substantial action on COVID-19 stimulus or relief from Congress for several months as each party proposed their own stimulus package. Then, after the election of President Biden in November, a $900 billion stimulus bill was passed in December 2020. Another $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan, was signed into law by President Biden on March 11, 2021. 3 Trillion Dollars was actually spent so far, the remainder being available to congress for allocation. Most of that money was spent, not invested, and came from borrowing, not taxes, which, would have added to inflation even without the supply shock. The supply side of the equation, however, looks much more complicated, but we will dive into that in the next article, tomorrow! If you want to read the most interesting piece, please like comment, and subscribe!
Education
by TopTradingSignals
1
The Dollar INFLATION? Part 2. (see link to Part 1 attached below) Hello,Traders! As we found out in Part 1, the FED and The Treasury added 5.3 Trillion dollars to the money supply , with 3 Trillion Dollars being spent, not invested and all that coming from borrowing, not taxes, which would have created price inflation even without the supply shock. However, the supply side was also affected by the lockdowns, and below is a summary of how this happened! First of all, we saw a massive structural change, with the demand suddenly shifting from services to goods , as the majority of the former became unavailable to the indoors bound population. That additional demand for goods, would have strained the supply chain in any scenario, but several factors made it much much worse. First, the lockdowns in China, especially Wohan, a major logistics hub, brought some of the manufacturing and shipping to a halt, that led to the initial shortages, but the demand fell sharply too, so at first, the two canceled each other out. Then with China opening up at the end of 2020 faster than any other country, and the demand picking up in the US and other countries , China started shipping Covid-19 supplies and other goods to the rest of the world. But as manufacturing in China recovered, the United States were locked down, which affected two major ports in the US : the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach. The thing is that 41% of all the US container traffic goes through just these two, and while the container traffic went up by 49%, the ports were operating at lower capacity, due to the dock workers either being sick with Covid, or being in quarantine. Loaded Ships were stranded for weeks , waiting to be unloaded, doubling the shipping time. As if that wasn’t enough, the shipping containers price went from 1800$ to 3500$ , because due to the lockdowns in the US there wasn’t much to be shipped back to China, and for every 100 containers that went in, only 40 were exported back . The ports operating at lower capacity didn’t have the resources to load empty containers onto the ships going back to China, and the truck drivers shortage lead to that the empty containers weren’t returned back to the ports, from inside the US. This led to a vicious cycle: shortage of shipping containers was worsening the shortage of shipping capacity, which was worsened by the shortage of port capacity, which in turn was worsening the shortage of shipping containers, which as in turn worsened by the shortage of truck drivers which worsened the shortage of goods. All that led to scarcity exacerbated by the debt funded, non-investment consumer spending, and worsened by a demand shifting from services to goods.A perfect storm situation, which nearly collapsed the «Just-in-Time» manufacturing based supply chains. All that led to the official FED inflation figures for April 2021 being 4.2%, which is A LOT ! And more is to come, if the lockdowns are not lifted, and, especially,if Biden's 6 Trillion budget gets passed. Please, Like comment and subscribe!
Education
by TopTradingSignals
8
The Dollar INFLATION Is HERE? Let's Find Out! Hello,Traders! The fears of inflation are now the reality, with the official FED number showing that inflation went from 1.6% in 2020 to 4.2% in April 2021, which means that the situation "on the ground" is even worse. Even just by looking at the charts of lumber, copper, and other commodities, while finding out that all the cars in your local dealership are sold out a year ahead, and the car prices are up, with the FED and the Treasury competing for the number of zeros on their official operating papers, the thoughts of «shortages» and «inflation» are naturally creeping into your head,followed by the question of "how it all came to it?" And while the Covid-19 and the lockdowns are the obvious culprits, the details are interesting. So let's dive into the mess of the Covid-19 consequences to find out. Generally, Inflation can be caused by any of the two components: excess money supply, directed towards consumption, as opposed to investments, or goods supply shortage, with the unchanged money supply. In 2021 we seem to have both, but the details are quite peculiar. Let's deal with the excess money supply bit first, as it is kinda obvious: In march of 2020, the FED added 2.3 Trillion dollars to the direct asset purchases program, while expanding indirect liquidity by relaxing bank reserves standards, and relieving other regulations of the money markets to facilitate lending and prevent broad money contraction. Most of that money, however, went into the financial assets, inflating the asset prices, which can be seen by looking at the prices of Gold, Bitcoin, S&P500, and other key benchmarks. U.S. Fiscal Policy bit, however,was more directly relevant to the consumer goods inflation. Throughout March and April 2020, the U.S. government passed three main relief packages and one supplemental package, totaling nearly $2.8 trillion. After the passage of the supplementary package in April, nicknamed "stimulus phase 3.5," there was no substantial action on COVID-19 stimulus or relief from Congress for several months as each party proposed their own stimulus package. Then, after the election of President Biden in November, a $900 billion stimulus bill was passed in December 2020. Another $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan, was signed into law by President Biden on March 11, 2021. 3 Trillion Dollars was actually spent so far, the remainder being available to congress for allocation. Most of that money was spent, not invested, and came from borrowing, not taxes, which, would have added to inflation even without the supply shock. The supply side of the equation, however, looks much more complicated, but we will dive into that in the next article, tomorrow! If you want to read the most interesting piece, please like comment, and subscribe!
by TopTradingSignals
27
Shark Fin SoupI have been studying BTC for the past 8 years and I have been trading forex professionally for 3 and a half years. I have found and back tested a new method called SHARK FIN SOUP for the last year and I am finally sharing the trade for the first time to the public ever. It all started with 60 years of research by professor Eisenhower, well known professional professor with a PHD in biology from Harvard Law. His findings were based on a shark that went extinct over 80 years ago. What he discovered has revolutionized the entire Western hemisphere and Eastern hemisphere and Southern and now finally we are bringing it to the North. The long awaited Shark Fin Soup method (illegal in some countries (western hemisphere))!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by practicalApric56808
4
Enel Chile SA 🧙Enel Chile SA is an electricity utility company, which through its subsidiaries and affiliates is engaged in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity businesses in Chile. It operates through two segments including Generation Business and Distribution Business. The Generation Business Segment is comprised of a group of electricity companies that own electricity generating plants, whose energy is transmitted and distributed to end customers. The Distribution Reportable Segment is comprised of a group of electricity companies operating under a public utility concession. If you want not to miss ideas like this one,🎯 subscribe and press a thumb up! 👍 Have a question? Don't be shy to ask! 🤓 Interested to study how to analyze charts, follow me!
NYSE:ENIC
by yura_trades
Trading Basics Part 1:How Candlesticks Work! Hello,Traders! Japanese Candlesticks are thought to have been invented by the Japanese rice traders And then made their way into the West where they were used for stocks, forex and commodity trading. Reading candlesticks is quite easy: the body represents an area that indicates the price distance between the open and close of the candle, while wick’s ends indicate the full magnitude of the movement in-between open and close. Thus, when picking the timeframe for your chart, you are deciding on how much time will be contained between open and close of each candle. If open is below the close, the candle is bullish , and if open is above the close, the candle is bearish , which is usually represented by different colors of the bodies and wicks on the chart, typically, green and red. Some of you might ask me, why am I explaining things that seems to be obvious and self evident, yet my experience of Coaching, paints a different picture, with thecandlesticks being undervalued and misunderstood by many, despite them being the staple of technical analysis . In my trading strategy, which is based on multi timeframe top-down technical analysis , we examine multiple timeframes, from 1 week to 1 hour, going from higher to the lower timeframes. Looking for strong levels on weekly and daily and for patterns and confirmations on 4 hour and 1 hour charts. Which means that we are opening 1 week/1 day candle like a Russian doll, finding multiple candles inside the other. We enter the trade only if we are getting the same bias on all timeframes that were of our interest! If you found my post helpful and interesting, please, like comment and subscribe! Thank you!
Education
by TopTradingSignals
13
REVIEW BITCOIN H1 TRADE PLAN PROFIT IDEA 21 - 24 MayHi, As you can see the chart. I give you more review for my strategy in Bitcoin. in this chart you will see 3 trades are win. I won't focus on win or lose, I will teach you how I can make money day by day With each trade, you can see the big bar close cross over Kijun and Tenkan . Look the Volume you see the factor higher SMA 50 Volume . So what is it mean ? LOL in this chart I can not say more. >> LET CLICK LIKE & FOLLOW TRADE PLAN PROFIT With each trade I will bet 2% capital, I don't care about pips, I only focus RISK PER TRADE First 2 trades, I can make + 1.6 %. but last one I make + 6.88 %. Sometimes, I lose more than win, but when I lose I only lost max 2 % per trade and win will make XXX Big TIMES Thanks.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by tradeplanprofit
Trends. Correction of trends. Sure reversals and deception.Read and watch carefully. Learn to think. Opportunities do not turn into a manic-depressive syndrome due to your greed, misunderstanding of work and processes, both local and global. Shown in the graph for comparison. Today's situation is 19 05 21 ("Creativity 19") versus 13 03 21 ("Creativity 13") a similar situation in the past. Your intelligence in the right direction can make you rich if you think for yourself and control your emotions. 1) "Deceptions" in the growing trend of 2017. Playing with the psychology of desires and expectations. Simple psychology. March 2017 july 2017 september 2017 I would like to draw attention to how the expectation and disappointment of the main market participants are used here for "driving a round dance of greed". 2) "Faith that cannot be killed". Situation after the peak of 2020. 17-12-17 "Revolution". 17 12 2019 06 03 2020 3) Dump. Important decision. Manipulation before a scheduled dump. Overdid it .... 14 11 2018 16 12 2018 An "unexpected mess" with .... the main trend. Slow, subtle fix. 4) Dump before BTC halving 13 03 2020 16 03 2020 Start 2 under the stage "Crown" (CrownCode6) Closing sectors (13/3/22) Using the situation In such a situation, TA and fortune-telling (inferences due to the data of the old chart history + news background) do not matter. It is simply the desire of a very small group of players at work. How to counter and use it? Always have your own plan for different outcomes of trading situations, more likely and less. Understand what risk management is and use it in practice. Always protect your profits (the greed of the majority of those who give away does not allow this, it is used). Rise / fall. Your trading system should work in different directions. Understand the "mood of the crowd", not be among them. No emotion. Cold calculation. Projection of the above on cash earnings: 1) If you are correct the amount grows in astronomical progression. Gives new potential "For other things" 2) If you are wrong, it does not decrease significantly. Provides new potential "for development in this speculative hobby." 5) Dump before BTC halving. The trading situation is large scale. 13 03 2020 16 03 2020 "The girl did her best" ..... 6) Situation 19 05 21. The first "sabotage". 19 05 2021 2021 7) This situation is on a larger scale. 19 05 2021 2021 For those who know how to think 8) " Green Swan" . 4-6 06 2021 9) COP26. 1 11 2021 - 12 11 2021 First SHAH, then MAT.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by SpartaBTC
18
REVIEW AUDUSD H1 TRADE PLAN PROFIT 17 - 21 MayHi, I review trades in last week, As you can see, I trade 5 trades I use Price Action combine with Kijun/Tenkan and SMA 50 Volume I win 2 trade with +5.4%, +4.8% and lose 2 trade with -2%, -2%. So I have +6.2% and one trade does close yet. My Rule: 1. Open Trade: Pin bar, Engulfing bar, Big bar close below/above Kijun with Volume higher SMA 50 2. Close Trade: Price close near Tenkan with high Volume Click Like and Follow Trade Plan Prfoit
by tradeplanprofit
XRP/USD Trend. Triangle 202% 9X True/False.The trend is pretty strong. In this upward trend, an almost perfect symmetrical triangle has formed. Notice how ugly the triangle was drawn at the beginning of the trend. Consider why this is so. 316, triangle with base 200%. Rational entry if you are a breakout or pullback trader after breaking the resistance of this triangle. If there is a strong pullback (unlikely), then from the uptrend line. A complete development of this formation (triangle) will lead to a breakdown of the resistance of historical highs (yellow level). Perhaps he will achieve his "name". A rollback, if possible, to the uptrend line (optional), which is not critical, but, on the contrary, a rebound from it will give even more confidence to buyers and holders in the right choice and that historical highs will be overcome. ... After the pumping of illiquid crypto garbage and several top liquid turtles BTC ETH LTC (BNB is an exception) in the near future, it is very likely that the turn will come before the pumping of liquid cryptocurrencies which "swing like illiquid assets" - using the "stick" method. In the "greenest month for green events", two of them are likely to be pumped up with a "stick by the method of the electronic god EGOD". I believe in "official, professional" liars. True lie, I want to be like everyone else, blind, I don't want to stand out from the crowd Remember when they launched the market (the entire cryptocurrency market), when they "raised XRP from their knees" after the effect of an outright false fairy tale of a terrible SEC. At an XRP price of $ 0.24 -0.26, you were almost "shouted" in the open: "Buy and regardless of any actions with the price on the chart - do not sell if you are not a trader! Send to your wallet and forget" Did you listen to this ???? They even told you the day openly when the pumping will start. Did you believe ??? I'm sure not. Greed is evil. Now 4.4 months have passed. The price is now $ 1.55, it was almost $ 2 That's 9X! Is this comparable to the bitcoin profit over this period? This is not enough for you ??? They give you money, why don't you take it? Maybe because at the moment of not understanding the work you want even more ?? Remember, everyone who is never enough will be reset in the moment. Greed and non-gratitude must be suppressed so that everyone appreciates what was and what is left. It is only when a person loses everything that he begins to appreciate past comforts and opportunities that he has not used before. This is the only way to turn on the brain of fools. Another question. Faith in liars. Why the hell are you reading crazy FUD news in a couple of lines for the real fools in the cryptocurrency market ?? In the end, this is just an outright lie. Their task is to deceive you and send you on the "wrong trail". It is important for them that you become easily manipulated fools. Why do you support and disseminate this? Why do you take fantasies and manipulative "news in three lines" (so as not to scare the text) as the truth? Such content creators are the culprits of your misunderstanding of the market and, as a result, the zeroing of your deposit. Can't you figure it out from the rudimentary history of their "news" and price charts? Their task is only one - to mislead YOU and THAT YOU LOST MONEY on the MARKET !!! You are walking on a paradox. When you are sweetly deceived by the "official news channels" with beautiful pictures (absolutely all lies and "water") - YOU BELIEVE. When you are openly told the truth and confirmed by real actions - DO NOT BELIEVE. MAY BE ALL THE PROBLEM IN YOURSELF ????
BITFINEX:XRPUSD
by SpartaBTC
16
UP or down?? Wait and see 😎triangle made out of a solid support, but we can see that its resistance was broken once just a little bit but the support has never been broken yet. its not a great hope but its something, keep watching the news to see everyything is ok with SHIB so it doesnt make a sudden move before you know it. or just activate the MA in Volume, so if its volume breaks the MA line you notice the direction change. (keep changing timeline to be sure) PitchFork shows an up trend so it makes more sense to be hopeful and hold 😉
Long
by jghanavizi
3
Useful FOREX TRADING STRATEGY FOREX TRADING STRATEGY with 20MA & chandelier Stop by TIZ The BWAB Trading Strategy (LONG SETUP) - Market is in a range (80 candles or more) - The price approach the highs of Resistance and forms a tight consolidation (buildup) - The 20 MA touches the low of the buildup - Place a buy stop order above the highs with 3 ATR trailing stop loss ( chandelier Stop ) The BWAB Trading Strategy (SHORT SETUP) - Market is in a range (80 candles or more) - The price approach the lows of support and forms a tight consolidation (buildup) - The 20 MA touches the highs of the buildup - Place a buy stop order below the lows with 3 ATR trailing stop loss ( chandelier Stop ) The BWAB Trading Strategy (SHORT SETUP) Chandelier Stop settings = Trailing stop loss Look Back perio = 1 ATR Period = 22 ATR Multiplier = 3 The chandelier stop offers a logical possibility to set the stop loss. The sl is very tight.
Education
by TizTrader
Mastering Elliott Wave AnalysisHi, traders! Today we gonna speak about Elliott wave principles. The Elliott wave principle is a form of technical analysis that finance traders use to analyze financial market cycles and forecast market trends by identifying extremes in investor psychology, highs and lows in prices, and other collective factors. Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871–1948), a professional accountant, discovered the underlying social principles and developed the analytical tools in the 1930s. He proposed that market prices unfold in specific patterns, which practitioners today call Elliott waves , or simply waves. Elliott published his theory of market behavior in the book The Wave Principle in 1938, summarized it in a series of articles in Financial World magazine in 1939, and covered it most comprehensively in his final major work, Nature's Laws: The Secret of the Universe in 1946. Elliott stated that "because man is subject to rhythmical procedure, calculations having to do with his activities can be projected far into the future with a justification and certainty heretofore unattainable." The empirical validity of the Elliott wave principle remains the subject of debate.
BEducation
by Skyrexio
10
Learn to Read Chart (MACD & XRP)✅ The MACD line is the 12-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) less the 26-day EMA. Closing prices are used for these moving averages. A 9-day EMA of the MACD line is plotted with the indicator to act as a signal line and identify turns. The MACD Histogram (Below the chart) represents the difference between MACD and its 9-day EMA, the signal line. The histogram is positive when the MACD line is above its signal line and negative when the MACD line is below its signal line. ✅ MACD's formula: MACD = 12-Period EMA − 26-Period EMA ✅ MACD is often displayed with a histogram which graphs the distance between the MACD and its signal line. If the MACD is above the signal line, the histogram will be above the MACD’s baseline. If the MACD is below its signal line, the histogram will be below the MACD’s baseline. Traders use the MACD’s histogram to identify when bullish or bearish momentum is high. ✅ The box below the chart has 2 lines which alert traders when a crossover happens: Crossovers are more reliable when they conform to the prevailing trend. If the MACD crosses above its signal line following a brief correction within a longer-term uptrend, it qualifies as bullish confirmation. If the MACD crosses below its signal line following a brief move higher within a longer-term downtrend, traders would consider that a bearish confirmation. ✅ TradingView lets you use the MACD for fast and easy forecasting. You can find it in Indicators & Strategies (f(x)) above your chart.
Education
by ShawnMCR
2