GLD 1 hour Chart AnalysisSentiment: Neutral to Bearish
As we've observed in the past two weeks Gold has been in a significant uptrend due to its negative correlation with the $DXY (US. Dollar Index) as well as overall volatility in the markets. However as we all know the law of gravity states that all things that go up must eventually come down.
Reasons:
1. Rising Wedge Pattern and Breakdown Confirmation
2. Tweezer Bottom Candlestick Pattern
3. Tweezer Top Candlestick Pattern
Tweezer
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/10/2020 SessionContract - CME_MINI:NQU2020
- High - 11156.75
- Low - 11073.00
*Plus Tweezer Top on the daily chart
Current Stats
- Gap: N/A
- Session Open ATR: 229.06
- Long-term (Daily) Trend: Bullish
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
Tweezer tops - EURUSD Traders often talk about several candlesticks and candle patterns but "Tweezer Tops" is rarely mentioned. You can look it up or just look at the weekly chart on EU instead. It is a pattern that could mean trend reversal or at least a short term change in direction.
A few qualifiers are:
- A clear preceding up trend must be present.
- The colour of candles does not matter.
-The top does need to be wicks (it can be full bodies too): the important aspect is almost matching highs.
- More effective if it occurs at a resistance area.
- If the first candle has a large body and the second one has a short body, the reversal is more reliable.
The market is simply indicating that it does not accept a higher price and is pushing it down. The fact that this is all happening at the top of a bull trend just means:
No More 😊.
IMO, if this pattern appears in a weekly chart it is more reliable, there is a lot of data assimilated in 2 candles. For target, I am looking at 1.1540 and then 1.1400 region.
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As always, please use sound money and risk management in all your trades.
P.S. – Tweezer Bottoms are a valid signal of trend reversal too.
CapitaMall Trust - Tweezer bottoms with Bullish divergenceCapitaMall Trust tested a significant support between 1.48-1.50 yesterday and today it formed a pair of tweezer bottom reversal candlestick with bullish divergence on the RSI to boot. Going long on this guy and looking for an initial target around 1.90 (the recent high). However I will be putting an initial stop loss at 1.47 and protect any profit with a trailing stop just below the previous day's candle.
Disclaimer: This is just my own analysis and opinion for discussion and is not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance. Thank you.
AUD/USD - LossI’m going to breakdown the loss I took on Friday and I could have done better but to be honest, without these market conditions there’s not a lot I would have done differently I would take this set up over and over again. But let me explain,
So I was looking at AUDUSD to come back down to the 0.600 level and to even dip below. I saw great confluences on the 4hour chart all the way to the 30-15 minute:
4 hour - Tweezer top and bearish engulfing
1 hour - Head and shoulders, another great tweezer top with a bearish engulfing
30 minute - Pulled back to the 50% retracement level, took the trade as we started rejecting the 61.8% seeing it react well to this which lined up with resistance.
As a self-review, the only thing I would have done differently was cut the trade after seeing this big strong push breaking the trendline but unfortunately, I was away from my desk. However, everything else was perfect, on to the next one!
Dow Jones Tweezer Bottom At SupportThe Dow Jones Industrial Average(DJIA, average of top 30 US stocks by market capitalization) closed back above the psychological level of $20,000 today and logged a gain of roughly 1%. Price also closed above the lower broadening wedge line(shared in previous charts) for the second day in a row which indicates that this level is still acting as a technical support level for price.
A popular candlestick pattern has also appeared on this two day hold above the lower wedge line which is called a Tweezer Bottom Candlestick Pattern. A tweezer bottom involves two price candlesticks that can signal a market bottom and are reversal patterns that occur when two or more candlesticks touch the same bottom level after an extended downtrend, indicating that a reversal may soon occur. Tweezer bottoms are considered to be short-term bullish reversal patterns and indicate that sellers were not able to push price any lower. Each price candle in a tweezer bottom consists of a long lower wick which represents the low of the day, while the candle bodies are relatively small and are located near the upper end of the total daily candle range.
This candlestick pattern is forming at a price level that was already expected to act as support(lower wedge line) which could indicate that the level will hold as support in the short-term leading to a relief rally in stock prices, which given the speed and magnitude of the selloff a relief rally is due, but not guaranteed. The lower wicks of each candle in the tweezer pattern are also holding above the 2015 support level highlighted in green. This is a secondary level of support stemming from historic levels of interest stretching back to 2015, which can also be found in previous charts shared.
It would appear that a combination of technical support levels with added fiscal stimulus and Federal Reserve intervention are leading to a pause in the downtrend while showing the potential for a bullish reversal back to the upside, at least in the short-term. Technical and fundamental traders views are aligning right now with a bullish bias in hopes that technical support and fundamental news will remain positive for price going forward.
If a rebound in markets is to come, we can look to overhead resistance levels in the Fibonacci retracement range for an idea of where price may bounce to. This Fibonacci range stretches from 100%(all-time high) down to the current lows(0%), and in between are levels based on the ratios found in the Fibonacci sequence. The first Fib level to watch for is the 23.6% which would represent price regaining 23.6% of the losses seen in during the recent decline and is the first level that price needs to rise above in order to add more bullish/positive bias. As long as price is currently below this 23.6% level the overall trend for price will remain down as price trading below it’s 23.6% Fib is the most bearish/negative level to be below. The most important level for price to move back above is the 50% Fib level which would represent price regaining 50% of the losses seen during the decline. Price trading above the 50% is considered bullish, while trading below the 50% is considered bearish. The ultimate level for price to beat to signal a return to an uptrend is the 61.8% fib level, which is the main ratio in the Fibonacci sequence, and also referred to as the Golden Ratio.
While the 50% and 61.8% are a long way off from price regaining, we can look for short-term movements for signals of trend reversal or downtrend continuation. For now our short-term movements that signal a possible trend reversal are the tweezer bottom candles, technical support holding at the lower broadening wedge line, as well as fundamental support coming from the Federal Reserve and U.S. government in the form of lower interest rates, bailouts for banks/corporations as well as fiscal stimulus for the American workers being affected by the coronavirus outbreak.
While these bullish signals are a good indication that we could see a bounce in the short-term, the overall outlook remains bearish since we are only in the early stages of the outbreak in the U.S. It is yet to be seen if the current intervention by the Federal Reserve and government will be enough to combat the coronavirus, which is still spreading at an exponential rate within the U.S. Bearish fundamentals are also abound as the US State Department issued a ‘Level 4 Do Not Travel’ advisory for U.S. citizens today. They are advising that all U.S. citizens avoid all international travel due to the coronavirus, and are stating that those currently outside of the U.S. should return immediately unless they are prepared to remain outside of the U.S. for a prolonged period of time. This is likely an indication that the U.S. is about to go into lockdown and halt all international and domestic travel, which would be an even larger burden on the US economic system.
Aside from the State of Emergency declaration made last Friday by President Trump, this travel advisory by the State Department is the most bearish fundamental news to come out arising from the coronavirus outbreak in regard to the U.S. economy and stock market. There has also been a report released by the U.S. government stating that the current outbreak could last 18 months, which mirrors a recent report by scientists at the Imperial College London with both entities stating that we could see waves of outbreaks meaning that even if we manage to successfully slow this virus via quarantines it will likely continue to keep coming back until a vaccine is found. I view these statements as bearish enough to negate any short-term bounces in markets as the overall outbreak appears to be a long-term event rather than short-term event. Markets have priced in a short-term pandemic in this -40% drop from all-time highs with hopes that the government will have it contained and gone by summer. If it becomes apparent that they do not have the situation under control, traders will begin to price in the 18-month prediction by health and government officials meaning we will most certainly see further declines in markets and not enter just a recession, but a depression. Companies can weather a 2-3 slowdown/shutdown in business with the current bailout packages coming, but 18 months of being shutdown means more layoffs and more company doors that will likely never reopen again. If 18 months is the real number we are looking at, we shouldn’t be worried about a recession, but rather a depression.
The short-term view on markets remains neutral, with the potential for a bounce in markets due to technical support being reached and fundamental news via bailouts. Intermediate to long-term view remains bearish due to the fact that this outbreak is still in early stages and still spreading at an exponential rate.
18 months of potential quarantines and businesses not being open with more likely to close. Keep that in mind before you hit that buy button on your trading screen.
AUDJPY: BreakdownWe are looking at the AUD VS JPY. Lets start with the geopolitical events occurring in Australia at the moment. The fire season has truly been a tragedy this year. With things coming to an end a lot of pessimism is expected to follow through, which will most likely cause the overall bearish sentiment to rise in the AUD economy.
In this chart you see a failing bullish cypher in which price broke the initial D point retracement of 76%. This removes the bullish bias and leads to further analysis.
Price action went on to break all of its previous structure and took out the initial support, and is now facing a minor pullback in the major swing of the broken cypher CD leg.
Price began to rally up after breaking the XA leg, and is currently facing resistance at 71% CD retracements which sets up the potential AB=CD pattern with a potential H&S pattern as confluence. Other confirmations could be the 89% XA retracement confluence or a tweezer top pattern.
According to Scott Carney, a 70.7% AB retracement should equal an 141% BC projection, thus creating the AB=CD.
A 79% retracement should equal 127% BC projections
89% retracements should equal 113 BC projections
This is invaluable information, but does need confirmation. Assuming that price will form an ab=cd pattern is wrong and plain delusional. Confluence such as price action, structure or fibonacci is required.
Looking at a potential profit target of 250 pips.
I'll keep this chart updated!
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Thank you for reading
God bless
eur/chf shortenThe chf is stronger than the euro and if a country is out of europe ; that means that they value their country more than whole europe.
In my opinion we see a small inside bar and a tweezer, that means a bearish scenario for this week.
i recommend to short ar 1.1000 and take profit around 1.08300 and the next take profit is around 1.06800 take ^profit
have a nice and trade week
USDJPY-Weekly Market Analysis-Oct19,Wk3A Bearish Bat setup within the supply-demand zone with a magic candle which in this case may read as tweezer tops. I will go for an aggressive short when market opens on Monday, let just hope that no major gap happens.
If a gap above and close above, I will have to scrap this trade-ideas.
If a gap below and close below, I will have to wait for a retest for a better entry opportunity.
BTC - MONTHLY AND QUARTERLY CLOSE So we had the monthly and quarterly (3 months) close this night (UTC time), and I can't keep off my thought this two environments looks a lot alike the one we had at the topping at 20 k. Tweezer tops, this gives me chills down the spine.
Thought the volume in the last run we had is above the one in the previous bull run. A good sign?
Keep an open mind and trade safe!
AUDCAD trading a double candlestick pattern on a down-channelAUDCAD testing the upper part of the down-channel, with a double candlestick pattern: a tweezers top and a bearish engulfing pattern.
Stop loss and take profit are very tight, since we are trading on the M15 within a very tight channel, so I suggest to check the spread first for your broker and avoid this trade if you have a spread that is over 1 pip.
BTCUSD 8/31/19 Possible Bullish ReversalThe market is showing signs of a possible bullish reversal of the current downward trend. The volume in the market isn’t supporting further downward motion and prices looks like it’s going to rebound.
Looking at candlestick patterns on the daily chart we have tweezer bottoms and a spinning top formations that are both reversal patterns.If we add in the Bollinger Band indicator we see that we are near the bottom of the band and there is not enough volume to allow for a further breakout in price below.
Next price actions that would validate a bullish reversal would be for the daily to close above the 100 EMA followed by closing above 10,000 and then being able to break through and close above a band of resistance from 10,000 to 10,400 taking out the new monthly pivot point.