A Step-by-step Guide to One of the Chart Analysis MethodHello Friends,
Welcome to RK_Chaarts,
Today we're going to learn step-by-step guide to one of the chart analysis Method by analyzing a chart of " Varun Beverages Ltd. (VBL) " to identify a trend change opportunity.(Educational Post).
Let's get started!
Applying Elliott Wave Theory
First, we can see that the bottom formed in March 2025 is likely a Wave ((4)) in Black as a bottom, marked as such on the chart. From there, Wave 5 should move upwards. Looking at the daily timeframe, we can see that price gone up in five sub-divisions of Wave (1) in Blue of Wave ((5)) in Black have completed, marked as Red 1-2-3-4-5, that means blue intermediate Wave (1) has ended, and Wave (2) has begun, which is unfolded in corrective nature marked as WXY in Red of Wave (2) in Blue.
According to the wave principle, Wave (2) should not retrace more than 100% of Wave (1), which started from the 419.65 bottom. Therefore, 419.65 becomes our invalidation level. If the price moves below this level, it would invalidate our Wave (2) principle.
Assuming our wave counts are correct, the upward movement is in the five sub-divisions, and the downward movement is in the three sub-divisions. Definitely, the conviction is increasing that we have correctly identified Waves (1) and (2). Shown in chart image below
Tweezers at Bottom
Now, we can see that Wave 2 has retraced more than 70% and has formed a Tweezer candlestick pattern at the bottom. A bearish candle was followed by a bullish candle, both with a Tweezer-like shape, with the second candle being green. This could indicate a potential reversal. Moreover, the latest candle has also taken out the high of the previous two candles, showing follow-through. The price has also shown follow-through on the upside after that. So, this can be considered as the first sign that Wave 2 might be ending, marked by a significant Tweezer pattern at the bottom with a follow-through candle. Shown in chart image below
Significant Breakout Pending Yet
Secondly, from the top where Wave 1 ended, we've been considering the decline from around 560.50 as a resistance. We drew a resistance trend line, and if the price breaks out above it, we can say that the resistance trend line has been broken, indicating a breakout above the last fall's trend line, Which is not Broken yet. Shown in chart image below
Dow Theory
The Dow Theory states that when the price moves up, it forms a Higher High, Higher Low pattern, and when it moves down, it forms a Lower High, Lower Low pattern. Somehow, the Dow Theory also needs to change, as the last swing was forming a Lower High, Lower Low pattern. The last swing high was at 479, which we marked with a green arrow. If the price crosses above it, we can say that the price is now forming a Higher High pattern. This indicates that the Dow Theory is changing from a falling trend to a rising trend. Shown in chart image below
Stop Loss
Once the Dow Theory also changes, we can use the last swing low at 446.15 as our stop loss. However, this stop loss will only be valid after the Dow Theory changes; otherwise, the invalidation level will remain at 419. Shown in chart image below
Projected Target of Wave (3)
So, friends, we've applied the Elliott Wave principle, and there's been a significant retracement, all within the valid range, without violating any rules or triggering invalidation. There's limited room left on the downside, and then we have the Tweezer candlestick pattern, which is a significant sign. We're expecting a reversal from there, and the price has followed up with an upward move.
What's left now is the breakout above the resistance trend line and a change in the Dow Theory. Once these two conditions are confirmed, all parameters will match, and we can add a position to our portfolio using the last swing low as our stop loss, instead of the invalidation level.
This is how chart analysis is done for investment purposes. We've seen many signs in our favor, and yet we still use a stop loss to prevent significant losses in case the stock or market moves unexpectedly. This is what stop loss is all about - minimizing potential losses.
We've also discussed the target projection based on Wave theory, 161.8% level, which we explained through an image. So, friends, I hope you've understood the entire conclusion and learned how to analyze charts using different methods, one of which we shared with you today.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Tweezer Bottoms
GBP/JPY: Bullish Momentum ContinuesHello fellow traders! Today, I would like to share an exciting trading opportunity that has emerged on the GBP/JPY currency pair. Through careful analysis of the 1-hour chart, I have identified a bullish trend, supported by a significant technical pattern.
Trade Plan:
Entries: Buy at 181.441 & 181.443
Stop Loss: 180.214
Take Profit 1 (1:1 Risk-Reward Ratio): 182.711
Take Profit 2 (1:2 Risk-Reward Ratio): 183.399
Reasoning:
The GBP/JPY currency pair has been exhibiting a strong bullish momentum on the 1-hour chart. Furthermore, a bearish tweezers bottom candlestick pattern has recently formed, confirming the continuation of the bullish trend.
Based on this analysis, I have executed a market order to enter a long position on the GBP/JPY pair at the suggested entry prices of 181.441 and 181.443. To manage risk, I have set a stop loss at 180.214, which will be triggered if the price moves against our anticipated direction.
In terms of potential profit targets, I am setting the first take profit level at 182.711, which offers a 1:1 risk-reward ratio. The second take profit level is set at 183.399, providing a 1:2 risk-reward ratio.
Please note that trading involves risk, and it is essential to perform your own analysis and risk management before entering any trades. The suggested price levels are based on the analysis conducted at the time of this post, and the market conditions may change.
Wishing you successful trading!
Disclaimer: This post is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in the financial markets carries a significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
GOING LONG IN GBPUSD | Trading StrategyBullish Indications (BIASED: LONG)
1. Higher Highs and Lows
2. Tweezer Bottom is found on Green Support Line
3. Price gives significance of 0.236 fib level as well as Higher TF Support
4. GBP Index is Bullish & DXY is Bearish
5. The previous 3 December was bullish
6. Bullish Divergence on 1H and 2H TF
Bearish Indications
1. Break Trendline
2. Red candle is forming on 1M TF
Going LONG EURJPY By Trading StrategyBullish Indications
1. Higher Highs and Lows
2. Tweezer Bottom and Bullish Engulfing on HL
3. Break 0.5 fib support level
4. Break Upper Resistance Trendline
5. Formation of Bullish Flag
6.12 out of 16 years December remains bullish
7. Trend is not mature enough to make it a reversal
Seasonal Data for the Past 15-16 Years
Dec-06 => Green
Dec-07 => Green
Dec-08 => Green
Dec-09 => Green
Dec-10 => Red
Dec-11 => Red
Dec-12 => Green
Dec-13 => Green
Dec-14 => Red
Dec-15 => Green
Dec-16 => Green
Dec-17 => Green
Dec-18 => Red
Dec-19 => Green
Dec-20 => Green
Dec-21 => Green
DJI/ SPX - expect near term volatilityWith FOMC uncertainty coming up this week, and the indices hitting into near term trendline resistence, some volatility will not be surprising in the next few days.
Among the 3 indices, DJI has been the strongest of late.
On the monthly timeframe, we can see a few rather bullish signs:
1. a "tweezer bottoms"
2. bullish engulfing candlestick
3. bullish divergence between price and RSI playing out. However, divergences usually translate into just a short term reversal (lasting 1-3 candlesticks) and may not be a longer term trend reversal. Still, when seen on a monthly chart, this could mean 1-3 months of "upside").
A pullback at this junction is not unexpected but what is important is to watch for the amount of pullback. Any pullback that within 50% fibonacci retracement of it's recent strong upswing AB is within "acceptable" limits.
However, anything is possible. Let's see how it will play out this week especially after FOMC this Wednesday.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
NQ - Bull underway?Both the S&P500 and Nasdaq100 have formed bullish "tweezers" on their monthly chart.
While the S&P has stopped short at a potential resistance around 4170, NQ however has surpassed it's near term resistance of 13000. Hence NQ's original resistance (12900-13000) is now potentially a "support" zone.
The odds have increased that we are no long in a "bear market rally" but instead I am more convinced a new bull has started as can be seen from many stocks that have been forming bases (round bottoms, inverse Head & Shoulders, Adam & Eve patterns etc) and breaking out of these bases. Pullbacks on the way up is inevitable, and any pullbacks that are less than 10% from the most recent high (or do not breach near term supports) is a sign of strength.
I will not be too surprised to see market taking a breather (aka pullback within 10%) sometime this month and when that happens, it could be an opportunity to long. On the flip side however, I will stay very cautious again should NQ breaks below 12800 in the near term
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
NQ - Tweezer BottomI posted on 7th July that there was a potential bullish divergene on the monthly chart of Nasdaq, and it has since come true. What is interesting is that we are now seeing a potential "tweezer bottom" on the monthly as well (both bullish).
The daily chart has been trading within a rising channel. With FOMC out of the way, there is a good chance for NQ to reach 13000 in the near future. Has the market turned the corner for good after hitting a low of 11,000 on 16 June? We won't know for sure but I would be a bull rather than a bear in the near term. Watch for market reactions to earnings of the big boys (namely FAANG stocks and take the cue from there.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
ECOFIRS form beautiful tweezers bottom formationGann Support: 0.37/0.34 | Resistance 0.40|0.43
Current price near the resistance. Target price after break the resistance is 0.43.
Tweezers bottom pattern form last week which indicates possibility of bullish trend.
Based on MACD analysis, buy before or on overlapping of the two lines.
Analysis based on my hope only. No need to trust this analysis.
HEX DistributionThis idea will be labeled as bearish but it should it be noted upfront that I am bullish.. just not at this immediate moment. But I am closely watchful due to the fact that HEX has bullishly engulfed and formed what might be a tweezer bottom candlestick formation on the 4 hour time frame, which are technically seen as reversal patterns.
HEX seems to print these formations a lot as it did similarly just over a week ago before running up 60% to all time highs. And now we find the asset in the process of doing it again should this bullish engulfing 4 hour candle close confirm.
It is this reason that although the price action is getting rejected currently by my .236 fib level, as well as below a bearish downward sloping trendline that has been serving as resistance since the top, I am watching closely. Also, the first important critical area of resistance sits just inches over the current price's head and could therefor be smashed through any moment. Likewise, a rejection can occur and send the price bearishly wicking right back to the downside.
Unfortunately, these things are also why I must mark this idea as bearish and warn against any immediate longs until at MINIMUM the price breaks back above the red .236 fibonacci level I have labeled and ultimately break the bearish, red downward sloping distribution line that has kept the price under water since its peak a few weeks ago.
Tweezer Tops and why they're reversal indicatorsHey there. Highlighting one of my favorite candlestick patters, Tweezers.
Identifying:
Green bar. Red bar. Approximately same size bodies. Wicks are the same height. Ezpz.
The story:
During an uptrend, everyone is confident prices will continue to rise, so they continue paying more. "Bulls are in control" but really, it's just the average sentiment; prices are going up so everyone wants a piece before it stops. At some point, early entrants take their profits, prices stop rising, and drop a little bit. Some people get nervous and overall confidence drops a little. It retests the price level again, but more people sell so it fails again, and this repeat price-level failure lowers confidence even more. If the price falls back to where this whole thing started, "bears are now in control" but really people have just lost their confidence that price will rise; everyone thinks that the double-tested price level is the max, whereas before they though it would go to the moon. Positive momentum has shifted to negative momentum.
Different time frames
The fun thing is that this story is the same as that of a double-top reversal pattern, because that's what tweezers are: zoomed-out double tops.
Depending on the first bar's open and the second bar's close, it could also be an ascending triangle. So, you don't know if it's going up or down, but you know buyers are more nervous than before the pattern started.
If you were to zoom out from the double top, and then zoom out again from the tweezer top, the whole thing would look like a gravestone doji.
It would have the same open and close with a long upper wick (not the best example picture since this also has a long bottom tail, but hopefully you get the idea). But not every gravestone doji is a double tests, so tweezers tell the story of the markets a little bit better. At the end of the day though, they all say that prices ran up hard, got rejected, and fell back down hard. Not enough for a buy or sell signal, but if you identify a tweezer top, you now know important price levels and can make slightly better decisions about what will happen in the future if it rises above or falls under them.
Good luck!
SPX: Yes, we have opportunities around!Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how the SPX is doing today!
To the untrained eye, the 1h chart seems erratic and unreadable, but if we look carefully, we’ll see that the movements were all extremely technical.
First, the index dropped to fill the gap (yellow square at 4,198.77), and it found support over there. Now it did an impressive Tweezers Bottom pattern , indicating a possible bottom formation.
The 21 ema is the next resistance it must defeat, and we’ll see if it’ll do it or not in the next few days.
In the daily chart, we have what seems to be a top, but it is not confirmed yet. So far, all we can assume is that the index just did a pullback to the 21 ema, filled a gap in the 1h chart, and now it is just about to resume the bull trend.
The scenario is complex, but I still see a few opportunities around. I already told you guys about some stocks we’ve been trading in the past few months, and I can assure you, every single one of the Brazilian stocks traded in the US that we bought recently is making a huge gain!
I recommended 9 Brazilian stocks to my followers, and 5 of them are giving more than 40% returns so far, and I’ll reveal which ones: PBR, CIG, ABEV, BRFS and ITUB. The worst gave us about 13% gains.
The green circles are the moment when I gave the buy recommendations. When the market looks complex and undefined, we can always find opportunities elsewhere. Now, the BR ADRS look expensive, so the search continues! Yes, we do have some incredible opportunities in the US market, but you must know where to look.
Be careful, and let’s continue the search for more opportunities!
Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my free analyses!
Thank you very much!
Tweezer Bottom Bullish Reversal at the 0.886 Retracement.The is literally the final ground the USD has to stand on: Hold the 0.886 and you're off to test much higher prices once again.
Tweezer Bottom with Bullish Divergence on both MACD and RSI at the .886 along the bottom of a Falling Wedge at the PCZ of a Bullish Shark.
Tweezers Bottom on UBER?Hello Tradingview community! UBER is extremely oversold, and we have a
tweezers bottom above the support at 50.84. Also a good risk-reward trade!
Good luck!
If you liked this trading idea, remember to click on the “Follow” button to get more trading ideas like this, and if you agree with me, click on the “Agree” button 😉.
See you soon,
Melissa.
My Doomed Long BTC in the wickKeeping stop above entry, would really like this to be the bottom of the late unpleasantness, but selling continues to be relentless. No doubt sellers are trying to drive price down to 50K or lower. 50k is psychological support for "normies" so I think it is worth trying a long from here with a tight stop. Don't lose money on things like "the big magic number has to be defended at all costs." That sort of thinking is what gets people (bulls most often) rekt.
EURJPY - BULLISH CONTINUATION The EJ has been one of the main pairs on my radar for this entire week. Originally I was looking for a bullish breakout on the higher timeframes, but instead we ended up getting a false break & a retest of the lows of the channel. After putting in a nice tweezer bottom at the lows we've now put in a head and shoulders type of move & if price can violate the current level of resistance it would surprise me to see a move up towards
1) Our most recent inside level of structure
2) Our most recent Outside level of structure
3) A continuation to 132's which is a higher timeframe level of structure
Akil
SNDL: Target hit! What's next?Hello traders and investors! Ok, SNDL did exactly what was supposed to do since my last analysis, which is great. Let’s see the scenarios we can work with from now.
First, in the 1h chart, SNDL lost the support level at $ 1.32, which was an important key point for the short-term, and it sought its lower support, at $ 0.95, as we discussed in our previous analysis. If you missed my last analysis, which was public, the link to it is below, as usual.
But SNDL didn’t only hit the $ 0.95, but it did an amazing bullish candlestick pattern in this support area, called Tweezers Bottom . This was a clear buy sign, and what’s more, it is now doing higher highs/ higher lows in the 1h chart, and it did a bullish pivot when it defeated the $ 1.22.
The price is above the 21 ema (which is pointing up), and everything tells me we are in a short-term bull trend . Pullbacks to the 21 ema are expected, and shouldn't be enough to make you panic. Let’s see the daily chart for more clues:
The Tweezers Bottom in the 1h chart made this Hammer candlestick pattern in the daily chart, just above the $ 0.95, reinforcing our idea that this was a very important Key Point.
Also, it was not by chance that I saw the $ 0.95 as a support level. As we discussed in my last analysis, this point was previously a resistance on Dec 2020, and according to the Principle of Polarity, it was supposed to work as a support next. The market has memory, and it always remembers its key points.
Now, the next target is the $ 1.64, but as long as we don’t see a very powerful candlestick pattern, with a good volume , the movements on SNDL are going to be slow and boring.
And if you liked this analysis, remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily studies, and support this idea with your like if it helped! The link to my previous analysis is below.
Thank you very much!