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TWLO

TWLO, rebalance to FVG, then make a bullish liquidity run So, my current analysis is built around a bullish bias on this chart. I’ve identified a few key elements that are lining up to potentially signal a strong move upward: Bullish Block Breaker: First, I've identified a bullish block breaker. This occurred when the price broke above a significant resistance level, indicating a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. This breakout suggests that buyers have taken control, and it's often a sign of a potential trend reversal or continuation to the upside. Fair Value Gap (FVG): After the bullish block breaker, the price left behind a Fair Value Gap. This gap is an area of price imbalance, where the market moved too quickly and didn't allow for a balanced trading range. I'm looking for the price to potentially retrace into this FVG, as the market often seeks to 'rebalance' itself by filling this gap. This rebalancing process can provide a strategic entry point. Bullish Order Block with 50% Retracement: Within the area where the FVG resides, I've also identified a bullish order block. This is an area of previous consolidation before the strong upward move. What adds confluence here is the 50% retracement level within this order block. This 50% level is crucial because it often represents a fair value area within the order block itself. Institutions and smart money traders often look to add to their positions around this level. So, if the price can hold above this 50% mark within the order block, it significantly increases the chances of a bounce. Confluence Zone: The combination of the FVG, the bullish order block, and the 50% retracement level creates a strong confluence zone. This area serves as a potential support level where I expect buyers to step in if the bullish bias is to continue. Looking for a Liquidity Run: After potentially rebalancing in the FVG and finding support within the order block at the 50% retracement level, I’ll be looking for the price to make a move towards a liquidity run. The target here would be key liquidity zones, such as previous swing highs or resistance levels. These are areas where stop-loss orders from short sellers or breakout orders from buyers are likely concentrated, acting as a magnet for the price.
NYSE:TWLO
by carrolltatejr87
1
Twilio Faces Hurdles as CEO Change Raises Concerns About Future The winds of change are blowing through Twilio Inc., ( NYSE:TWLO ) as the company navigates a pivotal moment following the departure of its longtime CEO amidst pressure from activist investors. The latest earnings report from the software giant reveals a mixed bag of results, with revenue projections falling short of expectations and a strategic shift underway as new leadership takes the helm. Revenue Results Twilio's announcement of projected revenue for the current quarter, below analyst estimates, sent shockwaves through the market, triggering a 10% decline in the company's shares during extended trading. The departure of former CEO Jeff Lawson, replaced by Khozema Shipchandler, has raised concerns about the company's future trajectory and its ability to maintain growth momentum. Shipchandler, in a conference call discussing the results, acknowledged the challenges ahead, particularly in the company's Segment business unit, which encompasses data and applications divisions. With activist investor Anson Funds advocating for divestment or a potential sale of these divisions, Twilio ( NYSE:TWLO ) finds itself at a crossroads, facing tough decisions about its strategic direction. The emphasis on focusing efforts on core businesses, exemplified by the decision to discontinue smaller ventures such as the video product, reflects Twilio's ( NYSE:TWLO ) commitment to streamlining operations and optimizing resources. Chief Financial Officer Aidan Viggiano's assertion that the company is determined to "do fewer things better" underscores the urgency of the situation and the need for decisive action. Despite posting fourth-quarter sales that exceeded expectations and announcing higher-than-guided results in the wake of the leadership transition, Twilio's ( NYSE:TWLO ) stock performance paints a sobering picture. With shares trading well below their record high of February 2021, investors are grappling with uncertainty about the company's ability to regain its footing and reignite growth in a competitive market landscape. The specter of multiple rounds of job cuts since late 2022 looms large, highlighting the challenges Twilio ( NYSE:TWLO ) faces in maintaining its once-enviable revenue growth trajectory. Analysts, wary of further structural changes under the new CEO, are closely monitoring developments as the company embarks on a path of introspection and potential reorganization. Conclusion: As Twilio ( NYSE:TWLO ) confronts headwinds in the wake of CEO transition and activist investor pressure, the company finds itself at a critical juncture. The road ahead is fraught with challenges, but also opportunities for strategic renewal and transformation. How Twilio ( NYSE:TWLO ) navigates these turbulent waters will shape its future trajectory and determine its ability to reclaim its position as a leader in the software industry.
NYSE:TWLOLong
by DEXWireNews
TWLO Twilio Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold TWLO on this massive valuation: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TWLO Twilio prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 54usd strike price at the money Puts with an expiration date of 2023-11-10, for a premium of approximately $3.20. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:TWLOShort
by TopgOptions
TWLO Twilio Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold TWLO here: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TWLO Twilio prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 60usd strike price in the money Calls with an expiration date of 2023-8-11, for a premium of approximately $4.60. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:TWLOLong
by TopgOptions
15 Companies that have organic growth of financial resultsIt is good options to buy when the market is at the bottom (we think it is summer 2023, you can see our macro scenario here ) Type: growth stock 1. Okta – operates in the Identity Management market (identification protocols). It sells its products to individual companies and as part of integration with the other industry leaders (Zscaler). Organic growth is expected due to a low penetration of Identity Management in corporate environment (20% now). The market could reach the value of 70 bln, according to McKinsey. We anticipate revenue to expand by ~30% over the next few years. Downside: 1) The company regularly dilutes equity to finance R&D and marketing. Upside 1) Has a positive EBITDA margin, will have a positive FCF as soon as 2024. 2. Twilio – operates in the CPaaS market. The valuation already reflects negative expectations from the slowdown of the CPaaS market amid shrinking advertising budgets (weak consumer). We expect revenue to expand by 25%+ over the next few years, which is also reflected in the company’s long-term valuation. Downside: 1) The company regularly dilutes equity to finance R&D and marketing. The emergence of various solutions in the market that are powered by GPT-3 (a neural network), which generates human-like responses based on the learning of the target audience. These solutions are less costly for companies; however, major companies aren’t bent on integrating it just yet. I believe that Twilio could integrate it in its own product, as GPT-3 has an open source code. Upside 1) Has a positive EBITDA margin, will have a positive FCF as soon as 2024. 3. Zscaler. The company operates in the narrowly specialized SSE market. Industry leader. Organic growth is expected due to the current low penetration in corporate solutions (around 3%). We anticipate the company will practically double its cash flow every year over the next 2 years + it’s profitable 4. Paypal. In the third quarter PayPal demonstrated again that the company’s strategy is bearing fruit even as the global economy is slowing down. The multipronged development of PayPal’s services remains key for its organic growth. What used to be a fairly narrow-focused service to pay for goods and services is adding ever more new functions: PayPal continues to cooperate with Apple and is expanding the opportunities for contactless payment, while also working to increase engagement with the audience through the Braintree payment system. Therefore, even in the middle of an unfavorable macroeconomic environment and faced with declining consumption in the cyclical sectors, the company is seizing ever more market share. Upside: the management plans to boost operating margin by about 100 bps next year by developing infrastructure and reducing transaction costs. 5. Tesla. Tesla publishes fairly strong reports: Revenue and operating profit grow by 50-60% y/y. unlike other players, Tesla also improves its business margins. When China ends lockdowns, the issue of downtime at Tesla’s Chinese plant, its largest, will go away. Also, as soon as this quarter (the fourth quarter) Tesla will share access to its FSD and release it to the mass market. In general, the company is feeling well. Its stock price has fallen ahead of the market amid Musk’s purchase of Twitter and the current perturbations at Twitter. Also. Musk sold some of his Tesla shares to fund the purchase of Twitter. Musk’s current share is ~13%. Type: cyclical stocks 1. Livent. The company is moving ahead in line with our forecast. The company has several growth projects that start as soon as 1Q 2023, and also in 4Q 2023. They will add 100% of lithium carbonate production. Lithium prices, give or take, are set to remain near their current levels as demand from the EV industry continues to be strong (even as consumption is low, the market cannibalizes ICE models). Downside: 1) Poor reporting on sales volumes. Chemicals prices continue to hold high. If lithium prices turn around, that will erase the margin. Upside: 1) The company operates with a high gross margin. Its costs are $7,000 per 1 ton of production while the price now is about 80,000 a ton. 2. Darling. The company has piled up a lot of cash on the balance sheet. It now uses it for strategic precision purchases, which fuel its growth. + 30% of EBITDA comes from DGD, the growth of operating metrics will largely happen in 2023, so by 2024 operating metrics will rise by 50%. The stock took a lot of hammering as Biden seeks to revise the 17-year-old EPA and shift the program toward biogases. EBITDA will get a strong boost due to declining agricultural commodities prices. Downside: 1) Margin is tamped down because of the acquisition spending (temporary impact) + agricultural commodities prices could hold above our expectations, which means EBITDA wouldn’t get as much of a boost Upside 1) core business is stable 3. Crocs. the company grows fast in terms of operating metrics (physical shipments of footwear of its own brand and HeyDude), and has been able to switch to air freight delivery, which has been immediately reflected in EBITDA, as was expected. Crocs is now laser focused to consolidate the Asian rubber footwear market, as it regards it as the main and priority market. Downside: 1) High debt, which was taken out to buy HeyDude. However, they are paying it back as they are successfully integrating HeyDude in its organic structure. Upside 1) They are able to pass a high share of costs on to the consumer (high gross margin). The average selling price of footwear is $25, while production costs are $10. The brand name is actively working for the company, advertising costs aren’t rising too much (the collaboration with stars that have audiences of millions of people does its part + go on advertising: let’s say, when you see a celebrity wearing Crocs out in the street, rather than on your phone screen, you want them, too. 4. Pinterest. In the third quarter Pinterest showed a net increase of monthly active users for the first time this year. It totaled 445 million people: 95 mln in the US and Canada and 350 mln in other regions. Although the digital advertising market has taken a heavy blow in 2022 as economy slowed down and advertising budgets were downsized, Pinterest continues to show a stable growth of average revenue per user: The total ARPU reached $1.54 (+8.16% y/y) in 3Q, compared with our forecast for $1.59. 5. Ulta. As of now, organic growth is possible only through opening mini outlets at Target stores. The beauty industry, including Ulta, isn’t falling that much as the company/industry get the bulk of their revenue from beauty enthusiasts (who use cosmetics no matter what, even expensive ones). + the company continues to show a high pace of LFL sales growth due to foot traffic and the average ticket. For two straight quarters now, the company has beaten analyst expectations, but not ours for EPS, due to an increased efficiency of inventory accounting/arrangement of products per 1 square meter (essentially, every inch is used for commercial purposes). 6. Netflix. The business is essentially mature. What could breathe life into it is a strategy to acquire users in low-income markets + add-supported subscription. 7. Transocean. For a few straight quarters now, RIG has showed it’s getting new contracts, including long-term ones, at elevated prices. As long as the trend continues, we expect the company’s gross margin to expand because RIG, when it concludes contracts, includes the future growth of costs in the contract value. All the contracts have fixed revenue, rather than adjustable one, so that’s why. With oil price at $70+ and given underinvestment in the industry, RIG is sure to have demand for its ships. Type: Chinese, Taiwanese stocks 1. TSMC. TSMC shows a stable growth of financial results and growing business margins. TSMC, in effect, has a monopolistic position in the market, with major companies in the US and China relying on its products. If China seeks to maintain economic growth and improve the well-being of its citizens, then most likely nothing will happen to Taiwan before 2024 (the year of presidential elections in Taiwan). Therefore, 2023 will be a year of continued growth for TSMC, even amid a global recession. 2. Li Auto. Li Auto shares have been dumped amid the decline of its gross margin as demand skewed toward the more expensive EV. That’s the most expensive EV made in China and the strong demand for it demonstrates that the company’s revenue will continue to rise. Li Auto is in the middle of an investment phase now, being busy boosting its R&D in EV software and various components in order to achieve a greater vertical integration. The company continues to expand in terms of capacity, dealerships, and invest in its autopilot. The company holds substantial promise, just like Tesla. What’s more, Li Auto is on the party list as the third-largest EV producer. 3. Baidu. If China relaxes its lockdowns, Baidu’s core business – advertising – will gain pace, with revenue and operating revenue getting a boost. Baidu actively invests in its proprietary systems for AI-powered driving and digitalization of industrial businesses and state-owned companies. In 2024 Baidu is set to start manufacturing EVs jointly with Jidu.
SP:SPX
by InvestHeroesGlobal
$TWLO -77% DISCOUNT (52-WK) -81% (ATH)!Twilio is good stock if you are thinking about adding a software and cloud communication/network stock to your watchlist/portfolio. It is currently showing a possible sign of basing, but I think it has a way to go down! The original Heavy buying positions from IPO '16 to beginning of '18 is the $32.65 area! The next set of buyers from Nov. '18 to now are @$92.30 area! Which is good entry to swing to the $450 ATH, but the $32 entry area is a SNIPER! anything in between those two are good entries for long-term.
NYSE:TWLOLong
by twotimezinvestments
1
Twilio (NYSE: $TWLO) Ready To Rocket On Earnings Beat 🚀 Twilio Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides a cloud communications platform that enables developers to build, scale, and operate customer engagement within software applications in the United States and internationally. Its customer engagement platform provides a set of application programming interfaces that handle the higher-level communication logic needed for nearly every type of customer engagement, as well as enable developers to embed voice, messaging, video, and email capabilities into their applications. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
NYSE:TWLOLong
by RedHotStocks
1
TWLO the next PTON ???Twilio lets companies converse with customers through text messages. The company expects to be profitable on a non-GAAP basis in 2023. But it already has a mk cap of $36.02Bil + 19% in the pre-market, it`s a 42.84 Mk cap for a non profitable company. How further the growth thesis go if Royal Bank of Canada has a Price target of $400 for it??? Even though it is trending now, in my opinion Twilio will be the next Peloton because of its ack of profitability. My price target is $130. Q4 loss of $291.4 million quarterly loss of $0.20 per share VS a loss of $0.21 Zacks Consensus Estimate VS earnings of $0.04 per share a year ago. Fourth-quarter revenue increased to $842.7 million VS analysts’ average estimate of $768.6 million. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:TWLO
by TopgOptions
4
TWLO - Down the river!-Due to the upcoming earnings report on FEB 9 there is some bullish action on the TWLO, however once the earnings are out, it should fall down again. -Reason to that is that the company is unprofitable and circulates in debt while there is an upcoming interest rate hike which will obviously affect unprofitable companies with debt on their balance sheet -Unlike Zillow and Uber, Twilio stayed strong up till now but it gotta fall from here, we see no chance. First Target Price: $180 Second: $150
NYSE:TWLOShort
by caldooninvestment
13