Double Bottom with All Time LowsDespite the attempt to create an All Time Low, 14$ was set as support last week and now we have a potential double bottom for $TWTR that may lead to a short term rally towards 15$ and 16$ (two potential target zone for this bullish setup)
R/R is shown at the chart
$SPX position above 2050 support potential bullish moves this week in stocks (read more in the newsletters) and it should support this beaten bird to try and fly again.
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TWTR
SOLD TWTR MAY 6TH 15/19.5 SHORT STRANGLEWhile I wait for my "gaggle" of long VIX/VIX derivative setups to play out, I'm going to play a few of these smaller earnings announcements, so that I can keep powder dry for the juicier underlyings (should their implied volatility ever ramp up to my standards).
Metrics:
Probability of Profit: 77%
Max Profit: $79/contract
Buying Power Effect/Underfined: ~$187/contract; Undefined Risk
Look to take it off for 50% max profit ... .
lockup expiration coming in JuneThis may be another "cool hype runner"...big lockup expiration coming in June ..Jack D runs this and TWTR and you know what happened to TWTR's stock price. Good product but Young insiders..negative earnings etc etc. If there's going to be selling into the lock up expiration it may have already begun. Worth trailing.
Keep this on watch in case it catches a bidCan play this one a few different ways. I;d like to be a 5 day moving average pull back near descending trend line for bounce. One could also buy the break over horizontal resistance near 17.50.
Despite big fade today, closed above trendline for first time since last 2015. Wouldn't be surprised to see this squeeze higher.
50(SMA) slope still negative for now.
$TWTR could run into earnings5 day sloping up.
50 day being tested a few times over last couple of weeks. It has finally flattened and would turn positive with any cooperating price action.
Risking 75 cents below 5 day and micro support in upper 15s gives a nice risk/reward. $20ish would be first target.
Lots of room overhead. Close over 17.10 and we're off to the races. Not sure there's enough time before earnings to go any higher.
I think we would need to see some MAU growth reported on call for us to ever get close to that blue line above 23.
Market is extended right now but Twitter has been low beta.
Twitter on Verge of Breaking DownTwitter (TWTR) had many of the characteristics of being a potential big winner. But as is the case in the market so often, what is obvious to the masses, is not what ends up happening in the end.
After its initial public offering in 2013, the stock setup an IPO base and advanced approximately 100% from the breakout. But that is as far as the stock would run. The stock would almost immediately drop 60% over the next five months in heavier volume.
The stock attempted to rally back at least two time over the following year, only to stall and sell off in heavier volume, forming a double top bearish base. The stock broke the neckline in July 2015, only to rally back and stall at the double top neckline in October 2015 and rollover.
As the market has attempted to rally over the six weeks, the stock has pulled back to the fifty day moving average in low volume. Lagging the market significantly.
A breakdown from these levels, in heavy volume, would signal more downside. Seeing that the stock is significantly below its IPO price and approaching the $15 institutional threshold for holding a position, the downside could be significant. The risk is incessant take over talk that swirls around the stock.
Broke out of daily downtrend line - 24$ next $TWTR managed to stay above the broken trend line throughout last week's volatile price action.
16$ is now a support zone which includes also the Fast SMA line (currently support).
Nearest resistance is near 19$ and it comes with the 50 days MA.
In case of a breakout above 19-20$, next target zone, will be 24$ - Downtrend line and 200 days MA.
Buy zones - 16-16.5$ (structure and MA line), 15.5$ (structure, broken trend line and 61.8 Fib level)
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TWTR: Potential exploding pattern spottedTwitter has a very interesting chart pattern here.
We have evidence of large positions being accumulated, and of possible shakeouts taking place in this zone.
Currently, price sits above the volume mode, as you can see in the profile graph to the right, and has seen great climactic volume action in a downbar yesterday, while today went straight up from the mode.
I entered a long position today, before the close, and I'll be looking to add to it if it evolves positively.
Stop loss can be quite tight, look to buy tomorrow, and use a stop 1-3 ATR below.
Good luck if taking this trade.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie
P.S.: feel free to contact me if interested in obtaining trading signals or tutoring. See my profile for details.