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$SPY welcome to bear market? $SPY trading below 100 & 200 moving average and sitting just above the previous level of support around 411-412 where it previously bounces. As the earning week continues, #SPY still struggles to climb back up to break out the resistance level. Also, the market sentiment plays a major role in overall market. Below is my strategy for day trading or scalp play for SPY STY: Day trade or scalp target play: 04/227/22 Buy call above 418.90 sell at 4.28 or above. Buy puts below 413 sell at 405.95 or below. option open interest: ideal expiration date: (risky) 5/06/22, 5/20/22, 6/17/22 Hello everyone, Welcome to this free technical analysis . ( mostly momentum play ) I am going to explain where I think this stock might possibly going the next day or week play and where I would look for trading opportunities for day trades or scalp play. If you have any questions or suggestions on which stock I should analyze, please leave a comment below. If you enjoyed this analysis, I would appreciate it if you smash that LIKE button and maybe consider following my channel. Thank you for stopping by and stay tune for more. My technical analysis is not to be regarded as investment advice. but for general informational proposes only.
AMEX:SPYShort
by CHRIS_B58
TWTR - Calling BSMusk lied his ass off repeatedly... 1. Secured Financing? No, a lie. 2. No Debt acquisition? No, a Lie 3. Is the Deal closed? No another Lie The term structure has a number of events to trigger into July. _________________________________________________________ Firmly believe this falls apart as there will be a deal review on a number of fronts. The fraud in completing this deal may well be the fraud that unravels it. Adding to Puts out the Curve into July. MUSK levered Tesla heavily....
NYSE:TWTR
by HK_L61
What you need to know to trade Twitter ahead of Thursday’s earniTwitter (NYSE:TWTR) is set to announce its first-quarter earnings results on Thursday and some analysts expect the microblogging platform to again incur losses on the back of its increased infrastructure and marketing spending amid tight competition. Saturated market The company, once among the most popular social media channels globally, has become old news particularly to young people with the emergence of platforms like TikTok and Snapchat (NYSE:SNAP). Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) remains the market leader among social networking sites globally in 2022 in terms of the number of monthly active users, while Twitter has lagged far behind WhatsApp, Instagram, WeChat, TikTok, Snapchat, Telegram and Pinterest in terms of the number of users, according to data from Statista. Stronger market competition over the past years has prompted Twitter to boost its spending on research and development, and sales and marketing over the recent years. Losses mount In 2021, Twitter’s R&D expenses ballooned 43% from 2020 to $1.25 billion, while sales and marketing costs surged 32% year on year to $1.18 billion. These pushed the company’s overall costs and expenses up 51% to $5.57 billion in 2021 and resulted in a net loss of $221 million for the whole year. Still, the figure was down from a net loss of $1.14 billion in 2020 when the pandemic battered the company’s operations. For the first quarter of 2022, Twitter expects GAAP operating loss of between $225 million and $175 million, against an operating income of $52 million in the year-ago period. Twitter also expects its quarterly revenue to range between $1.17 billion and $1.27 billion, up from $1.04 billion last year. Analysts expect the company to post a 22% jump in Q1 revenue to $1.57 billion, significantly up from the company’s targeted range. The analysts pegged Twitter’s earnings per share for Q1 at $0.33, down 13.2% from last year. In the fourth quarter of 2021, although total ad engagements fell 12% year over year, Twitter still managed to rake in $1.41 billion in fourth-quarter ad revenue, up 22% from a year prior. Musk’s $44 billion offer Ahead of its earnings release on Thursday, Twitter became the subject of an acquisition offer from Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk. On Monday, the New York Times reported that Twitter is close to reaching a deal to sell itself to Musk after the latter launched an unsolicited go-private bid worth $54.20, or a total transaction value of ~$44 billion. That figure represents a substantial premium from Twitter’s current $37 billion market value as of Friday. Musk has made his plans for Twitter quite clear. Even before the billionaire built a 9.2% stake in the company for an estimated $2.9 billion, Musk has been vocal about how Twitter’s policies quash free speech. However, the Tesla CEO has been notorious in the past for making big market-moving stunts that lead to bigger regulatory concerns for companies that he control. In his letter to Twitter’s board made public on Friday, Musk said "Twitter has extraordinary potential. I will unlock it.”
NYSE:TWTR
by BlackBull_Markets
1
$AEI Begins Breakout $TSLA+Solar+SmartHomes+Crypto$AEI A Smart Home builder began its next leg up today. The company which combines $TSLA vehicles with its homes which also utilize Solar Energy, Filtration systems for water, Organic Farming and Intelligent designs has been steadily putting out updates in addition to the CEO buying millions in shares over the last few weeks. The company is also in the crypto mining sphere and several other niche markets. Click below to find out more about the company. PT $10
NASDAQ:AEILong
by StockGuild
2
US STOCKS should fall especially tech stocksUs markets I am a 14-year-old demo trader in England don’t take this as finical advise I am still doing my gcses get a guru or professional to tell you what to. Market preview Going into this trading week stocks should continue to fall during this bear market and talks of a recession increase as the possibility of the fed being able to perform a soft landing because of their aggressive strategy to combat inflation. The phrase ‘melt up’ was used by CNN to show that stocks may soar before the inventible crash. This could occur because of investors believe that the strong us economy will prevail causing stocks to soar in price creating FOMO and a trend reversal is occurring. But because of basic market fundamentals such as high inflation a slowing economy and high energy costs caused by the Ukrainian Russian war will continue to fuel this bear market. Another reason why this bear market is here to stay is because of an inverted yield curve which Is where short term debt pays out more than long term suggests a bear market is here to stay even though it is an argued point that an inverted yield curve means a recession it does still resemble tough time for markets. Over the next two years, stocks have a high chance of having a melt-up. But Goldman Sachs still believes there is a 35 % chance of a recession. Stocks and predictions what I think (DYR) • NVDA (short) • TWTR(long) • AAPL(short) • AMD(short) • TSLA(neutral) Us tech stocks have suffered recently with the Nasdaq dropping 4.19% in the last month with stocks such as NVDA dropping 23.87% in the last month and AAPL dropping 4.95% in the last month suggesting a strong bear market for tech stocks which shows us high growth stocks such as NVDA have been deeply affected because of rising interest rates and investor not willing to risk large amounts during this current market turbulence. Going into this week stocks should continue to drop especially high-growth stocks. The semiconductor producer NVDA will be very interesting to see because it is a high growth stock hitting its all-time highest at 329.85 in November 2021. NVDA gained over 121.1% in 2020 when gaming interest spiked during lockdown which is NVDAs main source of revenue. This tells us that even during bear markets the stock can be resilient so it must bear for another reason that it has lost over 33.85% this YTD. there are many reasons of why the stock could have fallen from monetary policy tightening, the fed aggressive strategy to target inflation, and fears of recession. But I believe it is because of soaring energy prices which I mentioned in my last idea. Energy costs can account for 20% to 30% of semiconductor producer’s energy costs. Energy prices have risen more than 250% since January, according to industry group Oil & Gas UK affecting NVDA’s earnings deeply. TSLA currently is in a very weird position its earnings where though the roof with a 87% rise in revenues which blew the stock up to around the 1070-1080 levels which was last trader around early April. that shows us that the stock has respected the current bear market decreasing 4.9% YTD but has risen 6.48% in the last 3 months so it is a very volatile stock that will be perfect for traders with larger accounts to trade. But I would never open a short on TSLA always seems too dangerous for me its such a good stock any with Elon Musk being able to control the stock just by making tweet always seems bad to me. TSLA does seem to be in a down trend trading below the 200 MA and 50 MA. Between a rock and a hard place, Elon Musk is trying to perform an LBO on TWTR as the management crew has deployed a poison pill to try to combat the unwanted takeover it could mean if Elon's takeover is rejected it could lead for him to sell his 9% stake in the company causing the stock price to fall. this uncertainty for TWTR could lead other investors into selling the stock. TWTRs competition with TikTok gaining in popularity and with cheaper ad prices with better exposure could mean less demand for TWTR ads which is their main source of revenue which could affect their earnings which is in 4 days’ time. even though the stock does have strong price momentum the company’s fundamental aspects aren’t as strong as its competitors. TWTR has a bullish chart pattern and other technical aspects which should lead to a increase in price .Even though the stock has had a recent rally it should still respect the current bear market in the longer term. over the next 5 trading days, I believe TWTR will rise but still fluctuate between the 55-45 price range even though fundamental aspects disagree. To conclude twitter is a very uncertain stock it all depends on if Elon’s takeover is successful. Elon himself said he’s “not sure” if the bid will be taken by the board. But he apparently has a plan b. if worst comes to worst and he sells his 9.2% stake in TWTR the stock will crumble. But he does seem passionate about making Twitter a private company. AAPL should continue to fall as on Wednesday the death cross occurred where the 50-day moving average crosses the 200-day moving average as well as the fears of a recession coming which will cut consumer spending which will cause cuts in AAPLs revenues. Which will dampen AAPLs earnings which is in 4 days which is expected to be worse than last quarter which will cause investors to sell decreasing the share price. Technical aspects are giving strong sell signals. MAs are giving off strong sell signals as well as the MACD giving sell signals To conclude US stocks will continue to fall as fears of a recession is coming with the fed trying to perform a soft landing that has never been done before. An inverted yield curve and rising interest rates and US ten-year bond yields rising all fuel this current bear market where stocks are suffering. Over the next 5 trading days, stocks will continue to fall with a chance of a rally being possible because of people ‘buying the dip’. This is not financial advice don’t be dumb.
AMEX:SPYShort
by harrybergin
TWTR poison pill "defence"If you haven`t sold TWTR here: then what you should know: After buying 9.2% of TWTR shares, Elon Musk wanted to buy Twitter (TWTR) for $43.4bn, $54.20 per share representing a 38% premium to the closing price on 1 April and take the company private. Elon Musk about Twitter: “potential to be the platform for free speech around the globe, and I believe free speech is a societal imperative for a functioning democracy.” “However, since making my investment I now realise the company will neither thrive nor serve this societal imperative in its current form. Twitter needs to be transformed as a private company. "My offer is my best and final offer and if it is not accepted, I would need to reconsider my position as a shareholder. Twitter has extraordinary potential. I will unlock it.” TWTR is up only 8% after 8 years of being listed. I don`t think Jack Dorsey has found the path to profitability, nor that the board works in the interest of the shareholders. That`s why they went for the poison pill "defence". I say "defence" as a joke, since the only one defended here are the board members and not the shareholders, which haven`t gained too much from holding the bag anyways. The poison pill allows investors to buy additional shares of the company’s stock at a discount and therefore dilute the value of each individual share. That is a viable strategy against an unwanted hostile takeover. In my opinion, the board members will accept Elon`s proposal and buying the stock now will give you a 17% return.
NYSE:TWTRLong
by TopgOptions
2
Poison Pill Explained: Why Elon Wants to Buy TwitterIn this post, I'll explain the ongoing situation with Twitter; how they're preventing Elon from buying the company out, and my thoughts on why Elon wants Twitter so badly. Twitter's Strategy - Twitter is using a strategy known as the 'poison pill'. - This is one of many defensive strategies that boardrooms can take when they're trying to prevent hostile takeovers. - While the method may vary depending on the deal, the essence of the strategy is simple: make the stock less appealing to the hostile acquirer, and allow opportunities for other shareholders to acquire the stock at a discounted price through the use of call options. - Netflix (NFLX) successfully used this strategy against Carl Icahn in 2012, when he attempted a hostile acquisition of the company, making it difficult for Icahn to acquire more than 10% of the company without approval from the Netflix board. - Luckily for Icahn, he made 20x returns on his investment simply from holding Netflix shares for the three years that he attempted a takeover. - In the case of Elon's acquisition of Twitter, the terms are slightly different. - Elon offered to buy the entire company for $43B, which is a generous offer of $54.20 per share. - Twitter's board however, having seen prices once hover above $70, were not happy with Elon's offer, and asked him to join the board with a 14.9% stake limit - Elon refused. - Twitter emphasized that their poison pill strategy will activate if Elon tries to acquire more than 15% stake in the company, and will remain effective until April 14, 2023. Twitter Shareholders by Size - The Vanguard Group, Inc. 10.3% - Elon Musk 9.2% - Morgan Stanley Investment Management 8.4% - BlackRock Fund Advisors 6.5% - State Street Corp. 4.5% Why Elon Wants to Buy Twitter - My thoughts on why Elon is looking to acquire Twitter is as follows: - The narrative that Elon is pushing as his justification for the purchase is "free speech". - He has been vocal about Twitter's decision to shut down former US president Donald Trump's account. - However, I personally believe that there are deeper layers to this matter than just 'free speech', and 'twitter's untapped potential'. - Tesla currently does not spend a single dime on marketing and advertisement costs. - Elon dissolved the PR department in 2020, and stated that the capital that was previously used for marketing, will now be reinvested back for R&D. - Instead, Elon has been using his twitter account as a channel to promote his businesses - not only Tesla, but also SpaceX, SolarCity, and the Boring Company. - The last time Tesla had a PR department, it spent $70m in marketing and advertisement costs. - So taking that into account, and considering the value that was created by those costs being reinvested back into R&D, Elon has singlehandedly managed to create hundreds of millions of dollars in value through his twitter account. - And the risk of him having his twitter account shut down, due to his potential violation of one of their many policies, is huge. - His acquisition of the company's stake, and taking the company private eliminates this risk for him. - Put into context, it makes more sense: Elon's $43B offer to buy Twitter is equivalent to someone with a net worth of $1m purchasing a G-wagon for their rental car business. Conclusion On one hand, we have Twitter, a company willing to use the poison pill strategy to prevent a hostile acquisition from taking place, and on the other hand, we have Elon Musk, who's trying to take the company private for $43B. I think there are bigger implications to his offer, as we've seen how he was able to connect seemingly unrelated businesses to form a virtuous cycle that would become the pillar of his entire empire. We use electricity generated from SolarCity to power our Tesla cars using solar energy. With the satellites that SpaceX launches, our Tesla cars undergo software updates in real time, and the Boring Company solves traffic jam issues by taking our Teslas through underground tunnels. I'm sure there's room for Twitter to fit into this equation, but I'm not completely sure as to what Elon has on his mind. One thing is for sure: it has more to do with Elon's personal philosophy. If you like this educational post, please make sure to like, and follow for more quality content! If you have any questions or comments, feel free to comment below! :)
NYSE:TWTREducation
by Michael_Wang_Official
11
TWITTER 18th APRIL 2022This analysis is based on market sentiment. Lately, Elon Musk has caused a commotion on social media because he decided to buy Twitter, the richest man offering US $ 43 billion or equivalent to Rp. 618 trillion. Musk's reasons for owning Twitter are not purely for business or financial gain, but Musk reveals the reason is so that Twitter's social media remains a democratic platform. If drawn into the journey of Musk and Twitter, the two are already very close because Musk is a prolific Twitter user. He is also a troll or person who likes to joke on this platform and so far Musk has not arranged the financing to buy Twitter and make it private.
NYSE:TWTRLong
by DNP-FX
4