AXL: 3 Falling Peaks Aiming to Initiate A Type 2 Return to $1.00AXL, after giving us a decent type 1 reaction of the 0.886 PCZ, has now begun to slow down and has developed a 3 Falling Peaks pattern with a 4th lower peak for good measure, and it now looks to make a type 2 return to the HOP level, which would take it just below $1.00 if it plays out.
Type2return
BTCUSD: A Bearish Deep Gartley Has Staged BTC to Return to $6065This is a followup to the previous Bearish ABCD trade; BTC has officially with PPO Confirmation, has reversed from the PCZ of the Bearish ABCD to which I later realized the ABCD was part of a much greater Bearish Deep Gartley, and now we are below the 200-Day and 200-Week SMAs along with that we have broken below the demand line of an apparent Rising Wedge Pattern all at a 23.6% Fibonacci retrace which is a very shallow and weak retrace to have this all occur, but that only means the move back down will likely be much deeper and stronger.
We can consider what we initially got at the 0.786 PCZ of this Cypher as a Type 1 Reaction, but now it appears that price has been preparing itself to make a Type 2 Return, that will most likely take us to the Cypher HOP levels this time around which would land us at around $6000 once we hit that zone I will look for signs of Bullish PPO Confirmation before then anticipating a V-shaped recovery that should take us to new all-time highs.
There of course is a scenario in which instead of making a lower low to the HOP we just bounce back up again at around 16k and that was where my previous projection took it but upon taking in more of the weekly data I have concluded that 6-4k is more likely especially if we start getting super fast movement down week after week but if it is instead a more calm decline that gives us a clean double bottom with some PPO confirmation around 16k instead then I will jump in early; until then I see 6-4k as the most likely target.
For reference, I have included the link to the original Bearish ABCD chart and projection below as we may swap back to the original projection depending on the price action we get leading to both the original 16-12k Target and the new and current 6-4k target:
BTC Bearish ABCD Setting up to Drop Down Towards $16,741Recently, BTC has been showing promise to begin a macro breakout and run up to over $100,000, but even more recently on the lower timeframes, it's been giving off some bearish signs at a Bearish ABCD PCZ that we could actually go back down to around $16.75k from here before actually beginning the true run up towards the 6 digits.
We have made three Consecutive Lower Highs on the RSI and are likely setting up for a Double Bearish Divergence on the MACD; if we come back down to test the levels of 16.7k, that would be the secondary test of the 1.618 Butterfly PCZ to which we could then more confidentially rise from.