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Why Most Traders Lose Money - Here Are The Top 3 ReasonsAnyone that has been around the markets and trading for any period of time has probably heard that most traders lose money. In fact, there’s actually an old trading adage that says: 90% of new traders will lose 90% of their account within 90 days. So after reading that, before you reach for your broker’s phone number to wire out all of your money… how about I let you in on a little secret: If you follow some simple rules and avoid these 3 mistakes, you can be in that minority of traders that actually make money consistently in the markets. And if you are currently making one or all of the mistakes, I’ll also show you exactly how to fix it. So let’s dive in! 1) Most Traders Enter A Trade Too Late The first thing on my top 3 reasons why traders lose money is: Most traders get into trades WAY too late! There are a lot of reasons this happens, but most commonly it’s because new traders are basically gambling. They’re buying stocks or options based on news, or a hot stock tip, which really isn’t what I would consider a strategy. So let me give you a great example with a company I’m sure you’ve heard of: Uber Technologies (Yes, enemy #1 for taxi drivers worldwide.) Last year Uber, known for its popular ride-sharing and food delivery services, IPO’d in May (2019). With the disruption this company caused, their IPO had a lot of hype surrounding it, bringing a lot of investors to the table. On the day of their IPO, UBER opened at $42/share and people poured into the stock. For a few weeks, the stock had a turbulent, roller coaster of a ride all the way to as high as $47.08/share, a little over a 13% increase since its IPO. And around this new high, more and more inexperienced retail traders piled in thinking that it would continue its bullish run with dollar signs in their eyes. The mainstream media was continuing to hype it and more and more and investors and traders gobbled up more of the stock. Looking at the image below, you’ll see after that high of $47 things got UGLY fast, with UBER falling day-after-day, week-after-week. It wasn’t until November of 2019, about 7 months after their IPO that UBER found a temporary bottom at $25.58, down more than 45% from its high of $47.08… and I would bet there were a LOT of people who bought near or at the highs and were still holding at that point. So what did retailer traders do when UBER made a bottom? Yes, once again most (losing) retail traders didn’t get in at, or even around the bottom… once again, they piled as UBER neared its previous highs. And as you’ll see yet again, UBER rolled over on its way to making another new all-time low this past March 2020 going all the way down to $13.71/share. That’s more than a 70% decrease from its ATH and yes, I’m sure some investors rode it all the way to the bottom. Now I want to share a second example with you, so let’s take a look at Amazon (AMZN). So as you know, AMZN is a HOT STOCK, and last year it has a crazy move where it crossed $2000/share…. and yes, just like our example with UBER, inexperienced retail traders piled in at the very top. Once again, in the weeks that followed, AMZN’s stock tanked leaving those who’d piled in dazed and confused, now holding onto sizable losses. So as you can see, the first of my top 3 reasons most traders are losing money is simply because they’re piling in way too late in a stock’s move, generally near a high. Now on to reason number 2: 2) Most Traders EXIT Too Late Yes, as you can imagine if people are getting in too late, well, they’re also typically getting out too late as well. So let’s talk about why this happens. Why do retail traders tend to hold onto trades way too long, either turning a small loss into a BIG loss or sometimes even more painful, turning a winner into a loser? Let’s take a look at another example with an UBER competitor, LYFT . Like UBER, LYFT also had its IPO in 2019, opening up at $87.24/share… but that didn’t last long. In less than two months, LYFT went as low as $47.17… and what do you think those who bought during the IPO are saying right about now: “Oh, I’m holding it because IT WILL TURN AROUND!” This is generally where I see traders get religious 😉 Instead of ‘taking their medicine’ and getting out when the trade moved against them, they held on and are now pleading and praying the stock will turn around. I hate to be the one to break it to you, but ‘hope’ is not a strategy… at least not one with a winning trading record. Now on to number three in our list of top reasons why most traders lose money: 3) They Don’t Have A Trading Strategy As you’ll see, I’ve saved the best for last as this one alone can help fix or eliminate the other two we just discussed. So first, let’s answer this question: What Is A Trading Strategy? Well, a trading strategy gives you three key pieces of information you need before ever entering a trade: 1) It tells you WHAT you are trading. Is it stocks, options, futures, cryptocurrencies? This is answered in your trading strategy. 2) It answers when you ENTER a trade. 3) It answers when you EXIT a trade and that’s exiting with a profit or loss. Now, let’s take a look at an example here using TSLA on how I make decisions trading. I like to look at three different indicators, that when in alignment, give me a clear signal to go long or short a stock or ETF. As you can see on the charts, back in December of last year (2019) my indicators gave us a long signal on TSLA at around $370/share. TSLA Chart And the indicators told me we were good to go until around $850/share. All I had to do is let the indicators tell me when to get in and when to get out… no guessing, hoping, or praying. Summary So as you can see, there’s actually no big secret to why most traders are losing money. It’s actually pretty simple to see and correct, but it takes a plan and a little bit of discipline.
NASDAQ:LYFTEducation
by rockwelltrading
1
THE WEEK AHEAD: BYND, ROKU, SQ, ETSY, UBER EARNINGS; GDXJ, SLVEARNINGS: There's a bunch, but here are the ones that interest me most for volatility contraction plays: BYND (46/87/17.2%)*, announcing Tuesday after market close. ROKU (40/84/16.6%), announcing Wednesday after market close. SQ (40/74/13.4%), announcing Wednesday after market close. ETSY (38/74/14.8%), announcing Wednesday after market close. UBER (15/73/11.9%), announcing Thursday after market close. Pictured here is a directionally neutral iron condor in BYND in the September cycle with the shorts camped out at the 21 delta strikes. A 3.26 credit as of Friday's close, it's paying nearly one-third the width of the wings. Naturally, you can go with the August monthly, but this is one that's known to be a mover, so I'd opt to go longer duration for more room to be wrong. For those who prefer naked: the September 18th 106/165 was paying 8.55 at the mid price as of Friday's close, with the August 21st 105/160 (18 delta) paying 5.45. EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS WITH 30-DAY >35%, ORDERED BY RANK, AND SHOWING SEPTEMBER SHORT STRADDLE PRICE AS A PERCENTAGE OF STOCK PRICE: SLV (46/58/15.0%) XLE (26/40/11.5%) GDXJ (22/57/16.0%) GDX (22/46/13.0%) EWZ (20/46/12.4%) XOP (13/53/14.6%) From a buck banging perspective, it's GDXJ (16.0%), followed by SLV (15.0%), and XOP (14.6%) for premium selling. I've already got GDXJ and SLV plays on, so may consider something in XOP if I'm desperate to add to my theta pile. BROAD MARKET: IWM (29/34/9.1%) QQQ (22/27/7.5% EFA (21/23/6.0%) SPY (19/23/6.2%) The volatility was nice ... while it lasted. I may switch over to IWM put selling in the IRA in lieu of SPY given that RUT is where the volatility is at relative to the others. The 16 delta strike nearest 45 days until expiry would be the September 18th 130, paying 2.05. IRA DIVIDEND-GENERATORS: XLU (23/20/5.6%) (3.19% yield) IYR (22/28/7.2%) (3.27% yield) EWA (22/30/8.4%) (3.72% yield) EWZ (20/46/12.4%) (3.17% yield) SPY (19/23/6.2%) (1.75% yield) TLT (17/17/4.3%) (1.64% yield) HYG (15/15/3.0%) (5.00% yield) EMB (11/11/2.9%) (4.22% yield) EWZ (12.4%), followed by EWA (8.4%), then IYR (7.2%). Getting kind of tired of laddering out EWZ, but you go where the volatility's at. * -- For earnings, the August 21st at the money short straddle is used for determining the short straddle/stock price percentage; for everything else, I'm using September.
NASDAQ:BYND
by NaughtyPines
16
UBER Short| 200MA| S/R Flip| Supply Zone| Range Support Evening Traders, Today’s analysis –UBER- breaking range support bearish, the immediate target is the supply zone upon a valid bearish retest. Points to consider, - Macro trend bearish - Range support S/R flip - 200 MA resistance - Oscillators below 50 - Volume below average UBER’s macro trend has established consecutive lower highs, this helps determine the directional bias on the market being bearish. Price action broke range support; a bearish retest of the level will solidify it as resistance, confirming an S/R Flip. The 200 MA is a strong resistance that is in confluence with range support. This further solidifies the bearish bias on the market. Volume is currently trading below average; an influx is likely at the test of the support zone, profit taking area. Overall, in my opinion, a bearish retest of range support will allow for a short entry with defined risk. Discretion in accordance to price action must be used upon trade managemen t. What are your thoughts? Thank you for following my work! And remember, “You will never find fulfillment trading the markets if you don't learn to appreciate and be satisfied with what you already have.” ― Yvan Byeajee
NYSE:UBERShort
by AzizKhanZamani
2
Uber- good long term play.Uber Technologies, Inc. develops and operates proprietary technology applications primarily in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It connects consumers with independent providers of ride services for ridesharing services, as well as connect consumers with restaurants and food delivery service providers for meal preparation and delivery services. The company operates through five segments: Rides, Eats, Freight, Other Bets, and Advanced Technologies Group (ATG) and Other Technology Programs. The Rides segment offers products that connect consumers with rides drivers who provide rides in a range of vehicles, such as cars, auto rickshaws, motorbikes, minibuses, or taxis. It also provides Uber for Business, financial partnership services, and vehicle solutions offerings. The Eats segments offering enables consumers to search for and discover local restaurants, order a meal, and either pick-up at the restaurant or have the meal delivered. The Freight segment connects carriers with shippers on the company's platform and enable carriers upfront, transparent pricing, and the ability to book a shipment. The Other Bets segment provides access to rides through various modes, including dockless e-bikes and e-scooters; and other platform related services. The ATG and Other Technology Programs segment engages in the development and commercialization of autonomous vehicle and ridesharing technologies, as well as Uber Elevate. The company was formerly known as Ubercab, Inc. and changed its name to Uber Technologies, Inc. in February 2011. Uber Technologies, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
NYSE:UBERLong
by ShukriMahadi
UBER chart analysisUBER did not have the best run since its market debut. Price was slowly declining after IPO and the current market cap is $56.91B. After hitting bottom in March, investors became interested in buying the cheap stock. Most investment funds and banks have price projections from $45 to $54 since then. UBER has also started to diversify its business, going for UBER EATs to compete with other delivery giants in the big pandemic market, where grocery shopping got heavily shifted to online ordering and delivery. Today company announced that it is in talks with investors regarding a stake in its Uber Freight division, according to Bloomberg that cited people with knowledge of the matter. Potential to raise $500 million in a funding round that would value the freight division around $4 billion after the deal, the report said. Nothing has been finalized yet, so the whole deal could change or be scrapped. But shows UBER’s commitment to diversify. And news moves the stocks. Let us look at 1-hour chart for a technical view. UBER IPO opened around $45 in May 2019 and since then the price has been in a steady wave decline, an a-b-c pattern that bottomed at $13.75 in March this year after the pandemic sell off. As the stocks of the world steadily climbed higher on unprecedented financial stimulus, UBER rode the wave along with everyone else, enjoying a massive surge in stock price. Elliott wave count shows a clear 1-2-3-4-5 pattern ahead. We had a sharp bounce on wave 1 as investors rushed in to buy the stock on the cheap and a sharp wave 2 correction, followed by a bullish channel in wave 3. So far, the price finished wave 4, retracing a perfect 61.8% of wave 3 and just touching the end of wave 1. It shows great respect to EW rules. We also see a formation of the inverse Head & Shoulders pattern here with RSI divergence. Today at the close of the US session, UBER was priced at $32.79, also right on the cross of the 50SMA and 200SMA. The right shoulder of the pattern, or a corrective wave 2 within a bigger wave 5, is also a 61.8% retracement. More confirmation of a bullish move here is on the break and close above $34.50 resistance, that also serves as the neckline for the inverse H&S pattern. 2nd confirmation is the bullish breakout of the yellow downtrend line from the high of the $47. Please support the idea and share your thoughts on UBER! Good Luck and Stay Healthy!
NYSE:UBER
by Antonio_trader
2