Ujsdjpy
UJ - chance to BUY with target 114.5
Support and Resistance: Resistance W1 (pink) + Resistance D1 (blue) + Upper Edge Channel (Zone 112.4)
Supply and Demand: Last Supply (D) + Lower Edge Channel (Zone 111.0)
Forecast: Price up to Zone 112.4 (Resistance) and down to re-test Last Supply (Zone 111.0). After that Up to break All of Resistance (Resistance with so many TOP) zone 112.4. And target to 114.5 (Re-test Old Top)
Risk: Price break zone 111.0 and Re-test Supply zone 109.0
=>> Waiting Price Action Up
If break channel ==> review
Bullish Trend Broken! Where will UJ go next?With the impending US economic bust that is about to happen when the Dollar bursts (based upon the DXY and US30), I'm bearish on UJ for this week.
I see it continuing in an Elliot wave pattern to retest its low point from early last week. I want to see if price respects that low point or breaks below it for the continuation.
USD/JPY SHORTThe USD/JPY currency pair is forming a symmetrical/isometric triangle on the weekly chart, and moving down to the daily, we can see that price has made a major push to the downside already, and and is consolidating and forming a smaller symmetrical triangle too, as i believe it is getting ready to continue with its bearish momentum before it gets to the support zone formed by the weekly symmetrical triangle pattern.
My forecast would be to sell upon the breakout of the triangle pattern on the daily timeframe, which will be quite explosive considering how the price is constricting, probably due to a reduction in the volume of orders.
USDJPY Similar pattern to a year agoIf you look at the USDJPY pattern from last year (there was a rate hike on Dec 13, 2017), a top and then three increasingly lower tops before a strong pullback, it looks very much like this year, 49 weeks later. Supporting this is a mirror fractal (shown in yellow) from the last recovery. If the pattern continues, we could see 105-106 in March 2019. The pattern also fits my CAC40 fractal idea earlier.
The CIBC analysis reported on FXStreet.com supports this view, as do earlier forecasts by ExchangeRates.org.uk , and JPMorgan who predict a bottom at 104 in March 2019 and then a recovery.
The trade is to take advantage of the bounce from the 200-day SMA we hit on Dec 20, and short 111.50 for 105, with a 100 pip stop, which is 6.5:1