UK
FTSE - Fading gains, more downside expected. UK100 is Bearish - We look to Sell at 5860
▪️ Overnight price action has drifted lower and remains pressured by the medium term bearish bias.
▪️ Levels close to the 61.8% pullback level of 6000 found sellers.
▪️ Broken out of the channel formation to the downside.
▪️ We look for a re-test of the upward trending resistance.
▪️ Further downside is expected although we prefer to set shorts at our bespoke resistance levels at 5860, resulting in improved risk/reward.
▪️ Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Stop: 5890
Target1: 5665
Target2: 5630
Parallel channel on GBPUSD with a potential bullish moveOn GBPUSD there is a clear parallel channel structure. It's now at the bottom, meaning it might move upwards. It can also breakout of the pattern. In this case, confirmation is really necessary. That's when we wait for a retest. Let me know your thoughts!
FTSE - Selling a re-test of the channel UK100 is Bearish - We look to Sell at 5965
▪️ Overnight price action has drifted lower and remains pressured by the medium term bearish bias.
▪️ Levels close to the 61.8% pullback level of 6000 found sellers.
▪️ Broken out of the channel formation to the downside.
▪️ We look for a re-test of the upward trending resistance.
▪️ Further downside is expected although we prefer to set shorts at our bespoke resistance levels at 5965, resulting in improved risk/reward.
▪️ Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Stop: 6015
Target1: 5665
Target2: 5500
FTSE - Selling a re-test of the broken channel UK100 is Bearish - We look to Sell at 5933
▪️ Broken out of the channel formation to the downside.
▪️ We have a 50% Fibonacci pullback level of 5936 from 6209 to 5665.
▪️ Positive overnight flows lead to an expectation of a firm open this morning.
▪️ Further downside is expected although we prefer to set shorts at our bespoke resistance levels at 5933, resulting in improved risk/reward.
▪️ Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Stop: 5983
Target1: 5665
Target2: 5627
FTSE has broken out of a channel - Looking to sell a re-test. UK100 is Bearish - We look to Sell at 5867
▪️ Broken out of the channel formation to the downside.
▪️ We have a 38.2% Fibonacci pullback level of 5872 from 6209 to 5664.
▪️ Negative overnight flows lead to an expectation of a weaker open this morning.
▪️ Further downside is expected although we prefer to set shorts at our bespoke resistance levels at 5867, resulting in improved risk/reward.
▪️ Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Stop: 5917
Target1: 5637
Target2: 5530
DLN (UK) - corrective pattern down under wayDLN(UK) has finished primary wave A up, as the critical mark in the previous shown analysis was crossed. It is now tracing the first waves of a intermediate wave A down. After it is complete in 5 waves, there should be a small correction up and prices should fall again in order to cojplete primary wave B down. This scenario will be void if prices crosses up 3666. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
GBPAUD Long CHINA DEVALUE CORRELATIONA trade I picked up tonight.
Fundamental:
-AUD to weaken from CNY weakness as they fail to make 880bln in loans
-economic performance expected to decline as outlined by Lowe
Technicals:
-strong rejection off end of daily range
-supports built at swing low, first candle (1st arrow)
Sentiment:
-AUD overextended but GBP also weak
-maybe if gold continues down AUD will follow
Price action:
-buyers from the initial rejection find value in the market and further purchase at support and a liquidity area (2nd arrow)
GBPUSD - currency should strengthened during years to comeGBP recently finished a supercycle c wave from a contracting triangle of the same degree. The next long term move should be wave D up and should take many years until it reaches the most probable target of 1.80. Short-term opportunities will be published here. Keep tuned. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
FTSE 100 - Top of the shop?Short sellers squeezed out?
Head and shoulders top forming?
I personally like speculating on what I think could be a right shoulder in a head and shoulders top pattern. Especially when the (potential) right shoulder squeezes into a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Selling FTSE between 5860-5877 if I can. Stops above the highs.
The measured move target is at 5110.
UK 10-YEAR YIELD - new lows aheadGB10Y seems to be tracing intermediate wave 3 down of primary wave 5. The resistance for this scenario would be at 1.058, if this level is crossed up primary wave 5 has already finished and yields should be in an upward move. Another critical level is at 0.072, if this level is crossed down yields should go a longer move down. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
UK100 - Bear Market Rally or Market Bottom?It's been quite a 24 hours in stock markets, with risk appetite suffering due to a combination of factors including earnings and global recession warnings. This was always going to test this new-found bullishness in the markets.
As always, these may have been the catalyst for the sell-off but there will be other underlying factors as well. For example, just prior to stocks turning red, the Dow has made up 50% of those remarkable losses incurred in late February/early March and peaked around 24,000. It's not altogether surprising that this was viewed as a good time to take some cash off the table, especially going into an incredibly unpredictable earnings season.
Whatever the reason, the break of the trend line suggests the near-term trend has shifted and stocks may come under a little pressure. The 55 and 89 SMA band on the 4-hour chart could be an interesting first test, coinciding with prior support and resistance, potentially even triggering a little retracement to the upside. But if that's all it is - and I suspect it may be - the real test lies around 5,350.
This is the 50% retracement level of the move from the lows to this week's peak and could tell us whether this is a bear market rally or a bottomed market with strong upside potential. A break of 50% doesn't confirm the former, it should be stressed, but it would certainly strengthen the case. Below here 5,200 will be interesting (61.8%).