HSBA – Bearish divergence intactThe daily RSI is in a falling channel even though the prices are moving higher, suggesting a bearish price RSI divergence and a potential for a correction.
However, the stock found buyers at the session low of 629.60. Nevertheless, a potential for a sell-off remains intact till the stock does not close above 645 levels.
On the lower side, major support is seen around 600 levels.
UK
easyJet eyes 50-DMA supportRepeated failure around 1080 area if followed by a daily close below 50-DMA of 1038 would confirm the bearish MACD crossover and open doors for a sell-off to 200-DMA level of 987.60.
Only a daily close above 1100 would open doors for a fresh rally to 200-DMA seen today at 1247.
Supergroup PLC – Awaits Symmetrical triangle breakoutOn the daily chart, we see a larger symmetrical triangle formation. Off late, the stock has been restricted to a narrow range of 1520 to 1580.
The daily RSI has turned flat, however, the daily MACD shows loss of bullish momentum following a sharp rally from late Oct to mid November.
Hence, a bearish break from the narrow range of 1520-1580 appears likely. Prices could extend losses to 1427 (Sep 15 low) in this case.
On the higher side, it is advisable to wait for a bullish break above the triangle resistance.
Persimmon – Bearish outside day candle at critical resistanceThe stock retreated from the critical resistance around the psychological figure of 1800 and was last seen trading around 1732.
The daily candle is now a bearish outside day.
A break below 1700 would open doors for a test of the falling channel floor seen today around 1573.
Taylor Wimpey – More losses below 148.50UK House builders have faded post budget spike. The daily candle is now a inverted bearish hammer.
That has ensured the falling channel is intact.
Prices currently trade around 149.40. A daily close below 148.58 (38.2% Fibo) would add credence to the failure at the channel resistance and open doors for a sell-off to 140.00 levels.
Tesco looks set to test monthly 50-MA hurdleTesco looks set to rally further. In the short-run the psychological figure of 200 is likely to act as a base.
Bullish price RSI divergence
Bullish break from the triangle pattern
Bullish crossover on the Monthly chart
Thus, the stock appears on track to test the monthly 50-MA seen today at 255.51 levels. The moving average is seen sliding lower to 245-247 by year end.
HSBC Holdings - Time for a healthy correctionRight hand side - Daily chart
Left hand side- Weekly chart
The bearish divergence is quite clear. The price is sliding higher against the trend line, while the RSI is moving in a downward channel. Unless, the RSI breaks higher, there is little reason to believe the stock could rise further.
Over here, the RSI is sowing a bearish divergence...while the MACD is showing the loss of bullish momentum.
Overall, it appears the stock is poised for a much needed healthy correction to 600-580 levels.
Faith in GBP restoredLast week Supreme Court ruled that UK needs to have a parliamentary vote for Brexit
REFERENDUM NOT BINDING
Fundamentals give reasons to have faith in GBP again; strong yen hurting Japanese economy
Close above Fib on daily and strong BULL till the end of the week, even in a longer term.
Sainsbury - A bottom may be in placeThe daily, weekly and monthly chart do not show any clear trend. Hence, we swtiched quarterly chart, which shows multiple 3-month candles with long tails.
Since October 2013, sellers have repeatedly run out of steam in the range of 210-230. The MACD also shows the loss of bearish momentum.
If charts are anything to go by... this could be the ideal time to enter into Sainsbury/UK retailers
Barclays – Poised for correctionBarclays is one of the volume leaders today. The stock appears priced for a correction –
Bearish price RSI divergence on the 4-hour chart
Overbought on the daily chart
Stuck at weekly 100-MA
Thus, a minor pull back to 200 from the current price of 2111 appears likely.
Burberry at 5-month rising trend lineMACD, though below zero, shows the momentum has stalled. A day end close below the rising trend line would open doors for a further sell-off to 1277 (August lows).
It is advisable to be on a 'wait and watch' mode.
On the higher side, only a daily close above 1450 would signal a possible revisit to recent highs around 1550.
Taylor Wimpey – Falling channel intactUK’s FTSE 100 index was boosted today by house builder Taylor Wimpey which said trading had been "strong" in the second half of the year.
Technicals – Falling channel on the daily
The share is trading around 150p. Prices need to close above the falling channel hurdle, which would signal continuation of the rally from the post Brexit low. On the higher side, resistance is seen at 160.02 (Oct 4 high) – 160.67 (50% Fibo of May high – June low).
Given the 50-DMA and 100-DMA are sloping lower; the odds of a bullish break from the falling channel are low.
Shire (Pre Election) Pharmaceuticals shares have been hit hard since Clinton's public disapproval of Pharmaceuticals Co.'s prices and profits. Pharmaceuticals shares in general have declined across the board. which is evident in the H1 chart of Shire.
R4 5155.88
R3 4985.27
R2 downward trendline
R1 4634.31
Current 4580.50
S1 4317.47
If Clinton wins I believe we will enter a new lower distribution.
HSBC (HSBA LN) earnings MondayThe banking sector has been hit by Trumps latest resurgence in the polls, but the UK banks received a slight boost after a UK court ruled that MP's will have a say on when and how article 50 will be invoked, increasing hopes of a soft Brexit.
The weekly chart has printed a bearish candle signal but on the daily chart prices look overstretched. on the D1 chart the RSI indicator is making lower lows while price is making higher lows (Divergence). Currently is right in the middle of value which indicates if earnings come out of line we could see a move into a new distribution.
The weekly downtrendline has been broken but since price has moved back in but on lower volume. On the lower timeframes we are in a uptrend, but the recent retracement looks strong but overdone.
R3 660.00
R2 Weekly downtrend line
R1 Daily downtrend line
Current 592.80
S1 590.20
S2 558.00
S3 541.86
S4 489.52
Shell (RDSA LN)This Co. has has a interesting time in recent months, the will they wont they OPEC saga has made energy based shares volatile. The most recent rhetoric from today has been from Saudi Arabia who stated that they considered scrapping output cuts if Iran refuse to join in. Last week API and DOE crude oil inventories reported a large build which doesn't bode well for the stock price.
In regards to the chart the long term trend is bearish (D1) but more recently share price retraced after the output cut was announced. On the H1 chart price has made a lower high and the previous wave low has just been broken at the 2026 area which could confirm a change in trend. In regards to value we are at the bottom of the recent value range but could break into the lower mean price range between 1980 and 1900.
R5 Downward trendline
R4 2125.30
R3 2093.84
R2 Internal downtrend line
R1 2026.62
Current 2019.00
S1 1956.17
S2 1940.00
S3 Upward trendline
S4 1929.80
Barclays (BARC LN)Barclays (BARC LN) – recently Co.’s shares have taken a hit after Trump gains ground in the election polls. Yesterday shares received a lift after UK courts decided that MP’s must be involved in the invoking of article 50. This led financial names and GBP to rally as a soft Brexit may be the outcome. Taking a look at the chart we are in a technical downtrend on the D1, but on the lover timeframes we are clearly making higher highs and higher lows. In terms of the RSI on the D1 chart we are still in positive territory, albeit mildly so. On the hourly chart we are seeing a bullish failure swing develop which suggests we are slightly stretched short term. We are slightly above the relative value area on the H1 chart which does suggest after a mild retracement we could see prices move back to the 170-172 area, but the 180.53 support zone would confirm a break lower as the first lower high and lower low would be confirmed.
R3 192.99
R2 downtrend line above current price
R1 187.065
Current 180.65
S1 179.73
S2 177.04
S3 174.81
S4 161.09
FTSE 100 CashThis market is still in a technical uptrend although signs are beginning to emerge that we may be falling off, but the confirmation will come if the 6700 level is broken to the downside. In terms of indicators the RSI has moved into bearish territory but is producing a bullish failure swing. On the monthly timeframe the candlestick action is very bearish but despite this the daily chart is showing signs of exhaustion (which means we may see a retracement). In terms of fundamentals today we saw a court ruling that MP's will have a say on invoking article 50 before it is triggered which was bullish for GBP but bearish for large caps like GSK and mining names, this is due to their profits being denominated in USD. Importers like Dixons Charphone and companies that need a stong GBP i.e. Ryanair this was positive but these companies make up much less of the FTSE100.
R2 7098
R1 6940
Current 6809
S1 6780
S2 6704
S3 Downward internal trendline starting 15th Aug