FTSE ready to challenge the highs?The chop in the FTSE continues. We saw those levels mentioned previously between 6970-6920 do another great job and we are a decent amount higher today. The uptrend support line was pierced on a closing basis yesterday and we are back above it as it stands. I think we need to see it kick on above yesterday’s highs if we are to fully get behind a rally back to the highs. The weekly pivot it’s at 7024, the 10 SMA is at 7021 and yesterday’s high was 7013. If the market can overcome those levels then a fresh attempt at the highs is possible. I think it’s now or never for the push higher as the longer the index spends probing those key support levels the more chance it has of breaking down.
Visually the charts remain bullish so the preference is to buy on weakness, however for those that are in the bearish camp an intraday sell can be attempted at the trio of resistance levels mentioned above between 7013-7024, stops at 7060.
UK
Buy Morrison SupermarketsMorrison Supermarkets has outperformed the FTSE 100 index by over 10% in the last 3 months. The shares are also outperforming their sector index in the same period. The shares have completed a base pattern on the weekly charts and look set to keep pushing higher over the medium to long term.
Rio Tinto – Gaps lower, re-enters expanding channelShares opened lower today and are now trading at least 5% lower on the day around 2555 levels.
Retreat from 2800 (Oct 11 high) followed by a drop to 2550 levels adds credence to the bearish price RSI divergence on the daily chart. However, a 250 point point drop could lead to short-term loss of momentum and thus yield sideways action before further losses materialize.
The immediate support at 2487 (Apr 21) is likely to be put to test.
On the higher side, only a daily close above 2623 would suggest bearish invalidation.
FTSE100 – Double top breakdown on cards, but caution advisedThe index could see a gap down opening around or below 7000, which is the double top neckline, however caution is advised since 5-DMA and 10-DMA are yet to confirm a bearish crossover and more importantly 10-DMA is still sloping onwards.
Hence, we could see a minor correction… although it is to be noted that bearish invalidation is seen only above record highs.
Watch for- Rejection at 4-hr 5-MA followed by a break below 7K levels as that would signal a more pronounced sell-off to sub 6900 levels.
FTSE100 – Weak response to Sterling slideThe index is trading moderately lower on the day around 7020 levels…This is despite the 100-pip drop in Sterling. The currency currently trades around 1.2630.
The lackluster reaction in the FTSE100 index forces us to consider whether the equity markets are no longer comfortable with sliding currency.
Moreover, what this means is the index may suffer sharp correction, since it is not responding to sliding currency as it did while the index is anyways vulnerable to correction in Pound.
A drop below 7K figure could yield a quick fire drop to 6940 levels.
FTSE100 – Money flow index signals reversalThe weekly money flow index has breached rising trend line and is turning lower from the overbought territory.
On the daily chart, both RSI and money flow index are yet to hit the overbought territory, hence we could see prices revisit record high level around 7130, especially now that GBP/USD has breached 1.27 level.
On the lower side, 6973 remains a strong support.
Metal Tiger – Flag and Pole…continuation patternThe daily chart of the AIM listed Metal Tiger shows prices have formed a Flag and Pole formation. This is a continuation pattern, means a bullish break would suggest continuation of the rally from 0.712 (Jan 22 low).
Check out the interview with Metal Tiger’s CEO here - www.youtube.com
Goldplat – Exciting business prospects, awaiting bullish breakGoldplat PLC (LON: GDP) is back to the beat as shown by its latest yearly financial statements. In today’s CEO interview segment, Gerard Kisbey-Green, CEO of Goldplat updates viewers regarding company’s projects in Ghana and South Africa and plans to improve productivity at Kenya gold mine. The main focus now is on potential business opportunities in South America.
Check the CEO interview segment here - Exciting growth prospects ahead – Goldplat - www.youtube.com
Daily chart – consolidation
We see that prices are consolidation in a range of 7.00-5.15. A bullish break from the sideways channel would suggest the rally from July 2015 lows has resumed.
On the lower side, a strong support is seen around 5.15. Note that, a bearish break would add credence to the breach of rising trendline and thus increase prospects of a revisit to July 2015 lows.
GBPJPY Towards it self into the next major resistance level GBPJPY been running low and retesting the bottom couple of times and we finally see breakout into the bull side.
Now we wait to see the next resistance to be broken as additional bull power for those among us who buy GBPJPY.
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Pantheon Resources – 105.00 is the key level Rebound from 10-DMA support and a move back above monthly pivot S2 if followed by a day end close above 107.81 (previous day’s high) could yield a move higher to 115.50 (Sep 19 high).
On the lower side, only daily close below 100.00 would open doors for a much deeper sell-off to 90.00 levels.
Check out the detailed fundamental and technical analysis of Pantheon Resources here - www.youtube.com
GBPUSD zone: Time for buyers to reach 1.30388 before next FEDThe GBPUSD is in a support base that has not been broken, the market waiting for the economic datas from USA.
Weird attitude as the UK entrepreneurs are confident about their capacity to expand their business according to a recent analysis (investing.com)
GBPUSD might fall more if US numbers are pretty good but 2017 will see it rise back to 1.34.
The perfect timing to buy might be now on a weekly timing according to me.
Bayer stock facing upside pressureBayer have just taken over Monsanto. This is huge as it brings together two of the biggest pharmaceutical firms globally. Looking technically, I can see some severe upside where investors look to pile into this now global powerhouse (takeover valued at $68bn). I would expect a rally to $112 based off of current market structure and the bullish harami pattern. I would also like to see end of week volumes finish extremely high.
UK manufacturing PMI preview: What to expect of GBP/USD?UK manufacturing PMI for August is due for release today is expected to show the pace of contraction in the activity moderated somewhat. The index is seen coming-in at 49.00 compared to July’s 48.2 figure.
No signs of post Brexit gloom and doom
So far we have not seen any sign of post Brexit gloom and doom. It was just the July manufacturing PMI figure that triggered that matched the fear mongering spread by Anti Brexiteers. A positive manufacturing PMI figure; above 50.00; would put to rest whatever little speculation of post Brexit gloom and doom exists out there. Hence, we could see the bird revisit 1.32+ levels. The initial spike could take the pair even higher, although what matters is if the spot manages to hold above 1.32 levels on larger time frame charts.
On the other hand, a weaker-than-expected figure could yield a fresh slide to 1.3065 (previous day’s low). Moreover, a weak figure ahead of payrolls release and after hawkish Yellen would only underscore the growing monetary policy divergence between the Fed and the BOE.
Technicals – Stuck at 50-DMA
Pair’s failure to take out symmetrical triangle resistance on last Friday followed by a drop to 1.3059 and a recovery above 1.31 if followed by a failure at 50-DMA and a break below 1.3059 levels would open doors for a revisit to 1.29-1.2865 levels.
On the higher side, a convincing day end close above 1.3315 (23.6% of 1.5019-1.2789) would suggest trend reversal.