More dropping then buying, I want 300 pips profit (at least)Have you traded GBPAUD much? It's a pair that will do whatever it wants whenever it wants, and I love that... it makes me feel alive, kind of like "today might be the last day I ever trade!" Anyway, the money to make on this pair is outrageous, IF you are patient.
Here's what I want to see:
1. more more big move lower into the mid 1.60's (1.65 ideally) then i'm going to draw a short term trend line probably on the 15 minute chart and I'm going to buy every break up until I can get back up to the lower 1.70's (weekly pivot etc). At the time of this posting the pair is bounding around 1.6900's, 100-200 pip move up first will invalidate my trade.
2. I will start small on this trade, scale in with a bigger position a few times and target the low 1.70's
3. I will then run to the bank laughing all the way!
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UK
Standard life PLC – Rally has legs, eyes 200-DMAStandard Life PLC is among the top 5 FTSE100 risers; trading 4.4% higher on the day at 332.50.
Volumes have held around 20-day moving average, while there are no signs of topping out on the daily MACD.
The only sign of worry if any is the possible divergence on the Money Flow indicator.
Overall, the stock appears on track to test 345 (38.2% of 2015 high – 2016 low + 200-DMA). Further gains appear unlikely as major averages are still trending lower, so a rise to 345 could be followed by sideways action.
Easy Jet - Should we trust the rally?Easy Jet shares have finally witnessed a relief rally of sorts. Prices clocked a low of 973 on July 26 before jumping to a high of 1080 today.
The question now is should we trust the corrective rally in the shares. Fundamentals do not support the rally in prices… travel stocks are anyways under pressure, furthermore strengthening of oil prices further is an addition to the bearish news.
On the technical front, the news is not good either-
The volumes have stayed below 20-day average through the current technical recovery.
The money flow index also suggests the corrective rally is more due to profit taking/unwinding of shorts.
Hence, the current rally may not be sustained. Moreover, gains have come after last Thursday’s BOE stimulus, which have triggered broad based gains. After the effect of stimulus wanes off the stock may resume the downtrend.
On the higher side, we keep an eye on 1177 levels, while fresh sell-off is seen once the recent low of 973 is breached.
FTSE 100 ABCD + Bat Pattern => Strong short opportunityChart speaks for itself no extra information needed
FTSE SHORTAn overbought ftse is due to fall, i am short at 6700 and todays strong test and pull back from the 3/1 level further confirms bearish sentiment, first tp is at 6400 and the second set just above major support zone 6200..
Sunoco Short SetupAs with all the other us energy stocks we have been following they're all in a corrective structure.
Like all the others Sunoco is currently in a corrective structure. One option is to sell off the bounce of the top of the triangle. Alternatively we will be waiting for a break of the lower trend line. Once it breaks we will be watching on a lower time frame for a failed retest or consolidation and then take the sell.
$TALKTALK SHORTS/R DRAWN FROM WEEKLY CHART. POTENTIAL H&S FORMING ON TALKTALK CHART. BEARISH DOWN TO THE NECKLINE @ 196.65
London Stock Exchange analysis.Potential move up to complete the head and shoulders pattern. That could lead to a fall. At the same time, we could see price move back into value to the point of control, and even further. I do doubt we will see a large fall as the UK market has shaken off Brexit uncertainty extremely well. In this case, it is possible that 3000 could be seen.
GBPUSD SKA CAPITAL Looking short on this pair, firstly looking at an upside move to potential levels 1.31650-1.31850 (Trend line bounce).From this level we would await key bearish PA to develop; we would then seek entry to downside targets of 1.3070 then our ideal target 1.29750. The ideal target would be valid on the basis of a bearish breakout below 1.30750. Our management target being 1.3070.
We harve a possible bullish harmonic pattern in play which provides us with the confluence of an upside move from current support. As you could see we have further confluence with Senkou Span A (Green Cloud) acting as Resistance. We then have a Kumo Down Twist forming and price being below the clouds and the 200 EMA demontrates bearish momentum and a possible continuation to the downside. We have lower highs which is demonstrated in the defending channel.
Furthermore, we can possibly see a bearish ABCD formation to our downside targets.
TRADE SETUP
We would wait for price to reach the trend line and target of the Harmonic pattern before looking for the short (sell) trade setup, you can set up a sell limit order however we prefer to wait to setup a sell stop order to endure we enter on the basis of bearish PA. (Shorter term traders can look to buy to levels 1.31550).
As you could see our stops are placed at 1.32300, stops could also be placed at 1.3300. However, we would prefer to have our stops just above the Senkou Span A & B and above the trend line as a break above would demonstrate further bullish momentum.
Therefore a possible strong setup would be as follows:
SELL STOP/LIMIT ORDER: 1.31550
TAKE PROFIT (Management): 1.30850
TAKE PROFIT (Ideal): 1.29750
STOP LOSS (ideal): 1.3200
STOP LOSS (Possible) 1.3300
***TRADE AT OWN RISK***
Is the GBPJPY in a downtrend and should I short?With the Japanese Yen looking very strong right now and the GBP looking bearish you can see a downtrend has formed in the GBPJPY weekly chart. Right now it seems as if it is in phase two of the downtrend cycle.
I personally would be wary about the fundamentals, as some news are to be released related to JPY and GBP throughout this week. I would look to short GBPJPY following the trend on phase 1.
GBPJPY SKA CAPITAL OUTLOOKAs you could see outlined on the chart we believe this pair is looking bearish to possible targets of 136.500 then possibly 134.00. There are several ways this trade setup could be undertaken. You can either wait for a breakout and retest of the lower trend line with bearish candlestick confirmation. However, we would be entering this trade around 140.30. Stops could be placed just above the upper descending trend line or above the previous highest high (Above 143.500). If price breaks above the pattern then this trade setup is no longer valid.
Bearish FTSE from 7000There is every chance the FTSE could reach 7000. However, I am bearish the market (and global equities in general) and so would not be a buyer of this until there is indication that the market can come off. If we see the European banking crisis speeding up, or corporate debt issues coming to the fore, then this would certainly impact the FTSE and we would see the February low at 5489 be taken out.
Sell GBPUSD 1.3100 targeting new lows below 1.28Sterling remains weak and has just broken the neckline of a bearish head & shoulders formation on the 4 hour chart.
Caution is advised (see my linked post) with regards to the risk of a short squeeze perpetuated by UK labour and retail sales data this week.
It would be prudent to operate a stop on-close rather than at-level given the likely volatility around data releases. Aiming for approximately 1.28 (-300 away) with a stop no higher than 1.32 (+100 away)
A negative weekly/daily bias remains below 1.3317, with this short term formation on a 4 hour interval also negative.