GBPUSD SKA CAPITAL Looking short on this pair, firstly looking at an upside move to potential levels 1.31650-1.31850 (Trend line bounce).From this level we would await key bearish PA to develop; we would then seek entry to downside targets of 1.3070 then our ideal target 1.29750. The ideal target would be valid on the basis of a bearish breakout below 1.30750. Our management target being 1.3070.
We harve a possible bullish harmonic pattern in play which provides us with the confluence of an upside move from current support. As you could see we have further confluence with Senkou Span A (Green Cloud) acting as Resistance. We then have a Kumo Down Twist forming and price being below the clouds and the 200 EMA demontrates bearish momentum and a possible continuation to the downside. We have lower highs which is demonstrated in the defending channel.
Furthermore, we can possibly see a bearish ABCD formation to our downside targets.
TRADE SETUP
We would wait for price to reach the trend line and target of the Harmonic pattern before looking for the short (sell) trade setup, you can set up a sell limit order however we prefer to wait to setup a sell stop order to endure we enter on the basis of bearish PA. (Shorter term traders can look to buy to levels 1.31550).
As you could see our stops are placed at 1.32300, stops could also be placed at 1.3300. However, we would prefer to have our stops just above the Senkou Span A & B and above the trend line as a break above would demonstrate further bullish momentum.
Therefore a possible strong setup would be as follows:
SELL STOP/LIMIT ORDER: 1.31550
TAKE PROFIT (Management): 1.30850
TAKE PROFIT (Ideal): 1.29750
STOP LOSS (ideal): 1.3200
STOP LOSS (Possible) 1.3300
***TRADE AT OWN RISK***
UK
Is the GBPJPY in a downtrend and should I short?With the Japanese Yen looking very strong right now and the GBP looking bearish you can see a downtrend has formed in the GBPJPY weekly chart. Right now it seems as if it is in phase two of the downtrend cycle.
I personally would be wary about the fundamentals, as some news are to be released related to JPY and GBP throughout this week. I would look to short GBPJPY following the trend on phase 1.
GBPJPY SKA CAPITAL OUTLOOKAs you could see outlined on the chart we believe this pair is looking bearish to possible targets of 136.500 then possibly 134.00. There are several ways this trade setup could be undertaken. You can either wait for a breakout and retest of the lower trend line with bearish candlestick confirmation. However, we would be entering this trade around 140.30. Stops could be placed just above the upper descending trend line or above the previous highest high (Above 143.500). If price breaks above the pattern then this trade setup is no longer valid.
Bearish FTSE from 7000There is every chance the FTSE could reach 7000. However, I am bearish the market (and global equities in general) and so would not be a buyer of this until there is indication that the market can come off. If we see the European banking crisis speeding up, or corporate debt issues coming to the fore, then this would certainly impact the FTSE and we would see the February low at 5489 be taken out.
Sell GBPUSD 1.3100 targeting new lows below 1.28Sterling remains weak and has just broken the neckline of a bearish head & shoulders formation on the 4 hour chart.
Caution is advised (see my linked post) with regards to the risk of a short squeeze perpetuated by UK labour and retail sales data this week.
It would be prudent to operate a stop on-close rather than at-level given the likely volatility around data releases. Aiming for approximately 1.28 (-300 away) with a stop no higher than 1.32 (+100 away)
A negative weekly/daily bias remains below 1.3317, with this short term formation on a 4 hour interval also negative.
Standard Chartered – Bullish break lacks supp of strong volumes
Standard Chartered shares are flirting with inverse head and shoulder neckline and appear poised to close the day higher.
That would be confirm a bullish break and present a technical target of 831. However, as of now, that appears a big task given the banking concerns in Europe. Nevertheless, a bullish break on day end closing basis would open doors for 659.50 (Sep 15, 2015 low).
But bulls need to observe caution as we have a negative volume divergence i.e. volumes are sliding, hence the breakout could turn into a ‘fakeout’.
Burberry – double bottom once falling trend line is breached
Burberry's sharp rise this week suggests a bottom is in place around 1080 and once prices break above falling trend line hurdle seen today at 1320, the doors would be opened for a test of double bottom neckline resistance at 1468.
On the other hand, a failure to break above weekly 50-MA level of 1261 followed by a retreat below this week's low of 1160 could yield a re-test of latest cyclical low of 1040.
The likelihood of the share breaking above falling trend line hurdle is high, given the bullish weekly 5-MA and 10-MA crossover accompanied by a sharp rise in volumes this week.
Pound falls to lowest ever, Here is why by ForexSQThe pound has hit a new low in Asian trading as concerns about the UK’s vote to leave the European Union continue to weigh on investor confidence.
It touched 1.2798 against the dollar on Wednesday, a 31-year low, before recovering slightly to $1.2963.
The pound has now fallen about 14% against the dollar since hitting .... Read more at ForexSQ