UK100 to find support at market price?UK100 - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher.
Dip buying offers good risk/reward.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 8175 level.
We look to Buy at 8175 (stop at 8135)
Our profit targets will be 8275 and 8295
Resistance: 8480 / 8570 / 8720
Support: 8010 / 7870 / 7725
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UK100 CFD
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?UK100 is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 8,234.64
1st Support: 8,165.20
1st Resistance: 8,272.91
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
UK100 FTSE100 - ABC Correction Uderway?Hello Guys,
The yearly Candle is slightly Bullish - but we did not see a break on a closing base of the crucial 7900 area -> ATH.
A Retest of this area would constitute a Bullish setup - which I would be happy to be part of after the last rallye.
Q2 Close - Doji -> might see a consolidation phase from here with a sideways to down mentality - considering the recent gains the bulls had.
The monthly Bias is Bearish. A Bearish Engulfing Pattern (Although a small one) has been formed. The Stochastic confirms a Bearish Bias - not totally contradicting the higher Timeframes! So Bulls be prepared for some drop… Just an idea from my side. A Double Top at 8400 would be a strong sign of Bears being back.
-> For the bulls 7900 has to hold - for the bears 8400.
Thats all for now…
Thanks for reading
Bearish drop?UK100 is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could potentially drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 8,221.18
1st Support: 8,135.01
1st Resistance: 8,281.68
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish bounce?UK100 is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 8,094.06
1st Support: 8,003.06
1st Resistance: 8,245.38
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
FTSE on a 1-month correction. Is it over?Great display of compliance to technical dynamics by FTSE 100 (UK100) on our previous analysis (April 29, see chart below) as after hitting our 8350 Target it got rejected exactly at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the long-term +2 year Channel Up:
The corrective pattern broke yesterday below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since April 19, which technically opens the way for a test of the next Support level, the Higher Lows Zone.
As you can see, this Zone has been providing Support (and the most optimal buy entry) since the January 17 Low. As a result, as long as the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) is holding, we will buy the next Higher Lows contact and target 8350 (Lower Highs projection similar to February 07 2024 and October 17 2023).
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FTSE 100 Index Declines After Labour Market NewsFTSE 100 Index Declines After Labour Market News
The British stock index FTSE 100 (UK 100 on FXOpen) dropped nearly 1% yesterday due to the release of economic data indicating a rise in unemployment.
According to ForexFactory:
→ The Claimant Count Change (number of unemployment benefit claims) was 50,000 (expected = 10.2k, previous month = 8.4k). This is the highest number since March 2021.
→ The unemployment rate slightly increased to 4.4% compared to the previous value of 4.3%.
However, today the FTSE 100 (UK 100 on FXOpen) chart is showing signs of recovery.
Fundamentally:
→ GDP news did not bring any unpleasant surprises;
→ Weakening in the labour market might prompt the Bank of England to lower the interest rate to stimulate the economy, which should support the stock index.
From a Technical Analysis Perspective of the FTSE 100 (UK 100 on FXOpen):
→ At the low of the decline, the price found support at the median line of the upward channel that has been in place since last autumn (shown in blue);
→ The median line is reinforced by the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from the bullish impulse A→B;
→ The price failed to consolidate below the late May low around the 8150 level, indicating a local capitulation of bears.
Bulls, on the other hand, might use these technical support factors to attempt to resume the upward trend within the blue channel. To do this, they will need to break the resistance of the trend line (shown in red).
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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
US100 - Broken All Time High | Bull Trap?Nasdaq has broken its all time high of 18500 on march 24. It is currently trading above it but does
momentum supports new high?
As far as volume is concern. There is bearish divergence on volumes. Volumes are on lower sides on this breakout raises eyes on bull trap.
We have another harmonic pattern is forming which supports 18800 to be the reversal points. Making this breakout as fakeout on daily timeframe.
We expect NASDAQ to fall to atleast 18100 level first where analysis will be done once again to carry out next move.
What do you think of its next move?
FTSE 100 Can 2.5X versus the GBP In Dollar terms.
We have analysed the FTSE100 #UKX the GBPUSD and UK Housing on a big time frame scale before.
Here we have the FTSE 100 and the UK companies which have pricing power
versus #Sterling which we know is heading to sub $1
As we have expectations of the #GBPUSD to target 0.71 in a head and shoulders target close to a 50% drop from current levels!
British citizens are living in a inflationary nightmare.
A potential lifeboat is investing their way out.
NOT SAVING .. as saving in a ever worthless #Pound is only compounding your loss of purchasing power.
Footsie Is Trading In 5th WaveWe have been talking for a long time about bullish UK stock market index FTSE100 a.k.a. Footsie. We also shared the chart with our members more than a year ago, where we were tracking wave 4 correction within an ongoing five-wave bullish impulse.
After a longer sideways consolidation, it turned out to be a bullish triangle pattern in wave 4, but as you can see, it’s now finally and nicely extending higher for wave 5 as expected. There can be space even up to 8800 – 9400 target area, just watch out on short-term pullbacks.
UK100 Analysis: Stock Market Optimistic Ahead of Bank of EnglandUK100 Analysis: Stock Market Optimistic Ahead of Bank of England News
On Monday, the UK observed a bank holiday for May Day, and on Tuesday, the stock market demonstrated accumulated optimism.
The FTSE index (UK100) today surpassed the 8300 mark. Additionally:
→ The opening occurred with a bullish gap;
→ On the daily chart of UK100, today the RSI indicator is in overbought territory, unseen since the beginning of 2023.
One of the significant drivers of bullish sentiments could be considered events on Thursday – at 14:00 GMT+3, news from the Bank of England is expected: market participants will learn about the decision on the interest rate, followed by a press conference.
As Econoday writes:
→ A decision to cut interest rates is unlikely at Thursday's meeting, with autumn being seen as the most probable period for a 0.25-point rate cut from the current level of 5.25 points.
→ Members of the rate-setting committee are concerned that inflation is slowing down too slowly. However, the trend is in the right direction, and the Bank of England has already stated that the 2 percent target does not necessarily need to be reached before interest rates are lowered.
Perhaps the anticipation of signals for monetary policy easing instils confidence in the bulls, but how sustainable can the current growth be?
As shown by the technical analysis of the UK100 chart:
→ The price is moving within a long-term ascending channel (shown in blue). Meanwhile, its upper boundary is around the price level of 8500, which could serve as resistance if market sentiment remains equally optimistic;
→ On the other hand, the price of UK100 is vulnerable to some correction. If it occurs, former resistance at 8200 may provide support. As indicated by the violet lines, successful tests of former resistance underscore the bullish nature of the market.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FTSE Target hit. Can it go even higher?FTSE100 (UK100) hit today our 8150 Target, which we set a month ago (March 20, see chart below):
Since last week the 1W candle closed (much) higher than the February 2023 Resistance, we see the pattern continuing its strong resemblance with the October 2022 - February 2023 Bullish Leg. The long-term pattern continues to be a Channel Up and its previous Bullish Leg topped just below the 1.382 Fibonacci extension, making its technical Higher High.
As a result, our Target is 8350 (just below the new 1.382 Fib extension). Note that if that Fib level breaks, we may even see accelerated growth as high as to complete +20% from the bottom.
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UK100 Share Index Rises as UK Inflation SlowsUK100 Share Index Rises as UK Inflation Slows
Yesterday, the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that the CPI stood at 3.2% in March. According to ForexFactory, analysts expected 3.1%, and a month ago the index was 3.4%.
Grant Fitzner, chief economist at the ONS, said: “Once again, food prices were the main reason for the fall, with prices rising by less than we saw a year ago. Similarly to last month, we saw a partial offset from rising fuel prices.”
Thus, actual inflation in the UK fell to its lowest level in two and a half years. According to Yahoo Finance, this weakening of inflation could influence the Bank of England to start cutting interest rates from the current level of 5.25% in June.
In anticipation of an easing of monetary policy, the values of the UK stock index UK100 increased yesterday. Today it is above the 7,900 level.
Technical analysis of the UK100 chart today shows that:
→ the price forms an ascending channel (shown in blue);
→ the rise in the price of UK100 from the current week’s low forms a rebound from the support block, which is formed by the lower border of this channel and the former resistance 7,800.
At the same time, the bearish arguments remain powerful:
→ pay attention to the sharp rate of decline in A→B;
→ the UK100 price has broken down the intermediate trend line (shown in black).
Will the market be able to resume the rally indicated by the blue channel? Important information about the seriousness of bullish sentiment in the UK stock market can be provided by the behavior of the UK100 price, namely its ability to rise above the median line of the channel and above the level of 50% of the decline (A→B).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Although UK-100 Index Is Near All-time HighsAlthough UK-100 Index Is Near All-time Highs, UK Economy Slips into Recession
Technically, a national economic recession is defined as two consecutive quarters of contraction, and yesterday's Office for National Statistics data confirmed that this has happened — UK GDP fell in the third and fourth quarters of 2023 by 0.1% and 0.3% respectively.
The Guardian writes that the recession may be deeper than it seems at first glance:
→ Increased government spending (including for the military) masks a deep and persistent decline in production.
→ The economy is shrinking despite population growth;
→ In the fourth quarter of 2023, the deficit widened to £26.3 billion, or 3.9% of GDP, up £5.9 billion from the third quarter.
→ The big problem is the decline in goods exports. Soaring prices for imported raw materials and energy have played a major role in increasing the cost of producing goods in the UK and making it difficult to sell them abroad.
However, the price of the UK-100 index (or FTSE-100) is near all-time highs. This is because the Bank of England may ease monetary policy to avoid worsening the recession. And this will be a positive factor for the development of the top 100 companies whose shares are included in the index — this expectation is included in the current quote.
The UK-100 Index chart shows that:
→ today the price of UK-100 is moving within an upward trend (shown by the blue channel);
→ demand forces are active at the lower border of the channel, quickly absorbing all declines (shown by arrows);
→ the bulls confirmed their dominance upon breaking through the 7,800 level, forming a strong cup-and-handle pattern;
→ the psychological level of 8,000 points prevents the bulls from maintaining the growth rate - when approaching it, the bullish candles become narrower. Buyer confidence is waning. This creates difficulties for the price to realize the prospect of reaching the upper boundary of the channel.
It is possible that the upward trend, rooted in the fall of 2023, will continue with the formation of a correction before attempts to overcome the resistance block of 8,000-8,050. In this scenario, support for the UK-100 price may come from:
→ Fibo level 50% rollback from growth impulse A→B;
→ local support formed by intraday price action around the level of 7.888;
→ median line and/or lower border of the blue channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
UK100/FTSE: Two Corrections Complete, Time for Upward Wave!After enduring two corrections, the UK100/FTSE index appears poised for a significant upward wave, potentially leading to a new all-time high.
Market analysts anticipate a resurgence in bullish momentum as previous downward corrections conclude. With these setbacks behind it, the index is primed for renewed optimism and potential record-breaking performance. Investors are closely monitoring for signs of this anticipated upward surge, ready to capitalize on emerging opportunities in the UK stock market.
FTSE making a sustainable rally after bullish break-out.This is an update to our analysis 3 months ago (December 18 2023, see chart below) where we called for a Resistance bullish break-out and buy on the next 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) contact:
Even though the pull-back dipped some more, the index still followed our projection on a rough scale. The long-term pattern remains a Channel Up but due to some relative readjustments because of that longer dip, we have to revise our target a little lower to 8150. That represents a +10.40% rise from the dip's lower point but still a 1.382 Fibonacci test (8350) is possible but in our updated view it will take longer to achieve.
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