FTSE 100 Drops Below June LowEarlier we wrote about the reasons for the weak behavior of the UK stock market.
Firstly, it is the highest inflation among the G7 countries.
Yesterday JP Morgan analysts suggested that the base rate in the UK could be raised to 7% under certain scenarios. And the likelihood of a hard landing for the British economy next year is rising due to the impact of rising borrowing costs on business confidence and rising unemployment.
Secondly, this is a decline in commodity prices, which is important for the FTSE 100 index, where the share of oil and mining companies is relatively large. Commodity prices reflect expectations of a global economic growth outlook that has been overshadowed by news from China. There, according to the latest data, activity in the services sector in June grew at the slowest pace in 5 months.
At the same time, the FTSE 100 chart gives hope to the bulls, as the price of the index is at the level of the lower line of the descending channel (shown in red), which, it is possible, will show support properties for the FTSE 100, which may lead to a slowdown in the fall or even a short-term rebound.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
UK100 CFD
UK 100 FORECAST Hi there,
Looking at UK100 index which is approaching a MAJOR support level OB.
Uk100 has currently wicked some liquidity below the Lows of 1 june and forming some bullish hammer candles. But we want to see some big hammer candle or bullish engulfing candle to enter for longs as well as change of character on the trend.
4hr time frame = bearish
1hr time frame = bearish = shorting between from 7530 or 7500 range to major support
15mins time frame = bearish = shorting from 7500 to 7450
daily frame = 100pts from major support.
RSI showing small convergence.
UK100 to find sellers at psychological level?UK100 - 24h expiry
The current move lower is expected to continue.
Short term RSI has turned negative.
Rallies continue to attract sellers.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 7425 will confirm the bearish momentum.
We look to Sell at 7500 (stop at 7525)
Our profit targets will be 7425 and 7400
Resistance: 7475 / 7500 / 7525
Support: 7450 / 7425 / 7400
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
FTSE Opens with Bearish Bias: Potential for New Bearish ImpulseToday, the FTSE kicked off the market with a bearish bias, as indicated by its opening. After retracing and testing the previous resistance area near 7680, the value of the FTSE appears to have encountered resistance from a dynamic trendline within a broader bearish downtrend. This suggests the possibility of a new bearish impulse taking hold today. It will be interesting to observe how this index performs in the coming days as market conditions unfold.
UK100 to stall at previous resistance?UK100 - 24h expiry
Previous support located at 7550.
Previous resistance located at 7600.
Trend line resistance is located at 7630.
A higher correction is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
We look to Sell at 7630 (stop at 7660)
Our profit targets will be 7530 and 7525
Resistance: 7600 / 7630 / 7650
Support: 7550 / 7530 / 7500
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
FTSE100 9/JUN/2023UK100 (FTSE 100) index has shown a significant price movement. The price initially formed a resistance level, which has been successfully broken out. This breakout indicates a potential shift in market sentiment. The previous resistance level has now become a support level. This means that traders and investors are now viewing this level as a price floor, where buying pressure may emerge.
The price is approaching this support area. Based on historical price behavior, it is likely that the price will rebound or bounce off this support level. This means that buyers could step in and push the price higher from this point. Considering these factors, it is advisable to monitor the price action closely in the support area. Traders may consider potential buying opportunities as the price approaches this level, keeping in mind that a rebound or bounce could occur.
Note: This analysis is based solely on technical factors and does not take into account fundamental or macroeconomic aspects that may influence the UK100 index. Technical analysis is not foolproof and market conditions can change rapidly.
FTSE100 Double Buy short-term and long-term break-out.The FTSE 100 Index (UK100) has broken below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and is approaching the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is the first short-term Support. The medium-term is the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) and those two are our buy entries for a 7800 Target. This is just under the Lower Highs trend-line from the All Time High (February 16 2023).
The 1D RSI is close to the 30.00 oversold barrier and past price action in March 2023 and October 2022 shows that the 2nd break below it, is a Buy Signal. The pattern overall with the Lower Lows in Support and inner Lower Highs, resembles that of December 2021 - May 2022 (so far).
As a result, we are only willing to take a long-term buy, if a 1D candle closes above the inner Lower Highs trend-line. In this case we will target 8200. The potential extension towards the end of the year can even be as high as the 1.382 Fibonacci extension (8350) which was where the February 16 2023 High was priced.
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FTSE Drops Rapidly to April Lows TodayThe FTSE 100 index is rapidly declining on Wednesday morning amid news of another spike in inflation. The Core CPI (excluding energy, food and tobacco prices) reached 6.8%, the highest in over 30 years. Market participants are now almost certain that the Bank of England will raise interest rates at its next meeting.
The UK100 chart (a tool that reflects the dynamics of the FTSE 100 index) shows a consistent series of bull failures around psychologically significant levels:
1→ UK100 price failed to settle above 8,000 in February;
2→ UK100 price did not fix above 7,900 in April;
3 → level 7,800 used to be support but is now resisting.
The action of the UK100 price today suggests that the level of 7,700 may now also provide resistance in an attempt to increase. If the downtrend strengthens, the FTSE may continue to decline within the channel (shown in blue), reaching its median line (or even the lower border — which would mean a 2023 low).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
UK100:FTSE Rebounds on Double Bottom and Positive UK GDP Data
The FTSE has shown signs of a potential price increase after a Double Bottom pattern and Divergence were identified on the 4-hour timeframe. This movement is likely to continue in the direction of the current trend. The recent growth in value can be attributed to positive data from the UK, which showed a 0.1% increase in quarterly GDP in Q1. In addition, both Industrial Production and Manufacturing Production expanded by 0.7% in March.
UK100 Short Term Sell IdeaD1 - Bearish convergence followed by a pullback,
Bearish hidden divergence.
Price is bouncing lower from a strong resistance zone.
No opposite signs.
H4 - Bearish trend pattern.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Until the two strong resistance zones hold my short term view remains bearish here.
FTSE: About to give a strong longterm buy signalFTSE100 has been trading inside a Channel Up since the October 13th 2022 bottom, currently pulling back after a rejection on the internal LH trendline. This has turned the 1D timeframe neutral (RSI = 48.285, MACD = 4.950, ADX = 49.378) and with the price on the 1D MA50, those are the conditions for a buy.
The Buy signal trigger however would be the index crossing over the LH trendline, as it did on a similar pattern on November 10th 2022. We will buy either on that trigger or on the 1D MA200. In both cases TP = 8,250.
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UK100 LongHello Everyone!
I will be looking for Uk100 Long for the following reasons:
1. the trend is bullish
2. the bullish correction has finished, hence the strong bullish run.
3. will wait for a sort of bullish flag to form to complete the right shoulder of the inverse head and shoulder, before an entry.
UK100 to start a selloff?UK100 - 24h expiry -
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Short term MACD has turned negative.
A break of 7800 is needed to confirm follow through negative momentum.
Short term bias has turned negative.
We look for losses to be extended today.
We look to Sell a break of 7799 (stop at 7838)
Our profit targets will be 7701 and 7681
Resistance: 7835 / 7860 / 7880
Support: 7809 / 7780 / 7750
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
UK100 FTSE Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaIn this video we focus on the FTSE UK100, however, the US100, US30, UK100, and DE30 are analysed to find a common theme between these four instruments. The stock markets have traded into key support levels and have been rangebound for some time. We are now seeing some bearish momentum evident in the charts. The trend, price action, price gaps, market structure, and a potential trade opportunity are covered. It is important to note that this is not financial advice and is meant for educational purposes only.
Stock Markets Trend Analysis - US30, US100, US500, UK100, GE40By analysing the stock markets at different timeframes, ranging from the three-monthly chart down to a four-hour chart, I have noticed that they have reached a significant resistance level on several higher timeframes. Furthermore, on the lower timeframe, the trend seems to display indications of weakening, and the charts seem to be range-bound. Could this signify that a stock market selloff is looming? If it is, this will undoubtedly affect the currency markets. In the video we look at the following charts on multiple time frames: US30, US100, US500, UK100, GE40, VIX. I would like to clarify that this video is simply an observation and a sharing of my thoughts, and should not be interpreted as financial advice.