Lets try something new...UK100 Short trade setupNormally I only trade Forex pairs and it has been a while since I last traded any indexes. But I was strolling through markets and saw this opportunity so I analyzed quick and opened a short trade @7216.
My quick analysis
The Market has reversed at the end of July and stayed in a Down Trend ever since. Now we can clearly see Resistance @7305 so that gives us a nice opportunity to go short and aim for a Lower Low. In this setup I used the Fibonacci Retracement tool to look for a TP level and found one @6992 (fib 0.618). The Market is already down -0.47% while writing this text so I don't know if there will be a good window of opportunity for long. My StopLoss is set @7336 I don't know what to expect of the duration for this trade but I have patience and confidence.
Lets wait and see what happens!
Uk100_setup
UK100GBP - Possible 10:1 Return Depending On Your EntryIt all starts with price action. After a loss of downside momentum we have made a new high (purple) which indicates some bullish strength.
It has also completed a shark pattern at the 1.13 which is great, this shows a new high has been made, but we could be due for the pullback now, before a new high is made.
I will be looking for this bearish shark to become a Bullish 5-0 on it's retest of old support (the bottom light blue zone is 5-0 buy zone)
Another thing I like to see is if there is VOLUME at the price I'm looking to buy, which there is. We want to buy WITH the smart money, and they have been buying at the spot recently as well.
I have also drawn the potential channel we could be in using a method I teach with three drives patterns.
The dark blue line is an ABCD projection for where the possible New high could be. It is also a bearish 61.8 and Strong spot where sellers are sitting.
My stop will depend on my entry signal, I'm looking for a butterfly or crab to complete in the blue zone, this could make a big difference. But 50 pips will be my maximum! I'm really looking to use a 25 pip stop. I typically go in a scalp these moves and hold them for the long term.
I believe we are due for the dip/pullback because we just knocked out our previous swing low on the 1HR, momentum has shift to the downside on the 1HR.
Also, keep in mind we have MAJOR MAJOR news for the EU dropping right around the time of this buy idea, which could be the catalyst we need to push price up.
We are a long ways away from buy though, we need to see how price structure looks if it comes back down, things can change
Enjoy
UK 100 to SELLMarket has been on a downtrend following a break in channel, as observed in the trend line.
Retest to the upside has occurred.
Market dropped below trend indicator before and after retest.
Expecting further drop from here as we are in a downtrend.
Scalp/day/swing trade market to the downside.
Pick your entry point wisely.
DISCLAIMER;
Trading carries risks, ideas are for guideline purposes only.
Do set stop losses when trading & be generous with how much room allowed for candle wicks.
There is also the possibility to hedge yourself, for more confident traders.
All comments and questions welcome, if curious about indicators I use then feel free to inquire.
All aboard the MONEY TRAIN... next stop CASHVILLEWe can see a trend line ( blue line ) that has been respected recently ( price coming down to touch it then bouncing ) And price has also been respecting our support/ resistance line ( green line ) you can also see this from where price has touched and bounced.
Price is currently at this level and is testing it as support, now we think price will bounce and make a bullish run.... our reason for this is because the current candle that closed on Friday was a nice bearish candle, but it also had a longish lower shadow, this means that bears tried to push price bellow support but failed and bulls pushed price back above and closed above key support.
Also on the monthly chart price is forming a bullish candle after the past couple of months candles have also been bullish, this indicates a lot of buying power, and also on the 4H chart price is also respecting this level.
So you can ignore setups like this if you want or you can join me aboard the money train on a 1 way trip to cashville.
UK100 approaching resistance, potential drop! UK100 is approaching our first resistance at 7183 (100% fibonacci extension, 61.8% fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing high resistance) and a strong drop might occur pushing price down to our major support at 6922 (100% fibonacci extension, 38.2% fibonacci retracement).
Stochastic (89, 5, 3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
UK100 approaching support, potential bounce! UK100 is approaching our first support at 6771 (61.8%, 100% fibonacci extension, 50% fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support) and a strong bounce might occur below this level pushing price up to our major resistance at 7002 (76.4% fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing high resistance).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is also approaching support and we might see a corresponding bounce in price should it bounce off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
UK100 approaching support, potential bounce! UK100 is approaching our first support at 6771 (61.8%, 100% fibonacci extension, 50% fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support) and a strong bounce might occur below this level pushing price up to our major resistance at 7002 (76.4% fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing high resistance).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is also approaching support and we might see a corresponding bounce in price should it bounce off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
UK100 approaching resistance, potential drop! UK100 is approaching our first resistance at 7013 (50%, 78.6% fibonacci retracement, 61.8% fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance) and a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 6771 (61.8% fibonacci extension, 50% fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback support).
Stochastic (83,5,3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
UK100 approaching resistance, potential drop! UK100 is approaching our first resistance at 6919 (61.8% fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance) and a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 6705 (61.8% fibonacci retracement, 61.8% fibonacci extension).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
UK100 approaching resistance, potential drop! UK100 is approaching our first resistance at 6787 (100% fibonacci extension, 61.8% fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance) and a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 6543 (61.8% fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low resistance).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
UK100 approaching support, potential bounce! UK100 is approaching our first support at 6609 (61.8% fibonacci extension, 61.8% fibonacci retracement) where a strong bounce might occur above this level pushing price up to our major resistance at 6906 (100% fibonacci extension, 50% fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is approaching support and we might see a corresponding rise in price should it bounce off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
UK100 approaching support, potential bounce! UK100 is approaching our first support at 6609 (61.8% fibonacci extension, 61.8% fibonacci retracement) and a strong bounce might occur above this level pushing price up to our major resistance at 6906 (100% fibonacci extension, 50% fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is also approaching support and we might see a corresponding bounce in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
UK100 approaching support, potential bounce! UK100 is approaching our first support at 6669.3 (61.8% fibonacci extension, 50% fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support) and a strong bounce might occur above this level pushing price up to our major resistance at 7000 (100% fibonacci extension, 61.8% fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is also approaching support and we might see a corresponding bounce in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
UK100 approaching resistance, potential drop! UK100 is approaching our first resistance at 6915 (100% fibonacci extension, 50% fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance) and a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 6685 (50% fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
UK100 approaching support, potential bounce! UK100 is approaching our first support at 6685 (50% fibonacci retracement, 61.8% fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support, descending support line) and a strong bounce might occur above this level pushing price up to our major resistance at 5949 (100% fibonacci extension, 50% fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is also approaching support and we might see a corresponding bounce in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
UK100 approaching support, potential bounce! UK100 is approaching our first support at 6920 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 78.6% Fibonacci retracemen, horizontal swing low support) and a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price up to our major resistance at 7205 (100% Fibonacci extension, 38.2%, 50% Fibonacci retracement, Horizontal overlap resistance).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is also approaching support and we might see a corresponding bounce in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
UK100GBP approaching support, potential bounce! UK100GBP is approaching our first support at 6921.2 (horizontal swing low support, 78.6% fibonacci retracement, 61.8% fibonacci extension) and a strong bounce might occur above this level pushing price up to our major resistance at 7225.1 (horizontal overlap resistance, 38.2%, 50% fibonacci retracement, 100% fibonacci extension).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is also approaching support and we might see a corresponding bounce in price should it bounce off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
UK100GBP @ daily @ most nearly (of 57 indices) last alltime highThis is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
.zip (with PDF`s) @ my Google Drive
In percents away from all-time high & low by last close (57 Share Indices)
drive.google.com
Best regards :)
Aaron