Silver is Next to Rally After Gold Whenever gold prices are trending higher, it hints at trouble ahead. Historically, silver always catches up later. During past crises, when this happens, this “silver shift” is very fast and furious. Its magnitude for silver is much greater than that of gold.
Video discussion:
1. One key reason why silver is lagging behind for the time being
2. Why Gold and Silver always move in tandem over the long-term?
3. Is there a bond crisis ahead?
Gold Futures & Options
Ticker: CG
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 per troy ounce = $10.00
Silver Futures & Options
Ticker: SI
Minimum fluctuation:
0.005 per troy ounce = $25.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Ukbond
Timing the bond markets meltdownIs the UK bonds or the gilts the culprit that trigger the global bond markets meltdown? Not exactly. In fact, in April this year, there were clear signals that the global bond markets were already in trouble, and we will discuss that.
Content:
• Why we should not blame it on the U.K bonds, then who?
• How to overcome this global bond crisis?
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
US T-Bond Futures:
1/32 of one point
= US$31.25
32/32 is one point
= 32 x US$31.25 = US$1,000
123 to 122 = 1 point
= US$1,000
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
DJI and Bonds: Get your popcorn ready. In this short video I focus on the UK and US 10 year bond markets in comparison to the DJI.
All these markets are linked up in the background - at the speed of light.
There are no predictions here - only probabilities and speculation.
High volatility is expected at the opening of the markets tonight, 16th Oct 2022.
Some are predicting a 'Black Monday' type event next week, which doesn't have to happen on a Monday. I take no sides. I'm only protecting my losses in short positions and happy to let winners run.
Stay safe, wash your hands, protect your positions, don't burn your accounts. 😁😂
Disclaimer : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which have a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts or investing in any asset class. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on speculative opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
UPDATED DETAIL OF RALLY CONCEPT BTCAll in all it's not looking good for the bulls, but there is a case to be made for a stronger rally. It’s a tough upside down one but there’s a valid thesis. Basically BoE buying bonds now, pivoting… currency wars…energy crisis…. feds MAY pivot for the wrong reasons, bad reasons, namely because of systemic risk. In this case FEDS would be effectively short term capitulating on inflation and there could be a flight from a rapidly inflating dollar into equities, of which deflationary assets like Bitcoin could get crowded and blow off. It’s a marginal scenario but it’s in the cards as we see nations risking default, currencies like GBP and EURO collapsing, and an environment of negative real interest rates. It would ultimately be a disaster over all, but it could lead to a powerful relatively short lived push for Bitcoin.
Plunge protection rescued the global financial markets from a complete meltdown on Wednesday with margin calls and liquidation notices sent out on of UK’s long dated bond backed pension funds representing about 2/3 value of UK’s 1.5 TN Sterling Investment funds ….. Markets were possibly something like moments away from a 2008 scenario. (see below for CNBC coverage)
With inflation running rampant in developed nations and the bond markets getting routed:
- IF CPI Oct 13 shows US is finally cooling (NOT suggested by core PCE numbers today, labor market tightening rather than loosening and overall strong economic data points in the US)
- AND Feds decide to take a wiat and see with 50 bps to give other economies a chance to breathe in order to avoid system risks,
THEN we could see something like a short lived rally that could extend to end of year.
www.cnbc.com
Some quick and easy fun to follow refernces:
youtu.be
youtu.be
EURO - Where the money goes!Here you can see where the money from the euro area flows, among other things. Nobody talks about it and the media sell the "EU people" once again for stupid and tell corresponding fairy tales.
The high of the Euro in the third week of February marks the low of 10-year British government bonds.
The first of March low in the euro with 1.2124 marks the blue 1 high and the depreciation of the euro in the last few days can be seen nicely as a circled blue 3.
In my opinion, no solutions can be brought by the ECB, because this central bank is the largest bad bank of all time. Full of government bonds issued by the "South&Western-States", which have no chance of sustained recovery in the corset of the Eurozone, this zombie portfolio will burst with full force.
The only chance to save the EURO for a few more years is the introduction of EURO-Bonds and the Banking Union. This then throws the "German Volkssturm" as the last reserve, with the same outcome as in 1945. The only alternative to Safe your money, in my opinion, is not government bonds but are to be found in the equities segment. However, as the large capitals are focused on bonds, they seek out the most liquid assets such as USofA or UK bonds.
The idea published here serves for the time being as illustrative material and has yet to establish itself.
Greetings from Hanover
Stefan Bode
P.S. Fuck the EU or how did the Victoria Nuland - in the conquest ehm overthrow ehm democratic election of Ukraine by the US - so beautifully 2014 expressed?