UK100/FTSE: Two Corrections Complete, Time for Upward Wave!After enduring two corrections, the UK100/FTSE index appears poised for a significant upward wave, potentially leading to a new all-time high.
Market analysts anticipate a resurgence in bullish momentum as previous downward corrections conclude. With these setbacks behind it, the index is primed for renewed optimism and potential record-breaking performance. Investors are closely monitoring for signs of this anticipated upward surge, ready to capitalize on emerging opportunities in the UK stock market.
Ukforexsignals
The UK Needs MORE Homes - So Construction Stocks Breakout ?We all know the UK needs more houses, and that the ones already built are waaay unaffordable.
The scramble to move house in 2021 corresponded with a big rally for building and construction stocks in 2021, admittedly alongside a lot of other parts of the UK stock market.
That rally retraced by exactly 61.8% (Fibonacci) in 2022 and STOPPED FALLING.
Since then its been meandering sideways about 100p from 680 to 780.
This hasn't bee all that interesting - it's a consolidation period.
BUT.. potentially, big players are quietly stepping in - it's what we call accumulation.
We think that if UB320 The FTSE 350 Construction and Materials sector closes over 785, then we want to own the top names in that index for a new period of more obvious strength.
This sector holds these 7 stocks, ordered by 1 year performance.
Kier Group (+67%)
CRH (+60%)
Genuit Group (+28%)
Keller (+4.5%)
Ibstock PLC (-1.7%)
Balfour Beatty (-9.43%)
Marshalls (-12.69%)
We like to buy strength. What do you think?
UK Brent Oil 4H :Support further decline UK BRENT OIL
New forecast
The price of Brent crude futures traded with strong negativity yesterday, succeeding stably without support at 86.93. We note that the price broke this level and closed the daily candle below it, heading towards achieving a further decline, with its next target reaching 85.14 level, by breaching this level will open the door against our targets at first will reach to 84.50 level ,it will extend to 83.80 .
Therefore, the downward trend scenario will remain valid during the coming period, supported by the negative pressure formed by the moving average 50, taking into account that stabilized above 86.93 will lead the price to begin recovery attempts and achieve gains and postponed the bearish waves.
The expected trading range for today is between support 83.80 and resistance 86.93 .
Be careful because of the war between Palestine and Israel, we may witness unexpected movements .
support line : 85.14 ,83.50
resistance line : 86.93 , 88.36
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UK300GBPThere is a head and shoulder pattern likely to form. I am waiting for the price to break out at the support zone, then retest it so that we can have a go ahead to place our position.
I anticipate that the price might continue with the bearish momentum.
My intended entry point is 7600, SL at 7630 and TP at 7500, thus R:R is 1:3.
GBPJPY H8 - Pending Short SignalsGBPJPY H8
Probably the cleanest setup out of it's peers that were analysed on Sunday, GBPJPY resistance/support price of 183 looks very clean. We are coming up for a test of that 183.00 handle, it could certainly be an opportunity to grab shorts.
As markets opened on Sunday we saw the bearish gap, I wonder if this is something that will pin and dump towards the liquidity lows of 178 from last week.
USDJPY INDUCED SWING SHORTOn our HTF we have a clear bearish bias after liquidity pool has been swept and retraction trend coming to end with a supply rejection zone giving us a confirmation for the short... in addition, fundamental view, we have a weaker USD giving us a sure entry assurance for our swing short position.
Short GBP/USD this pail will go lower again especially the fed reserve will continue to raise rates to 4.5% and index will go lower from the highest resistance at 114 then the index will go higher again as the recession will continue so the strongest Resistance here at 1.2444 after fed continue raise rate the pair decline almost 319 pips almost 2.5% in only 2 days, we will continue to decline to the first support at level between (1.1400-1.1600) then after breaking the pervious support we will go to the strongest support at level between (1.0430-1.0700)
JET2 1HOUR LSE UK chart looking ok for swing trades, support and resistance lines drawn. apply stop losses to your trades, good risk management.
jet 2 is great long term stock to hold, but if your want to trade it, they're is plenty opportunities to make money, with good trade setups.
Previous Close 882. 40
Open 895.80
Bid 880.20 x N/A
Ask 883.80 x N/A
Day's Range 874.60 - 910.00
52 Week Range 739.55 - 1,434.19
Volume 101,634
Avg . Volume 663,853
Jet2 has a market capitalization of UK£1.96b,
March 2022, Jet2 had UK £991.7m of debt, up from UK £756.2m a year ago.
balance sheet data, we can see that Jet2 had liabilities of UK£1.68b due within 12 months and liabilities of UK£1.42b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of UK£2.23b and UK£185.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling UK£682.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Why Is The BoE Interest Rate Decision On A Knife’s Edge?The Bank of England (BoE) has a difficult decision ahead of it. Next week, on December 16, 2021, it must release its decision regarding its benchmark interest rate.
The two options on the table are for the Bank to increase its interest rate or leave it as is.
Why is the BoE interest rate decision on a knife’s edge?
Inflation in the UK is at a 10-year high
Consumer prices in the UK have increased YoY by 4.2% up to October. Prices increased most in energy commodities such as gas and liquid fuels.
The BoE is tasked to keep inflation ~2% per annum. However, the BoE view is that inflation will return below 3% on average by the second quarter of 2022, and further downside movement in Q3 and Q4. This all means any intervention right now could turn out to be unnecessary or heavy-handed.
As it stands, the BoE’s benchmark interest rate is a historically low, 0.1%.
How long will ‘transitory’ UK inflation last?
The US Federal Reserve and the US Treasury figureheads have recently dumped the categorisation of inflation as “transitory”. However, the BoE hasn’t been pressured as much as the US institutions to drop the transitory line.
The BoE continues to hold out hope that the major drivers of inflation, such as energy prices, will subside by mid next year. The transitory nature of inflation, as the BoE see it, is concerning, as it means they run the risk of hiking interest rate before it is necessary.
Yet, no matter how transitory the high price of energy may turn out to be, the Bank of England’s hand may be forced by other matters, such as UK workers demanding much higher wages in response to the prolonged transitory inflation.
How possible is a wage-price spiral?
UK workers are feeling the pinch of rising energy and consumer product and have been asking for wage increases to help mitigate the decrease in their disposable income.
Average weekly wages (including bonuses) in the UK have risen 5.8% YoY to September. The BoE has graded the wage growth for the UK as moderate and has dismissed the possibility of a “wage-price spiral”. Yet, if the major drivers of inflation do not abate in a reasonable amount of time, the BoE run the risk of inflation becoming entrenched as UK workers demand further pay rises.
Further exacerbating the issue is the tight labour market in the UK, with unemployment and under-employment currently at pre-pandemic lows, helping driving wage growth.
GBPUSD Weekly Outlook Ahead of the UK Brexit NegotiationsThe GBPUSD pair has been on the decline over the past few weeks. This is as a result of the rise in UK inflation and the Bank of England’s (BoE) decision on interest rates. The pair is now trading at 1.33ish which was a 3.68% decline from its highest level at 1.37949.
We highlight 3 main fundamental drivers for a possible downfall of GBPUSD
- Inflation rose above the 2% target
- UK post-Brexit / Ireland negotiations
- Strong US data, Jerome Powell kept as a FED chair
forexezy.com Learn more about fundamentals of this trade idea
The pair is moving below the 20-day and 50-day MAs, forming 1 level bearish signal. The relative strength index (RSI) is also below 50 and moving close to 30, confirming the signal at the 2 level.
The pair also appears to have formed an inverted cup and handle. This indicates a bearish continuation, and 3 level confirmation for our technical analysis.
Therefore, the pair will likely keep falling, so the next psychological level to watch is 1.30000, which has on several occasions been a support level for the pair.
UK100 BUY NOW.......
💹UK100 ⏬BUY @ 7289.5
✅TP # 7344.0
⛔️SL 7240.0
N.B- If have small balance to trade. Plz avoid SILVER trade now.
Because market highly volatile.
📊 Trade Accuracy 80% 📊
📊 Risk Ratio 1:1 📊
📊 Follow Proper M.M & Use S.L 📊
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reliance on the information contained within this channel including
data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals
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GBPUSD 250 PIPs CHANCE 🇬🇧🇺🇸Hello Traders ! 👋🏾
Hope you had a wonderful weekend
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So, here we are again looking to ride another GBP pair.
I had several reasons to go for a SHORT position here.
Try to follow me 👨🏽🏫
Major support area (B);
Uptrend (A);
Resistance level (C);
Double top (D);
Double touch on my trend line (E);
Severel re-tests on our major support area ( marked with green circles along support B ).
With all the uncertainty about the GBP pair, I really believe the pair will drop either to our support area (B), or to our trend line (A).
We will carefully analyse the behaviour of this pair during the first couple hours as soon as the markets open before we enter this position. 👀
Do you agree with this idea ?
Feel free to leave your opinion on comments and to use this idea yourself ! 📲
GBP LockDown planWhat are the plans for a new lockdown in England?
MPs will vote on the proposals on Wednesday. If approved the measures will be introduced at 00:01 GMT on Thursday 5 November and remain in place until Wednesday 2 December.
People will be told to stay at home except for education, work (if it can't be done from home), exercise and recreation, medical reasons, shopping for food and other essentials, or to care for others
All pubs and restaurants will have to close (takeaways and deliveries can continue)
All non-essential shops will have to close (supermarkets can sell non-essential goods)
Households will not be allowed to mix with others indoors, or in private gardens
Individuals can meet one person from outside their household in an outside public space
Support bubbles for people who live alone and households made up of single parents and children can continue
Children will be able to move between homes if their parents are separated
Schools, colleges and universities will remain open
Workplaces will be asked to stay open if people cannot work from home - including construction and manufacturing
Outdoor exercise and recreation will be allowed, but gyms will have to close
Clinically vulnerable advised not to go to work if they are unable to work from home
After 2 December, different regions will return to the tiers one to three, depending upon the rates of infection.
What are the rules in tier three?
Until Thursday, every area of England is in one of three categories - medium (tier one), high (tier two) or very high (tier three), depending on the local infection rate.
Areas with the most rapidly rising transmission rates are placed in tier three.
You cannot meet anybody anywhere indoors who is not part of your household or support bubble, nor can you meet them in a private garden or outdoor venue such as a pub garden
You can meet up in groups of up to six people in parks, beaches, countryside or forests
Pubs and bars must close unless they are serving substantial meals. Alcohol can only be served as part of a meal
You are advised not to travel into or out of tier three areas, other than for work, education, youth services or caring responsibilities
Casinos, bingo halls and betting shops, adult gaming centres and soft play areas must shut
Extra measures can be introduced for individual areas.
What are the rules for tier two?
You cannot meet people socially indoors if you do not live with them - whether in private homes, pubs or restaurants
People in support bubbles can go on meeting as before, and informal childcare may also be provided
You can still meet friends and family outdoors, but only in a group of up to six people.
What are the rules for tier one?
Areas in tier one are subject to the basic national rules previously in force.
You may not meet in a group of more than six people, indoors or outdoors, unless you're in a larger household or a support bubble.
Pubs, bars and restaurants must close by 22:00 BST
Sterling Pound dips as UK Prime Minister changes the negotiationToday, in this analysis. Euro is will be benefited of the drop of Sterling Pound.
Now, looking in Daily timeframe we see a change of panoramic, in the past week we see a descendenr trinagle, but now we are in the bearish channel. Now, Euro it's will be benefited today and this week, Sterling started with bad news about the No-Deal Brexit back on table.
In H4 timeframe, the trend is clearly bullish.
Now, in H1 timefrmae we hope an entry long position at 0.8970, in that price I put an alarm when the Euro leave it this zone.
Fundamentals Keys for Euro/Sterling Pound:
1. EUR/GBP exchange rate slides as Brexit talks approach moment of reckoning.
2. Sterling Pound dips as Boris Johnson draws up new brexit legislation
3. Sterling suffered today after UK british Prime Minister Boris Johnson said that he would draw up legislation to override the Brexit withdrawal agreement on Ireland
4. British Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab said on Yesterday taht UK-EU negotiations were fast approaching as moment of reckoning, and that a past-brexit deal was there for the talking
5. There are growing of fears that the deadlock between the UK and the EU could result in a no-deal Brexit on December 31, 2020
6. Revived Hard-Brexit Fears knock pound sterling to Euro exchange rate to weekly worst.