Crude Oil Brent
USOIL 8th SEPTEMBER 2022Oil prices fell sharply on Wednesday (September 7th), slipping below levels seen before Russia's invasion of Ukraine as dismal Chinese trade data and growing fears of a global economic recession hurt fuel demand.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil futures for October delivery plunged US$4.94 or 5.7 percent.
With lower prices this time it is a good opportunity to supply companies that are optimistic about surviving the recession and tightening monetary policy.
This week, OPEC+ is scheduled to discuss oil production cuts as part of their future strategy.
OPEC+ revised the market balance this year and expects demand to lag supply by 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) compared to the previous estimate of 900,000 bpd.
However, the group of major oil producers expects the oil market to be in deficit by 300,000 bpd by 2023.
BTC/USD,DXY/Recession proof 4h chartHello guy’s hope you all will be fine.
Today we will try to find the next move of btc. There is possibility of both loss and profit so i never give you financial advice. But i try my best to inform you the possibilities of next moves in both side
As we all know btc is trading previous week between 19500 and 20k.
There is A trend line on lower side which retested almost 4 times while on other side trend line tested only for two times which lies on 20-20200 area on 4h time frame.
So guys British PM is going to resign next year 7th July.
But there is a question.
What will be the impacts of his resign on market.?
I wana like to tell you that the largest reserve of gold is holded by Uk.
So here we can see another recession risk because you don’t ever see it before.
Let’s move toward BTC,so in previous update I already mentioned 23k before 16k.
But you should be aware of both.
21 sep there is meeting minutes of FOMC to increase or decreasing the bps point but if they increase it again then again it will be worst for BTC/Gold.
DXY(us dollar) is touching high since 2001.
It’s another point that take us toward recession.
The high is expected of DXY is 111,114.
After that we will see the recovery of BTC/GODL and all stocks.I will like to warn you that a big recession is on the way to destroy the world specially underdeveloped country.
So i again saying we are going to face historical financial crisis in whole world.
So,Reserve your money in USDT not in locale bank or in hand.
There will be opportunity for newbie’s.
So keep eye 👁 on DXY/BTC.
We Will meet again on Monday.
Thank you for your concentration.
Good luck.
CRUDE OIL vs SPXSeptember and October in red?
1. What Is Crude Oil?
Crude oil is a naturally occurring petroleum product composed of hydrocarbon deposits and other organic materials.
A type of fossil fuel, crude oil is refined to produce usable products including gasoline, diesel, and various other forms of petrochemicals.
It is a nonrenewable resource, which means that it can't be replaced naturally at the rate we consume it and is, therefore, a limited resource.
(Investopedia)
2. KEY TAKEWAYS
- Crude oil is a raw natural resource that is extracted from the earth and refined into products such as gasoline, jet fuel, and other petroleum products.
- Crude oil is a global commodity that trades in markets around the world, both as spot oil and via derivative contracts.
- Many economists view crude oil as the single most important commodity in the world as it is currently the primary source of energy production.
(Investopedia)
3. Stock Market
The Brent Crude oil was originally produced from the Brent oilfield in the North Sea.
About 2/3rds of all crude oil contracts around the globe include Brent Crude oil, making it the most popular marker.
Its relatively low density and sulfur content are the reasons why it’s described as light and sweet.
One of the advantages is transportation since this type of oil is waterborne.
The Brent Crude oil marker is also known as Brent Blend, London Brent and Brent petroleum and has a UKOIL ticker symbol.
(TradingView)
4. Correlation with SPX and market sentiment forecast
As mentioned, many economists view crude oil as the single most important commodity in the world as it is currently the primary source of energy production .
Therefore, it is important to consider how this market can impact other sectors.
Looking at UKOIL in parallel with SPX and their correlation, we can see that September and October have a very bad track record.
See red circles.
When crude oil broke down the red channel between $100 and $88, the market did not react well.
At the moment UKOIL is in the same region as 2008 and 2014, with the correlation about to equalize and the prices of the two symbols fall together.
So I don't know if is a good time to go long.
UKOil (Brent) 4H TA : 09.01.22 In this chart, we can see the possible price trends of Brent oil! 2 scenarios are specified on the chart based on the probability of each occurrence!
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⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Arman Shaban : @ArmanShabanTrading
📅 09.01.2022
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📉BRENT 08/31/2022: drop to $96❗️📉 Priority direction: Down .
📝 Description: The level of $98.55 for oil (where it is now) is a good entry point to sell. Sellers increase their pressure to the indicated level and this trend is likely to lower the price to the $96 support in the short term. In the medium term, the positive mood remains so far.
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📉GOLD 08/31/2022: clamped in the range❗️📉 Priority direction: Downward .
📝 Description: Sales dominate the market for metals and probably in the near future gold will be in the range of $1715 - $1736. Of course, it is best to open deals from the dorders of this range, but priority is given to sales. There are suggestions that the instrument is aiming at a test of the important $1700 level.
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#Brent crude oil cleared 200dma again - bullishChart speaks for itself.. after failing below the 200dma oil has managed to climb back and hold above the 200dma (green).. it has also broken a downtrend which has kept price action moving lower. over the last couple of weeks. odds are for higher oil prices from here.. I have seasonality only peaking at the end of September so it would then suggest we can expect a move higher throughout September
USOIL - The downtrend continuesIn the first quarter of 2022, we warned market participants about the peaking conditions in the oil bull market. Since then, our predictions came true, and USOIL dropped over 30% from its highs, hitting our 100 USD and 90 USD price targets. At the moment, we still remain bearish on WTI oil with a medium-term price target of 80 USD. Our views are based on technical and fundamental factors.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows USOIL down approximately 33% from its 2022 highs. At the moment, we pay close attention to the sloping resistance; a breakout above it will be a bullish sign, potentially hinting at the correction of the downtrend.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
📉EURUSD 08/29/2022: pressure to continue❗️📉 Priority direction: Down .
📝 Description: The pressure on the euro is likely to continue. Level 0.99125 will be tested by sellers. Before the start of the test of this level, there may be a small recovery, which is likely to be limited to the resistance level of 0.99995.
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📈BRENT 08/26/2022: medium-term growth❗️📈 Priority direction: Up .
📝 Description: Oil is in the resistance area near the $100 level, trying to break up. The medium-term view is directed upwards, however, there is a possibility that the instrument will not break through the indicated resistance immediately and before that it will roll back to $98.55. The target for growth is the level of $104 and $106 can be considered a little higher.
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📉GOLD 08/25/2022: stop❗️📉 Priority direction: Down .
📝 Description: Already today, the metal is trading at $1764, thus being at the local resistance. Probably here the promotion of buyers will slow down a little or stop altogether. Most expected is a stop at current levels and consolidation.
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📈US30 08/24/2022: slight increase❗️📈 Priority direction: Up .
📝 Description: Slight growth is expected for the indices today. According to the DowJones index, the level of 32830 acts as a support, and a little lower is the support at the level of 32600. It is best to consider the targets for this transaction at the level of 33100.
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📈GOLD 08/24/2022: recovery continues❗️📈 Priority direction: Up .
📝 Description: Gold worked its way up to $1752 in yesterday's trading day, and today it is expected that buyers will continue to regain the initiative. In the near future, it is expected to update the highs, that is, the price will rise above $1752 and will strive to gain a foothold above this level. In addition, attention should be paid to silver, which is also expected to rise (both the traditional correlation between metals and a separate analysis for silver).
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