CRUDE OIL (WTI) Very Bullish Outlook 🛢
Crude oil is retesting a solid horizontal key level.
The price formed a cute double bottom formation on that and broke its neckline.
Now I expect a bullish rally to 117.6 / 119.0
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Crude Oil Brent
DeGRAM | UKOIL bullish opportunityLast week, we predicted that UKOIL was likely to test a resistance level of $115.
Price broke through that level on momentum and made higher highs.
Price action might test higher levels and IF it pulls back to previous support, we will look for buying opportunities.
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UKOIL Bullish flag patternPossible Bullish pattern in the UKOIL, if Brussels agrees for a embargo in Russian oil then there's going to be a pump in the oil this will drag the price to higher levels and the food crisis will deepen, this will also make food commodities really interesting for a long position.
Meanwhile the best option is to be neutral or open small positions that won't represent a big loss.
Brent: GlueyBrent is currently glued to the resistance at $114.74, where it has finished wave b in blue. However, we expect it to let go of this mark soon to fall into the turquoise zone between $101.67 and $99.83. There, it should complete wave a in turquoise and move back above $104.67 afterwards to finish wave b in turquoise. After that is settled, Brent should gradually fall below the support lines at $104.67, $97.56 and $93.57. There is a 40% chance, though, that Brent could climb above $114.74 and make a detour through the green zone between $117.78 and $133.52 first before moving downwards.
UKOIL: outlook leans for a bearish reversalOn the daily frame
Previous price congestion axis at 107.20 forms a stronger support than expected for UKOIL oil moves and brings prices back to retest the $114 resistance
We notice the gradual decline in the size of the candles, and this is a technical indication of the weakness of the rise
The momentum is balanced on RSI and its decline below the 50 line supports the bearish rebound
UK Oil: The outlook leans for a bearish reversal
Monitor levels
116.65
114.00
110.00
107.20
USDWTI H4 - Short Setup, Oil supplyUSDWTI H4
Saw a nice hold up on the D1 yesterday on a clear area of daily resistance. Interested to see if this is the point of reversal, we have had a nice trading range for the best part of two months here.
Stops to cover wicks dated back to March 21. 6.5R trade to take us down to $95 as mentioned yesterday.
Expected Key Points USOIL 17 May 2022USOIL 17 May 2022
The daily expected volatility is around 3.53%
With an 77% accuracy based on the historical data, we can assume that the price of USOIL today is going to be between
TOP 117.70
BOT 109.7
All of this taken into account with the opening price of today which was 114
From VOLUME POC point of view its above 114 which imply a bullish momentum at this very moment.
From Fundamental/News point of view that can affect USOIL price:
In 10h from now, FED Chair Poweel speaks
USDCAD has bearish factorsBond yields are starting to fall
And oil is rising again, as USOIL is currently at $114.17 a barrel, which supports the Canadian dollar
So the USDCAD pair has bearish factors
technically
The end of a five-wave impulse rise and the beginning of a strong decline
Important observation area
2820 - 2780
WTI Crude Oil - What a surprise! Incredible! 29.4The consolidation period of close to 12 weeks is likely coming to an end with a breakout up!
A close above 102.90 (triangle consolidation resistance level) allowed the price action to proceed with up-trend targeting:
*108.30-108.50
*114.80-115
*124
*132
Width of triangle is usually the target of the breakout in terms of size of movement
This could make sense fundamentally as inflation continues to grow together with Russian oil supply fears which is likely to fall by 20% , Europe may struggle with oil supply and this offsets China's lock down for now.
Of course this may be a fake out, weekly close and next weeks open is likely to call the bluff if price returns to below 100 with a daily close.
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DeGRAM | UKOIL short at confluent zoneUKOIL is forming a big triangle by making lower highs and higher lows.
Price has previously made sharp moves downward from the 112$ level.
There is a good chance the level could hold the price.
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