Bullish Keeping Well for a Healthy CorrectionA Healthy Correction Narrow Range Trading between 2 neck line:
1. The upper side: 42.52 (Key Pressure Neck Line)
2. The lower side: 39 (Support Neck Line)
Key Pressure
1. 150 (half year working days) days Moving Average:
2. Key Pressure Neck Line: 42.21 is The Low price of 2015/08/24. We connect this point to the low 42.41 of 2015/12/02 forming a key pressure line.
Key Support:
1. Support Neck Line: 45.17 is Low price of 2015/01/14. When we connect it with the low price 42.21 of 2015/08/24 forming a support neck line.
2. 22 days(monthly) moving average.
3. Down Trend support Line: 2015/05/06 High 69.61 connect with 2015/10/09 High 54.09 forming a major down trend support line.(Pressure become support)
Re-Testing the support side on Tuesday, get a good support above the Support Neck Line.
Maybe it will be another range trading next week, retest the upper side and retest the lower side.
1st Target: 44-44.5
2nd Target: 49:
Pressure: 42 - 42.5 (150 MA), then 44.5 (200 MA)
Support: 39, 38.6, 37.50
Ukoil_usoil
Crude Oil is under value in Russia RubleIs Russia Currency the Crude Oil Currency?
Russia Ruble VS Brent Crude Oil Price:
1. The Russia Currency is tightly connect to Brent Crude Oil Price.
2. Most of the time Brent Crude Oil price above the value of Russia Ruble.
3. It looks like currently the Crude Oil price is somewhat under value in Russia Ruble.
Good Entry Point for Spread TradingSpreading Trading -- Buyer Brent and Sell WTI Crude Oil:
Reason:
1. Most of the time Brent Crude Oil price higher than WTI Crude Oil Price.
2. Only around 1 months period that this spread is lower than 1.26 from Jan 2015 to now.
3. Normally, Recent Spread was kept around USD3 to USD3.5 per barrel
Longterm picture of OIL, Fibonacci accuracyI can clearly see where this is going.
My target for a definite low for Brent will nevertheless be at the area marked in Yellow with a thick Green line
The psychic border of entering below 20$ as well as the geopolitical crash that would occur makes me think there is no way we can enter below 20$ Brent
UKOIL Bearish Flag and Pessimistic OPEC Expectations (June 5th)UPDATE: Closed at 61.50
EDIT -- ZOOM OUT TO SEE FLAG, take no notice of the Harmonic Pattern
This is a clear bearish flag, no doubt about it. Been rebounding in the channel since the start of Jan2015.
A break of the lower part of the channel could signal a further fall continuation to previous Supports/Resistances of
54.58, 52.17 and more severely, the Jan low of 45.56. We've also got Feb 2009 Supports of 39.
Psycological levels of course 60, 55 (based off of confluence see rectangle Feb 2015), 50, 40 and so on.
Stops @ 66.10
Reason for this is that I'm not aiming for "a trade" where my Risk/Reward would usually be 1:1
More of a long term target with a short-term stop
On the Fundamental Side this is relating to USOil Price Action, but the underlying idea is the same
Seeing that after the November 27th meeting, when OPEC decided not to cut production, Oil ended up plummeting ~$30.
A couple of weeks ago, the OPEC Head, or the Iranian/Saudi Oil Minister, i can’t remember which one, said that it is highly unlikely that we’ll ever see oil at $100 again.
With that in mind, seeing that Oil is now flirting around the $60 handle, any decision to cut production on June 5th, could send Oil a great deal higher, maybe ~$20-$30.
Therefore, that being the case, it seems extremely plausible that OPEC do end up sticking to the status quo. In which case, hello $40 again.
Fully welcome any ideas to prove me wrong/different viewpoints.