Ukraine
BTC/USD by CryptoTradersWWGood morning,
It's vital to look at what BTC is doing before selecting which trades to take for the rest of the week.
The price is been hovering between $37K and $40K on a regular basis.
We have strong resistance at $39K if we see a run up.
A CME gap, Fibonacci resistance, and Daily Naked point of control can all be found here. If we see Longs start to open near this level and then decline, we can expect more downside.
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Bitcoin forecast - BTC price is preparing to increase by $42,000Hello colleagues! Unfortunately, they could not fully work in the previous days due to the war in our country. We continue to share quality information with you a nd look forward to your support!
On February 23-24, the cryptocurrency market resisted. Bitcoin trading volumes have increased. On or about January 22-24, sellers attacked the $34,000 range . However, this initiative was suppressed.
An important fact is that the sellers failed to update the local low from January 24 in the increased volumes of bidding. Given the fact of negative news, the Bitcoin market has survived. This means that buyers are ready to form a new wave of growth with the first goal of $42,000 .
Another local confirmation of this fact will be the retest of the $36,000 mark. If in the coming days we see a light touch of sellers to the range of $36,000 it will be a good signal to enter the long position.
If the first growth target is $42,000, the final one is around $46,000.
We will consider an alternative scenario if the price of Bitcoin remains below $34,000.
[BTC] Sign of Swing Trade is Arising?Weekly Time-frame
New Candle just showed up, Good news for the bulls, we open to green volume in Awesome Oscillator as predicted yesterday. This would mean the beginning of the Upside! Another good news we found support in Ichimoku Cloud.Relative Strength Index (RSI) is about to cross over Moving Average (MA). Support Area of $37,000 - $39,000.
1D Time-frame
We are now below the Cloud, and we have printed Red Volume in Awesome Oscillator which is Bearish Saucer. Today is a Bearish day as it formed Evening Star, but it went just as planned so far means it will cross the Cloud on March 15th where it has the Weakest Point. We need to hold the line for today in this Price Target of $37,339. Ichimoku - Tenken Sen to secure a higher low up-trend.
4H Time-frame
The drop to $37,080 was needed to liquidated the long position. Now we are having some sideways and preparing to go upside again, meanwhile Awesome Oscillator is about to form a Negative Volume which would be Bearish sign. March 2nd is the crossing area in 4H Time-frame to the upside. The Box is the Support Area. Area of bounce at $37,339, $37,080 & $36,942. Area of rejection at $39,191.
We will discuss more on the possibility on our Live. Stay tune and check with us!
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Disclaimer: Above Technical Analysis is pure educational information, not Investment Advice. The information provided on this post does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice and you should not treat any of the website's content as such. Do conduct your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Weekly Heikin Ashi Logarithmic BTCUSD on BITSTAMP Pi Cycle TopThis is the weekly Heikin Ashi Candlestick Chart for BTCUSD on BITSTAMP 2012-2022.
The Russian-Ukraine conflict/war caused Bitcoin to drop below the all time low trend line.
Keeping in the parallel channel, price of bitcoin will be a million dollars in 4 years. = )
GOLD GOING BACK INTO THE 1900S? Gold was also triggered by supply fears along with Natural gas and oil. This fear was caused from sanctions being placed on Russia and Russia invading Ukraine. Gold rose to the price of $1974. Not far from its pervious high $2075 back in august of 2020. When there is fear in the market gold is often used as a safe haven asset. Investors will put their money into gold making market manipulation. Commodities also thrive off of fear.
Gold has been in a steady uptrend since January 28th of this year. So far it has been respecting the up trend. Gold made a correction after reaching $1974, retracing to 1878. The wicked off the trend line, and a bullish doji formed indicating bulls are coming back. A bullish divergence has also formed on 15 minute time frame and higher time frames such as 2hr. I see gold going to retest the 1944 area. If it breaks through pervious resistance prices such as, $1910, and $1925
With the was with Russia and Ukraine unknowingly coming to an end, US inflation at 40 year highs, stocks being down can drive investors to place more money in gold
Oil making it's way back to $100?oil drove to $100 due to fear of supply with Russia invading Ukraine. This is the first time oil has hit $00 since 2014, so of course it will not just bust through like we all wish it would. The market needed to correct itself first, pulling back to $90.50.on the 4hr time frame you see a fakeout of the trendline, indicating oil is going to push up some more. it is respecting the current uptrend as of right now. I see oil atleast going to $94 as of right now. I will watch the market and the news before making further decision. on smaller timeframe there is a small bullish divergence indicating a buy is coming as well.
USDRUB Long entry (Long live Ukraine)Firstly, my sincere best wishes go out to all of the Ukrainian residents, their families and loved ones staying behind to protect their land, my thoughts are with you.
Putin lost his mind back in 2014, now he's gone on another bender with this terrible act.
I was wanting to take a look at the Russian stocks market website, but it seems to have been shut down, by "Anonymous" maybe? LOL. Shame I was wanting to see which Russian stocks to short. Does anyone have any Russian stocks to share they feel will tank?
The Russian economy has already lost $150 billion, and counting so far. Ruble had lost 33% of its value and there's still room for it to lose even more as the West impose Sanctions on Russia ability to transfer funds around the world. It's not completely cut off. The Russian Federation still has the ability to use crypto to move funds around. And of course, I bet China will also help Russian Federation with that too.
Should the western world get a sniff of China helping Russia move funds then another **** storm won't be far away.
So, I've gone long here target is 90.00, I'd expect this to reach the High of the pin within two weeks. If successful I'm looking for a return of around $34,000.00
EURUSD's Snap Bullish ReboundEURUSD's price action rebounded promptly from the previous swing low at 1.11250, as per the expectations of the Wyckoff method. It is now set to probe the 61.8 per cent Fibonacci retracement level at 1.12642, as adverse volatility from the war in Ukraine mounts .
The behaviour of the price action around this crucial threshold will determine the next most likely direction for the pair.
Today is the last chance to buy dollar for 84 rublesAs we all know the current situation with crazy old monkey Putin and his maniacal ambitions. We already can see the price of USD to RUB at 108 usd in Tinkoff or SBER bank internal rates. So it is a last chance to buy with this procces before the stock market exchanges are open at Monday.
Not financial. This is political. Or not?On the left is the russian rouble against the USD, to the left the same rouble to the Ukranian Hrivna. In the caseof the USD it was to be expected but the russian currency is also collapsing to the Ukranian Hrivna. Where do you think the smart money is placing its bets?
Will the Oil Boom Last? Watch the US / Saudi relationshipHow long will the oil boom last? How much of an impact will Russian isolation have on the oil market and overall inflation? Biden has been cool to the Saudi's since he took office, after Trump cultivated an unusually close relationship with them. Unlike Biden, Trump seemed to have a predatory view of oil prices. I mean, he would do whatever it took to keep gas cheap.
The longer this debacle (and its aftermath) goes on in Ukraine the more opportunity and incentive the US will have to tank the oil market. With such a large portion of GDP made up of oil, Russia is very susceptible to a deflationary spiral in oil cost. To a certain extent, oil is financing Russia's military operation since the more trouble they cause, the more their primary export is worth. While the initial inclination of the US is to isolate Russia and its oil sales this move may benefit Russia to some extent, since supply in the world will be lower they'll still likely be able to make deals to move their oil through neutral countries. However, the more this bites at the American inflation problem, the more pressure there will be to increase output. Most of the incentives will run toward increasing output; Russia will hurt more if its primary export drastically decreases in value, and the move will alleviate some inflation in western countries. After all, who will even remember why Biden has shunned the Saudis? When gas is $5+ will you cry about Yemen, especially if you can get cheaper gas and hurt Russia at the same time? Will you think of Khashoggi if it helps Ukraine? Your moral scruples will be intact and gas can be cheaper! And wtf the Climate? Who cares. That is the political calculus of the next 2 years.
When you see Washington getting closer to the Saudis then be skeptical of oil prices. They can really make Russia pay this way. Of course, domestic producers have been betrayed so much over the past decade that they won't just come back online; they'll need assurances.
Also, just for 'fun', here are some more predictions (more like possibilities):
- Without a critical mass Belarussian forces joining, Russia will not take Kyiv and the government will remain intact, but will hold the majority of the eastern country.
- Even if Russia can take Kyiv on it's own, it will take so long that it will undermine its bargaining position and be a strategic (at least politically) defeat.
- Trump will at least make a statement about offering to 'broker' a peace of some sort. No one will accept.
- Inflation will get bad enough that the Biden admin will treat with the Saudi's and try to smooth over their bad relationship in order to convince them to put pressure on oil prices.
- The US will contemplate how they can engender the same resistance morale in Taiwan and there will be talk of resurrecting something like the TPP (Obama era) in order to provide a coalition to oppose China economically.
Positive Side-ways WeekendWeekly Time-frame
We are still inside the cloud and it is still Neutral Strong Support in $37,646. 22 Hours left to print New Candle. If we hold this area and closes with a Green Candle then the next candle will be a bullish one.
Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) is currently in the strongest support so we can expect it to hold.
1D Time-frame
We are inside the cloud which is in Neutral position. We can expect a Rejection in $42,561. New Candle will find a support at $37,420 level.
EMA Ribbon is forming a flattening slope which would in turn become easier to break the Rejection area of $40,063.
4H Time-frame
EMA Ribbon is now below the candle and has become its support. Rejection area @ $40,018 it’s exactly at the 200 Moving Average. Relative Strength Volatility Variable Bands (RSVVB) is now in the positive side, and it will start accumulation and pump. Not much volume as it is weekend but we can expect the Altcoins to move to the Upside.
The Effect of Regional Conflict on the MarketIn this post, I'll demonstrate the impact of regional conflicts on the market; whether what we're seeing is the beginning of a recession, or a reversal.
I'll be going over Russia's invasion of Ukraine, referring to historical examples of regional conflicts and the impact they had on the market.
War is tragic. I would like to clarify upfront that this post is apolitical. It simply assesses current events and market movements from the perspective of an investor.
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
Analysis
- With Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, we have seen this bull market’s first correction.
- Many fear that this may simply be a deadcat bounce before further downside, but this once again proves that this event was a case of ’sell on fear, buy on the bullets’.
- Pressure is applied to the financial markets as fear of war starts, and is relieved when the actual conflict starts.
- So contrary to common belief, the beginning of war, as tragic as it is, is a bullish sign for the markets.
- Markets move on surprises, and what’s happening in Ukraine is nothing new or surprising.
- Not only has there been tension building up for the past few weeks, we were aware of such a scenario for the past few years, with Russia’s takeover of Crimea.
- The point is that the more discussions there are about the plethora of probable scenarios and possibilities, the less likely it is for the market to crash when something worse occurs.
- Unless this war spreads to a global scale, which I doubt it will, I think the damage will be regional, and thus unlikely to cause a bear market.
- We’ve seen this through multiple cases in history: the Korean War, the Vietnam War, Gulf War, Afghanistan War, Iraq War, and the Crimean Crisis.
- This isn’t because armed conflict is good for the market.
- The conflict ending uncertainty is what drives the market upwards.
Conclusion
Headlines, responses from communities online, and fake news can drive short term reactions via sentiment, but it’s important to take a deep breath, and listen to what the market is trying to tell you.
Taking all of this into account, I believe that it’s more likely for us to see a recovery or return to the uptrend sometime later this year, with some turbulence early on. However, remember that the name of the game is to buy when it’s cheap, and sell when it’s expensive. By the time you realize that we’ve returned to a steady, sturdy bull trend without any factors of fear and bearishness to hinder the momentum, it may already be too late to buy cheap. Hence, my preference to buy 1000 shares of $SPY at $430, rather than buying 10 shares at $350.
While my entire long term outlook on the market remains optimistic, it’s important to remember that volatility is unpredictable. But that doesn’t necessarily mean that it’s everlasting either. I anticipate that there’s a high probability that the bull market continues, but volatility will play its role in shaking out the weak hands.
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If you have any questions or comments, feel free to comment below! :)
btc usdWill break 50k,
first, it will go down, Because of fear its tax. maybe two more weeks remain to take the decions.
Due to war more black money. The basic idea of crypto is not to use a bank. Both Ukraine and Russia will get funds from crypto. and due sanctions against Russia will reduce use dollar think. Therefore the demand for cryptocurrencies can be high.
New countries accepting bitcoin and other cryptos as national currencies will increase demand for it.
Mining difficulty increased, normally after difficulty is increased there is a huge drop, then it all makes ATH.
These all are fundamentals that I think will drive the market to bullish.
In view of TA:: now the weekly market is bearish. However, it has made down impulse and
After that i expect to break 50 k
NFTs and the Future of Cyberwarfare (Money vs Culture)The Russian invasion of Ukraine this week has prompted many people in Web3 to rethink what an NFT is and what it could potentially be used for. A look at what the CIA and Western powers did during the Cold War and how we could see another resurgence in "cultural production" methods in crypto-based projects in the wake of this crisis we see today.
URL to Vitalik's Tweet showing his support for the Ukrainian government:
twitter.com
BTCUSDT analyse Hello to the best traders in the world
Because of the war between RUSSIA and UKRAINE, cryptocurrencies may collapse
if bitcoin breaks the 34320 level, we will see a strong breakdown, the price may reach 27800
"This is not an investment advice. Your capital might be at risk.''
Give me your idea on comments...
Good Luck...
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For February 25, 2022Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar practically completed our Inner Currency Dip 1.1100 flagged on Daily Chart Analysis For January 28, 2022. The current price action suggests a primary target of the Mean Res 1.1322. Whereas more bearish moves are will be executed to our newly created Mean Sup 1.1190 and 1.1110.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For February 25, 2022Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Presently, the interim downtrend is completed, and rebound is targeting the current Inner Coin Rally of $41,350. The Mean Res $40,000 is stubbornly holding the coin from advancing higher. Additional bullish scenarios are also possible within this trend.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For February 25, 2022 Technical Analysis and Outlook
After piercing our extended and currently completed Outer Index Dip 4150, the index is heading to newly created Mean Res 4395 and later on to 4475. The return to major Mean Sup 4220 and Mean Sup 4170 is imminent, whereas more bullish moves are also possible within the downtrend - Stray tuned.
Bullish during the War
Weekly Timeframe
Awesome Oscillator is still having its Bearish Retracement. We are looking for green volume next week to see more upside candles. Ichimoku-Cloud is still holding on, we are still inside the cloud which is fairly bullish. EMA Ribbon is still bullish it hasn't changed really from being bullish since 2011. We are currently experiencing two spring up. if we close with green candle we can expect more to the upside.
1D Timeframe
This is Double Bottom that has huge potential to the upside. We already broke the cloud and the next rejection area is $42,221. We just need to hold on to this line of support and wait for the push up after consolidation; and if we don't, then we can see a movement to the downside. Our retracement in daily time-frame has shown green volume already in AO, it means this is the beginning of more volume and candle to the upside. The bottom are reached in the Retracement. RSI is also about to cross its Moving Average which means we are crossing a bullish zone for RSI.
4H Timeframe
200 Moving Average in 4h timeframe becomes weak and easy to break. We have broken the resistance in the second retest, so we can expect more to the upside. We need to break $39,904 and hold it as our support area then break $40,646 to continue the bull run. AO is already bullish and no sign of retracement yet.
We will discuss more on the possibility on our Live. Stay tune and check with us!
Want more insights before US market open? Hit Like, Share, and Subscribe for more daily trading tutorial & cryptocurrency news
TradeScholar, the best cryptocurrency educational community online!
Find the content above difficult to understand?
Feeling lost about how to trade?
Want to learn how to do your Own Price Prediction?
We endeavour to share you our investment knowledge & experience in order to help you starting your path to financial freedom. Follow, Subscribe & Join our Community to trade together!
Disclaimer: Above technical analysis is pure educational information, not Investment Advice. The information provided on this post does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice and you should not treat any of the website's content as such. Do conduct your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.