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Ukraine

Today’s Notable Sentiment ShiftsEUR – The euro extended recent declines and hit its lowest since 2016 against GBP on Thursday as investors became increasingly concerned about the impact of rising oil prices following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Commenting on the rise in oil prices, Wester Union noted that “the Ukraine crisis has really lit a fire under oil, and we’re showing how that’s really becoming a source of significant weakness for the euro and a major source of strength for commodity currencies.”
by thunderpips
1
180$ for barrel?! What will happen with Oil Price during WarOnly peace will save us - as one proverb says. But is it really the case with the oil price? The war in Ukraine and the turmoil over Russian oil are shaking the markets, so we have to look at the situation from several perspectives. the nearest option resistance is at USD 120 we have a lot of Virgin VPOCs below the current price, which theoretically should act as a ballast inhibiting further increases in the background the risk of the imposition of further sanctions banning the import of Russian oil in individual countries ignorance of OPEC at the last meeting - political and supply turmoil around oil and the session ... lasts a record 13 minutes without mentioning the oil supply limitation by one of the key OPEC producers! The situation becomes even more interesting if we see where the funds are located on the Options from the Expiry Date in mid-April 2022 - the resistance (i.e. investors place money on CALL options) with a record high turnover is ... the level of USD 180 per barrel! At the time of writing the analysis, we have as many as 4241 options there. Even at the next expiration of options in mid-March (little time until Expiry), we can see the capital shifting towards $ 140, where levels of $ 100-110 were staked at the beginning of the war in Ukraine. The options market often brings information well in advance. Get an edge in trading today with access to daily analyzed levels and option data from multiple instruments. The inquisitive will find a link to the page where the results of trading with the use of tools and option data are presented, as well as information about the mechanics of the market available for free. And what are your expectations for the coming weeks ad. oil prices? I'd love to hear from you!
NYMEX:CL1!
by skyline-trader
New Zealand dollar edges higherThe New Zealand dollar has posted small gains on Thursday, as NZD/USD has pushed above the 0.68 line in the North American session. New Zealand is hugely dependent on its export industry, and the Covid pandemic has taken its toll on exports, as global demand has fallen. However, with the worst of Covid hopefully behind us, global demand has picked up, which bodes well for New Zealand's economy. The ANZ Commodity Price Index climbed 3.9% in February, its strongest gain since March 2021. The war in Ukraine has intensified, with fierce fighting reported near Ukraine's major cities as the number of refugees fleeing from Ukraine has hit one million. Western countries has imposed severe sanctions on Moscow as relations between East and West have plummeted. Russian and Ukrainian officials will hold talks later today, which has raised risk sentiment and kept the New Zealand dollar in positive territory. NZD/USD has been on an impressive roll, posting four straight winning weeks and has gained close to 1 per cent this week. So far at least, the panic in the financial markets has not weighed on the New Zealand dollar, which is sensitive to risk. The Fed is again on center stage, as Chair Jerome Powell testified on the Hill on Wednesday and will appear before lawmakers today as well. There had been some speculation that the war in Ukraine might force the Fed to delay a rate hike, but Powell removed any such doubts in his testimony, stating that the hike would go ahead as planned. Powell's comments suggested that the Fed will stick with the traditional 25-bps move rather than a massive half-point hike. The confirmation of a rate hike by Powell boosted US Treasury yields, and currently the 10-year yield is at 1.85%. There is resistance at 0.6826 and 0.6908 NZD/USD has support at 0.6647 and 0.6550
by OANDA
GOLD LONG TO 1982This here is my long analysis towards 1982 & possibly even towards the 2015 on Gold. As we have seen Gold has been in a huge bullish cycle since February 2022. So far by the looks of it, Gold has completed Wave 3 of the Elliot Wave move & hit a peak of 1974, followed by a 1000 PIP drop down to 1878, which would count as Wave 4 if this analysis is correct. We are now seeing Gold make its way towards 1982 in a 3 wave phase (A,B,C pattern) in order to complete the final wave which is Wave 5. I had called this bullish move back in February in the Market Breakdown Report for my investors and we have so far profited from it. On the daily TF, we have also now seen all the imbalance filled that market created during its drop in 2020 and 2021. I will be catching this move on behalf of myself & my Account Management investors. All of my socials are listed on my TradingView profile. Feel free to follow my TradingView in order to keep up to date with all the latest analysis. Drop a like if you agree with this chart analysis or let me know what you think!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BA_Investments
Oil Prices Soar, Next Target?? #OOTTOil has continued its tremendous ascent. We are well into the $100 handle at this point, with little in the way to suggest that it may turn back. We did see some resistance at our intermediary target of $110, but a strong burst of momentum smashed through this target and hit our next profit target of $116.61 to the tick. The next profit target is at $122, which brings us closer to all time highs at $147, which we last saw in 2008. The Kovach OBV is still very strong, without even the slightest hint of leveling off. However, at some point a technical retracement is to be expected, and if so, $110 or $106 should provide support.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by quantguy
2
Bull Wedge Pattern in Stocks 📈🚀Stocks keep edging up, but remain bounded from above by 4380. We appear to be forming a bull wedge pattern at this level, with several red triangles on the KRI to confirm resistance here. The Kovach OBV is slightly bullish as well, suggesting a bit of a bull divergence. If we break out, we have several levels above to provide resistance, but ultimately, the next target is 4440, a relative high from January, and strong technical level. If the breakout fails and we reject 4380, then 4272 should provide support. If not, 4228 should be considered a minimum lower bound for now.
FX:SPX500Long
by quantguy
147 Million Liquidated Fear or Bullish?Weekly Time-frame We are again inside the cloud. We are expecting more to the upside for this weekly candle as it open a green volume from the Awesome Oscillator. Support at $43,440 to $42,010. We need to hold this support to keep the momentum to the upside. Bullish RSI. 1D Time-frame We are currently printing a Retracement Candle, bearish Harami means we can expect a red candle for today. Our Awesome Oscillator is still Bullish though so we can expect a long wick to the upside before we continue with the retracement to the downside. Watch out for Stop Loss Hunter at Support level $43,310. Yesterday we got an exact rejection in our EMA 144 which is in $45,360. We shall see a retest to this resistance, it’s forming a flattening slope which means we are experiencing weakeness. Don't trade against the upside trend, just wait pass the Retracement then ride to the upside. 4H Time-frame Support area of $43,518 is good to open long position if it breaks then expect a drop more to the downside. RSI is not overbought anymore so more area to go to the upside again. 39 Greed & Fear Index means the market is in Fear. We can expect its momentum continues to the upside. 147M of long position got liquidated, giving us bullish sign since market becomes free sky (no celling ). www.coinglass.com We are still waiting for the breakout from the Double Bottom. and our Awesome Oscillator has not shown a sign of reversal yet. We will discuss more on the possibility on our Live. Stay tune and check with us! Want more insights before US market open? Hit Like, Share, and Subscribe for more daily trading tutorial & cryptocurrency news Trade Scholar, the best cryptocurrency educational community online! Find the content above difficult to understand? Feeling lost about how to trade? Want to learn how to do your Own Price Prediction? We endeavour to share you our investment knowledge & experience in order to help you starting your path to financial freedom. Follow, Subscribe & Join our Community to trade together! Disclaimer: Above Technical Analysis is pure educational information, not Investment Advice. The information provided on this post does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice and you should not treat any of the website's content as such. Do conduct your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.P
by Trade_Scholar
Does Crypto Support Actually Equate to Pro-Putin Support?Guys, we have to be very careful discerning what is meant when our government encourages still more regulation. And who are actually the terrorist? Will all crypto holders who oppose the type of regulation that is being proposed suddenly become the terrorist or Putin sympathizers? If regulation proposals are left unchecked and unchallenged, this very well could become the end result. Be careful to understand what is being intended through subtle implication and nuance of language here. These types of statements should NEVER go unquestioned and unchallenged!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by stewdamus
Bitcoin is Now Worth More Than the Russian RubleAfter the collapse of the Ruble in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine this week Bitcoin has now officially surpassed the Russian Ruble -- according to CoinMarketCap: "Bitcoin has a market cap of approximately $835 billion while the ruble has a market cap of around $626 billion." MOEX -- the tracker for the Moscow Stock Exchange went dark after the combination of sanctions and people pulling money out of banks/exchanges went into effect. The country is now in economic turmoil -- some are speculating that even altcoins like Ethereum and Dogecoin may have surpassed Russia as well. (Though the data for it is now available, yet.) While some countries are currently celebrating the economic "victory" over Russia, some analysts are expressing concern over secondary effects over oil and gas prices, potentially further worsening inflation and supply-chain woes that were already starting to mount all across the globe. With a US recession looming in the horizon, what does this mean for crypto? So far there hasn't been any indication that the losses of fiat currencies leads to the decline in the asset itself. In the long run, this may prove to be an important factor in how the industry pans out over the next few years. www.coindesk.com
Long
by RyanTanaka
$GOLD 2H TA : Bull or Bear ? As you can see, the price has reached a Bullish OB range and we expect a positive reaction to this level, if it consolidate above $ 1919, we can expect growth to $ 1932 and then to $ 1944! and if price break 1910$ and consolidate below $ 1910, we can expect a drop to $ 1902 to $ 1907 range . Follow us for more analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, we are here to help. ⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ... 👤 Arman Shaban : @ArmanShabanTrading 📅02.Mar.22 ⚠️(DYOR) ❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ArmanShabanTrading
5
All Gaps Must FillA gap from Dec 2020 was closed in trading yesterday. It would seem that asset managers are liquidating assets of companies with large manufacturing operations in Russia. Magna has 2,500 employees in Russia in 6 facilities. Russia conflict is likely to add even more supply chain constraints for auto manufacturers. I really like Magna, should the conflict in Russia resolve itself, Magna will be positioned as a great investment opportunity on a discount with a good dividend.
NYSE:MGA
by SPYvsGME
Real Money Moves Markets Good morning, nothing really technical here today folks just a reminder that one Geopolitical Event In Ukraine caused the market to move sharply to the upside. The power of real money cannot be denied during times of Bank Freezes or even Invasions & Occupations. Bitcoin passed the test once again, when millions of people donated BTC to fund Ukraine's Military. Over the last few weeks a colleague approached me in different ways sneakily trying to ask for crypto advice. I have to be honest, to people who aren't in the market & are clueless about the technology Bitcoin seems like some secret Cabal. Every few years people ask me randomly what coin they should buy. After six years the answer is always the same. I suggest starting with Bitcoin. If anyone is managing a portfolio BTC is the best way to start, it's the best investment, the best money, the most liquid cash, the most secure, it goes on & on. But for some strange reason, they think I'm lying or keeping secrets, or worse yet, I'm supposed to teach them portfolio management FOR FREE. This colleague, said his organization had access to large sums of cash sitting in a bank acct. A regular acct not a business acct. He asked what was the best thing to do? I suggested buying BTC & collateralizing it back into dollars 50% at 1% interest. The Org would have had tens of thousands of dollars to advertise, to do community events or for projects within the facility...The following week the conversation shifted to Akoin being some kind of solution for people in Senegal & potentially for black Americans here in the US. I was floored. After six years of teaching BTC, I had to start all over with the basics. My new approach is not to bash sh!tcoins but to allow people to fail, I do research on the projects then get back to "investors" with the good the bad & the ugly about their latest lotto dreams. After a few short conversations about the idealism behind Akoin or rather the appeal my colleague told me he hoped I was wrong or that he didn't want what I'd said to be true. I have no other choice but to believe he bought Akoin when BTC was dipping. The weight of the words "I don't want to believe that & I hope that's not true" were devastating. And this is the reason portfolio management conversations cost money. What do you think? Did you buy the BTC dip? How do you handle no coiners? Most diplomatic way to handle sh!tcoiners? Disclaimer: In no way should my remarks or the context of coin discussion surrounding Geopolitics, Nation or Country of Origin to be considered disparaging. In fact if you're interested please see the latest developments regarding Senegal's adoption of Bitcoin.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoQue
Oil Soars Past $100, Next Targets?? #OOTTOil has soared and smashed through even our most aggressive profit targets. We smashed through 106, then hit 110, before finally coming up for air. A brief retracement appears to be finding support just above 106, so it does not appear that the rally is over, or even showing signs of pause. The Kovach OBV is extremely strong right now, as one would expect, but it has not showed teh slightest intent on leveling off, so it would be FOMO to buy at these highs. Our next target, set from Fibonacci Extension Levels is 116. We have created a giant vacuum zone below, so watch out if 106 does not hold. The next target below is 101.46, then 100.00. After that, we will surely find support in the 90's, but we aren't likely to see such low prices for now.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by quantguy
Stocks Still Undecided as Ukraine Crisis IntensifiesStocks have retraced further from relative highs at 4408. It looked like we might have been gearing up for a bull run to test 4440, but geopolitical woes seem to keep weighing, and two red triangles on the KRI suggest that 4408 is providing prohibitive resistance for now. We have since retraced back to 4272, but seem to have good support there. Currently, we are seeing a brief pivot from 4272, which has brought us to the midpoint of this level and 4408. From here it could go either way, but it is likely we will need some resolve to the Russia/Ukraine crisis to break higher. If we sell off further and 4272 does not hold, then 4228 is the next relative low where we should expect support, then 4122. If we can break 4408, then 4440 is the next target.
FX:SPX500
by quantguy
IS THIS THE HEALTHY UPTREAD?Weekly Time-frame We are currently above Ichimoku Cloud but not yet confirmed. Still this is a Bullish Scenario. Bullish Relative Strength Index (RSI), Bullish Awesome Oscillator (AO). Rejection Area of $45,806 & $48,008. Support is in $43,971. 1D Time-frame Huge green volume candle right there in AO. Area of rejection is still in $45,350, $48,008, and max would be $49,965. RSI is not overbought yet means there are still room for the upside. EMA 144 and EMA 233 has become a Strong Resistance. We are yet to test this resistance which is weakening and becoming a flattening slope resistance. Support is found in $44,106 & $42,624. 4H Time-frame alternative.me There is no sign of eminent reversal of trend yet. Greed and Fear Index remains neutral 52 (yesterday 51). We can expect more to the upside. Rejection Area $45,653, $45,806, & $48,008. Relative Strength Volatility Variable Bands (RSVVB) staying inside the Bullish Pumping Zone. We have formed Cup & Handle price target at $53,907. RSI is overbought but doesn't matter it is normal during a healthy up-trend. We will discuss more on the possibility on our Live. Stay tune and check with us! Want more insights before US market open? Hit Like, Share, and Subscribe for more daily trading tutorial & cryptocurrency news Trade Scholar, the best cryptocurrency educational community online! Find the content above difficult to understand? Feeling lost about how to trade? Want to learn how to do your Own Price Prediction? We endeavour to share you our investment knowledge & experience in order to help you starting your path to financial freedom. Follow, Subscribe & Join our Community to trade together! Disclaimer: Above Technical Analysis is pure educational information, not Investment Advice. The information provided on this post does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice and you should not treat any of the website's content as such. Do conduct your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Long
by Trade_Scholar
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) MultiTF TA: 22.3.2Bitco in is below 44500-45800$ Resistance in 8-hour time and is forming a Wedge pattern in 1 hour timeframe, which can be broken down or broken upwards with a spike candle. It is recommended to wait until the process is clear. While bitcoin is in range, some altcoins can grow. 8H Timeframe: ⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ... 👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: @SDQ_Crypto 📅 2.Mar.22 ⚠️(DYOR) ❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please LIKE and COMMENT , It Keeps me motivated to do better❤️
by SDQ_Crypto
6
A Ukraine war is bullish for wheatWheat futures are showing a constant higher lows ahead of a bullish catalyst. That catalyst is a war between Russia and the Ukraine. I can get into any questions as to why I believe the current information suggests Russia will invade upon request in the comments. This is bullish for wheat futures, The Ukraine is the number 5 ranked wheat exporter globally its wheat compromises 8% of global wheat exports. Most of the Ukraine's wheat production is in the east which would be totally cut off during a major conflict. To make matters worse Russia is the number 1 wheat exporter in the world exporting 17.7% of total global wheat exports. In the event of war Russia would likely be cut off from the swift payment system which would stop most of its international transactions causing massive supply chain issues with the wheat market. These factors in combination with the constant lower highs makes for very bullish conditions.
CBOT:ZW1!Long
by Henry285