RUSSELL 2000 TRADE IDEA: LONG | BUY (06/01/25)We have seen a recent sweep on the previous day - and equal lows of the overall structure. These signal to me a potential trend reversal. I expect price to do so after the confirmation of a break of structure to the upside.
RR: 2.45 or you can take the higher TP @ 2339 with almost double RR of 4.
NOTE: This isn’t financial advice. Trade safely and at your by own risk.
Ukstockmarket
UK2000 TRADE IDEA : SHORT | SELL (06/01/25)Price failed to break the recent high, so I know it will fall to recapture a lot of the liquidity below to continue upwards. I would watch it and wait for a significant break before looking to enter.
Potential RR: 2.55
NOTE: This isn’t financial advice. Trade safely and at your by own risk.
FTSE 100 bottom formed. Target for Summer 2025 set.FTSE 100 (UK100) is currently on a strong rebound after a mid-December hit-and-hold on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). That was a Double Bottom along with the November 11 2024 1W candle Low. At the same time, this rebound is taking place after a test of the 13-month Higher Lows Zone.
In fact, that Zone started during the previous bottom formation on October 23 2023, shortly after the 1W RSI formed a Higher Lows Bullish Divergence. This time the 1W RSI is on Lower Lows but since the 2024 and 2023 fractals are very similar and the 1W MA50 is holding, we expect the bottom to be already priced in.
As you can see, both previous macro Bullish Legs of FTSE's 2-year Channel Up, targeted the 1.382 Fibonacci extension once the previous High (Resistance Zone) broke. As a result, we are now setting 8650 as a Q2 2025 Target.
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Short UK stocks until the red line support is met.Every time the short term support line is broken the FTSE100 index has always reverted down to the red long term support trendline.
Therefore, it is sensible to assume that this will be the case again. A buy target of 5000-5500 is reasonable, however if the index drops below 5000, all bets are off.
UK100 - Massive rising wedge near breaking pointThe UK100 is looking very bleak for the foreseeable future. A massive rising wedge has formed on the 3D and looks to break at any point in the next couple of months.
Combine this with rising inflation and fears of conflicts in Russia, all provides the perfect setup for the UK100 to take a large pull back.
It is also worth noting that the OBV has broken down already, is the rising wedge next?
Crash MarketThe First signal of a market downturn was announced a few weeks ago by the japan Nikkei index
FTSE Has Completed RetraceThis has retraced as expected to previous resistance and 0.5 Fibonacci. I will be waiting to see how this develops before entering a long as this could drop further, watch for the EMA's to cross back over or come very close to. If the price does hold this level then a target TP can be 7031.
UKX FTSE100 1hr rejection from 7600FTSE 100 has rejected 7600-7590 area in the 1hr time frame, 3 consecutive times suggesting that a correction is possible.
If FTSE100 breaks below 7550 (23% fib level) we can see a correction upto 60% Fib levels at 7440-7430 levels.
But FTSE needs to break below 7550 to trigger this trade.
Stops should be above the recent highs.