FTSE 100 Summary for End Week 4 - 2019FTSE lacking momentum one way or another
Technically we can see that the FTSE 100 remains negatively biased. The (orange) Chikou Span is well below the price line and has yet to define any significant support or resistance levels, which may not help if any further negative Brexit or other political concerns rear their ugly heads. That said a flattening Kijun Sen (blue) line might indicate the possibility of a more positive move as this can act as a magnet. For a more significant signal the Tenkan Sen (red) line needs to positively cross, which appears to be some way off yet.
Fundamentally the strengthening of the pound at the end of week 4 hasn't helped as most of the FTSE 100 constituents conduct business externally of the UK. And of course week 5 sees further shenanigans regarding Brexit. If the government can actually govern for once and find something positive in the next voting session, this may help and confirm a possible trend change going forward.
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FTSE 100 Index
UKX approaching support, potential bounce!UKX is approaching our first support at 6768 (61.8% & 100% Fibonacci extension , 50% Fibonacci retracement) where a strong bounce might occur above this level pushing price up to our major resistance at 7045 (38.2% &50% Fibonacci retracement , 61.8% Fibonacci extension ).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is also approaching support where we might see a corresponding bounce in price.
FTSE 100 (UKX) Monthly Timeframe BuyThe FTSE100 index is approaching a critical 2.6 retracement level of the previous uptrend, and it could be good time to buy. However, with the Brexit news and Theresa May woes, just hold your horses for a bit. The index is still largely in a sell-off fueled by the lack of confidence surrounding the Brexit deal and seemingly the vote to be held tomorrow. The trendline shows a perfect uptrend with around 7 touches, so maybe the trend is about to end. Who knows.
Possible Bearish UK MarketLast post: May 17th. See chart .
Review: Price was trying to make new all-time highs.
Update: The market has reversed since then and has now broken below a major support area.
Conclusion: We need to see if price will remain below the support area then we can look for shorting opportunities.
Any comments or questions, do not hesitate to leave them below. Give us the thumbs up if you share our sentiments!
Sublime Trading
Party's Over in Merry Old EnglandThe English stock market is tracing out a Super Cycle Strong B Wave IV flat since the top in 2000. Notice the length of the correction is greater than for other countries that have been in existence for a shorter period of time.
Looks like the upwards correction has run out of waves and the final C Wave down has started.
FTSE Elliott Wave Analysis: Started Another Extension LowerHello Traders,
FTSE short-term Elliott Wave view suggests that the rally to 7790.17 high ended blue wave (X) bounce. Down from there, blue wave (Y) remains in progress with instrument showing a lower low sequence. The internals of that leg lower is taking place as double correction lower due to overlapping price action happening from 7790.17 high thus suggesting that the decline is unfolding in 3 waves corrective sequence.
Down from 7790.17 high, the initial move to 7477.05 low ended red wave W of (Y). The internals of that lesser degree decline unfolded as a Zigzag structure where black wave ((a)) ended in 5 waves at 7614.48 low. Then the bounce to 7665.24 high ended black wave ((b)) bounce. And decline to 7477.05 low ended black wave ((c)) of W in another 5 waves structure.
Up from there, the bounce higher to 7639.13 high ended red wave X of (Y). The internals of that bounce unfolded as double three structure where black wave ((w)) ended at 7616.15 high. Black wave ((x)) ended at 7531.24 low and black wave ((y)) of red X ended at 7639.13 high.
Down from there, the index has made a new low confirming that red wave Y of (Y) has started and looking for extension lower towards 7323.99-7250.04, which is 100%-123.6% Fibonacci extension area of red W-X. Near-term, while bounces stay below 7639.13 high expect index to extend lower. We don’t like selling it.
FTSE Elliott Wave View: Calling For Another Leg LowerHello Traders,
FTSE short-term Elliott Wave view suggests that the bounce to 7904.97 high on 5/22/18 peak ended in black wave ((1)).
Below from there, the index is doing a double correction lower in blue (W)-(X) to correct cycle from 3/23/18 low. Down from 7904.97 high, the decline to 7610.66 low ended the first leg of the pullback in blue wave (W) at 05/29/18 low (7609.7). The internals of blue wave (W) unfolded as an Elliott Wave Zigzag structure where red wave A ended at 7703.26, red wave B ended at 7738.46, and red wave C of (W) ended at 7609.7 low.
Up from there, the bounce to 7793.45 high ended the correction against 5/22/2018 cycle in blue wave (X).
The internals of blue wave (X) unfolded as double three structure where red wave W ended at 7772.12, red wave X ended at 7637.52 and red wave Y of the blue wave (X) ended at 7793.38.
Then down from there, the index has made a new low below blue wave (W) at 7610.66 low confirming that the next extension lower within blue wave ( Y ) of ((2)) has started.
While FTSE100 stays below 7793.38 high, any pullbacks higher is expected to fail in 3, 7 or 11 swings for another leg lower towards the areas of 7496.62 – 7426.56, which is equal legs - 1.236 extension area of blue ( W ) - ( X ) to complete black wave ((2)) correction.
Once the equal legs - 1.236 extension area of blue ( W ) - ( X ) reached, the index is expected to find buyers either for a new high or for 3 wave bounce at least. We don’t like selling it in the proposed pullback as the right side remains to the upside in the sequences of 3-7-11 swings
FTSE100 4 Hour Elliott Wave AnalysisHello Traders,
In this analysis, we will have a look at the FTSE -0.03% Index in the 4-hour chart.
FTSE -0.03% cycle from 2/11/16 low ended at the peak of 01/12/18 (7792.56) in red wave a, and red wave b pullback is proposed to be completed at 03/26/18 low (6869.79).
Up from there, black wave ((1)) ended at 7904.55 peak. The rally from 03/26/18 low can be sub-divided in 5 waves with an extended wave 3. Where blue wave (1) ended at 03/27/18 peak (7046.9). Below from there, it ended blue wave (2) correction at 03/28/18 low (6923.9).
Up from that low, it ended blue wave (3) at the peak of 05/15 peak (7752.9) and blue wave (4) pullback at 05/17 low (7714.6). Up from there, it ended the cycle from 03/26/18 low in black wave ((1)) at the peak of 05/22 (7907.9).
Short-term it has ended the cycle from 05/22/18 peak (7904.55) at 05/29/18 low (7609.8) in blue wave (W) and ended the correction to that cycle in blue wave (X) at 06/14/18 peak (7792.9). While pullbacks stay below blue wave (X) peak, it is expected to see more downside to the equal legs - 1.236 extension area of blue ( W ) - ( X ) which should offer us a good buying opportunity as long as the pivot at 6869.79 in our distribution system stays intact.