ULTRACEMCO
ULTRATECH A SLIGHT CORRECTION N 3:1;
Source of the Downtrend is the Monthly Supply
Destination is a Fresh Demand that has formed in multiple timeframes.
Also we see that the candles in the chart have gone away from the Moving Average and whenever Price goes away and reacts to a Supply it then retraces till the latest Demand.
Here we have separated the Demand and Supply Equilibrium into 5 major parts:
1. VH : Very high on the curve.
2. H : High on the curve.
3. M : Middle on the curve.
4. L : Low on the curve.
5. VL : Very Low on the Curve.
Now as Trader our Job is to Buy Low & Sell High;
So let's check for a confirmation in the lower timeframes.
Price went Up Respecting Daily Demands until it reached Monthly Supply;
After reacting to the Monthly Source Supply Price has violated a Daily Demand;
As we have a Daily Demand violated we see a downward momentum has just started; So until Fresh Demand which is @ Rs. 10526.00
ULTRACEMCO: Wave ((iv)) Correction and Future ProjectionsTechnical Analysis on Exampled chart of Ultracemco Using Elliott Wave Theory
As always, this analysis is provided for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Proper risk management and consultation with a financial advisor are recommended before making any trading decisions.
Understanding Elliott Wave Principles
Elliott Wave Theory is a robust tool used by traders to analyze market cycles and forecast future price movements by identifying repetitive wave patterns. One of the core principles of Elliott Wave Theory is that markets move in five waves in the direction of the main trend (Impulse Waves) followed by three corrective waves (Corrective Waves). These waves are labeled numerically as 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 for impulse waves and alphabetically as A, B, C for corrective waves.
A few key rules and guidelines include:
Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1.
Wave 3 is usually the longest and never the shortest among waves 1, 3, and 5.
Wave 4 should not enter the price territory of Wave 1 (in a standard impulse wave).
Additionally, corrective waves come in various forms like Zigzags, Flats, and Triangles, and these patterns provide insight into the market’s corrective phases.
Current Wave Count and Analysis
On the daily time frame of Ultracemco, the price action has been unfolding within an Elliott Wave structure, and as of the latest data, the market appears to be in the process of completing wave ((iv)) in black.
The chart shows that the recent price action likely represents a corrective wave ((iv)), unfolding as an (a)-(b)-(c) structure, where wave (a) has been completed, wave (b) has bounced as a corrective upward swing, and wave (c) is currently progressing downward.
Key Observations for Wave ((iv)):
Depth of Correction: The retracement level of wave ((iv)) typically spans between 38.2% to 50% of wave ((iii)). The current retracement indicates that wave ((iv)) could find support around these levels, aligning with typical Elliott Wave corrective behavior.
Equality of Waves (a) & (c): One common characteristic within a Zigzag pattern is that wave (c) often equals wave (a) in terms of length. This potential equality provides a target zone for the completion of wave ((iv)).
Retracement of Wave ((iii)): The analysis of wave ((iv)) should also consider the Fibonacci retracement levels of wave ((iii)). A significant support area is found near the 50% retracement level of the prior wave ((iii)), which could act as a pivot point for the next upward move.
Potential Outlook for Wave ((v))
Once wave ((iv)) finds its completion, the next expected move is an upward swing as wave ((v)), which should unfold in an impulsive manner. Wave ((v)) often represents the final thrust in the direction of the trend and is typically characterized by strong momentum and breadth.
Characteristics of Wave ((v)):
Extension: Wave ((v)) may extend, particularly if wave ((iii)) was relatively short. In such cases, wave ((v)) could push the price higher than expected, sometimes exceeding the previous high established by wave ((iii)).
Fibonacci Projections: A common target for wave ((v)) can be projected using Fibonacci extension levels of waves ((i)) through ((iii)). The 61.8%, 100%, and 161.8% extension levels serve as potential price targets.
Volume and Momentum: Increased volume and momentum usually accompany wave ((v)) as it represents the final push in the direction of the prevailing trend. Traders should watch for any divergences in momentum indicators, as they often signal the end of the impulse wave and the start of a corrective phase.
Conclusion
In summary, the analysis suggests that Exampled chart of Ultracemco is likely completing wave ((iv)), with potential support zones emerging as the market corrects. Following the completion of wave ((iv)), the price is expected to rise in an impulsive wave ((v)), targeting new highs. However, it's crucial to remember that Elliott Wave analysis involves multiple possibilities, and traders should consider these insights as part of a broader trading strategy rather than standalone advice.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Missed Breakout of Ultra CementUltratech Cement has broken out of a rectangle pattern, also known as a Darvas box. I missed the entry opportunity, so I will wait for a retest of the support level, which was previously resistance. If I see any bullish candle during the retest, I may enter.
Also look at the consistency of earnings and revenue.
Always prioritize risk management and proper position sizing to ensure you stay on track towards your goals. While analysis is valuable, it’s important to acknowledge that it may not always yield the expected results. Be prepared to adapt if things don’t go as planned, and maintain a resilient mindset throughout your journey.
Ultratech heading down .?Is Ultratech heading down after touching all time high. ?
This stock has be consolidating from past 2-3 months and now finally gave the breakdown with good volume , But wait is it sustainable.?
10000 now looks like strong resistance for this stock and looks like it will further go downwards till 9316 and 9040 as per the fibs retracement level . But over all stock is very bullish
Disclaimer : This post is meant for education purpose do your own research before risking your account
ULTRATECH CEMENT- PATHWAY TO 12K AS PER WEEKLY WAVE COUNTSThe largest and most prosperous cement company of India- Ultratech Cement is expected to have more upside of 30-40% from current levels as the weekly wave counts suggest.
To put it in very simple words without using too much of Elliot wave jargon, the next leg up is unfolding now which can be projected going somewhere closer to 9200.(the current wave structure technically should be labeled as 1-2-I-II-i-ii-iii-iv-v, which is simply read as Wave v of Wave III of Wave 3).
The inner rising channel boundaries can be used as a pathway until the bigger wave 3 does not complete.
I hope the chart is self explanatory and would not require too much of decoding as to what i am trying to convey.
Note*- this is not a buy/sell recommendation. this post is for educational purpose only.
EXPECT 8% RETURN FROM INDIA's LARGEST CEMENT PRODUERSNSE:ULTRACEMCO , risking 1.5% in a stock is a good setup to trade, buying at the price of 8150 and making 8050 or 10 points below is the stop loss for the trade, expect the recent ATH to be the target. CHECKOUT SOME PREVIOUS ANALYSIS TO GAIN THE CONFIDENCE TO TRADE.
Ultratech Cement Ultratech Cement is looking in a good momentum on up side, also it has done breakout of flag n pole chart pattern in daily time frame along with good intensity of volume, along with trend indicators confirmations, overall it looks good candidate to go long, all the key levels are mentioned in chart with Stop-loss and Targets.
All the key levels are mentioned in chart with Stop-loss and Targets
Chart pattern flag n pole breakout on daily time frame
Macd in daily positive crossover and Uptick and also above zero line
Macd in weekly positive and Uptick
Rsi in daily above 60 uptick
Rsi in weekly uptick and also above 60
Upper BBC in daily
Dmi adx also positive
RK buy signals
Most traders treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you....!
Disclaimer
I am not sebi registered analyst
My studies are Educational purpose only
I am not responsible for any kind of your profits and losses
Please consult your Financial advisor before trading or investing
Ultratech cement Breakout of reverse head and shoulder a stock is ready for the breakout of reverse head and shoulder pattern on the charts of ultratech cement. And there is a huge buildup near the neckline area. Buy Between 6900-7000 and keep a stoploss of 6650 for the targets of 8000-8200.This stock is above all the important exponential moving averages.
#ULTRACEMCO Weekly Major Support & Resistance Levels.Providing Weekly Support and Resistance levels for next coming week based on Central Pivot Range and its major support & resistance levels of week, where price can take support and face resistance. Three black lines indicating weekly Central Pivot Range. Previous week high & low also performs as a major support and resistance levels. Can take long & short positions according to how price perfoms at particular given support & resistance levels.
Testing the treandline/neckline with Inverse head and shoulders In weekly timeframe, there is an Inverse H&S pattern formed from Feb'22 till now..
it looks good in consolidation btw 5200-6900 range by taking historical support treandline at head bottom.( EMA 20/50/100 is around shoulder bottom -- ~6400 as immediate support too)
So, this month would be key to get sustain around neckline and breakout towards 8500 range for next 6-9 months.
Note: this is just educational purpose and not for recommendations at all.
ULTRATECH CEMENT LIMITED - KEEP IN WATCHLIST 📊 Script: ULTRACEMCO (ULTRATECH CEMENT LIMITED)
📊 Nifty50 Stock: NO
📊 Sectoral Index: NIFTY COMMODITIES
📊 Sector: Commodities, Construction Materials
📊 Industry: Cement & Cement Products
📈 On a weekly chart stock has given trend reversal signal on 20th June 2022 and started moving towards its resistance zone which is 6915.
📈 In future candle is giving closing above 6915 one can take swing trade on ULTRATECH CEMENT LIMITED.
📈 MACD is already in crossover.
📈 Double moving average is moving towards crossover in future.
📈 Right now RSI is around 57.
✅Entry above 6915
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 7600
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 6614
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
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Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.