$NGAS: Natural gas can go 90% higher from hereIt's clear Nat Gas can gain traction fast here, I'm long since yesterday, via $UNG shares. Looking to add an options position here, since weekly charts are now bullish, I pre-emptively took a trade based on a daily signal, speculating on the weekly and eventually monthly kicking off. I commented about it in the Key Hidden Levels chatroom here and offered it to my clients as a signal as well.
With last night's shelling of a nuclear plant, escalation seemed likely, and the next step could be to enact sanctions on natural gas exports, which could deal a blow to supply and create a dramatic move to the upside as a side effect. Fundamentals aside, reward to risk and probability are on our side, so it's a good idea to get some decent exposure here.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
UNG
UNG - why didn't I dare to buy?UNG is really a leader that has fundamental reasons to be one.
But let's look at it technically- It was a inverted head and shoulders.
And there was an attempt to break the shoulder, but we got a strong reaction.
Was it possible to start a position there? I think it really MUST have been.
So, the price is gone, let's wait for more setups.
Energy stocks & commodities basing for coming reversal?Using XLE to represent the sector, it appears to be forming a "W" pattern, which could morph into an IH&S reversal pattern, but it still needs a little more time. Green zone is general support, and probable good intermediate term buying opportunity, maybe lasting into the end of the year. Pink boxes are gaps I would expect to be filled before reversal manifests.
UNG (Natgas) defying the ST trend in the energy marketsNatty has been dancing to the beat of its own drum lately while oil, uranium and xle components have been struggling. Elliott Wave is a tool I often use, but I still consider it esoteric in nature, and often difficult to read, so, reader beware. So, while the bottom may be in for Natty, at recent support just under 18, I suspect a re-test is coming, as well as a possible, even if unlikely, gap fill around 14.
Long Natural GasNatural Gas futures have retraced the 2022 bull trend to a 50% Retracement Level at 6.60. Price needs to hold this level or else it risks giving up the 2022 trend.
This trade was prompted by a 30 minute timeframe Spike Alert this morning that pegged the broader trend level and sets up a low risk test. Stop alert below the morning low and an initial target a Retrace of the move down.
Some D****** members chose AMEX:BOIL to express the trade (more volatility for more gains) and I chose AMEX:UNG as the vehicle.
NG1! Head and Shoulder Bearish PatternA little updates on Natural Gas for those who are following NG1! and UNG closely
Now we are seeing tons of Bearish pressure on Nat Gas on Weekly, Daily and Hourly TF.
Chart shows a possible Bearish Head and Shoulder pattern for NG1!
Also we are seeing tons of Bearish Divergence on RSI and PPO
UNG bullish;W3 OF III extended;may retrace to 25.34 midbox firstIn this weekly chart, UNG Natural Gas still has a long way to go. It is currently doing wave 3 of 3 but is already over-extended in its Bollinger Band. It is likely to retrace very soon to the middle of the latest DARVAS consolidation box which is 25.34 before continuing the wave 5 of III. 25.34 is also the low of the latest big green weekly breakout candle.
Supply crisis is not going away soon.
Not trading advice
UNG: A Great Buy Setup to Capture the Bullish Continuation Earlier this month, UNG has reached a three-year high at $28 level. Immediately, the price gapped down to $25 level. The market has been moving in a short-term descending channel. This week, the price broke the channel by forming an inverse head and shoulder pattern. After breakout, the price retested the neckline and formed a bullish doji. This is a good indication that bullish momentum has taken over the market. First buy target is set in the gap area at $27 level. Second target is set at $28 level or higher, as the market is very bullish at the moment.
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