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UNG

NEW POSITION $UNG looking for 19.34 fro 16.78% (NatGas)NEW POSITION $UNG looking for 19.34 fro 16.78% Started a 1% position here… Looking to either sell at 19.34 Or Double my position at 14.50 Let’s go, NatGas traders… —————— I am not your financial advisor, but I will happily answer questions and analyze to the best of my ability but ultimately the risk is on you. Check out my ideas, but also do your own due diligence. If you want me to analyze any stock or ETF just leave me a comment and I’ll do it if I can. Have fun, y’all!! (\_/) ( •_•) / >🚀
AMEX:UNGLong
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
$UNG - Key Levels and Analysis$UNG - Key Levels and Analysis Would love to get one more good natty swing… Sell target 21.28 Or Double target 15.72 —————— I am not your financial advisor, but I will happily answer questions and analyze to the best of my ability but ultimately the risk is on you. Check out my ideas, but also do your due diligence. If you want me to analyze any stock or ETF just leave me a comment and I’ll do it if I can. Have fun, y’all!!
AMEX:UNGLong
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
My JB 8OC WEEKLY on UNG Nat Gas ETFThank you to those who have responded so kindly and favorably to my postings on the JB 80C indicator that I developed (quite some time ago). The JB 8OC indicator is based on a simple but powerful concept. Specifically, in bull markets no matter what the timeframe, closing prices of a given time bar tend to be higher than opening prices. In a bear market closing prices tend to be lower than opening prices. It's a simple supply and demand relationship. The JB 8OC algorithm takes this relationship into consideration, constructing an indicator to assess the relationship mathematically and visually. As in the case of many indicators, and in fact most indicators, there will be some choppiness but we can eliminate much of that choppiness by adding to the methodology a trigger which will filter out a good percentage of erratic trades. I will show a trigger in later posts if people have an interest in them. If so let me know. Now with regard to timeframe I realize that most traders want to trade very short-term time frames and I have no issue with that but my days of ultra short-term trading are over. I would rather work smart and take my time for bigger moves than work hard for smaller moves. Of course, it's a personal preference. The good news about this indicator is that it's adaptable to all time frames but remember- the bigger the timeframe the more stable the result. Best of trading. Jake RBT (rules based trader)
AMEX:UNG
by rulesbasedtrader
1
I've been waiting for this pullback!!UNG has been on a bit of a tear. I think the recent run in Natural Gas has had less to do with inflationary pressures and more to do with increased US output and decreased reserves. We've broken a major resistance level and we are currently in pullback mode but I am expecting one more push to the blue line (which I think corresponds to $4 on the exchange). After that I expect a big pullback so switching to shorts I think would be prudent given natural gases normal "tendencies."
AMEX:UNGLong
by DanjaZown
Short-term Spring ShortNatural Gas got a nice boost from colder weather. Looks about ready to crumble in the next month or so. I am short April(J) @ 2.81 Worst case on this is if weather defies it's tendency to flip bearish and the longer time frame trend line is targeted. But, it will take a lot to push past the highs at $3.00 (April). In which case adding another short there could work. Bearish inverted hammer on yesterday's move signals selling is strong and this is the top of a channel. Red box shows that upside risk and below there are a couple gaps that look promising. Trading is risky, don't do it. I am still long August(Q), EQT, RRC and would add on significant dips on any of those.
NYMEX:NGJ2021Short
by trade-God
Natural Gas --- ( 2 0 2 1 ) Swing TradeAlas! I am free to post what I want thanks to the help of everyone's contribution thumbs. ------------------------------------------ The Natural Gas setup for 2021 is not only fundamentally bullish, it's a technical trader's gassy dream. Welcome to the G a s i n o. Macro View From a macro view we can see that prices are now at the bottom of a historically supportive range. The previous deviations that dipped below this range were due to the bearish sentiment as production was trending up. This is no longer the case. Sentiment has now flipped cautiously bullish as supply/demand balance is expected to remain tight. Bullish Indicators First, we can see the weekly MACD is decisively bullish and above the zero line. This confirms momentum is going to likely remain bullish longer term. Secondly, looking at the Commitment of Traders (COT) report on the indicator below the MACD, we see that Asset Managers and Speculators are more interested in long positions than usual. Should be plenty more next year. Thirdly, prices are maintaining above the 50 week EMA. Not to mention the inverse head and shoulders that is under construction. You heard it here first. The Trade Setup Now, if we overlay two important contracts for Summer(orange) and Winter(blue), we can start extrapolating potential targets. Current prices for either one are at the bottom of the range. This is what large speculators are looking at. This is where I am going to start accumulating starting with Summer. In addition, I am also buying dips of EQT as producers will benefit from stronger prices over the next couple years. Looking at the August 2021 contract, prices have broken out of the down trend. Today, in anticipation of a large swing trade next year, I opened a starting long position on the mini contract (QGQ2021) @ $2.78 I welcome dips and estimate a sell target somewhere well north of $3.00 TBD Trading is risky, don't do it. Long EQT and QGQ2021 +1 @ 2.78
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by trade-God
1
Natural gas down trend continueAs you can see lower highs and lower lows are being made and rsi is being reset every time when at or near oversold condition. I’m calling for continue low... it has a little bit more room to go up before dropping again. Furthermore I believe it’s confirmed with the weekly rsi with plenty of room left before going oversold. Natural gas tends to hit oversold on the weekly which is usually a strong signal for a trend reversal. Conclusion I believed the trend is still trending lower with lower lows and lower high as evidence of rsi reset with weekly rsi still in a dow trend. Breaking above the last lower high would disapprove this.
NShort
by namv2008
NG: UNG: BOIL: Natural Gas Rebounded on Feb 2021 RollNatural Gas prices rebounded after dropping earlier in the week from $2.5 to $2.25 on warm weather. Prices rebounded on tight balances, oversold technical conditions, and roll into February 2021 contract. Support is expected to hold, as LNG flows are above 11 Bcf/d and balances are tight, with last draw at -152 Bcf. Technical Analysis: 4 Hr chart shows oversold condition. Support is seen at $2.25. However, double bottom is still possible, before going higher around January 10. Potential price target for the next leg up is $2.75 - $2.8. Upside potential for NG and BOIL may be limited due to roll into lower March 2021 contract on January 22 -27. Fundamental Analysis: Bullish picture with tight balances and potential for a deficit is possible going into 2021. Lower 48 state production lost -4 Bcf/d vs. 2020, while gas exports increased +4 Bcf/d, resulting in net increase in demand of 8 Bcf/d. Lower 48 production is expected to remain at 91 Bcf/d, while LNG flows and Mexico exports will total 16 Bcf/d. HFIR energy believes, that forward curve is underpriced at avg. of $2.58/MMBtu. Should weather turn colder after January 11, 2021, as projected by NatGasWeather, we may see NG prices bounce back to $2.7-$2.8 levels. Cash prices are likely to go much higher during winter. However, NG and BOIL, will start rolling into lower March contract around January 22 -27, which may bring futures prices back to their current support level at $2.3-$2.5 at that time. Overall picture for NG in 2021 is bullish, given lower production and higher LNG demand and exports remain in place. Traders are bullish EQT and BOIL (day trade). Short sellers will still have their opportunities on selling 4 Hr tops. KOLD is an inverse daily ETF, that does well during March - April contract timeframe.
NYMEX:NG2!Long
by tradexchart
Natural Gas - Long Setup ( Near-term )Price action suggests a winter pop is on the horizon. Target Profit: 8% The time frame for this trade is about a month so I will be using the March contract ( NGH2021 ) Technicals This week Natural Gas initially sold off but traders eventually bid prices back up to form a bullish hammer which now sits just above a previous support level. In addition, the weekly RSI is near the lows and starting to curl up indicating a reversal is on the way. Looking a bit closer at the daily chart, it is clear the downtrend is broken and the MACD is showing momentum is starting to shift. Targets Now that the bullish technicals are confirmed I'll use Fibonacci retracements to find a good sell target, measuring from the top to recent low. Conventionally this should be somewhere between the 0.5 and 0.618 with 0.236 now acting as support. If prices close below this level then it's time to reassess. For now the target is about $2.9ish. Trading is risky. Don't do it. Long QGH2021 +1 @ 2.68
NYMEX:NGH2021Long
by trade-God
6
NG: UNG: boil: Natural Gas Looking for a Bottom - Mid DecemberNatural Gas futures dropped disproportionately to fundamentals on lower national demand in the first half of December and slightly higher recent production. However, NatGasWeather forecasts for the storage draw covering next three weeks are not as bearish as the drop in gas prices. LNG flows are consistently bullish exceeding 10.5 bcf/d. The fundamentals are still strong. It seems that bullish traders are waiting for colder weather patterns to settle in before driving prices higher. If we get the forecasted warming next week, the prices may go lower. Expected trough at around December 9-12. Technicals: The 4 Hr chart is oversold. Yet, this condition may persist for another week. The double bottom is more likely before going higher. Per NatGasWeather Report: EIA Weekly Nat Gas Storage Report Outlook: EIA Weekly Report Week 1 – December 10 -70 to -80 Bcf Slightly Larger vs Normal Draw (Nov 27-Dec 3) Week 2 – December 17 -80 to -90 Bcf Slightly Smaller vs Normal Draw (Dec 4-10) Week 3 – December 23 -85 to -100 Bcf Slightly Smaller vs Normal Draw (Dec 11-17) NatGasWeather.com Forecast 5-Year Average -61 Bcf -105 Bcf -127 Bcf
NYMEX:NG2!
by tradexchart