UNG
Natural Gas - Before Ouching Territory, Let's Rally to $3.8One thing appears to be rather obvious: crude's rally has fizzled out:
Oil - Bulls Will Be Totally Annihilated
And that's bad news for bulls. If crude's rally has fizzled, can natural gas counter rally?
Well, natty hasn't done much all year. One of the reasons is probably that the world, which is controlled by the Communist Party, wants to SaVe ThE WoRlD FrOm CliMatE cHaNge by destroying the plastic industry, which natural gas supplied.
Next, they want to get rid of furnaces, which natural gas supplies, and have everyone live on heat pumps (an air conditioner with a blow side that can get hot instead of just cold), which rely on electricity and not natural gas.
At least electricity generation itself still mostly relies on natural gas, and that's never going to be replaced by solar and wind because the technology doesn't meet the requirements of modern consumption.
At the end of July, I called that Natty would not go up until it goes down more, because it seemed to me at the time that the charts just don't have institutional support to go uppy past $10 this year.
NatGas - No Moon Until Doom
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Right now, if you want to go long on anything, because it doesn't matter if it's DoCToR CoPpEr or equities or gold, you have to be either low risk or hedged, because of the imminent threat of the collapse of the Chinese Communist Party.
Xi Jinping has the game theory problem of being the head of the most wicked and heinous regime in all of human history, the Party that dared to commit organ harvesting and genocide against Falun Dafa's 100 million practitioners.
Although that persecution was launched by former, and now-dead Chairman Jiang Zemin, and although Xi has been killing the Jianglings for years in his Anti-corruption Campaign, the problem is Xi is still the head of the Party, and you always kill a dragon by severing its head.
And its tail was already severed recently when former Premier Li Keqiang was killed by "an heart attack" at the ripe age of 68, which is very young for a Party prince to die.
If Xi dumps the CCP Gorbachev-USSR style in the middle of the night, especially if it happens on a Friday or a Saturday, everything is going to be gap down gap down gap down gap down and never come back because of the time difference between Beijing and Manhattan.
And if Xi really is too stupid to do that much, there's still a raging pandemic besieging Zhongnanhai, and the Emperor's bedroom has never been immune to plague.
So over the last few months, what's happened with natural gas is, it's up apparently a lot. Like, from $2.7 to $3.6 sort of a lot and looked almost rampy on the monthly bars until it corrected this November:
The weekly, though, shows the pain that the rallies keep getting sold off:
And this is because the rallies weren't really rallies. What would happen is one month would settle and the next month's contract, which is trading in contango, would roll in and give the appearance of uppy and smash up levered futures traders.
But the ETFs show that natty has done absolutely nothing all year.
UNG, which is an unlevered fund:
Is down 56% this year, hasn't rallied one bit, and looks poised to break necks around $4, because what doesn't go up is going to go down. It's been flat for too long.
2x leverage BOIL (long) had a 20:1 reverse split 6 months ago, never rallied, and looks pretty puketacular right now:
And 2x leverage KOLD (short):
Has spent 6 months in a 35% range killing options buyers in what looks like a "bear flag" that's just taken way too long to do the thing bear flags are supposed to do.
And so we can only surmise that the once-fabled $1.8 to $1.6 range on Natty is incoming.
Perhaps we'll see this magic before the end of the year.
If you want to short natty, I have some reservations that this $3.6 monthly high is going to remain the monthly high, because it was set on the first day of the month.
And so there is a potential trade opportunity, roughly now, to take out like $3.8 and net a 25% bagger.
Or just wait until $3.7 and go short on a size that you aren't going to get liquidated on until $5 and be willing to put up with $4 for a day or two.
But most importantly, natty couldn't possibly have topped at $10, and simultaneously couldn't possibly have bottomed at $1.9 with the way 2023 is playing out.
The most sadistic MMs on any asset are the Natty overlords and they're about to get started, I believe.
Natural Gas Price Forecast | DXY Oil XAGUS Gold00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls NatGas Support & Resistance Guide
06:02 AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast
07:57 USO Oil Stock Forecast
10:11 DXY US dollar Stock Forecast
11:07 Gold XAUUSD Stock Forecast
12:31 Silver XAGUSD
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DXY USO XAGUSD Gold Natural Gas Price Forecast - BIG MOVE soon.#naturalgas #natgas #xagusd #dxy #xauusd #naturalgastechnicalanalysis #technicalanalysis #tradingstrategy #daytrading #naturalgasanalysis #naturalgastrading #natgasanalysis #uso #crudeoil
00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls NatGas Support & Resistance Guide
03:05 AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast
04:10 USO Oil Stock Forecast
05:38 DXY US dollar Stock Forecast
07:49 Gold XAUUSD Stock Forecast
09:11 Silver XAGUSD
Natural GAs bulls defending the lowsNat gas closed positively today in a weak market.
The importance of this close is it was a close above yesterdays high. Showing some potential near term momentum .
If Nat Gas can closes above the resistance trendline we could see a retrace to $2.50.
Looking for a weekly bottoming tail on Nat gas to confirm a local bottom.
UNG ( Natural Gase Futures ETF) Swing trade Short then LONGUNG is shown here on the 15 minute chart with text box comments showing the three trades
over 8-9 trading days yielding 25% overall first two trades short then a one day long trade at
what may be an early reversal. A pair of hull moving averages 49/140 ( multiples of 7) are used
to generate buy and sell signals in golden and death cross fashion. A dual TF RSI indicator is
used to support those signals. As swing trades with typical stop losses these were quite
profitable with low risk. As an alternative if a trader has options charting available the same
strategy/ method can be applied for significantly higher profit with less capital in each trade.
Bullish Outlook: UNG Prices Surge Amidst Anticipation of Record In the wake of widespread winter weather last week, the volatile natural gas futures front month, specifically the expiring February contracts for UNG, are witnessing a robust uptick.
Traders are eagerly anticipating a potentially record-breaking storage withdrawal, adding fuel to the bullish sentiment.
The market's sharp rebound in early trading on Thursday reflects the optimism surrounding the impending storage pull, setting the stage for a significant uptrend in UNG prices.
Investors are closely monitoring the situation, poised for potential gains in the midst of evolving market dynamics.
Natural Gas DXY, Oil Gold Silver Price Forecast - Natural Gas Natgas Stock 4h uptrend confirmed
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00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls NatGas Support & Resistance Guide
05:05 AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast
05:58 USO Oil Stock Forecast
07:14 DXY US dollar Stock Forecast
09:09 Gold XAUUSD Stock Forecast
09:56 Silver XAGUSD
Natural Gas Bulls are alive / Oil looks ready to go!Nat gas saw a beautiful bullish reversal candle today.
this likely will yield more upside in the short term.
Even with this reversal, I believe Nat gas still goes lower after we complete this bounce.
Oil stocks showing strength as oil appears to be putting in a bottoming formation.
If oil breaks out, this will be a natural headwind for the market and tailwind for inflation.
Natural Gas Double Bottom Oversold Stoch RSIDouble Bottom Oversold Stoch RSI. The technical analysis indicates a Double Bottom pattern along with an Oversold condition in the Stochastic RSI. This combination suggests a potential reversal or a bullish momentum in the market. The Double Bottom pattern is characterized by two consecutive troughs at approximately the same price level, indicating a possible trend reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. Additionally, the Oversold condition in the Stochastic RSI suggests that the asset may have been oversold and could be due for a price increase. Traders may interpret this as a signal to consider buying or taking a bullish stance in their trading strategy.
Natural Gas Probes Support. Is One More Feb '24 Bounce Possible?The US Natural Gas Fun (UNG) paces for its third-worst single-session performance in the ETF's 17-year history as of this writing. Tuesday afternoon weather model runs did the prompt-month of natural gas no favors, and the February contract has plunged all the way back under $3 after poking above $3.30 late last week. The current record-shattering polar snap will prove to be short-lived for the CONUS. A mild forecast in both the NOAA 6-10 day and 8-14 day outlooks are bearish for the energy-dependent commodity.
This is the most volatile time of the year for nat gas, and the infamous “widowmaker” trade (the March/April spread) looms. For now, though, I see support on the chart in a broad range. Notice in my featured chart this week that $2.80 to $3.00 has historically been a battleground between the bulls and bears. What’s more, natty is now testing its 38.2% retracement from the December low to the January high, offering potential support.
The trade here, in my view, is long with a stop under $2.80 on the prompt month. We will have a contract roll later this month to the much cheaper March contract (currently about 45 cents less expensive than Feb). So, we will get a natural gap down once the roll takes place. Thus, the duration of this idea is through January 26.
UNG rising in the cold of winterAS shown on a 4H chart, UNG which tracks natural gas futures has been rising now for three
weeks with the typical demand of the winter months and the cold weather impacting new
supplies while Russia's war continues. Volumes are relatively high while dual TF ( 4H and
1Week) crossed the 50 line on December 28. Price has now crossed over the Fib -.5 line
of the downtrend from October and has that line and the anchored intermediate term
VWAP for support and the setting of a stop loss ( strength in confluence)
I see this as a setup for a long swing trade of UNG or BOIL or XNGUSD on forex or any of the gas
companies ( LNG) to trade commodities while the equity markets get sorted out.
Natural Gas DXY Gold Silver OIL Price Forecast- Natural Gas Natgas Stock daily uptrend confirmed
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00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls NatGas Support & Resistance Guide
03:53 AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast
05:37 USO Oil Stock Forecast
07:10 DXY US dollar Stock Forecast
09:19 Gold XAUUSD Stock Forecast
10:55 Silver XAGUSD
Natural Gas DXY Gold Silver OIL Price ForecastWelcome to the everyday how to make money online trading with Natural Gas Technical Analysis show, where I give you guys support & resistance levels to potentially play off of. As well as both sides perspective of a bear and a bull to give us a better understanding of where our trades are currently and not have a bias
- Natural Gas weekly bear flag
#naturalgas #natgas #xagusd #dxy #xauusd #naturalgastechnicalanalysis #technicalanalysis #tradingstrategy #daytrading #naturalgasanalysis #naturalgastrading #natgasanalysis #uso #crudeoil
00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls NatGas Support & Resistance Guide
04:55 AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast
06:22 USO Oil Stock Forecast
07:52 DXY US dollar Stock Forecast
10:52 Gold XAUUSD Stock Forecast
13:37 Silver XAGUSD
Natural Gas Price ForecastWelcome to the everyday how to make money online trading with Natural Gas Technical Analysis show, where I give you guys support & resistance levels to potentially play off of. As well as both sides perspective of a bear and a bull to give us a better understanding of where our trades are currently and not have a bias
- Natural Gas Natgas Stock daily uptrend confirmed
#naturalgas #natgas #xagusd #dxy #xauusd #naturalgastechnicalanalysis #technicalanalysis #tradingstrategy #daytrading #naturalgasanalysis #naturalgastrading #natgasanalysis #uso #crudeoil
00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls NatGas Support & Resistance Guide
04:24 AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast
05:42 USO Oil Stock Forecast
07:38 DXY US dollar Stock Forecast
10:52 Gold XAUUSD Stock Forecast
12:46 Silver XAGUSD