UNI → Uniswap Breakout to $16.75! Next Target $30.00!?Uniswap broke out of its nearly two-year trading range and hit resistance at $16.75! Now that Bitcoin and the crypto market have taken a pause, what is Uniswap's next move?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We must be cautious with our long bias in the crypto market. Bitcoin is at its all-time high, and the crypto market is burning red hot to the upside; this is not an ideal time to long because we're near critical resistance on both Bitcoin and Uniswap. The best course of action is to wait for a pullback and a sign of another leg up. This is technically the first leg up on the weekly chart and we're a decent distance from the trading range. The RSI is also at 85.00, a significant distance from the Moving Average; this supports a pullback.
Wait for at least a 30% pullback toward the nearest minor support line from April 2022. If we get a strong bull bar in that area, there's a long trade to be had that's reasonable. Long near the $11.50 price point setting a stop loss just below the trading range resistance (now support-side) at $6.75. This allows you to take 1:1 Risk/Reward profits below the current resistance at $16.27 where once hit, you can move your stop loss up to the entry price to lock in profits. The second half of your position can be swung to $25.75, beyond the current resistance and just before the next one at $30.00. If the second half of the position doesn't pan out, you already locked in profits with the first half.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $11.50
🟥 Stop Loss: $6.75
✅ Take Profit #1: $16.27
✅ Take Profit #2: $25.75
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Confirmed breakout at a 130% increase in price.
2. No pullback on the weekly candle and near resistance, wait to long.
3. Look for support at 30% pullback to the $11.50 area, wait for strong bull candle.
4. Take profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward then move stop loss up to entry price.
5. RSI is high at 85.00 and a great distance from the Moving Average, supports a pullback.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Ascending Wedges signal an increased probability of a bear breakout. Combined with three pushes up in a bull trend and strong sell bars (candles with large wicks on their tops), creates conditions where a counter-trend trade is reasonable.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
Uniswapforecast
UNI → Continuing in the Trading Range! Short Here? Or Long Soon?Uniswap has failed to break out of the 19th-month trading range between $4.00 and $7.30 on four occasions. Should we continue to look for a short entry?
How do we trade this? 🤔
My previous Uniswap analysis showed a couple of good short entries just before and just after the price attempted to break the trading range resistance. Since then the price has fallen to the 30EMA and stagnated. We're currently in a situation where the proper distance to a stop loss is just above the previous high above the trading range resistance. We're also sitting on the Weekly 30EMA support and are lacking a sell signal.
Until we have a re-test and failure of the trading range resistance with a strong sell signal, it's best to wait on the sidelines. Even then, we should remain cautious in what will likely become a strong crypto market bull run this year into next year, so I only advocate for a 1:1 Risk/Reward scalp.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $6.85
🟥 Stop Loss: $8.55
✅ Take Profit: $5.150
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. UNI has yet to break out of the 18-month trading range.
2. Finding some support at Weekly 30EMA.
3. Wait for the price to get closer to trading range resistance.
4. Short scalp position is reasonable taking profit just below the Weekly 30EMA
5. RSI at 53.00, just below the Moving Average, supports pullback, then fall.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Trading Ranges are two-legged traps for both bulls and bears. When the price rises toward the trading range resistance in two legs, the bulls expect more but don't get it and drive the price down when their trades are exited. The same goes for the bears in the opposite direction. The probability of profit is higher when longing the bottom of a trading range and shorting the top. In the case of this Uniswap chart, this trading range started after a long bear run, so it's reasonable to have a bear bias and short the trading range until its broken successfully.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
UNISWAP → Dropping to $4.80? Let's Maximize Your Profits!Uniswap has had two major sell signals followed by a drop below the Daily 30EMA. We're now staring at the 200EMA and the $4.83 support, should we short here?
How do we trade this? 🤔
It's reasonable to short in this area o the 4HR or Daily chart. Use a small position size since we're a ways into the fall from the high, set a stop loss above the 30EMA and go for a 1:2 Risk/Reward Ratio down to the $5.20 area.
The price action is currently playing out a kings crown pattern; a massive bull candle, rough head and shoulders top, and a a massive bear candle retesting the support the bull candle started on.
💡 Trade Ideas 💡
Short Entry: $5.80
🟥 Stop Loss: $6.10
✅ Take Profit: $5.20
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Fell out of Bull Channel, Trend Reversed.
2. Fell below Daily 30EMA.
3. Gap to 200EMA and opening of Large Bull Bar.
4. RSI at 46.00 and below Moving Average, Bias to Short.
5. Watch for Bitcoin Trend Change at $46,000.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The 30EMA and 200EMA ribbons are reliable support and resistance levels. They will often line up between timeframes.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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UNISWAP → Falling out of Bull Channel to $4.80? Let's Answer.Uniswap has fallen out of its Bull Channel and is surfing on the Daily 30EMA! After Bitcoins harsh selloff at resistance, is Uniswap and the entire crypto market about to reverse to previous lows?
How do we trade this? 🤔
Uniswap price action is currently going sideways in a trading range, a typical signal when a Bull Channel has come to an end. What we need now is a sell signal to confirm the price is going down and we need to look for it at the Left Shoulder high price of $6.86. If we get a strong sell signal bar and confirmation closing on or near their lows at that price, then we will have a Head and Shoulders reversal pattern playing out, giving us the necessary justification to short. Keep an eye on Bitcoins behavior as well to see if the general market sentiment is shifting.
My latest analysis on Bitcoins future here:
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $6.27
🟥 Stop Loss: $6.89
✅ Take Profit: $5.03
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Fell out of Bull Channel, Trend Changing.
2. May bounce off of 30EMA and attempt Left Shoulder Price.
3. Look for potential Head and Shoulders Reversal Pattern.
4. RSI at 50.00 and below Moving Average, Bias to Short.
5. Reasonable to Short if Sell Confirmation on Right Shoulder.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!