UNI → Continuing in the Trading Range! Short Here? Or Long Soon?Uniswap has failed to break out of the 19th-month trading range between $4.00 and $7.30 on four occasions. Should we continue to look for a short entry?
How do we trade this? 🤔
My previous Uniswap analysis showed a couple of good short entries just before and just after the price attempted to break the trading range resistance. Since then the price has fallen to the 30EMA and stagnated. We're currently in a situation where the proper distance to a stop loss is just above the previous high above the trading range resistance. We're also sitting on the Weekly 30EMA support and are lacking a sell signal.
Until we have a re-test and failure of the trading range resistance with a strong sell signal, it's best to wait on the sidelines. Even then, we should remain cautious in what will likely become a strong crypto market bull run this year into next year, so I only advocate for a 1:1 Risk/Reward scalp.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $6.85
🟥 Stop Loss: $8.55
✅ Take Profit: $5.150
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. UNI has yet to break out of the 18-month trading range.
2. Finding some support at Weekly 30EMA.
3. Wait for the price to get closer to trading range resistance.
4. Short scalp position is reasonable taking profit just below the Weekly 30EMA
5. RSI at 53.00, just below the Moving Average, supports pullback, then fall.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Trading Ranges are two-legged traps for both bulls and bears. When the price rises toward the trading range resistance in two legs, the bulls expect more but don't get it and drive the price down when their trades are exited. The same goes for the bears in the opposite direction. The probability of profit is higher when longing the bottom of a trading range and shorting the top. In the case of this Uniswap chart, this trading range started after a long bear run, so it's reasonable to have a bear bias and short the trading range until its broken successfully.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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Uniswapprediction
UNISWAP → Failed to Break Out of Trading Range! Short Again!?Uniswap failed for the 4th time in 19 months to break out of the Trading Range between $4.00 and $7.30. Are we primed for yet another short?
How do we trade this? 🤔
If you followed my last Uniswap analysis, there was a great 1:2 Risk/Reward short opportunity on the Daily chart:
The initial chart failed to play out and was premature to the rip just above the trading range resistance at $7.30. The price soared to $8.25 then fell back into the range for another failed breakout. The trade from that failed breakout was a success!
Now that we're back in the range, we need to wait for another sell opportunity to enter our short position. Zooming into the Daily candles, we need the price to pull back toward the trading range high around $6.90 and have another strong bear candle present itself:
We also need to ensure that the RSI stays above 50.00 and ends up below the moving average, giving us proper support of the price action analysis to enter our short trade.
Until then, it's best to wait on the sidelines for that setup.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $6.85
🟥 Stop Loss: $8.55
✅ Take Profit: $5.150
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Failed to Break out of Trading Range
2. Strong Bull Bar Closing Near its Low
3. Found Some Support at 30EMA
4. RSI at 54.00 on Moving Average
5. Watch Bitcoins Price Movements at $46,000.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Trading Ranges are two-legged traps for both bulls and bears. When the price rises toward the trading range resistance in two legs, the bulls expect more but don't get it and drive the price down when their trades are exited. The same goes for the bears in the opposite direction. The probability of profit is higher when longing the bottom of a trading range and shorting the top. In the case of this Uniswap chart, this trading range started after a long bear run, so it's reasonable to have a bear bias and short the trading range until its broken successfully.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
UNISWAP → Dropping to $4.80? Let's Maximize Your Profits!Uniswap has had two major sell signals followed by a drop below the Daily 30EMA. We're now staring at the 200EMA and the $4.83 support, should we short here?
How do we trade this? 🤔
It's reasonable to short in this area o the 4HR or Daily chart. Use a small position size since we're a ways into the fall from the high, set a stop loss above the 30EMA and go for a 1:2 Risk/Reward Ratio down to the $5.20 area.
The price action is currently playing out a kings crown pattern; a massive bull candle, rough head and shoulders top, and a a massive bear candle retesting the support the bull candle started on.
💡 Trade Ideas 💡
Short Entry: $5.80
🟥 Stop Loss: $6.10
✅ Take Profit: $5.20
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Fell out of Bull Channel, Trend Reversed.
2. Fell below Daily 30EMA.
3. Gap to 200EMA and opening of Large Bull Bar.
4. RSI at 46.00 and below Moving Average, Bias to Short.
5. Watch for Bitcoin Trend Change at $46,000.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The 30EMA and 200EMA ribbons are reliable support and resistance levels. They will often line up between timeframes.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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UNISWAP → Falling out of Bull Channel to $4.80? Let's Answer.Uniswap has fallen out of its Bull Channel and is surfing on the Daily 30EMA! After Bitcoins harsh selloff at resistance, is Uniswap and the entire crypto market about to reverse to previous lows?
How do we trade this? 🤔
Uniswap price action is currently going sideways in a trading range, a typical signal when a Bull Channel has come to an end. What we need now is a sell signal to confirm the price is going down and we need to look for it at the Left Shoulder high price of $6.86. If we get a strong sell signal bar and confirmation closing on or near their lows at that price, then we will have a Head and Shoulders reversal pattern playing out, giving us the necessary justification to short. Keep an eye on Bitcoins behavior as well to see if the general market sentiment is shifting.
My latest analysis on Bitcoins future here:
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $6.27
🟥 Stop Loss: $6.89
✅ Take Profit: $5.03
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Fell out of Bull Channel, Trend Changing.
2. May bounce off of 30EMA and attempt Left Shoulder Price.
3. Look for potential Head and Shoulders Reversal Pattern.
4. RSI at 50.00 and below Moving Average, Bias to Short.
5. Reasonable to Short if Sell Confirmation on Right Shoulder.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Uniswap → Down We Go! A Quick Scalp Opportunity Right Here.Uniswap has produced two strong sell signals and is setting its sights on the bottom of the bull channel and previous high of $5.62. We are still in a bull channel, so our bias should remain long. Should we Long or Short?
How do we trade this?
There is a quick scalp opportunity here. A scalp sacrifices Risk/Reward for Probability . In this case, we have several factors pointing to a pullback to channel support or the previous high at $5.62. Two pin bar bear signals, an RSI below the Moving Average, and Bitcoin failing to break Weekly Resistance.
Your position size should be proportional to your maximum loss amount for your account. Because the trade setup is a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio, size your position smaller than it would be if the Risk Reward were 1:2. You want to be able to run this trade 100 times and come out with a profit. If the probability of this trade is over 50% and you risk as much as your potential reward, the result is a positive dollar amount, making this a reasonable trade.
Trade Idea
Short Entry: $6.15
Stop Loss: $6.61
Take Profit: $5.69
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
Key Takeaways
1. Strong bounce back into the Bull Channel.
2. Strong Sell Signal at Bull Channel Resistance.
3. Second Sell Signal at last Bar.
4. RSI near 50.00 and below Moving Average.
5. Short to $5.70.
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
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Uniswap at Resistance! Is a Drop to $5 Inevitable?Uniswap is up against the previous channel resistance around $5.50 after falling back down to $4.85. The last attempt to break $5.50 ended in a triple top, this may be a last attempt and with a failure, could lead to another pullback to the bottom of the trend. Bitcoin is currently at risk of a pullback as shown in my 4HR and Weekly analysis. Being a leading indicator, it is another data point in our trade decisions.
How do we trade this?
A short is risky without a sell signal, and a long is risky because we're at resistance. We're also in a bull trend so the probability of profit is less when shorting. Better to wait for more price action before entering a trade.
Key Points
1. Bull Channel, our Mode of operation should be "Always in Long"
2. The price is currently at a Previous Resistance Level
3. Bitcoin as a leading indicator, is at resistance
4. A Pullback to $5 is likely
5. Wait for more price action
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
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Uniswap: You’ve still got work to do…! ☝️Uniswap is chilling in a sidewards movement, although it still has got work to do! So far, the altcoin seems hesitant to reach for our red target zone between $3.99 and $0.88, moving closer only gradually. However, our crypto-friend should take heart soon! We expect it to dive into the red zone pluckily to complete wave b in red. This done, Uniswap should turn upwards and head for its next destination: the northern turquoise zone between $13.03 and $16.03, where wave 4 in turquoise should end.
Uniswap: Shake a Leg! 🦵Uniswap should shake a leg now and start moving upwards. The altcoin should push further off the lower edge of our pink trend channel, where it has recently finished wave d in magenta, and soon make it above the resistance line at $9.82. There, our crypto-friend should climb into the turquoise zone between $13.03 and $16.03 to complete wave e in magenta as well as wave 4 in turquoise. Afterward, we expect Uniswap to head southwards again. The altcoin should return below $9.82 and continue the descent until the support at $3.33. Shortly before this mark, it should stop, though, to conclude wave 2 in green. However, there is a 33% chance that Uniswap could slip below $3.33. In that case, the altcoin would develop wave alt.2 in green earlier (and lower).