UNI → Continuing in the Trading Range! Short Here? Or Long Soon?Uniswap has failed to break out of the 19th-month trading range between $4.00 and $7.30 on four occasions. Should we continue to look for a short entry?
How do we trade this? 🤔
My previous Uniswap analysis showed a couple of good short entries just before and just after the price attempted to break the trading range resistance. Since then the price has fallen to the 30EMA and stagnated. We're currently in a situation where the proper distance to a stop loss is just above the previous high above the trading range resistance. We're also sitting on the Weekly 30EMA support and are lacking a sell signal.
Until we have a re-test and failure of the trading range resistance with a strong sell signal, it's best to wait on the sidelines. Even then, we should remain cautious in what will likely become a strong crypto market bull run this year into next year, so I only advocate for a 1:1 Risk/Reward scalp.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $6.85
🟥 Stop Loss: $8.55
✅ Take Profit: $5.150
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. UNI has yet to break out of the 18-month trading range.
2. Finding some support at Weekly 30EMA.
3. Wait for the price to get closer to trading range resistance.
4. Short scalp position is reasonable taking profit just below the Weekly 30EMA
5. RSI at 53.00, just below the Moving Average, supports pullback, then fall.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Trading Ranges are two-legged traps for both bulls and bears. When the price rises toward the trading range resistance in two legs, the bulls expect more but don't get it and drive the price down when their trades are exited. The same goes for the bears in the opposite direction. The probability of profit is higher when longing the bottom of a trading range and shorting the top. In the case of this Uniswap chart, this trading range started after a long bear run, so it's reasonable to have a bear bias and short the trading range until its broken successfully.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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Uniswapsell
UNISWAP → Failed to Break Out of Trading Range! Short Again!?Uniswap failed for the 4th time in 19 months to break out of the Trading Range between $4.00 and $7.30. Are we primed for yet another short?
How do we trade this? 🤔
If you followed my last Uniswap analysis, there was a great 1:2 Risk/Reward short opportunity on the Daily chart:
The initial chart failed to play out and was premature to the rip just above the trading range resistance at $7.30. The price soared to $8.25 then fell back into the range for another failed breakout. The trade from that failed breakout was a success!
Now that we're back in the range, we need to wait for another sell opportunity to enter our short position. Zooming into the Daily candles, we need the price to pull back toward the trading range high around $6.90 and have another strong bear candle present itself:
We also need to ensure that the RSI stays above 50.00 and ends up below the moving average, giving us proper support of the price action analysis to enter our short trade.
Until then, it's best to wait on the sidelines for that setup.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $6.85
🟥 Stop Loss: $8.55
✅ Take Profit: $5.150
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Failed to Break out of Trading Range
2. Strong Bull Bar Closing Near its Low
3. Found Some Support at 30EMA
4. RSI at 54.00 on Moving Average
5. Watch Bitcoins Price Movements at $46,000.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Trading Ranges are two-legged traps for both bulls and bears. When the price rises toward the trading range resistance in two legs, the bulls expect more but don't get it and drive the price down when their trades are exited. The same goes for the bears in the opposite direction. The probability of profit is higher when longing the bottom of a trading range and shorting the top. In the case of this Uniswap chart, this trading range started after a long bear run, so it's reasonable to have a bear bias and short the trading range until its broken successfully.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
UNISWAP → Dropping to $4.80? Let's Maximize Your Profits!Uniswap has had two major sell signals followed by a drop below the Daily 30EMA. We're now staring at the 200EMA and the $4.83 support, should we short here?
How do we trade this? 🤔
It's reasonable to short in this area o the 4HR or Daily chart. Use a small position size since we're a ways into the fall from the high, set a stop loss above the 30EMA and go for a 1:2 Risk/Reward Ratio down to the $5.20 area.
The price action is currently playing out a kings crown pattern; a massive bull candle, rough head and shoulders top, and a a massive bear candle retesting the support the bull candle started on.
💡 Trade Ideas 💡
Short Entry: $5.80
🟥 Stop Loss: $6.10
✅ Take Profit: $5.20
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Fell out of Bull Channel, Trend Reversed.
2. Fell below Daily 30EMA.
3. Gap to 200EMA and opening of Large Bull Bar.
4. RSI at 46.00 and below Moving Average, Bias to Short.
5. Watch for Bitcoin Trend Change at $46,000.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The 30EMA and 200EMA ribbons are reliable support and resistance levels. They will often line up between timeframes.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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UNISWAP → Falling out of Bull Channel to $4.80? Let's Answer.Uniswap has fallen out of its Bull Channel and is surfing on the Daily 30EMA! After Bitcoins harsh selloff at resistance, is Uniswap and the entire crypto market about to reverse to previous lows?
How do we trade this? 🤔
Uniswap price action is currently going sideways in a trading range, a typical signal when a Bull Channel has come to an end. What we need now is a sell signal to confirm the price is going down and we need to look for it at the Left Shoulder high price of $6.86. If we get a strong sell signal bar and confirmation closing on or near their lows at that price, then we will have a Head and Shoulders reversal pattern playing out, giving us the necessary justification to short. Keep an eye on Bitcoins behavior as well to see if the general market sentiment is shifting.
My latest analysis on Bitcoins future here:
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $6.27
🟥 Stop Loss: $6.89
✅ Take Profit: $5.03
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Fell out of Bull Channel, Trend Changing.
2. May bounce off of 30EMA and attempt Left Shoulder Price.
3. Look for potential Head and Shoulders Reversal Pattern.
4. RSI at 50.00 and below Moving Average, Bias to Short.
5. Reasonable to Short if Sell Confirmation on Right Shoulder.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Uniswap → Down We Go! A Quick Scalp Opportunity Right Here.Uniswap has produced two strong sell signals and is setting its sights on the bottom of the bull channel and previous high of $5.62. We are still in a bull channel, so our bias should remain long. Should we Long or Short?
How do we trade this?
There is a quick scalp opportunity here. A scalp sacrifices Risk/Reward for Probability . In this case, we have several factors pointing to a pullback to channel support or the previous high at $5.62. Two pin bar bear signals, an RSI below the Moving Average, and Bitcoin failing to break Weekly Resistance.
Your position size should be proportional to your maximum loss amount for your account. Because the trade setup is a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio, size your position smaller than it would be if the Risk Reward were 1:2. You want to be able to run this trade 100 times and come out with a profit. If the probability of this trade is over 50% and you risk as much as your potential reward, the result is a positive dollar amount, making this a reasonable trade.
Trade Idea
Short Entry: $6.15
Stop Loss: $6.61
Take Profit: $5.69
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
Key Takeaways
1. Strong bounce back into the Bull Channel.
2. Strong Sell Signal at Bull Channel Resistance.
3. Second Sell Signal at last Bar.
4. RSI near 50.00 and below Moving Average.
5. Short to $5.70.
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
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Uniswap Bull Spike! Are we going back down to $5.70?Uniswap took off like a rocket after making contact with the 200EMA, going from $4.85 to $6.30, a nice 30% rip! We're now approaching the bull channel resistance, will we keep going up? Or will we see a rejection and fall back down to the previous support?
How do we trade this?
This isn't a reasonable to long or short this timeframe. The gap between the 200EMA and the bull channel resistance has been closed and if we're going to short, we need a sell signal bar and confirmation bar before we enter. RSI is near 80.00, a weak indicator by itself, but supports the other points of this analysis.
If the price breaks above the bull channel resistance and shows support, then it may be reasonable to long.
Key Points
1. Strong bounce back into the Bull Channel.
2. Price near Bull Channel Resistance.
3. Wait for a sell signal at Bull Channel Resistance.
4. RSI near 80.00, More Down than Up.
5. If shorting, reasonable take profit at $5.70
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
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