$USO back to 50 day at minimum AMEX:USO Headed back to the 50 day. Really quick. Will continue watching to see if we hold $69s or break lows. I'm expecting the pullback to resume after a quick stall at the 20day sma. The giveaway that helped pay last time was the rally above the death cross. That first rally is usually bearish as noted in the chart posted. Fast forward and we have the same setup today. Good luck out there.
United
DXY MELTDOWNThe enduring downward trajectory of the USD appears poised to persist in the coming years and even decades. With a staggering $33 trillion debt load that seems insurmountable, coupled with dwindling confidence from international partners who are divesting from the USD, the currency faces significant headwinds. The inevitable repatriation of these dollars to the Federal Reserve, the United States' central bank, exacerbates the downward pressure.
Forecasts indicate that the DXY, reflective of this trend, is likely to dip below $100 and remain there for an extended period. Our analysis underscores this outlook not only for the DXY but also for the USD's performance against other major currencies and assets.
UAL United Airlines Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought UAL here:
Then analyzing the options chain of UAL United Airlines Holdings prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing
Calls with a 45usd strike price and an expiration date of 2023-6-16, for a premium of approximately $1.65.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
I am interested to hear your thoughts on this strategy.
United Airlines (UAL): Buy the DipUnited Airlines (UAL) stock recently dipped over 20% as a result of poor guidance for Q1. The company over estimated for Q1. However, United is positive for Q2 based on bookings. So, if they were to lower guidance for Q2 and the rest of the year, I would say the sell off might be justified. However, that is not the case. UAL's EPS projections remain $10 to $12 for the full year. So, this is a buying opportunity in my opinion.
The technical perspective shows the stock near an oversold condition on the daily chart RSI. The price could dip further to the next support level in the $30s, but it might find a bottom around the current level in the low $40s. Check out my link below for a full article.
UNITED AIRLINES up by +8% post earnings but Resistance Zone loomThe United Airlines Holdings (UAL) has risen so far by +8.05% intra day following the much higher than expecting earnings yesterday (EPS 2.81 against 2.24 forecast). By doing so, the price is about to hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since June 08 2022. Despite this impressive one day rise, we can't turn bullish long-term on United just yet as despite the 1D MA200, the price just to overcome the Lower Highs Zone of the March 18 2021 trend-line.
Apart from that, the 1D RSI just entered into the Resistance Zone, which since March 2021, has formed all Lower Highs. Technically we should be expecting a pull-back to at least the 1D MA50 and then see how long-term buyers may react. If that doesn't happen and the earnings push the price further, we consider buying long-term only if the March 2021 Lower Highs trend-line breaks.
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UPS up for another drop.I just love these stocks that make an obvious hint for a drop in an otherwise bearish market. Going with the flow is always easier in general trend. Imagine swimming in a river and going against the current. Same with the market. Putting a long in this current general environment is extra risky.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
UAL Return to Profitability This YearTomorrow UAL most likely will hit my price target from the last chart:
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) said it expects to Return to Profitability This Year.
My new price target is $56 and maybe an ultra speculative $78 by Jan 2023.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Our Next Energy raises $95 millionEnergy storage developer Our Next Energy Inc. said it raised $95 million in a new round of funding to help boost its plans to build a battery plant in the United States.
Crain's previously reported that the factory will be used to produce the Novi-based company's Aries battery pack for four customers. The company is contracting with an undisclosed tier 1 automotive supplier in Southeast Michigan to set up a factory line where its Aries battery will be brought out of the R&D lab and into mass production, founder and CEO Mujeeb Ijaz told Crain's in January.
The latest funding round was led by BMW i Ventures, with New York-based private equity firm Coatue Management joining as a new investor.
In October, Our Next Energy raised $25 million in a first round of investments, and several original investors joined in the latest funding efforts.
AUDUSD Forecast Buying OpportunityHey traders, we are monitoring AUDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.717 zone, once we will receive any bullish confirmation the trade will be executed. I see a long-term movement of the pair. First the trend line has been retested for the several times and the AUD index shows a long-term upward price movement. Wait for the break out of the trend line , retest and you are free to take a trade.
Disclaimer
Trade safe, by Kachala
MCDOWELL_N (UNITED SPIRITS LTD)Buy @ 801-816
Break out after consolidation of 6 years
Cmp 827.70
Pe 88.4x
Roce 13.3%
Roe 9.49%
Mcap 60144 cr.
Enterprise value 61097 cr.
Reserves 4094 cr
Products:- johnnie walker, black dog, black & white, vat 69, antiquity, signature, royal challenge, mcdowell’s no.1, smirnoff and captain morgan.
Collecting Premium on UALPre-market the UAL 20NOV20 $40 call shows an Open interest of 2608. The Probability of the option being in the money is only 27.5% and there is also a 72.25% implied volatility included in the price. With a 72.5% chance that this option will expire worthless we can create a simple spread to be able to collect the premium of the option that is around 30 days to expiration.
United Support levelAfter a down week from a quick pop rally, we have a strong bullish candle right before the end of the week. Day to Day volume of trades remain high which keeps volatility high. Looking to see how price plays near this support of the channel will help determine our next trade from here. Based on standard deviations one can be able to determine the next highly probably price target points before we have earnings in July.
GBPUSD IDEALooking at #GBPUSD for the week(s) to come. Weekly timeframe we see price reaching the neckline of this W formation and then going back up. Of course we need to have confirmation about this happening thats why we will monitor price action on the 4H timeframe to be sure of when to enter the market!
Patience is the best virtue you can have with the market!
Tight Channel on UALUnited Airline has dropped down from its all time highs and is currently being pushed into this channel range that price is creating.
As volatility drops dramatically the potential of massive spikes reduces and we can start to look for opportunities to trade most consistent and less volatile markets